Issues
My modus operandi when writing the monthly version of the Cabot Turnaround Letter is to focus solely on a single stock when making a purchase recommendation. And in keeping with that spirit, I’ll be doing the same in this month’s edition of the newsletter. But I will also highlight two additional stocks with what I see as having excellent mid-to-long-term turnaround potential.
The market looks great. But the indexes are teetering around the highs while uncertainty is still swirling around.
Fortunately, some of the highest dividend paying stocks are still reasonably priced ahead of an increasingly promising future. Midstream energy stocks have been flying under the radar while paying some of the highest dividends on the market. These stocks are also well suited for whatever lies ahead.
Midstream energy stocks have provided a high income and a solid return throughout most market cycles. And that makes them ideal for the current unpredictable environment. But that was before. Things are changing for the better. The environment for energy is undergoing a radical transformation that could make these stocks better than ever before.
The growing demand from utilities and exporters will provide an unprecedented runway for growth in the years ahead that historical performance doesn’t reflect. In this issue, I highlight one of the very best midstream energy companies on the market.
Fortunately, some of the highest dividend paying stocks are still reasonably priced ahead of an increasingly promising future. Midstream energy stocks have been flying under the radar while paying some of the highest dividends on the market. These stocks are also well suited for whatever lies ahead.
Midstream energy stocks have provided a high income and a solid return throughout most market cycles. And that makes them ideal for the current unpredictable environment. But that was before. Things are changing for the better. The environment for energy is undergoing a radical transformation that could make these stocks better than ever before.
The growing demand from utilities and exporters will provide an unprecedented runway for growth in the years ahead that historical performance doesn’t reflect. In this issue, I highlight one of the very best midstream energy companies on the market.
Before we dive into this week’s idea, I do want to note that our September IBKR, GLW and RKT covered calls finished in-the-money which means we walked away from those trades with our full profits, and no longer own a stock or option position in these stocks.
It was another solid week for the market, with a bit more leadership emerging on the upside, with some medicals and online outfits joining the AI infrastructure group and a smattering of other names—though we’re still seeing plenty of choppy (selling on strength) action, too. Near term, we do think risk is a bit elevated, partly due to the recent run, partly due to the calendar and partly due to some near-term complacency—that said, when it comes to the intermediate-term (and longer-term) evidence, it remains much more positive than negative, so we’re not making any grand adjustments here. We’ll keep our Market Monitor at a level 7.
This week’s list is another well-rounded one, with some fresher breakouts and setups from a variety of sectors. Our Top Pick is a well-run firm that has lifted off powerfully from a two-month rest period. Try to enter on dips of a few points.
This week’s list is another well-rounded one, with some fresher breakouts and setups from a variety of sectors. Our Top Pick is a well-run firm that has lifted off powerfully from a two-month rest period. Try to enter on dips of a few points.
Fed Week has come and gone, and Jerome Powell and company did just what investors expected them to do, nudging stocks further into record territory. How long the market can keep this up, at least in the short term, is anyone’s guess. But we can only go with the evidence in front of us, and right now it’s a good time to buy. So today, we add another big growth name that has emerged as a leader of the recent rally. It’s a stock that has stood out enough to gain approval from both Mike Cintolo and Tyler Laundon.
Details inside.
Details inside.
The stock market rallied nicely into the Federal Reserve meeting, and then tacked on even more gains following it, and by week’s end the S&P 500 had risen 1.2%, the Dow had rallied 1%, and the Nasdaq gained 2.2%.
The stock market rallied nicely into the Federal Reserve meeting, and then tacked on even more gains following it, and by week’s end the S&P 500 had risen 1.2%, the Dow had rallied 1%, and the Nasdaq gained 2.2%.
The story remains mostly the same, with the overall market remaining in great shape, though it is a bit near-term extended, while growth stocks are good-not-great, with a lot of names mostly marking time, and even some AI names doing the same. That said, we have seen a little broadening of leadership of late, which should provide some opportunities down the road. Today we’re adding one new half-sized stake in a name that looks to have changed character today (up a lot, but this comes after a two-month correction), but we’re still going to hold 38% in cash as we look for more titles to get going.
With a big Fed meeting on tap for this afternoon, we’re continuing to maintain a steady pace of adding new positions, selling off some weaker ones, and adding fresh names to our Watch List.
Details on all of the above are included in this September’s Issue. Enjoy!
Details on all of the above are included in this September’s Issue. Enjoy!
Ahead of the “big” Federal Reserve event this Wednesday, the leading indexes all advanced last week, as the S&P 500 gained 1.6%, the Dow rallied 1% and the Nasdaq rose by 2%.
For the most part, the story remains the same with the market, as most of the evidence is positive, though not necessarily powerful. The good news is that, for the first time in a while, we’re starting to see a little broadening in leadership: AI-related names remain strong, and now more medical and online names are starting to shape up along with some more cyclical plays. Today, we’ll stick with our current stance—Market Monitor at a level 7—though we could tweak that if we continue to see more names emerge.
This week’s list has something for everyone, from strong Ai-related names to cyclical outfits, and from those in strong uptrends to those with nice setups. Our Top Pick has the look of a potential liquid leader and after seven weeks of choppy action, is starting to break out nicely.
This week’s list has something for everyone, from strong Ai-related names to cyclical outfits, and from those in strong uptrends to those with nice setups. Our Top Pick has the look of a potential liquid leader and after seven weeks of choppy action, is starting to break out nicely.
Stocks are already at all-time highs, and now it appears the Fed is (finally) prepared to give them an extra nudge in the form of interest rate cuts this week. When that happens, it’s typically bullish for stocks, even if there are some bumps along the way. So today, we continue to try and capitalize on a growth-friendly market by adding a fast-expanding biotech play to the Stock of the Week portfolio. It’s a new recommendation from Mike Cintolo in his momentum-based Cabot Top Ten Trader newsletter. And it’s been on a tear for the last month.
Details inside.
Details inside.
Updates
WHAT TO DO NOW: We remain overall bullish, but fewer growth stocks and sectors are making headway of late, and with earnings season revving up, we’re becoming more selective on the buy side while tightening stops on some laggards. In the Model Portfolio tonight, we’re going to sell our stake in Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), start a half-sized position in Life360 (LIF) and place Uber (UBER) back on Hold. Our cash position will remain around 32%.
After hitting multi-month highs last Thursday, the S&P 600 SmallCap Index has since pulled back modestly.
Given all the talk of tariffs and Trump firing Powell, and the beginning of earnings season (so far so good), I’d say a modest pullback is a win.
Given all the talk of tariffs and Trump firing Powell, and the beginning of earnings season (so far so good), I’d say a modest pullback is a win.
Summer stasis has taken hold of the market as it often does this time of year, with the S&P 500 virtually unchanged (+0.3%) since the calendar flipped to July. Considering stocks entered the month at all-time highs despite a slew of existential threats (tariffs, high interest rates, two major overseas wars, etc.), holding the line counts as a victory.
Will it last? I’m guessing we’ll get a pullback of some kind – probably at least 5% – sometime in the next couple months, perhaps not until just after Labor Day, when institutional investors and hedge funder types return from their summer getaways in the Hamptons and Martha’s Vineyard and start selling out of their long-neglected weakest positions (a major reason why September is by far the worst month for stocks, historically).
Will it last? I’m guessing we’ll get a pullback of some kind – probably at least 5% – sometime in the next couple months, perhaps not until just after Labor Day, when institutional investors and hedge funder types return from their summer getaways in the Hamptons and Martha’s Vineyard and start selling out of their long-neglected weakest positions (a major reason why September is by far the worst month for stocks, historically).
The market is stuck in the mud. But that might be a good thing, considering that tariff uncertainty is back. This time, tariff fears are just keeping stocks from going higher and not crushing the market, so far.
The administration is currently threatening to enforce 30% tariffs on Mexico and the European Union (EU) starting on August 1. However, investors perceive a strong chance that President Trump will either back off the threat or make deals.
The administration is currently threatening to enforce 30% tariffs on Mexico and the European Union (EU) starting on August 1. However, investors perceive a strong chance that President Trump will either back off the threat or make deals.
Tariff uncertainty is back. But this time it’s just keeping stocks from going higher, not dragging the market lower.
The administration is currently threatening to enforce 30% tariffs on Mexico and the European Union (EU) starting on August 1. However, investors perceive a strong chance that President Trump will either back off the threat or make deals. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 continues to hover right near the high.
The administration is currently threatening to enforce 30% tariffs on Mexico and the European Union (EU) starting on August 1. However, investors perceive a strong chance that President Trump will either back off the threat or make deals. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 continues to hover right near the high.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Centuri Holdings (CTRI), Dollar Tree (DLTR), GE Aerospace (GE), Intel (INTC) and Paramount Global (PARA).
Note: Due to a technical issue, publication of your Cabot Cannabis Investor update has been delayed by one day. We apologize for any inconvenience; future updates and issues will be delivered per the normal publishing schedule.
If you have been steadily averaging down in cannabis stocks during the sector’s dark days all year, well done.
You are finally being rewarded.
If you have been steadily averaging down in cannabis stocks during the sector’s dark days all year, well done.
You are finally being rewarded.
Action in the small-cap indices continues to be very encouraging.
Since the beginning of June, both the S&P 600 SmallCap Index and Russell 2000 have outperformed the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.
Since the beginning of June, both the S&P 600 SmallCap Index and Russell 2000 have outperformed the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.
Corporate America is weathering trade uncertainty remarkably well. The S&P 500 index has recovered more than 20% since bottoming out in April but is up only 6% this year.
You may have noticed that the stagflation scenario (inflation and slow growth) is a theme being promoted by the financial media with comparisons to the 1970s. But even if this becomes a reality, stocks are still your best option to protect and grow your wealth. In the 1970s, large-cap value outperformed growth stocks and long-term Treasury bonds. Dividend-paying stocks also outperformed. Our strategy will remain the same regardless of the pundits, value, quality, and momentum.
You may have noticed that the stagflation scenario (inflation and slow growth) is a theme being promoted by the financial media with comparisons to the 1970s. But even if this becomes a reality, stocks are still your best option to protect and grow your wealth. In the 1970s, large-cap value outperformed growth stocks and long-term Treasury bonds. Dividend-paying stocks also outperformed. Our strategy will remain the same regardless of the pundits, value, quality, and momentum.
Uncertainty is growing in a market perched near the high.
Tariffs are front and center again. The July 9 deadline, which began the market rally from the low when the administration issued a 90-day extension, is rapidly approaching. The deadline raises many of the issues the market hated back in April. Stocks started the week on a down note in anticipation.
Tariffs are front and center again. The July 9 deadline, which began the market rally from the low when the administration issued a 90-day extension, is rapidly approaching. The deadline raises many of the issues the market hated back in April. Stocks started the week on a down note in anticipation.
*Note: Your weekly Cabot Turnaround Letter update is arriving a day early, on Thursday, July 3, due to the market holiday on Friday, July 4, in observance of Independence Day.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN), GE Aerospace (GE), Intel (INTC), Paramount Global (PARA) and Toast (TOST).
GE Aerospace (GE) strength driven by record backlogs in its commercial aerospace segment.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN), GE Aerospace (GE), Intel (INTC), Paramount Global (PARA) and Toast (TOST).
GE Aerospace (GE) strength driven by record backlogs in its commercial aerospace segment.
The S&P 500 reached a new all-time high. Now what?
It’s been a tremendous recovery since the “tariff Armageddon” days of early April. Stocks went from the precipice of a bear market to a brand new high in just a couple of months.
It’s been a tremendous recovery since the “tariff Armageddon” days of early April. Stocks went from the precipice of a bear market to a brand new high in just a couple of months.
Alerts
We are all trying to digest the substance of “Liberation Day” and better understand what lasting impact it will have on global trade, the market, stocks that we own and those we are considering buying.
We are all trying to digest the substance of “Liberation Day” and better understand what lasting impact it will have. Suffice to say, there are a lot of ways this could go. But one thing is for sure – we’re in uncharted territory.
Just a quick reminder that, as per last week’s Special Bulletin, the March Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities will be published next Wednesday, March 26. Among the reasons for pushing the Issue back a week is that it will allow time for new portfolio additions to reflect today’s Fed decision to hold rates steady and the updated Summary of Economic projections (SEP), which implies a total of two 25-basis-point cuts this year.
Insiders at two of our Cabot Cannabis Plus Insider Portfolio names just made large purchases of their company’s stocks. Besides cannabis, I have followed insider activity overall for a few decades. These are significant buy signals, in my experience.
WHAT TO DO NOW: The growth stock meltdown continues, with the major indexes and individual names under heavy pressure again today. Already with nearly 80% in cash, we’re not eager to sell wholesale in the Model Portfolio, but we also won’t just hold and hope. Today, we’re going to sell half our position in Flutter (FLUT), which has fallen sharply this week. We’ll hold the rest of our names as well as our 84% cash hoard.
Portfolios
Strategy
Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.