The recent bull run continued last week, this time led by Small Caps (IWM) which gained 3.5%, followed by a gain of 2.3% for the Dow, and 1.7% for both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

The recent bull run continued last week, this time led by Small Caps (IWM) which gained 3.5%, followed by a gain of 2.3% for the Dow, and 1.7% for both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached new records on Wednesday, reversing Tuesday’s declines. President Trump’s tax-and-spending bill squeaked through the Senate and is now at the heart of a battle in the House. This is hopefully settled today, and a setback would have an impact on the stock market.

Luckin Coffee’s (LKNCY) revenue in China has already surpassed Starbucks in China. This week, it brought the battle to America as its first two U.S. locations opened in New York. This may be just a public relations gambit.

Today’s addition is a small-cap networking company on the cusp of a potential multi-year growth cycle.

The big-picture growth catalyst? Emerging AI and cloud computing technologies that place new strategic importance on network infrastructure and security for data centers, hyperscalers and global enterprises.

All the details are inside this month’s Issue.

Enjoy!

After a weekend that many feared would sink the market as the Middle East situation was flaring up, to the surprise of many, the market didn’t sell off and, in fact, by week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 3.4%, the Dow had rallied 3.8% and the Nasdaq added 4.2%.

Even as worries fade over the recent Middle East flare-up, new tariff-related headlines have lately crept back into the news. However, stocks have taken it in stride by ignoring what would normally be “bad” news. In view of this, we’re pleased with the market’s resilience—and it’s also welcome that it hasn’t become overheated with too much enthusiasm yet. We’re still seeing a few flies here and there, with some stocks having trouble breaking above resistance, but a growing number of stocks are joining the parade, with a nice mixture of growthy and cyclical names getting into sync with the general march forward. All told, we like what we’re seeing, and in view of the continued strength, we’re raising our Market Monitor to a level 8.

This week’s list features names across multiple industries, which we view as a sign that categorical strength is building. Our Top Pick is a sporting goods giant that has multiple growth tailwinds and is tightening up as the 25-day line has caught up. We’re fine entering here or (preferably) on a dip.

Chaos was the overriding theme of the first half of 2025. But for all the pearl-clutching over tariffs, Middle East conflict, slowing economic growth and still-high interest rates, the S&P 500 was up 5% and has risen to new all-time highs. Stocks have truly climbed the proverbial “Wall of Worry.” Will they continue to? I wouldn’t bet against it. So today, we add a once-great large-cap tech stock name that may finally be ready to dig out of a years-long funk. Clif Droke identified it as a prime turnaround candidate in his Cabot Turnaround Letter. Now, we add it to the Stock of the Week portfolio.

Details inside.

After a weekend that many feared would sink the market as the Middle East situation was flaring up, to the surprise of many, the market didn’t sell off and in fact by week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 3.4%, the Dow had rallied 3.8% and the Nasdaq added 4.2%.

After a weekend that many feared would sink the market as the Middle East situation was flaring up, to the surprise of many, the market didn’t sell off and in fact by week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 3.4%, the Dow had rallied 3.8% and the Nasdaq added 4.2%.

As we wind up the first half of the year, the market has a great setup in place—in fact, it’s looking like that’s what’s been going on for the past six or seven months, with the big-cap indexes etching their own launching pads. Combined with some big-picture positives (like still-dour sentiment), we continue to think the next big move is up. And, while it’s not completely decisive, we’re finally starting to see some growth stocks perk up, too. Thus, we’re taking another step into the market’s waters tonight, adding one new small position and averaging up on a current holding.

Cannabis stocks remain out of favor. It has been a long wait, but it is still too soon to give up on key federal reform that could help the sector and boost stocks. That’s the view of a top-five cannabis company CEO.

Meanwhile, states continue to make steady progress on legalization.

None of this should be a surprise. Polls consistently show that a majority of voters favor legalization. Many politicians at both the state and national levels are responding. Beyond polls, we see growing support for cannabis in consumer spending trends. Wallet share continues to rise. I provide more details on these trends below in the news roundup section.

Few things are more enduring than America’s love of a good hamburger. Indeed, the iconic sandwich is so much a part of the country’s pop cultural heritage that, according to numerous opinion polls, it’s one of the first things foreigners mention when asked to name the most American symbol they can think of.

WHAT TO DO NOW: Remain defensive. The market has gotten off its duff somewhat this week, but as seen the past couple of weeks, there’s still plenty of selling and news-driven action out there. We do think it’s possible a repair process has begun, but right now, the trends of the major indexes and most stocks are pointed down, so we continue to advise a defensive stance. We’ll again stand pat tonight with our four small-ish positions and our big cash position, though we’ll be on the horn if we have any changes (including possibly re-jiggering the portfolio a bit) in the days ahead.

The S&P 600 SmallCap Index is flat over the last week.

The upside move from the extreme oversold conditions that began two weeks ago has faded as the market grapples with tariff uncertainty.

Uncertainty will continue to linger even though Trump clarified part of his tariff plan last night through an executive order imposing permanent tariffs on autos not produced in the U.S.

The last two months have felt historically volatile.

Since Donald Trump took office for a second time and immediately started handing out tariffs like they were surprise take-home prizes at an Oprah taping (“YOU get a tariff, and YOU get a tariff!”), the market has been unsettled. And indeed, from mid-February through mid-March, things weren’t simply unsettled – they were bad. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq entered correction territory – the fifth-fastest correction in the last 75 years, in the case of the S&P. Fears of higher inflation and possibly recession have come rushing back to the surface, consumer confidence is at a 12-year low, and interest rate angst is back in full force.

And yet, actual volatility – as measured by the VIX, a.k.a. the “investor fear gauge” – has been … fairly muted?

The market has been recovering since it fell into correction territory earlier this month. The S&P was up for the week last week for the first time in a month and Monday was a strong day. But we might not be out of the woods yet.

Even if the bottom is in (which it might not be), it is unlikely that stocks can generate lasting upside traction until there is more clarity on the tariff situation. But the market really hasn’t been as bad as it might seem.

In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for several of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Alcoa (AA), Atlassian (TEAM), GE Aerospace (GE), Paramount Global (PARA), SLB Ltd. (SLB) and Starbucks (SBUX).


Gold and silver continue to benefit from safe-haven buying, boosting our holding of Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM).

Today’s Weekly Update will be short and sweet. I am traveling back to the U.S. after a March break vacation with my wife, kids, parents and brother and sister’s families in the Bahamas.

The main market event of the week was yesterday’s FOMC meeting, which concluded with the Fed opting to hold rates steady. During his press conference Fed Chair Jerome Powell used the word “uncertainty” about a thousand times.

I’m in Japan this week as Warren Buffett indicated that his Berkshire is raising its stakes in Mitsubishi, Marubeni, Mitsui, Itochu and Sumitomo. Berkshire’s average holding across the five stocks increased by just over one percentage point to about 9.3%. This comes as financial pundits continue to determine the meaning of why Berkshire has accumulated a massive cash position.

Perhaps Buffett is betting that America’s share of global equity indices may be close to peaking at almost 70%.

March Madness starts today. It’s my favorite sporting event of the year, as the possibilities and unpredictability of a 68-team basketball tournament involving 18-to-23-year-olds never fail to deliver on its “madness” moniker. It’s messy, it’s volatile, and you never know what’s going to happen next. Sort of like the stock market in the era of Trump, tariffs and angst-ridden Fed announcements like yesterday.

Last week the S&P 500 index plunged into correction territory. The Nasdaq was already there. Has the market bottomed out or is there more downside to go?

It’s been a while since selling has gotten this ugly. The last market correction was in October of 2023. This is the second of this bull market, which began in October of 2022. That’s not unusual. Corrections are normal in a bull market. The S&P had run up about 75% in a little over two years and was due for a consolidation, especially the technology sector. But is that all this is or is it something more?

The S&P 500 officially hit correction territory last week, down 10% or more from the high. While the bulk of the selling might be near the end, stocks are unlikely to gain significant and lasting upside traction until current uncertainties dissipate.

Last week’s inflation report was good. The CPI number was better than expected and showed a decrease in the level of price increases for the first time in several months. The economy appears to be slowing, but investors are likely okay with that if there isn’t a recession. Those two things add up to lower interest rates. But the tariff uncertainty seems to be preventing any kind of positive new narrative from taking shape in the market.

In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM), GE Aerospace (GE), Paramount Global (PARA), Sirius XM (SIRI), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and UiPath (PATH).

Gold and silver continue to benefit from safe-haven buying, boosting our holding of Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM).

Trump’s tariffs are directly, or indirectly, roiling some of holdings, including Sirius XM (SIRI) and UiPath (PATH). The favorable long-term outlooks for both stocks remain unchanged, however.

WHAT TO DO NOW: Remain defensive. Near term, we are seeing a couple of rays of light, including a developing positive divergence from our Two-Second Indicator and some legitimate dips in some reliable sentiment measures, so we’re not sticking our heads in the sand as the vast majority of primary evidence and our market timing indicators are negative, with the indexes so far having trouble finding much support. We could do some nibbling if the market finds a low it can work off of, but in the meantime, we advise staying mostly on the sideline and letting the sellers finish up their work. We have no changes tonight, and the Model Portfolio’s cash position is 83%.

Last evening Zeta (ZETA) responded to the Culper Research short report with a scathing review of the allegations, saying, in short, that Culper is full of it and doesn’t know what the heck it’s talking about. It couldn’t even get Zeta’s auditor right. Link to the press release here.

I moved Zeta (ZETA) to buy this morning given the rather extreme selloff after earnings. Not long after that alert went out, a short seller by the name of Culper Research issued a short report on Zeta. | By far the most questions I’m getting right now are about Zeta (ZETA). You read my update yesterday, and it was bullish. Analysts increased price targets from the mid-30s into the low 40s, with some going up to 50.

I’m recommending that we sell our position in Solventum (SOLV). I’m recommending that we sell our position in Baxter International (BAX).

Cannabis stocks on Monday traded as if president-elect Donald Trump has abandoned his marijuana reform policies.

Sell Barrick Gold (GOLD)

OneStream (OS) a Buy, Rivian (RIVN) a Sell

AVPT, AORT and DCBO Still Buys After Reporting

Klaviyo (KVYO) and Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO) Report

WHAT TO DO NOW: The market is acting powerfully since Tuesday’s election, and we’re seeing some outsized moves on earnings this week. We’ll have our full update of Growth Investor tonight, but this bulletin concerns AppLovin (APP), which is skyrocketing this morning after earnings, and of course, this comes after a big run. We’re going to lean against the wind here and take some partial profits, selling one-third of our position and holding the rest. Again, more color tonight.

Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.