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The Fed began cutting short-term interest rates just a few months ago, but Treasury (and mortgage) rates are rising. What’s behind the disconnect, and should it concern us as investors?

Many investors are familiar with buying options for the big upside they can bring, but for income-focused investors, selling options can be an even better strategy.

Despite some early morning sell-offs nearly every day last week, the bulls stepped up each time, and by week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 1.6%, the Dow had rallied 2%, and the Nasdaq had added 1.55%.

With mortgage rates below their recent highs and an ongoing housing shortage, the future is looking bright for homebuilders, and this luxury builder is my favorite way to play it.

Note: Heads up as our schedule for Top Ten is garbled this week and next. First, we’re going to try to shoot out a quick Movers and Shakers update on Wednesday since our offices will be closed on Friday, and next Monday is one of our two scheduled weeks off of the year (though we’ll send out a full M&S update on Friday as usual). We’ll be around if you have any questions, of course, but if we don’t hear from you, have a great Thanksgiving!

As for the market, the top-down action since the election has been volatile and somewhat disjointed due to crosscurrents, but the trends have remained up, and leading titles (especially on the growth side of the equation) have posted stunning gains. To be clear, the action remains very hot and heavy, with near-term sentiment elevated and many stocks extended to the upside, all of which is a reason to pick your spots on the buy side and to consider partial profits on some names that have gone wild. We’ll keep our Market Monitor at a level 8.

This week’s list has something for everyone, with names from a variety of sectors and themes showing strength. Our Top Pick is finally changing character with a powerful breakout last week.

For the major indexes, the post-election ups and downs continued this week, with the moonshot two weeks ago leading to a relatively uncomfortable dip last week, but that led to a nice rebound coming into today, with most indexes up in the 1.5% to 2% range.

Today, a whopping eight Profit Booster positions will expire. Most are “slam-dunk,” full-profit trades, while others will go down to the wire.

The big takeaway, before we dive in, is we are going to let the situation play itself out, and come Monday/Tuesday of next week we will revisit our profits, as well as how we will manage the remaining positions.

It’s too early to tell whether the stimulus-prompted resurgence in China’s equity markets will last, but aggressive investors can consider targeting this undervalued e-commerce play.

It’s been another flat-to-up week, this time with the big-cap indexes and many growth measures either flat or up a smidge, while some of the broader indexes are up in the 1% to 2% range.

Another week, another all-time high for the S&P 500 and Dow, while the Nasdaq is slowly creeping towards its previous highs. By week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 0.6%, the Dow had rallied 1%, and the Nasdaq had risen marginally.

Growing strength in transportation stocks could bring a belated yet bullish Dow Theory confirmation, and these transport stocks still have rally potential.

Another week, another all-time high for the S&P 500 and Dow, while the Nasdaq is slowly creeping towards its previous highs. By week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 0.6%, the Dow had rallied 1%, and the Nasdaq had risen marginally.

Buying generator company stocks and shorting regional chains ahead of hurricanes? It may not feel “good,” but a hedge fund’s job is to make money, not friends.

This country has a massive shortage of housing.

It is estimated that the current demand for homes exceeds the national supply by a whopping 4.5 million. The shortfall has caused the median U.S. home price to double since 2011 and soar a staggering 40% just since the pandemic. In many areas, prices have increased a lot more.

High prices combined with the highest mortgage rates in decades have made housing unaffordable. Zillow estimates that only 15.1% of current non-homeowner households can afford a typical mortgage.

But there is reason to believe the housing problems will get a lot better in the years ahead.

Mortgage rates are falling. The average U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rate has fallen to 6.6% from 7.2% this past May and 7.8% a year ago. And rates are likely to continue to trend lower from multi-decade highs in the years ahead. Prices are coming down too. The average U.S. home price has declined about 7% since the beginning of last year.

While the situation is likely to improve, the supply/demand imbalance will likely remain for several years. That’s a problem for the housing market and economy to work through. But it’s good news for homebuilders. New homes should be in high demand for years to come, and sales should increase with the improving conditions.

In this issue, I highlight one of the best homebuilders on the market. The stock has been a stellar performer as investors realize the opportunity. But it is still reasonably valued and has momentum. It should provide a covered call opportunity soon.

WHAT TO DO NOW: The market remains in good shape, though we have seen the indexes and many individual titles exhale a bit of late as many short-term uncertainties (earnings season and the election) and headwinds (rising interest rates) weigh. We’re bullish overall, but are being selective on the buy side—tonight, we’re standing pat, holding our 20%-ish cash position and collection of relatively strong performers.