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Issues
While momentum in many of 2025’s leading growth and AI names has waned, there are many “new” groups of stocks acting very well. This month’s issue focuses on these companies, which might offer somewhat less top-line growth but still significant upside share price potential.

This month’s issue tilts toward industrial-type names, like companies that make filters and specialized bearings for mission-critical equipment, power converters for data centers and medical imaging devices, and protection equipment for nuclear facilities. We also have a cruise line operator that’s crushing it.

Enjoy!
Despite a late-week sell-off, stocks finished last week with a mixed but telling tape. Federal Reserve policymakers delivered a widely anticipated 25 basis-point rate cut mid-week — reinforcing easier policy expectations — while fresh highs in cyclicals and small caps early in the week signaled strong breadth, only to be met by renewed AI valuation angst into Friday. Rotation out of mega-cap tech and into value names helped buoy the Dow and Russell 2000, which gained 1% and 0.5%, respectively, even as the tech-heavier S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 0.6% and 1.6%.
The overall evidence is more good than bad, but it really depends where you look—AI stocks specifically (and growth stocks in general) have been lagging, while many cyclical and value-type areas have been doing well, with more stocks breaking out on the upside and with many holding firm during some sloppiness the past two days. At this point, we’re just going with what’s in front of us: Extending our line in fresher titles that are showing strength, but raising stops on laggards and being selective given the crosscurrents that are out there.

This week’s list has something for everyone, with a decent amount of non-AI growth, along with some cyclicals and a turnaround or two. Our Top Pick is a name we missed a month ago but whose recent pullback is starting to set up a nice risk/reward situation.
The market didn’t get the bump from another Fed rate cut that some may have anticipated, though it’s possible the run-up was already baked in after the cut was deemed all but a foregone conclusion starting late last month. Still, stocks are hovering near record highs, and broader measures like small caps and the equal-weight index are catching up to the major indexes. Improving breadth means it’s a good time to add a dividend-paying energy stock, courtesy of Cabot Dividend Investor Chief Analyst Tom Hutchinson. It’s a stock that’s picked up a full head of steam since bottoming in mid-August.

Details inside.
Despite a late-week sell-off, stocks finished the week with a mixed but telling tape. Federal Reserve policymakers delivered a widely anticipated 25 basis-point rate cut mid-week — reinforcing easier policy expectations — while fresh highs in cyclicals and small caps early in the week signaled strong breadth, only to be met by renewed AI valuation angst into Friday. Rotation out of mega-cap tech and into value names helped buoy the Dow and Russell 2000 which gained 1% and 0.5%, respectively, even as the tech-heavier S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 0.6% and 1.6%.
Despite a late-week sell-off, stocks finished the week with a mixed but telling tape. Federal Reserve policymakers delivered a widely anticipated 25 basis-point rate cut mid-week — reinforcing easier policy expectations — while fresh highs in cyclicals and small caps early in the week signaled strong breadth, only to be met by renewed AI valuation angst into Friday. Rotation out of mega-cap tech and into value names helped buoy the Dow and Russell 2000 which gained 1% and 0.5%, respectively, even as the tech-heavier S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 0.6% and 1.6%.
The market’s evidence continues to improve, with our core market timing indicators returning to the bullish side of the fence. That’s obviously a good thing and has us optimistic -- though upside follow through from here will be key, as many growth measures are still lagging behind, though we are seeing more setups, especially from areas that sat around for much of the past year (see the issue for much more on that). All told, we are doign some new buying tonight, and will have more to come if the market continues to act well.
Thank goodness; the shutdown is over!

And that agreement (although not really agreeing on much!) has helped the markets to continue their upward momentum, albeit with a few hiccups. All eyes are on the Fed, as I write this, with expectations that it will once again lower rates by a quarter of a point.
Artificial intelligence is the biggest thing in the market these days. But AI doesn’t work without energy.

The world doesn’t run on technology. It runs on energy. Energy is the respiratory system of the modern world that can’t function without it. Technology doesn’t work without electricity powering its systems.

Sure, clean energy is the future, but not yet. In fact, the U.S. and the rest of the world still rely on fossil fuels (oil, natural gas, coal) for more than 80% of energy needs and will likely continue to do so for decades to come. But fossil fuel consumption is changing. A new king is emerging – natural gas.

Natural gas is by far the fastest-growing fossil fuel. It is the number one fuel source by far to generate electricity in the U.S. and much of the rest of the world. There are also powerful trends adding to the already growing demand.

U.S. electricity demand is growing at breakneck speed because of data centers, electric vehicles, and increased onshoring of manufacturing. U.S. natural gas exports, in the form of natural gas liquids (NGLs), are soaring. This country is already the largest exporter, and the growth is staggering. U.S. NGL liquid exports over this past year have grown a whopping 67% over the prior year.

Natural gas was already the fastest-growing fossil fuel. The addition of soaring electricity demand and exploding U.S. exports accelerates that growth. The fuel is shaping up to be a dominant theme in 2026. In this issue, I highlight the country’s largest producer of natural gas.
Despite a quiet tone for much of last week, markets ended on a modestly upbeat note as interest rate-cut optimism firmed. Tech and growth names helped push the market higher on hopes the Federal Reserve will ease soon, while small caps and cyclicals got a lift on improving sentiment.

By week’s end, the S&P 500 had risen +0.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had gained +0.5%, the Nasdaq Composite had climbed +0.9%, and the Russell 2000 had advanced +0.8%.
We can’t say much bad about the market’s rebound from its pre-Thanksgiving low area, but we wouldn’t say the rally has been decisive at this point. That’s not bearish, but simply a fact that the recovery needs to continue to progress—a bad two or three days from here could get iffy, though continued strength would likely bring a spate of breakouts. As always, we’ll just take it as it comes—right here, we’re encouraged and are extending our line, but are going slow until we see more stocks confirm on the upside. Our Market Monitor stands at a level 6.

This week’s list reflects some of the broadening out we see in the market, with names from many different nooks and crannies. Our Top Pick is a chipmaker that sat out the dance during the past year and a half but has recently emerged on big volume after earnings as growth accelerates. Try to buy on weakness.
The market rally that materialized over Thanksgiving week is on temporary hold as investors wait to see if the Fed will, in fact, cut interest rates by another 25 basis points as anticipated this week. If it happens, there’s a good chance the risk-on mood will resume, and the major indexes could reach new all-time highs by Christmas. While I’m not big on predicting what’s going to happen with the Fed, the odds heavily (87%) favor investors getting their wish, so let’s play those odds today by adding a speculative mid-cap software stock recently recommended by Mike Cintolo in Cabot Top Ten Trader.

Details inside.
Updates
This week, about half of the Federal government shut down, causing stocks to waver and gold prices to spike due to uncertainty over how and when the budget duel might end. There are few winners in this tug-of-war scenario. This is not a good time for this showdown given weak business spending, a weak dollar, and weak job growth. The market normally takes these political fights in stride depending how long they last. Stay positive but cautious, and as always look for some profits to take off the table.
The market continues to hover near the high. The S&P is up over 13% year to date and about 38% from the April low.
The bull market continues to roll on. Stocks are hovering within bad-breath distance of the new high made just last week.

Why shouldn’t the market keep climbing? We are in a Fed rate-cutting cycle. There’s no sign of recession. And the artificial intelligence catalyst is driving projected earnings in the market’s largest sector into the stratosphere. It looks like stocks want to move higher and will continue to do so unless something pops up that makes them go down.
As the dividing line between the public and private sectors becomes increasingly blurred, it’s readily apparent that long-term investment decisions must now be evaluated through a new lens. And that means asking a simple question: “Could the financial asset I’m interested in acquiring be potentially influenced through direct federal intervention?”
WHAT TO DO NOW: Hold your dry powder for now. The elevated near-term risk for the market we had mentioned is beginning to play out, with the indexes pulling in, many stocks taking hits and, importantly, our Two-Second Indicator giving a warning sign. We’re not anxious to sell here, but we also want to see how this plays out given a couple of yellow flags that are out there. Tonight, we’ll stand pat with our good-sized (38%) cash position and will watch how things unfold.
We’re about to head into a crucial time of the year for small-cap stocks. That’s because the Q3 earnings season will fire up toward the end of October and run into early November.

This earnings season will let us know how small caps fared over the summer months and also give us a glimpse into how they’re expected to do in Q4 and the beginning of 2026.

Small caps have been outperforming large caps since the beginning of August.
The market has finally started to show some cracks the last couple days, but the bull market remains very much intact. Last week’s 25-basis-point Fed rate cut was expected, but should nonetheless act as a tailwind – or at least a floor raiser – in the coming months, especially as Jerome Powell and company signaled that they plan to cut twice more before year’s end. And yet, there’s no getting around the fact that stocks, as a whole, are overvalued, with the S&P 500 trading at 23.8x forward earnings – its highest point since late February.
The market just keeps on going. Both the S&P and the Nasdaq made yet another new high on Monday. And that makes me nervous. I guess I’m just not built to receive continuing good news without getting suspicious.

So much for the cranky post-summer investor and the historically rough September. The S&P is up 3.4% for the month so far. It’s also up 13.8% YTD and 38% from the April low. Why not? We’re in a Fed rate-cutting cycle. The AI catalyst is going strong. And the economy is nowhere near recession.
Thursday’s massive rally in Intel (INTC), a Cabot Turnaround Letter portfolio holding, did more than just underline the just-announced $5 billion stake that Nvidia (NVDA) initiated in the company. It also highlighted the degree to which growing federal involvement in tech- and defense-related companies—particularly those used to enable AI and other “mission critical” applications—has been driving the seemingly endless rallies of many leading tech sector stocks.

Investors got the 25bps cut we expected yesterday, and as a little bonus, the Fed’s dot plot indicates potential for two more rate cuts this year. That’s what the CME’s Fed Watch tool is projecting as of mid-morning today as well.

That said, the bond market might not fully believe it. The 10-year Treasury bond yield is trading higher today.
Alibaba (BABA) shares surged 15.5% this week as the company announced that it had completed a roughly $3.2 billion capital raise. Better yet, Baidu (BIDU) shares jumped a stunning 29% in the stock’s first week as an Explorer recommendation.

But could quantum computing be a bigger investment opportunity than artificial intelligence (AI) as the U.S.-China rivalry escalates?
Value stocks have outperformed the market of late, with the Vanguard Value Index Fund (VTV) up 2.9% in the last month vs. a 2.3% return in the S&P 500. Granted, that’s minuscule outperformance, but it’s a sign that investors are starting to look for value with the major indexes at or near all-time highs for the last couple months.
Alerts
Hannan management was out with two updates this morning.
Sell a Quarter Position in Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Today, a whopping eight Profit Booster positions will expire. Most are “slam-dunk,” full-profit trades, while others will go down to the wire.

The big takeaway, before we dive in, is we are going to let the situation play itself out, and come Monday/Tuesday of next week we will revisit our profits, as well as how we will manage the remaining positions.
WHAT TO DO NOW: The market remains in good shape, but leadership is still developing, with many resilient stocks getting hit while buying moves elsewhere. Today we’re cutting bait with our small position in Penumbra (PEN), which is slicing through support, and replacing it with Rubrik (RBRK), which looks like a new leader in the strong cybersecurity group. Details below.
WHAT TO DO NOW: The news this past weekend that the U.S. and China have slashed tariffs sent the market soaring yesterday. Of course, there are still headwinds out there (Cabot Trend Lines not yet positive, relatively few new highs among growth stocks), and we wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback now that the “good” news is out.
The broad market indices are up nicely today on news of significant de-escalation of U.S.-China trade tensions following weekend talks in Switzerland.
Earnings Roundup
Natural Grocers (NGVC) should have a decent day (+20% in early hours trading) after Q2 earnings beat expectations. Revenue grew 9.0% to $335.8 million (a $6.1 million beat) while GAAP EPS of $0.56 grew by 60%. Daily average comparable store sales grew by 8.9%. This was a very strong quarter.
Shares of Artivion (AORT) are up over 12% today after the company beat expectations in the first quarter. Revenue grew 1.6% (Q1 of last year was a monster quarter so a tough comparison) to $99 million versus expectations of $94.8 million while adjusted EPS of $0.06 beat expectations by $0.02.
Portfolios
Strategy
A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.
A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.
Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.
Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.
Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.