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Issues
The market’s rebound has been very impressive, though there are a couple of flies in the ointment (we’re not huge fans of defensive sectors rallying strongly) and this week looks like a good test for a couple of reasons: First, there are some key quarterly reports coming out in key technology areas, and trend-wise, many growth-oriented measures are closing in on five-week highs, which could turn the intermediate-term trend up … if all goes well. For now, nothing has officially changed: If we see more breakouts and further upside, it would obviously be bullish, but while some retrenchment from here wouldn’t necessarily be bearish, it would be a sign the market likely needs more time to set up. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at level 6 this week.

This week’s list is a bit more diversified than the past two weeks, and for our Top Pick, we’re going with a name that’s very strong following quarterly results, has triple-digit growth and a great story—if you enter, be sure to keep it small and use a loose stop.
After an unusually eventful start to the month, stocks have settled into their normal pre-Labor Day malaise. It won’t last long. Early September typically brings a round of selling as Wall Street returns from vacation and starts culling laggards from their portfolios. But with a Fed rate cut now definitely coming just a couple weeks later, could this be a more constructive September than normal? We’ll see. In the meantime, let’s try and sidestep the coming volatility by adding an undervalued mega-cap tech stock that’s well outside U.S. borders. It’s a former market darling that’s become unloved in recent years. But new Cabot Turnaround Letter Chief Analyst Clif Droke spots a bargain, and so today we add it on the cheap to our Cabot Stock of the Week portfolio as well.

Details inside.
The many stock market worries of just three weeks ago appear to be a thing of the past as the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all gained just over 1% last week, and all are now within striking distance of all-time highs.
The many stock market worries of just three weeks ago appear to be a thing of the past as the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all gained just over 1% last week, and all are now within striking distance of all-time highs.
The market’s rebound from the August 5 mini-panic has been unusual—in a good way, with a straight-up advance that’s recouped most of its prior decline, given up very little of its gains along the way, and has been led by a gaggle of growth stocks that have powered ahead on earnings. Now, we’re not totally free and clear here, and some short-term wobbles could easily come; by our measures, the intermediate-term trend is sideways and defensive stocks are percolating, so there’s more work to do. All in all, we’re putting a little more money to work tonight but will still be holding just shy of 40% in cash as we see if the market can further confirm a new uptrend.
In the August Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities, we spread things out across both growth and growth & value ideas. We have a number of newly public players in markets ranging from water quality to electronics certification, as well as a couple of AdTech players. Last but not least is a familiar face in the data security market.

As always, there should be something for everybody.
The market isn’t totally out of the woods at this point—the intermediate-term trend of most indexes and growth measures is essentially neutral here, there’s plenty of overhead to chew through. That said, there’s no doubt the rebound has been impressive, with some indexes recouping 60% to 80% of their corrections, and individual stocks are acting much peppier of late. What happens from here will be key: Some backing off would be normal, but if any retreat is tame and individual stocks continue to flex their muscles, it would be a good sign—though obviously a huge drop would be iffy. For now, we continue to slowly rebuild exposure but are remaining flexible. We’ll nudge our Market Monitor up to a level 6 but are taking things on a day-to-day basis.

This week’s list is another that’s loaded up with powerful charts, all of which have recently surged on earnings reports. Our Top Pick has been extremely tedious for the past 16 months but is flashing some overwhelming buying power as the sector improves.
Stocks are rolling again, and the panic that engulfed the market just two weeks ago has vanished, replaced by the longest market winning streak all year. Nearly all our Stock of the Week stocks are up in the past week, several of them by double digits, led by AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) – up more than 80% (!) since we last wrote. So, let’s strike while the iron is hot and add another upstart growth stock to the portfolio in the form of a mid-cap just recommended by Carl Delfeld in his Cabot Explorer advisory.

Details inside.
Change is constant and inevitable, but one thing that hasn’t changed for the past three centuries: America’s love affair with coffee. Coffee is a commodity that has been prized since the 18th century in America. Many believe it is the fuel that drives America’s economic engine.

So today, we add a fast-growing American coffee company to the Explorer portfolio. It might not be the name you’re expecting...
The explosive growth of artificial intelligence, electric cars, and manufacturing is causing an explosion in the demand for electricity in this country.

After nearly two decades of stagnant growth, electricity demand is expected to soar in the years ahead. This year alone, electricity demand is growing 81% more than it did last year. Electricity demand is expected to grow at nearly twice the past rate for the rest of this decade.

The new demand transforms certain previously stodgy and boring utility stocks into growth investments.

In this issue I highlight one of the very best and fastest-growing electricity producers in the country. This company is in an ideal position to benefit from the increasing electricity demand from data centers and other sources. AI may be the cutting edge of technological innovation. But it doesn’t work without electricity. While most investors are running around chasing the same AI stocks, we can reap the rewards of the tremendous new opportunity from Thomas Edison’s invention.
Before I dive into this morning’s Cabot Profit Booster covered call idea, I wanted to mention that the Mintz family will be traveling to Europe this Wednesday through the following Wednesday.

That means we will simply let our August positions expire this Friday, and we will not be sending a new trade next week. However, I will address August positions if needed when I return.

Moving on …
Before I dive into this morning’s Cabot Options Trader Weekly Update, I wanted to bring to your attention that the Mintz family will be traveling to Europe this Wednesday through the following Wednesday.

And while I will be offline in terms of trading, answering questions, and the Daily Order Flow list, I will keep a distant eye on our positions and if we need to act, I will send instructions.
Updates
Other than the buyout of Kaman (KAMN), it’s been a relatively quiet week for company-specific news.


Regarding Kaman, the company announced that it will be taken private for $1.8 billion, or $46/share, a huge 100%-plus premium over the prior day’s closing price. The market has had little confidence in Kaman’s turnaround, despite what we saw as evidence that impressive changes are underway, led by its capable new CEO. The huge premium is at a discount to our $57 price target, but we’re fine with the deal as it produces a reasonable return, in cash, today, compared to a slog for a year or more while the turnaround plays out.
With the market bouncing around in the first two weeks of the year on more speculation about Fed rate cut magnitude/cadence (economists are now thinking slower and fewer of them) and mounting geopolitical risks, small caps as an asset class have begun to trail the broader market.

That said, on a stock-specific basis there’s been a lot of positive motion in small caps in the MedTech and software space, which is where we concentrate.
Cabot Options Institute Quant Trader is focused exclusively on creating consistent returns using high-probability options strategies including bear call spreads, bull put spreads, iron condors and more. Whether you have questions about the strategies, or even about setting up your account, or how to make your own trades, Andy will answer all of your questions
Cabot Options Institute Income Trader is focused exclusively on the creating consistent income through a variety of options selling strategies. Whether you have questions about selling puts, covered strangles, jade lizards or our income wheel approach, Andy is more than happy to help you steepen your learning curve in this live event.
It’s earnings season again! And this one should be more important than most.

Earnings are, of course, a big deal for the individual company. But in addition to company-specific fundamentals, Wall Street will be carefully watching what company earnings indicate about the macro environment.
Earnings season has arrived, and with it could be a recalibration of investor expectations for stocks broadly.

The S&P 500 Index seems reasonably priced at 19.5x estimated 2024 earnings. But nearly 30% of the index’s weight comprises Magnificent Seven stocks, whose average multiple is 33x. Estimated earnings growth rates for these Mag Seven stocks, which average 19% for each of the next five years, set a high bar. When high expectations meet less-high reality… well, investors know what can happen to stock prices. And, any wobbling in the largest stocks can send the market broadly lower. As Dennis Gartman, the legendary and now-retired writer of The Gartman Letter, frequently said, “When the generals leave the field, the rest of the army follows.”
The market surge has leveled off. The expectation debate about peak interest rates, inflation, and recession continues. And now, it’s another earnings season.

The S&P 500 pulled back during the first trading week of the year after a two-month, 15% spike. In the second week, the index gained back everything it lost the first week. He we are again on the cusp of the all-time high set about two years ago.
In today’s note, we discuss the earnings reports from Wells Fargo (WFC). Please note that our comments on Well’s earnings didn’t make it into the podcast.
The first two weeks of 2024 have been a bit sloppy with the markets down the first week, strengthening a bit this week then back down again today as this morning’s inflation numbers (CPI) came in a little higher than expected.

Thus far small caps have lagged large caps this year at the index level, though it’s not worth overthinking it too much just 11 days into the year.
Alerts
We have a couple positions with calls due to expire today, so let’s get ahead of it and buy back our short calls and immediately sell more calls to collect another round of premium.
I will be exiting the Mastercard (MA) trade today. I will discuss the trade in greater detail in our upcoming weekly issue.
I will be exiting the American Express (AXP) trade today. I will discuss the trade in greater detail in our upcoming weekly issue.
Alphatec (ATEC) Taps Equity Market to the Tune of $150 Million
We allowed our calls to expire worthless, thereby reaping all of the call premium. Now it’s time to start selling more call premium.
Our WBA calls are worthless and due to expire. As a result, let’s buy back our short calls and immediately sell more call premium.
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