Latest Summary
CABOT EVENTS
Cabot Weekly Review (Video)
In this week’s video, Mike Cintolo talks about the busy week of news, though finds it interesting the market really didn’t move much despite all the headlines and uncertainty. All told, Mike is sticking with his overall view that the market’s next big move is up and many stocks are taking pole position for the race--but the market as a whole is still battling with resistance and big investors are being selective. Thus, Mike’s honing in on the true leaders, many of which he highlights today.
Stocks Discussed: IOT, FLUT, GEV, BOOT, CART, SHOP, HOOD, TW, COHR, FXI, EME, STRL
Cabot Street Check (Podcast)
This week on Street Check, Chris and Brad discuss the latest jobs report and its impact on the market, the brief dockworker strike, and what’s happening with Nike (NKE) to push shares down by more than 7% in just a week. Then, they welcome Larry Cheung to discuss the latest stimulus measures in China, how across-the-board economic support has raised the floor for Chinese stocks, and the companies he believes will benefit most. You can find more from Larry on Substack, YouTube, and X (Twitter).
Cabot Webinar
Coming soon!
Quarterly Cabot Analyst Meeting
The recording of the Cabot Prime Members Meeting with the Analysts is now available for you to listen to at your convenience—click here for access. This private call with our analysts is one of your exclusive Cabot Prime Pro member benefits.
RECENT BUY AND SELL ACTIVITY
This table lists stocks bought or sold in the most recent Issues or Updates.
Portfolio Updates This Week
Cabot Growth Investor
Bi-weekly Issue October 3: The market remains positive, but not powerful, with a lot of growth stocks and especially growth indexes and funds still batting with months-old resistance. Big picture, we think the next major move is up and a lot of the leadership of any coming run has already declared itself; indeed, we think we own some of the best names out there. But we’re not pushing the envelope here, as the market continues to deal with uncertainties (including this week’s Middle East tensions and dockworkers strike). We have no changes again tonight, though we’re staying flexible and are looking to add exposure as opportunities arise.
Bi-weekly Update September 26: WHAT TO DO NOW: Remain optimistic, but pick your spots. The evidence remains more good than bad, and many growth stocks are acting well—that said, the flies in the ointment we’ve repeatedly mentioned are still hanging around and, near term, many stocks are extended to the upside. We’re still leaning bullish, but tonight we’re going to stand pat, holding what we have and seeing how the market and stocks behave in the days ahead. Our cash position remains in the neighborhood of 30%.
Cabot Top Ten Trader
Weekly Issue September 30: Just looking at the headline evidence, it remains in good shape—the intermediate-term (and longer-term) trend of the indexes is up, and the same can be said for most growth measures. The only “problem” is that the action, while positive, isn’t very powerful: Some indexes that are technically trending up are still battling with resistance and haven’t made much progress for many weeks or months, and the same can be said for a lot of individual stocks, including some formerly leading areas (like chip stocks) that continue to lag. Thus, we’re sticking with our current stance—leaning bullish for sure, but picking our spots and stocks carefully and not rushing into things. We’ll again leave our Market Monitor at a level 7 tonight.
This week’s list is well-rounded, though for our Top Pick, we’ll go with a super-strong name that looks like one of the leaders of a potential group move.
Movers & Shakers October 4: It’s been a very news-filled week, with a dockworkers strike (and short-term settlement) along with the Middle East attacks (and fears of an upcoming reprisal) and the usual spate of economic reports—but, interestingly, there hasn’t been that much movement. Taking into account pre-market action (before the jobs report), most big-cap indexes are flat-ish on the week, though smaller-cap names are down more than 1%.
Cabot Options Trader and Cabot Options Trader Pro
Cabot Options Trader Pro Weekly Update
Cabot Options Trader Weekly Update
Cabot Value Investor
Monthly Issue October 3: Between the expansion of the war in the Middle East, a U.S. dockworker strike that could slow the supply chain again, and the uncertainty of a too-close-to-call presidential election next month, there are a lot of headwinds out there serving to counterbalance the good vibes created by last month’s Fed rate cut. Add in the fact that we’re in the traditional “spooky season” of October – the month in which the market has bottomed in each of the last four years – and it’s a good time to add some security to your portfolio.
So today we do just that … by adding a well-known home security company to our Buy Low Opportunities Portfolio. It’s been in business for a century and a half but has only been a public company for the past seven years. And with profits accelerating, the stock has become cheap.
Details inside.
Weekly Update October 10: Stocks have barely budged for three months.
The S&P 500 is a mere 1.5% above its mid-July highs, while the Nasdaq is actually down 2.5% since its July 10 peak. The Dow has made the most headway, up 2.1% since its July 17 apex. This type of multi-month lethargy is nothing new for an election year.
Cabot Stock of the Week
Weekly Issue October 7:Spooky season is upon us! Yes, the usual October selling has commenced, although it’s been fairly mild thus far. But things feel unsettled, what with the expanding war in the Middle East, a toss-up presidential election less than a month away, and with earnings season getting underway this week. So today, to counter any further turbulence, we trim one modest laggard and add a new, low-beta, dividend-paying European stock that’s been a favorite of Cabot Explorer Chief Analyst Carl Delfeld for some time.
Details inside.
Cabot Explorer
Bi-weekly Issue October 10: JPMorgan (JPM) is due to report results Friday, kicking off bank earnings season. Lately, the market seems to be more focused on earnings than Fed interest rates, and this is a good thing.
As markets move towards the “Great Rebalance”, looking to diversify portfolios with different asset classes and international stocks, the Explorer and I are headed to Europe, Asia, and Latin America during the next year. But today, stick to the U.S. and add a very familiar face to the portfolio.
Bi-weekly Update October 3: China’s benchmark CSI 300 index has surged 25% in the five days following Beijing’s stimulus measures to unleash its economy and financial markets. This has led to some catch-up growth for Explorer stock and fund recommendations.
The action was not limited to just Chinese stocks but also stocks looking to China for growth. I mentioned commodities last week, but another winner was the luxury business.
Cabot Small-Cap Confidential
Monthly Issue October 3: Surging data center demand. Electric vehicles. Heat pump HVAC systems. Severe weather events. Hurricanes. Rising sea levels. North Carolina flooding.
This is just a short list of the drivers behind rising electricity demand, the harsh realities of being behind the curve when it comes to global warming, and the resulting push toward energy efficiency and greenhouse gas emission reductions.
Today’s portfolio addition is a small and still-unknown company that helps solve these challenges, moving the country toward a more sustainable, clean-energy future.
I think you’ll find it interesting.
Weekly Update October 10: The small-cap indices (Russell 2000 and S&P 600) have been totally uninspiring over the last three weeks, which is sort of odd given that the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points almost exactly three weeks ago.
Theoretically, lower rates should benefit small caps given higher exposure to variable rate debt, which requires lower interest payments as rates decline.
Cabot Dividend Investor
Monthly Issue September 11: We are in the early stages of a new cycle in the market.
The environment is changing from one of high inflation and high interest rates to one of falling inflation and interest rates in a weakening economy. And it is unlikely to be a mere short-term gyration but rather the beginning of a new environment that should last for some time.
Interest rates may fall quickly or more slowly depending on whether the economy remains buoyant or slips towards recession. But rates will fall much more significantly than they have in years.
The cycle reversal will create new winners and losers. Certain interest rate-sensitive stocks have been laggards for a long time and have a lot of catching up to do. They are still cheap, high yielding, and now have momentum.
In this issue, I highlight a great monthly income stock. The yield is massive, and it provides a high income in an uncertain market. The stock also can provide great price performance when the interest rate cycle goes its way. This point in the cycle provides a great opportunity to get a high income and total return on the right side of a pronounced market shift ahead.
Weekly Update October 2:The third quarter ended with the market looking good. The S&P 500 was up 2% in September after a rough start, 4.3% for the third quarter and over 20% YTD. Can the good times last?
Cabot Early Opportunities
Monthly Issue September 18: Welcome to fall! The September Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities is heavy on software and industrial names, two areas of the market where I continue to see plenty of emerging opportunities and potential for share prices to benefit from lower rates.
Cabot Profit Booster
Weekly Issue October 8: Despite plenty to worry about in the market including the rising tensions in the Middle East and the short-lived port strike, impressively the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all rose marginally last week.
Cabot Income Advisor
Monthly Issue September 24: A new era has begun.
Most of the last two years have been an environment of rising and high interest rates and technology sector dominance. Now, we are entering a period of falling interest rates and a slowing economy. The new stage will bring different winners and losers.
The previously beleaguered interest rate-sensitive stocks and defensive stocks ignited and began to lead the overall market higher as technology pulled back. Since the summer, this new trend has been confirmed. And it is unlikely to be a mere short-term gyration but rather the beginning of a new environment that should last for some time.
In this issue, I highlight a great monthly income stock. The yield is massive, and it provides a high income in an uncertain market. The stock also can provide great price performance when the interest rate cycle goes its way. This point in the cycle provides a great opportunity to get a high income and total return on the right side of a pronounced market shift ahead.
Weekly Update October 8: After another up week and a record close last Friday, the market is grappling with mixed signals.
Last week’s highly anticipated jobs report came in much better than expected. The previous two weak jobs reports had roiled the market as they stoked recession fears. But not this one. The market was initially thrilled but is now thinking twice about the situation.
Cabot Turnaround Letter
Monthly Issue September 25: For much of the last two years, the white-hot semiconductor space was the industry group least likely to yield any meaningful turnaround candidates. But that dynamic changed following this summer’s tech sector sell-off, which brought many of the previously high-flying chip stocks back to earth (or at least further away from the firmament).
Weekly Update October 4: In today’s note, we discuss the recent developments concerning Barrick Gold (GOLD) and V.F. Corp. (VFC), while taking a nice profit in the latter stock.
Cabot Cannabis Investor
Monthly Issue July 31: Cannabis is a highly politicized sector because it is extensively regulated.
The political news has been very good for cannabis. But cannabis investors have been slow to recognize this.
A late-July Fox News poll showed that Vice President Kamila Harris has caught up to and surpassed Donald Trump in five key swing states.
Cannabis stocks should have advanced on the news. Not only is Harris a better cannabis advocate than President Joe Biden, she’d obviously be more favorable to the sector than Trump.
Monthly Update October 9: Cannabis now has its highest election-year profile ever.
Both presidential candidates have highlighted their favorable positions on cannabis reform, obviously because voters in all the key swing states favor reform. Cannabis reform appears on the ballot in referenda in several states – most notably Florida.
Cabot Money Club
Monthly Magazine September: Despite emphasis on closing the gender wealth gap, women in (and approaching) retirement still face significant challenges. Not only do women live longer than men and thus need to stretch their retirement dollars further, they also have, on average, half the retirement savings and can expect to receive a smaller amount from Social Security. This month, we’ll tackle strategies that everyone can use to build a bigger nest egg, cut down on expenses, and achieve their retirement goals.
Stock of the Month October 10: The markets have continued to flirt with new highs—pulling back and then moving forward—for the past month.
The Fed’s 50-basis-point rate cut inspired investors, home buyers, and those folks wanting to refinance their homes. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that refinancing applications rose 20% right after the rate cut!
Ask the Experts
Prime Question for Chris: Capital One Financial (COF): Why the weakness? Thoughts?
Chris: I don’t think there’s any particular reason for the weakness other than that COF had a big run from 132 to 153 in August/September, and it seems like the sellers are coming for stocks with “meat on the bone” right now as the customary October pullback develops. I wouldn’t worry too much about it. COF shares are still well above their August lows and their September lows, and a pattern of higher highs and higher lows is a good trend. The real test will come later this month (October 24), when the company reports earnings. And even if those disappoint … it still has the trump card of the Discover Financial merger out there, and that could be finalized in the next 3-6 months.