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The markets have continued their bullish momentum so far in 2024, with growth stocks continuing to lead the way—especially large caps, which are up 32.94% so far this year.

Sector-wise, Communication Services (up 9.74%), Technology (up 5.07%), and Healthcare (up 4.11%) are the winners so far, with Real Estate (down 4.37%), Utilities (-2.91%), and Consumer Discretionary (-0/83%) the losing sectors.

Housing inventory is still tight, with prices remaining a little lofty. The S&P Case-Shiller home price index came in at a 5.4% rise, which was a bit less than the 5.7% forecast, but still higher than the month before.

The stock market recovery continues in a slightly better style than I had hoped for. I had expected big upswings followed by pullbacks, which is normal for a recovery.

Oil prices are volatile now that about half of Saudi Arabia’s oil production is temporarily curtailed. Rising oil prices can help oil and chemical stocks, and hurt airline stocks.

Two stocks depart from the Special Situation Portfolio and the Growth Portfolio today, respectively, while another joins the Growth & Income Portfolio.

The S&P 500 index continues to act well, rising to new highs in July, conducting a very orderly pullback in August, and rebounding in September. To my eyes, the price chart still looks strong.

As value/contrarian investors, we have little interest in accepting the market’s wisdom. Some might say that we have little ability to accept the market’s wisdom, which is probably what distinguishes us from other investors (and academics) that accept such guidance.

We’ll quote Warren Buffett, founder and head of Berkshire Hathaway, who wrote in his 1987 letter to shareholders, “Mr. Market is there to serve you, not to guide you.” By this, he means that the stock market’s inability to make accurate predictions should help investors make money. And that these predictions shouldn’t provide guidance on how to invest, given that they are so often wrong.

We’ve had an up and down week for emerging markets with a big day yesterday followed by weakness today. Our EEM signal stays positive so we are adding a half position today and moving one stock from buy to hold.

Here’s an interview with Paul Goodwin, Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report chief analyst.

Clearly, it’s in the interests of full-service brokerages to discourage you from making your own investing decisions. They make their money from commissions for trading your account and fees for managing your money. And the more they can count on keeping you in a standard mix of index funds, ETFs, sector funds and bond funds, the better they like it.

While AI seized the headlines in 2023, software stocks have been performing well in their own right. Here are three small caps I like right now.

Small-cap cloud software stocks have been on a roll lately, and these three are showing strong momentum heading into 2024.

Bitcoin is sometimes referred to as “digital gold,” but investors should also have some of the real stuff. As J.P. Morgan put it, “Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” So today, with gold prices on the rise, we add exposure to the yellow metal in the form of a low-risk streaming and royalty company.

The much-anticipated market dip finally arrived last week, and so far, when you look at the leadership of this market—the Nasdaq and leading individual stocks—the action has been completely normal, and in fact, seems to be producing some higher-odds entry points as names dip toward support. Once again, though, we need to keep a close eye on the broad market—the intermediate-term trend remains up, but it’s getting close to the edge, with another bad week possibly putting the broad market back in the soup. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 7 today but we’re watching things closely in case weak breadth causes the selling pressures to build.

This week’s list has a growing number of pullback-related setups. Our Top Pick quacks like a new technology leader that’s pulled back reasonably after a strong rally. It’s volatile, so start small and use a loose leash.

Is Autohome stock a sell because of its abrupt correction or a buy because of its sudden discount? It’s complicated. Here’s what we think.

Today, a whopping eight Profit Booster positions will expire. Most are “slam-dunk,” full-profit trades, while others will go down to the wire.

The big takeaway, before we dive in, is we are going to let the situation play itself out, and come Monday/Tuesday of next week we will revisit our profits, as well as how we will manage the remaining positions.

WHAT TO DO NOW: The market’s evidence remains unchanged, with a choppy, narrow and challenging environment. Many stocks are hanging in there, but there continue to be air pockets here and there, and our goal is to get out of names that are truly breaking down while holding (and possibly adding) resilient growth titles. Tonight, we’re going to sell PulteGroup (PHM), which hasn’t been able to bounce and cracked support today on a big rise in rates. Our cash position will be around 37%, which we’ll hold onto tonight but could put some back to work in the days ahead.

Sell Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) & ThredUp (TDUP)

WHAT TO DO NOW: The indexes continue to act fine, but individual growth stocks remain hit or miss based on the news of the day. Today we’re going to sell our position in MP Materials (MP), taking a tiny gain and holding the cash (which will now be around 35%). Details below.