As traders grappled with the moves in the bond market (expectations of rate cuts coming soon have faded), the market moved violently day-to-day, though big picture the indexes were mixed. By week’s end the S&P 500 had fallen 0.35%, the Dow was mostly unchanged, and the Nasdaq had lost 1%.

As traders grappled with the moves in the bond market (expectations of rate cuts coming soon have faded), the market moved violently day-to-day, though big picture the indexes were mixed. By week’s end the S&P 500 had fallen 0.35%, the Dow was mostly unchanged, and the Nasdaq had lost 1%.

The latest earnings reports were mixed but generally encouraging.

The S&P 500 exceeding the 5,000 mark reminds us that while our dynamic economy leads to disruptions in companies and markets, and Fed interest rate moves can impact the market, it is revenue and earnings growth that really drives stock returns over time. Companies normally become more profitable over time, and that’s what leads to higher stock prices. Staying in the market and leveraging the power of compounding returns is important to successful investing.

So today, we expand our portfolio by starting a small position in a brand new asset class.

A year from now we could be in a raging bull market or bounding toward a recession. Interest rates could be high or much lower. And we have to see what will happen with these wars and who will be elected president in November. Nobody knows the answers to these questions.

But a year from now there is at least one thing we can bank on: The population is already older than ever before in history and will continue to get still older at warp speed. Between 2011 and 2029, about 76 million boomers born in the U.S. between 1946 and 1964 will turn 65. That’s about 3.6 million per year. There will be tens of millions more older people running around in the years ahead.

The inescapable fact about older people is that they spend much more than any other segment of the population on healthcare. That’s just how we’re built. Boomers control about 70% of this nation’s wealth and the aging population has enormous implications for businesses and markets.

Certain healthcare companies and stocks are positioned ahead of a megatrend and a massive wave of spending. In this issue, I highlight two “BUY”-rated portfolio healthcare stocks. If you don’t own them already, they are well worth considering.

Despite some under-the-surface concerns, it was another strong week for the market as the S&P 500 gained 1.5%, the Dow was mostly unchanged and the Nasdaq added 1%.

Housekeeping: Just a heads up that next week’s issue will come after the close on Tuesday, February 20 due to the Presidents’ Day holiday.

The story remains the same as it has for a couple of weeks now: The trends of the indexes remain up and the action of leading stocks (especially leading growth stocks) remains excellent, but most of the market has just sat around since the start of the year (though we are seeing some broadening out of buying pressures the past couple of days) and, for some of the tech/AI names, the action is definitely short-term frothy. We’re leaving our Market Monitor at a level 7, holding our winners but also a little cash, while focusing on fresher names (both inside and outside of tech) that are emerging with some power.

This week’s list has a bunch of fresh ideas in a variety of areas—dips in many of them would be tempting. For our Top Pick we’re going to go with a zinger in the AI space—a liquid name with a great, leading position that’s just gotten going on earnings. If you enter, use a loose leash, as the stock is bound to be super volatile.

Stocks keep hitting new highs, riding a stronger-than-expected earnings season and multiple red-hot trends (artificial intelligence, semiconductors, weight-loss drugs), all of which we have heavy exposure to in the Stock of the Week portfolio. It’s possible stocks in those sectors are due for a pullback, but tech as a whole is clearly thriving at the moment, so today we split the difference by adding a dividend-paying technology stock that’s been a long-time favorite of Cabot Dividend Investor Chief Analyst Tom Hutchinson.

I plan on ramping up the positions in our actively managed portfolios (Buffett and Growth/Value) over the next expiration cycle. My goal is to have a minimum of 5 positions per portfolio, but I’m not going to race to get there. I’ll continue to pounce when the opportunity presents itself. We’ve taken our time adding positions since initiating our portfolio and, so far, our patience has served us well.

Volatility continues to remain low as a result of the seemingly never-ending market rally. While all of our bullish positions in our other Cabot Options Institute services (Fundamentals, Income Trader, Earnings Trader) continue to thrive in this environment, anything with a bearish-leaning or hedge-based trade has struggled. But as I’ve stated numerous times in the past, that’s why we always want to diversify our strategies when approaching the market.

The plan remains simple. I continue to focus on balancing out the overall deltas of our current positions by adding a trade, most likely a bull put spread. I’ll be concentrating on sector ETFs and individual stocks as the major indices continue to see low levels of volatility.

We should be able to add to our total return of 124.9% at the end of this week as our GDX and DKNG positions are due to expire. The jump in our total return should be notable as we have the potential to add 17.1% through our DKNG position and 1.6% in GDX.

I plan to add one more position next week so stay tuned for a trade alert, possibly two as we move through the week.

Despite some under-the-surface concerns, it was another strong week for the market as the S&P 500 gained 1.5%, the Dow was mostly unchanged and the Nasdaq added 1%.

Despite some under-the-surface concerns, it was another strong week for the market as the S&P 500 gained 1.5%, the Dow was mostly unchanged and the Nasdaq added 1%.

The market is near the highest level since last summer and up over 9% YTD. But it hasn’t made a sustained up or down move since the beginning of April.

It’s been more sideways action for most of the last week. The big obsession now is with the debt limit. No agreement has been reached and the crucial, as laid out by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, June 1 deadline is fast approaching. The market can’t seem to move higher until the issue is resolved. But it doesn’t really fall because investors expect the usual last-minute deal.

This week, I wanted to share a couple good charts to show why I continue to be bullish on energy stocks.

First, energy still represents a very small weight in the S&P 500.

Energy as a percentage of the S&P 500 reached as high as 16% in 2009. Today it’s under 5%.

The S&P 500 continues to grind higher, now posting a year-to-date gain of 10%. Investors are collectively buying the current narrative that supports these gains: The Fed is poised to cut interest rates later this year to avoid an almost-certain recession.

This week’s note includes our comments on earnings from Vodafone (VOD). Next week, Kohl’s (KSS) reports, with Macy’s (M) and Duluth Holdings (DLTH) reporting on June 1.

Cabot Options Institute Quant Trader is focused exclusively on creating consistent returns using high-probability options strategies including bear call spreads, bull put spreads, iron condors and more. Whether you have questions about the strategies, or even about setting up your account, or how to make your own trades, Andy will answer all of your questions

No banks imploded this week, and there are rumors that the folks in Washington are making progress on a debt deal. Plus, we think the Fed may just pause for a bit, if not be done hiking rates.

Add it all up and the broad market is inching higher.

So far, the small-cap index is being left behind. That’s because of the high weight of financials and energy, and those two sectors look terrible in small-cap land.

Cabot Options Institute Income Trader is focused exclusively on the creating consistent income through a variety of options selling strategies. Whether you have questions about selling puts, covered strangles, jade lizards or our income wheel approach, Andy is more than happy to help you steepen your learning curve in this live event.

Although the market is up over 7% this year, it has been moving sideways for the last six weeks. It can’t seem to decide whether it will go higher or lower. But it will have to choose eventually, and probably soon.


The resilience has been impressive. Despite a plethora of troubling issues and headlines, stocks have been hanging tough near this year’s high. While anything can happen, the next significant move is more likely to be lower than higher at this point.

These days everyone is talking about the U.S. Debt Ceiling and whether it will be raised again.

The U.S. debt ceiling currently stands at $31.4 trillion, and if it isn’t raised, the U.S. could default on its obligations.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in January the government could pay its bills through early June without increasing the debt limit.

Goldman Sachs estimates that the Treasury could announce an early June debt limit if tax receipts are down 35%. If tax receipts aren’t down quite as much, the deadline could push out into July.

Nearly impossible to ignore in the financial and mainstream media are updates about the ongoing negotiations to avoid a default on its obligations by the U.S. federal government. Accompanying the news is the countdown to the X Date, the unofficial date when the government will run out of authority to make further payments because it will exceed the $31.4 trillion statutory debt ceiling.

Today, a whopping eight Profit Booster positions will expire. Most are “slam-dunk,” full-profit trades, while others will go down to the wire.

The big takeaway, before we dive in, is we are going to let the situation play itself out, and come Monday/Tuesday of next week we will revisit our profits, as well as how we will manage the remaining positions.

With the market tumbling, GLD and TLT have surged higher. As a result, the deltas of both positions are at parity, so we need to buy back our short calls and sell more.

With 39 days left until expiration, we have the ability to take off our DIA bear call spread for a nice profit.

The market tried to find support today, but as the hours have passed things continue to open up on the downside, with sharp losses in the indexes (especially the broad market). After last night’s sales we have a good-sized cash position, and today we’re going to sell a bit more, dumping our position in Uber (UBER), which is our weakest remaining stock and whose breakout has failed. Our cash level will now be around 57%. Details below.

Trimming BCAB, SGHT and NRDS

We currently own the MMM January 17, 2025, 90 call LEAPS contract at $41.40. You must own LEAPS in order to use this strategy.

We currently own the INTC January 17, 2025, 17.5 call LEAPS contract at $11.40. You must own LEAPS in order to use this strategy.

Ahead of next week’s March issue, I’m going to make a few changes to our portfolio today.

We currently own the VTI January 19, 2024, 145 call LEAPS contract at $54.50. You must own LEAPS in order to use this strategy.

Moving Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) to Sell

Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.