Last week was Wall Street’s worst in months as the military conflict in the Middle East sent oil prices soaring higher, and Friday morning the February jobs report revealed the economy shed 92,000 non-farm payroll jobs, well below estimates that called for gains. By week’s end, the S&P 500 had dropped 2%, the Dow had fallen 3%, the Nasdaq had tumbled 1.2%, and the Russell 2000 had declined by 2.6%.

Last week was Wall Street’s worst in months as the military conflict in the Middle East sent oil prices soaring higher, and Friday morning the February jobs report revealed the economy shed 92,000 non-farm payroll jobs, well below estimates that called for gains. By week’s end, the S&P 500 had dropped 2%, the Dow had fallen 3%, the Nasdaq had tumbled 1.2%, and the Russell 2000 had declined by 2.6%.

Last week was Wall Street’s worst in months as the military conflict in the Middle East sent oil prices soaring higher, and Friday morning the February jobs report revealed the economy shed 92,000 non-farm payroll jobs, well below estimates that called for gains. By week’s end, the S&P 500 had dropped 2%, the Dow had fallen 3%, the Nasdaq had tumbled 1.2%, and the Russell 2000 had declined by 2.6%.

The market has been full of yellow flags for a while, and with the Iran attacks (and uncertainty) going on, the sellers continue to lean on much of the market, including growth stocks. To be fair, the market has bent but not broken--our Cabot Tides are on the fence and many recent breakouts are pulling back normally so far. Still, given the poor evidence for growth stocks, we’re sticking with a cautious stance (we’re selling one name tonight, giving us more than 60% in cash) and think the market is near a make-or-break period--either support holds and the market can rally briskly (possibly on an Iran resolution), or support cracks and we enter a real correction. We’ll take it as it comes, but right here we continue to stay close to shore.

America’s housing market has been in a deep freeze for years, thanks to high borrowing costs and skyrocketing prices. But signs of hope are starting to emerge, and it’s possible a long-anticipated thaw is coming now that mortgage rates have dipped below 6%.

Could 2026 be the year of the U.S. housing turnaround? Possibly. But even if it isn’t, today we add a housing-adjacent stock that should fare well either way – especially since it’s trading at a deep discount. I see 36% upside, possibly within a matter of months. It’s a name you know well – whose products you’ve almost surely used and likely have in your garage right now.

Details inside.

Today, we are moving into the aerospace and defense sector to profile a company that has successfully navigated a complex multi-year recovery and is now entering a higher-growth phase.

After ending 2025 with a record-breaking fourth quarter and its highest backlog in history, the business is now pivoting from “recovery mode” into a period of significant operating leverage.

All the details are inside the March Issue of Cabot Small‑Cap Confidential.

The close of the month of February, which was extremely volatile day-to-day, was another week in the red as a mix of AI-driven growth fears and geopolitical tension put pressure on broader markets. Traders sold heavily into tech and financials, keeping sentiment cautious. By week’s end, the S&P 500 had slid 0.4%, the Dow had lost 1.3%, the Nasdaq had declined by 1% and the Russell 2000 had fallen by 1.2%.

The major indexes and most stocks were hit fairly hard at the open today, though, as the day wore on the losses become minor and many stocks were actually green. Is that encouraging? You bet, especially as the big-cap indexes held support right near recent lows. That said, does it change the intermediate-term evidence at all? Not really, with the themes of the past few weeks (pockets of strength, but choppy action and some yellow flags) still with us. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 6 and remain flexible.

This week’s list has something for everyone, with some cyclical plays, growth titles and a few recent breakouts. Our Top Pick is a mid-sized outfit with accelerating growth as its chips ride the AI (and other fast growing) waves.

The U.S.’s involvement in renewed conflict in the Middle East has so far done little to deter this market, despite some modest selling early Monday. That said, risk is decidedly elevated, with many growth stocks still well below their highs and the all-important VIX climbing above the 20 level today. But oil prices are on the rise too, and that means it’s a good time to capitalize in the form of a mid-cap energy play recommended by Tyler Laundon to his Cabot Early Opportunities audience last month.

Details inside.

The close of the month of February, which was extremely volatile day-to-day, was another week in the red as a mix of AI-driven growth fears and geopolitical tension put pressure on broader markets. Traders sold heavily into tech and financials, keeping sentiment cautious. By week’s end the S&P 500 had slid 0.4%, the Dow had lost 1.3%, the Nasdaq had declined by 1% and the Russell 2000 had fallen by 1.2%.

The close of the month of February, which was extremely volatile day-to-day, was another week in the red as a mix of AI-driven growth fears and geopolitical tension put pressure on broader markets. Traders sold heavily into tech and financials, keeping sentiment cautious. By week’s end the S&P 500 had slid 0.4%, the Dow had lost 1.3%, the Nasdaq had declined by 1% and the Russell 2000 had fallen by 1.2%.

Let’s start with some remarkable statistics.

Nvidia’s (NVDA) fourth-quarter revenue reported yesterday was $68 billion, up 73% from the same period last year. It now makes more revenue in a single quarter than most chip competitors generate in an entire year. Nvidia’s profit for the last 12 months was $120 billion. Just three years ago, Nvidia’s profit was $4.4 billion.

It is estimated that more than one-third of the value of the stock market is represented by companies based in the San Francisco Bay/Silicon Valley area.

Strong fourth-quarter earnings are confirming what the market was already doing.

Current estimates based on earnings reported so far are for 13.2% overall S&P earnings growth for the quarter. It’s a solid quarter and the fifth straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth. In terms of sector performance, cyclical companies are killing it, and technology is floundering, just like before earnings.

Like many coffee aficionados, I have something of a love/hate relationship with Starbucks (SBUX). My main gripe is that the company’s food and beverage offerings have always been pricey compared to the fare served in most fast-food restaurants and run-of-the-mill coffee houses.

The outperformance of small caps continues.

Through Tuesday’s close, the S&P 600 is up 10% year to date versus just 1.6% for the S&P 500.

All but three small-cap sectors are outperforming their large-cap counterpart. The strongest small-cap sectors are materials (+20%), energy (+23%), industrials (+17%), and tech (+11.4%).

Let’s talk about the power of staying invested.

Sure, when the market turns south – and I’m not even sure last week’s mini-dip qualifies – it makes sense to pare back on your weakest stocks and put a larger portion of your portfolio in cash. But taking your ball and going home – selling out of all of your stocks when times are tough – is not a winning strategy. Here’s why.

NOTE: We’re sending this a day early as I’m soon to embark on a trip with the kiddos over the next week. I will be working a good amount from the road, though, and will have updates if need be. Also, next week’s issue will be published as scheduled.

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WHAT TO DO NOW: The market remains very mixed, with growth measures still generally pointed sideways to down, while the broad market remains in solid shape. What’s interesting, though, is that we’re seeing more growth stocks kick into gear, along with some huge buying action in a few “cyclical growth” names. Tonight we’re making one move—adding a half-sized stake in Macom Tech (MTSI)—but are keeping our eyes open for a broader character change among growth stocks. Our cash position will be around 53%.

Today could be a big day for cannabis stocks.

The reason: We may get an important update on the rescheduling timeline.

Cannabis investors will be watching closely today to see whether Attorney General Pam Bondi offers a rescheduling update when she appears before the House Judiciary Committee. Upbeat comments could spark a sharp cannabis sector rally. The hearing starts at 10 a.m. EST.

I’m excited to share a couple of enhancements to Cabot Early Opportunities —improvements designed to sharpen our focus and better help you stay on top of the stocks we own.

It’s been a positive earnings season so far. But the market keeps rolling along just as it had before earnings.

It’s the same story as it was a month ago, technology is struggling while cyclical sectors are soaring. The S&P 500 has managed an anemic YTD return of 1.27% while energy, consumer, material, and industrial stocks are lighting it up with YTD returns of 19.32%, 14%, 12.45%, and 11.61%, respectively, for the sectors. The bull market continues to broaden out and leave technology behind.

It had to happen sooner or later, but the broad market is showing increased signs of stress as a result of what some have described as a case of “too much participation” from retail investors.

However, the good news is that this week’s increase in selling pressure across the formerly high-flying segments of the market serves to relieve some of that excess heat, particularly in the high-tech stocks. More importantly for our purposes, it also throws into sharp relief the usefulness of embracing the contrarian approach to investing that turnaround investors typically rely on.

“You must dare to be independent. Contrarian impulses are usually better. They are always better in major bubbles and busts.” -Jeremy Grantham

To begin, please note that since it is down about 20% over the last month, I’m moving Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) to Sell. This could bounce back but the selling pressure is steady.

Earnings season has arrived in full force. So far, cyclical companies are rallying and technology is faltering, just like before earnings.

Big tech earnings have been mixed so far, with more to come this week. Investors so far haven’t seen enough to change their view that AI investment is too high while revenues have not soared enough yet. That attitude could change soon or endure for a while longer. But AI will be back in favor at some point.

Earnings season is getting hot and heavy. Results have been good so far, and continued positive earnings reports could ignite a bullish trend.

Several big tech companies report on earnings this week. The results could determine if the technology sector, and consequently the market indexes, move higher. It’s been a huge year so far for cyclical sectors, including energy, materials, industrials, and consumer stocks. The rally has broadened while technology has sputtered.

Today, a whopping eight Profit Booster positions will expire. Most are “slam-dunk,” full-profit trades, while others will go down to the wire.

The big takeaway, before we dive in, is we are going to let the situation play itself out, and come Monday/Tuesday of next week we will revisit our profits, as well as how we will manage the remaining positions.

As I expected, President Donald Trump’s executive order (EO) to reschedule cannabis was a sell-the-news event.

We’re going to continue with our strategy of locking in modest, but relatively quick, profits on some positions while they’re available.

Cannabis stocks were soaring Friday morning on a Washington Post report stating that President Donald Trump plans to go forward with rescheduling. The report cites six sources.

WHAT TO DO NOW: The market continues to act fairly well, though most of our timing indicators haven’t really kicked into gear. We’re OK extending our line, but we’re also going slow and honoring stops on what we own as there are still lots of crosscurrents out there. Today’s bulletin is about Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY), which we’re selling today after it’s come under pressure this week following no addition to the S&P 500. We’ll hold the cash for now (near 60%) but could redeploy later this week.

Shares of Argan (AGX) are trading down as of midday after the company missed revenue expectations in Q3 FY26 but beat on EPS. The pullback likely signals that AGX stock will be rangebound for a while – possibly in the 300 - 400 range – not that the run in shares is completely over.

CEO Special Bulletin: Position Updates

Sell a Quarter of Centuri Holdings (CTRI)

We’re going to continue to hold our position in Credo Tech (CRDO), which is now up over 145% (since June), following the company’s strong Q2 FY26 report.

We’re going to take a swing at Natural Grocers (NGVC) today by filling the second half of our position. It’s foolish to think you can time a “bottom” perfectly, but there’s enough evidence here to suggest we can buy the stock at a solid discount now and, hopefully, catch a significant updraft in the weeks and months ahead.

Sell Life360 (LIF)

Here are five tips to help you manage your Cabot Small-Cap Confidential stocks.

These are some investing questions most frequently asked by Cabot Growth Investor subscribers.

Chief Analyst Roy Ward applies these six yardsticks, or price multiples, to help him find undervalued companies: P/BV, P/CF, P/D, P/E, P/S and PEG ratios.

This is a collection of tips on stock chart reading, something that’s key to Mike Cintolo’s growth stock methodology, but something few individual investors (and even professional investors) understand too well.

Guidelines to improve your investment results with Cabot Top Ten Trader.

The Cabot Top Ten Trader system evaluates price and relative performance of 8,000 charts each week to select the strongest momentum stocks.

By following thse guidelines, we’ve always been able to get on board relatively early in each new bull cycle.

A brief guide on using the Cabot Top Ten Trader.

Benjamin Graham is widely acknowledged as the father of modern security analysis and value investing, and his books are considered the bibles for individual investors and professionals.

Today’s new addition to the high yield tier, Pattern Energy Group (PEGI) is a yieldco, a relatively new class of high yield investment.