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Issues
One tool that we’ve long used is, after a big move (either up or down), if the market starts to get very volatile, it’s often a sign that the buyers and sellers are fighting it out—and could lead to a character change. That said, we’re mentioning that more as a heads up than as any major red flag—at day’s end, the trends of the major indexes and most leading stocks are up, and it’s possible that Nvidia’s (NVDA) quarterly report cleared the air last week. All told, we’re bullish but we also think the odds favor more tricky trading going ahead. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 7 while keeping a close eye on the post-NVDA action.

This week’s list has some tech leaders, but it also has more than a few names outside of the AI field, both smaller and larger. For our Top Pick, we’re going with a liquid leader where we think investor perception has a lot farther to run on the upside.
The market is hitting new highs, thanks to Nvidia (NVDA). And while blowout earnings from the artificial intelligence leader were good for the many AI-related plays we have in the Stock of the Week portfolio, we have more than our share of non-AI stocks that are thriving as well (see American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) and Aviva (AVVIY)). Today, however, we add a hiding-in-plain-sight all-star, a company so mainstream and obvious that it may already be in your portfolio … or it’s possible you sold out of it along with many other institutional investors during a brutal stretch in 2022. Now, it’s fully back – and yet the shares still trade well below their 2021 peak. It’s a new recommendation from Tyler Laundon in his Cabot Early Opportunities advisory.

Details inside.
We finally locked in a profit last week in our QQQ bear call spread … and it looked like a similar fate was not far off for our SPY iron condor. That is until NVDA reported earnings and the market rocketed higher shortly after the announcement. The push higher in the S&P 500 led to SPY piercing our short call strike of 505. The spread is now worth $2.87. Given the near-term overbought readings and numerous short-term bearish indicators flashing red, I will continue to hold the position, but plan to exit if our spread hits $3.16.

I’ll be adding several more positions to the mix this week. Stay tuned!
We are on the downside of earnings season, but there are still a few opportunities ahead. Early this week, Lowe’s (LOW) is due to announce earnings. Per usual, I’ve gone over an example in the “Trade Ideas” section and this week I’ve highlighted Lowe’s. The stock is coming into earnings with a decent IV rank (49.8) and an opportunity to create a fairly wide range around the expected move for the stock (224-241) while maintaining a nice premium. Moreover, the premium is decent enough to where we have the ability to widen the range even more while again bringing in a decent premium.
After we locked in a 17.1% gain in DKNG two weeks ago, we managed to lock in a fairly pedestrian 1.1% in XLU and 1.1% in KO.

The recent gains in XLU and KO, however, pushed our total return to all-time highs and a not-so-pedestrian 145.65%. I plan to continue our wheel-based approach in both XLU and KO early this week and plan to add a new ticker to the portfolio as well. Stay tuned!
Despite some heavy selling pressures early in the week, the market rallied to close the week following Nvidia’s (NVDA) blowout earnings report that highlighted the growth potential of AI. By week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 1.2%, while the Dow rose marginally and the Nasdaq fell slightly.
Despite some heavy selling pressures early in the week, the market rallied to close the week following Nvidia’s (NVDA) blowout earnings report that highlighted the growth potential of AI. By week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 1.2%, while the Dow rose marginally and the Nasdaq fell slightly.
The market had an excellent snap back today, which was good to see, but we’re still playing things a bit near-term cautiously for now—many leaders have suffered some distribution after good runs (and after some yellow flags near the turn of the month). Tonight, we’re holding some strong names, but also about one-third in cash, waiting a couple more days to see if today really does put in a low for most leaders.

Big picture, though, we remain quite optimistic—we’re certainly not looking to raise more cash if we can help it (we do have three names reporting next week), and we could put some cash back to work very soon if things hold up. Stay tuned.
As traders grappled with the moves in the bond market last week (expectations of rate cuts coming soon have faded), the market moved violently day-to-day, though big picture the indexes were mixed. By week’s end the S&P 500 had fallen 0.35%, the Dow was mostly unchanged, and the Nasdaq had lost 1%.
In the February issue of Cabot Early Opportunities, we take something of a barbell approach, reviewing a couple of phenomenal large-cap stocks poised for the next big chapter of their lives while also uncovering a handful of much smaller companies, one of which is just getting its business off the ground (literally)!

As always, there’s something for everybody!
The trends of the indexes remain up and the leading growth stocks remain firm, although many big tech names are showing signs of entering what appears to be an overdue pullback.

Volatility is also on the rise and a classic split tape environment is emerging, with some sectors weakening while others show strength. We’re keeping a weather eye out for any sudden changes, continuing to hold our winners, building some cash, but also taking advantage of recent sector rotation. This week’s Top Pick is a name making waves in the app publishing market while also harnessing the power of AI to grow its customer base.
Stocks have finally hit a speed bump, retreating modestly in the last couple weeks. But pullbacks are both inevitable and healthy in the long run. And the latest one offers an opportunity to buy some great companies at more attractive prices. So today, we add perhaps February’s hottest stock – after it’s been knocked down more than 8% in the last two trading days. I’m betting it’ll bounce back, and so is Mike Cintolo, who recently recommended the stock to his Cabot Top Ten Trader readers.
Updates
The market has been a little soft this week as better-than-feared results from many large caps, including Microsoft (MSFT) and Facebook (META), have been somewhat overshadowed by renewed fears of banking turmoil. Thanks First Republic (FRC). That stock is down 96% from its 2023 high (and that wasn’t a particularly high price).
This is a big earnings week that could determine the near-term direction of the market.


This earnings quarter started at the beginning of this month. But the rubber hits the road this week. Big technology companies including Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Meta (META) as well as energy companies Exxon Mobile (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and Valero Energy (VLO) all report this week.
April is a big earnings month for large-cap stocks. A few of our companies (Esquire and Redishred) have reported earnings but most will report in May or June.
It was only a month ago when we wrote about how the seemingly out-of-the-blue turmoil in the banking sector, driven by the sharp increase in interest rates, could lead to a major financial accident that traumatizes the world’s capital markets. Part II recognizes an ever-expanding roster to include additional percolating problems.
Three companies, First Horizon (FHN), Holcim (HCMLY) and Nokia (NOK) reported earnings this week. Next week, General Electric (GE), Xerox (XRX), Polaris (PII), M/I Homes (MHO), Mattel (MAT), Dril-Quip (DRQ), Capital One Financial (COF) and Newell Brands (NWL) are scheduled to report earnings. The following week, at least eight companies will report earnings.
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The market continues to act “fine” as we get a little deeper into earnings season this week.

At the index level, small-cap stocks are unremarkable. But I continue to attribute the underperformance to the high weight of rate-sensitive sectors (financials, energy, industrials, materials).
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January was up. February was down. March was up. April has not yet tipped its hand.


The S&P 500 is up 8.12% YTD, as of Monday’s close. It’s been a bouncy market that has bounced up more than down so far. April has been directionless because investors are waiting for earnings.
This week is school vacation week in Massachusetts, so I’ve spent the last five days in Puerto Rico with my family and a couple other families.

Highlights include:

1) Hiking into El Yunque rainforest for a swim in a little creek.

2) A night bioluminescent tour.

3) Lots of delicious margaritas!

In terms of micro-cap updates, it was a quiet week so I figured I would spend my update on Unit Corp. (UNTC) as I spoke to the CFO last week and got some good updates.
Alerts
It’s expiration week and we need to roll a few of our positions. Expect to see several trade alerts over the next few days as we buy back our short calls and immediately sell short calls (collecting premium) for the February expiration cycle.
The market has linked together a few decent days, helped by a better-than-feared jobs report last week (showed wage gains moderating), reopening in China (good for global growth) and greater recognition that higher-growth stocks reflect A LOT of bad news.
I’ve decided to hold on to my current LEAPS position, the January 19, 2024, 145 calls. Theta, or time decay, is still incredibly low so I’m going to hold on for another expiration cycle and reevaluate.
Tomorrow marks the earnings releases of several big banks, most notably JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and Wells Fargo (WFC).
Tomorrow marks the earnings releases of several big banks, most notably JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and Wells Fargo (WFC).
Since initiating our Dogs of the Dow positions we’ve seen nothing but a higher market, which has been great for our inherently long delta (bullish) Dogs of the Dow portfolio. Of course, we are only a few days into 2023.
The market has linked together a few decent days, helped by a better-than-feared jobs report last week (showed wage gains moderating), reopening in China (good for global growth) and greater recognition that higher-growth stocks reflect A LOT of bad news.
I don’t love the action in Procept (PRCT) this week. While the broad market has been acting well and a lot of “risk on” stocks have gone up, shares of PRCT have headed south.
The market got off to an ugly start to the week yesterday, though really not much has changed—the Tides are positive, but not much else is, while individual growth stocks remain hit or miss.
The market has linked together a few decent days, helped by a better-than-feared jobs report last week (showed wage gains moderating), reopening in China (good for global growth) and greater recognition that higher-growth stocks reflect A LOT of bad news.
Portfolios
Strategy
A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.
A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.
Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.
Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.
Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.