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Issues
Today we’ll take a half-sized position in a small-cap company that’s like the Amazon of manufacturing. Its marketplace is revolutionizing this outdated industry and bringing it into the digital age.

Despite several years of depressed manufacturing in the U.S., the company is growing. That’s a testament to its platform. And there’s also a potential growth kicker … Trump’s tariff policies and desire to kick off an onshoring boom.

All the details are inside the September Issue of Cabot Small Cap Confidential.
Despite two big potential market-moving events (NVDA earnings and PCE inflation data), the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all finished the week mostly unchanged to marginally lower, while the Russell 2000 (IWM) rose marginally.
For the past two months, the market has been positive by most top-down indicators, but it’s gotten a lot trickier as time has gone on, with many growth areas cracking intermediate-term support, with repeated bouts of rotation and with upward progress slowing down. The good news is that even after today’s broad selling, the intermediate-term trend remains pointed up and many Top Ten stocks are holding their own, but just going with what we’ve seen, it’s getting tougher to make (and keep) much money. Right here, we’ll keep our Market Monitor at a level 7, but we think holding some cash and taking some profits on the way up remains a good strategy.

Despite the rotation, we did see some earnings winners last week among growth stocks, and this week’s list has a few alongside names from other areas of the market. Our Top Pick is a smaller name that broke out powerfully last month and has a solid story—shares are a bit thinly traded, so start small and aim for dips.
The market’s traditional “spooky season” is here, and stocks are dutifully selling off as they normally do the first week of September. The selling could last a few days or a few weeks. But on the other side of it, there will be big buying opportunities. Until then, let’s try and limit the damage, which we do in today’s issue by selling off one underperformer that’s taken a beating after an underwhelming earnings report and buying a deep value consumer staple that’s too oversold. It’s a stock Clif Droke recommended to his Cabot Turnaround Letter audience last week, and we follow suit here today.

Details inside.
Despite two big potential market-moving events (NVDA earnings and PCE inflation data) the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all finished the week mostly unchanged to marginally lower, while the Russell 2000 (IWM) rose marginally.
Despite two big potential market-moving events (NVDA earnings and PCE inflation data) the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all finished the week mostly unchanged to marginally lower, while the Russell 2000 (IWM) rose marginally.
“Only the paranoid survive.” -Andy Grove

Nvidia (NVDA) met high expectations yesterday for the July quarter, hitting $46.7 billion in revenue, up 56% from the year-earlier period. However, it cautioned that third-quarter revenue growth will not be as impressive, disappointing analysts and investors.

Explorer stocks did not disappoint this week, with many of our positions posting solid gains. Coeur Mining (CDE) shares continue to outperform for us, up 8.9% this week, and Dutch Bros (BROS) shares were up a stellar 16.3%.
Cannabis investors continue to await action by the Trump administration on rescheduling, the next potential major catalyst for the group.

In an August 11 news conference, President Donald Trump said that he’s still considering the change and he will have a decision within a few weeks.

I believe Trump will follow through on his promise to reschedule, but this is not a 100% certainty. The most likely outcome, in my view, is that the Department of Justice will cancel a planned rescheduling hearing and issue a final rule with a public comment period.
As you’ve probably surmised by now, I’m not the world’s biggest fan of buying stocks that are coming off fresh 52-week lows, preferring instead those that have carved out a decent bottoming pattern—both in terms of price and sentiment. Nor, for that matter, do I tend to favor buying stocks that are so far out of favor with investors that continued selling pressure is still an ever-present possibility.

But sometimes a stock becomes so cheap, so out of favor and so “wound up” with short interest and capitulation that the temptation to do some bottom fishing is simply too great to pass up. This is especially the case when the turnaround story is so compelling that it practically writes itself. Such is the case with this month’s featured recommendation, Helen of Troy (HELE).
What will sobered-up investors see after Labor Day when they start really paying attention again?

Although a September rate cut is largely priced into stocks, upcoming inflation and economic reports could change things. September could be a month when the AI rally is renewed and the Fed starts cutting rates, or a month where tech stocks retreat and the rate cut promise is pulled back. It’s a precarious market for stocks priced near the high.

Fortunately, there are several good stocks that are already well off the high. One area is those companies exposed to homebuying. Stubbornly high mortgage rates have held company stock prices down. But the longer-term trajectory for the homebuying market is fabulous. There is huge pent-up demand for homebuying that will ignite at some point. If rates come down in the months ahead, that ignition could occur sooner rather than later.

Several homebuilding company stocks have already spiked higher on the prospect of falling interest rates. In this issue, I highlight a title insurance company stock that has a long history of market outperformance. It is still priced well off the high, while the longer-term prospects are stellar, and it might be on the cusp of a breakout in the short term.
*Note: Your next issue of Cabot Profit Booster will arrive next Wednesday, September 3, due to the market holiday next Monday, September 1, in observance of Labor Day.

While it was a highly volatile week that included the AI story coming under intense pressure, buoyed by the Fed Chairman’s dovish speech on Friday the S&P 500 closed the week at a new all-time high. By week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 0.3%, the Dow had rallied 1.5% and the Nasdaq had fallen 0.6%.
*Note: Your next issue of Cabot Top Ten Trader will arrive next Tuesday, September 2, due to the market holiday next Monday, September 1, in observance of Labor Day.

Ever since early July, the market has seen more and more bouts of rotation, and in the past two weeks, that action has accelerated, with more and more growth stocks getting hit while expectations for a Fed rate cut next month have goosed the broad market. So where do we stand overall? From a top-down perspective, the evidence has improved, but there’s also a lot of crosscurrents and leadership is in transition, which keeps things tricky. We’ll stick with our Market Monitor at a level 7 and see how things look after the coming long weekend.

This week’s list has a bunch of names from different groups, including many smaller titles, which goes hand in hand with what we’re seeing in the market. Our Top Pick had five (!) fakeouts in the past six months, this recent breakout look for real. Aim for modest dips and use a looser stop.
Updates
The market has been bouncy in recent days but is still close to the high. Prices are high, but uncertainty is growing.

Stocks sold off on Friday as Israel and Iran exchanged bombings. But the market rose on Monday as investors are expecting a quick end to the conflict. Anything can happen. The conflict adds another degree of uncertainty beyond the tariffs and the economy.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Dollar Tree (DLTR), GE Aerospace (GE), Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT), Intel (INTC), Paramount Global (PARA), SLB Ltd. (SLB) and UiPath (PATH).

Agnico Eagle (AEM) is poised to benefit from a major change in the balance of global reserve assets.
The S&P 600 SmallCap Index hit a multi-week high on Tuesday before giving a little back yesterday.

There’s some interesting data that suggests small-cap stocks could be in for a run starting now.

According to data from Evercore ISI, small-cap stocks have done better than large caps 60% of the time in June, dating back to 1990. The odds are even better when small caps enter June underperforming, as they have for a while now.
What a difference two months make!

On April 8, the Nasdaq had plummeted to bear market territory after touching all-time highs just six weeks earlier, and the S&P 500 was on the cusp of joining it. Small caps were faring even worse. Volatility had spiked to multi-year highs. And everyone was certain a recession or high inflation – or both – were imminent.

The reason was tariffs. “Liberation Day,” a week earlier, on which President Donald Trump had imposed sky-high tariffs on more than 100 U.S. trading partners from all over the world, had sent stocks plummeting as economists clutched their pearls and warned of imminent collapse.
Cannabis companies remain in hunker-down mode as challenges persist. Those include price compression, competition from hemp-based THC product sales, and uncertainty about potential federal reform.

Not all cannabis companies are going to survive. Ayr Wellness (AYRWF) looks like it is about to go under. I’ve only ever kept a very small position in that name, so the company’s demise did not cause too much damage.
After bouncing around for a few weeks, the S&P is moving higher again. The index is now just about 2% below the high and may rally this month.

The tariff story continues to play out. The market made a huge recovery after the initial fears in April as investors wrote off a disaster scenario. Now, talks are dragging on, and the market still can’t move completely past the issue. But good economic news was a pleasant surprise.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Dollar Tree (DLTR), Intel (INTC), Kenvue (KVUE), Pan American Silver (PAAS), Paramount Global (PARA), UiPath (PATH) and SLB Ltd. (SLB).

Dollar Tree (DLTR) had a big week in the wake of earnings, hitting a new high for the year to date.
WHAT TO DO NOW: Continue to lean bullish, but pick your spots. Our intermediate-term indicators remain bullish, and the market’s consolidation so far has been tight and quiet, which is a plus. Leadership remains good-not-great, with many names acting well but also plenty of wobbles and some selling on strength, too. All told, we’re content to follow the playbook we’ve been using, adding as names emerge and averaging up if they start well. Tonight, we’ll fill out our position in Snowflake (SNOW), adding another half-sized stake, but we’ll hold 31% or so in cash and see how things go from here.
The market rally has gotten stuck in the mud for now. It will likely take some good news to really get it moving higher again.

Stocks have hugely recovered from the tariff Armageddon selloffs of early April. The index made up all that tariff ground and the S&P came within just a few percent of the high. But the rally has stalled over the past couple of weeks as positive headlines have been in short supply.
The market has leveled off since the huge recovery from the tariff Armageddon fears. And now, who knows.

The sticky issue to start the week is increasing trade tensions with China. A war of words is escalating between the two governments and threats are being made by both sides. It is being reported that President Trump will speak with Chinese President Xi today or later this week. Hopefully the two leaders will bring down the temperature.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Centuri Holdings (CTRI), GE Aerospace (GE), Intel (INTC) and Paramount Global (PARA).

GE Aerospace (GE) stands to benefit from the recent legal challenge to the White House’s tariffs.
Alerts
FTAI Infrastructure (FIP), AvePoint (AVPT), Docebo (DCBO), Alkami (ALKT)
WHAT TO DO NOW: Remain defensive as the ferocious selling in growth stocks continues. Today’s bulletin concerns Duolingo (DUOL), which reported a fine quarter and better-than-expected outlook—but the stock is cracking nevertheless. We’ll cut bait here, leaving us with around 72% in cash.
FTAI Aviation (FTAI) Reports
WHAT TO DO NOW: While we’re not aiming to sell wholesale given our large cash position (60% coming into this week), today we’re going to sell the remaining portion of our stake in AppLovin (APP), which is being mauled by a couple of short reports today. We had already sold the vast majority of our stake, but today we’ll sell the rest and hold the cash. Details on that (and other stocks) below.

The market has quickly moved from one in which companies were given the benefit of the doubt when things weren’t perfect to one in which everything that’s not perfect is a disaster.
Shares of Weave (WEAV) are selling off today following yesterday’s Q4 report that beat on both the top and bottom lines.
Today, a whopping eight Profit Booster positions will expire. Most are “slam-dunk,” full-profit trades, while others will go down to the wire.

The big takeaway, before we dive in, is we are going to let the situation play itself out, and come Monday/Tuesday of next week we will revisit our profits, as well as how we will manage the remaining positions.
Primo Brands (PRMB) and FTAI Aviation (FTAI)
Enovix (ENVX) reported yesterday after the close, and once again the financial results are way down the list in terms of what matters most, for now. It’s all about executing the ramp-up to full-scale production, securing customer orders, and continuing to develop batteries that major electronics manufacturers will qualify for their devices and then order in mass quantities.
WHAT TO DO NOW: The growth stock environment remains challenging, with lots of selling on strength and, this week, more than a few air pockets showing up, and this morning is showing ugly action. We’ve been holding plenty of cash for weeks and probing small new buys here and there without much luck, while paring back or kicking out names that break. Today we’re going to pare back further based on the action of individual stocks: First, we’ll sell one-third of our remaining Palantir (PLTR), while also ditching our half-sized stake in Reddit (RDDT). That will leave us with around 58% in cash—as always, we could redeploy some of that soon, but we want to see institutions step up.
WHAT TO DO NOW: The market is nosing generally higher of late, however, the action remains very hit or miss among individual stocks, with some emerging and others getting hit. Today’s bulletin regards Shift4 (FOUR), which is cracking today after a mundane Q4 report and a big announced acquisition—we took partial profits a couple of months ago and are going to take the rest of our gain off the table today.
Shares of Perpetua Resources (PPTA) are having a tough day today following the release of a Financial Update. This Financial Update is part of the process for formalizing its loan application with the U.S. Export-Import Bank (EXIM), which indicated potential financing of up to $1.8 billion in the Stibnite gold project via a Letter of Interest in April 2024.
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