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Stock Market

Investing in the stock market has always been an effective way to build wealth. In fact, it’s consistently proven to be the most effective wealth generator over the long term.

And, with persistent inflation an ongoing issue and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates sooner rather than later, investing in stocks may be one of the few places investors will be able to generate consistent, inflation-beating returns for their savings.

Of course, stock market investing comes with more risk than a safe, low-yield savings account. Inevitably, not all of your investments will be winners.

In investing, no one really knows for sure what’s going to happen. Over time, however, stocks tend to rise. History tells us this. Since 1928, the average annual return in the S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is 10%. So historically, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks should allow you to just about double your investment once every seven years.

Now, there are periods where returns in the stock market underperform the average. Every few years we encounter corrections and bear markets, as we did in 2022 and 2018, and the years after the Great Recession and dotcom bust.

But over a longer time horizon, those off years are more than offset by the performance in bull markets. If you invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2014 and simply held that investment, you would have weathered the 2018 correction, the pandemic sell-off, and the 2022 bear market. And you’d have generated 16.5% annual returns.

You wouldn’t think that, with a correction, a pandemic and a bear market, the last decade would be anything to write home about, but those numbers speak for themselves. Despite the fear and negative headlines, investing over the last 10 years has beaten the historical average by more than 50% each year.

But, of course, your return would have depended on what stocks you actually bought. Take General Electric (GE), for example. GE is an iconic American company. As recently as 2009 it was the largest company in the world.

But had you bought GE at the beginning of 2014, you would have lost 0.7% every year, and that’s assuming you reinvested your dividends. Without dividend reinvestment, your returns would have been even worse.

That kind of unpredictability scares some people away from investing in the stock market. The track record over time should be enough to convince you otherwise.

The stock market is a vast and ever-evolving place, and there are many ways to approach stock market investing.

Want to invest in safe companies that offer a steady stream of income? You’re probably a dividend investor.

Are you willing to take on a bit more risk to go after bigger, faster rewards? Growth investing is likely for you.

Value investing is for investors who like to bargain shop.

Options trading is for those who like to invest based on statistical probabilities. And so on.

At Cabot Wealth Network, we have something for every investor. Our investment advisories cater to a variety of risk tolerances and timetables, depending on your preference. Since 1970, we’ve been helping investors of all experience levels achieve market-beating returns, helping our readers double their money more than 30 times over.

When done right, investing in the stock market can be a hugely profitable endeavor. For more than a half-century, we’ve been helping investors maximize those profits—and hope to continue doing so for another 50 years.

Stock Market Post Archives
Just wanted to start with a quick word of optimism about the future of the stock market, and the potential for making money in the months and years to come. I was pleased to attend the Contrary Opinion Forum in Vermont last weekend with Timothy Lutts--Tim’s been going for 22 years straight, while this is my fourth or fifth visit since I came to Cabot back in 1999--and it’s always a treat.
Today is Columbus Day, the day we honor the man with the courage to venture into the unknown, to do something different. As Americans, we all owe him a debt of gratitude. As investors, we should remember that it’s people like Columbus who have made America great, people who try something new, and create value from nothing. We need more men like him today.
Not all of our editors work at the Cabot offices in Salem, Massachusetts, but they drop in from time to time for us to discuss how things are going now and where we want them to be in the future. We were fortunate enough to have J. Royden Ward, who lives in Florida and is the editor of Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter, in the office this week recapping his recent trip to New York City to attend the Value Investing Congress.
I was lucky when I first began investing. I didn’t learn how to pick stocks from a textbook, or a well-meaning but misinformed professor. No, I first got interested in stocks when my dad subscribed to the Cabot Market Letter back in the mid-1990s, and learned right away the value of doing the right things, and avoiding the wrong things.
On the growth side there are stocks in promising technology sectors whose companies have posted triple-digit earnings growth for two or three quarters but are still falling down the stairs with no support in sight. The opportunities are huge. But here’s the big warning: Don’t Act Until the Market Actually Turns!
Today I’m not going to write about our country’s economic crisis; everyone else has done that. And I’m not going to reiterate my conviction that the worst of the bear market has passed, and that the future for many stocks will be very good from here. Savvy investors know that the best stocks will lead the way higher long before the man on the street loses his recently reinforced fear of investing.
Last week I wrote about the government’s $700 bailout plan and asked for your opinions. I got an incredible response, both by email and on the blog. I really appreciate hearing what you had to say and it helped me to sort out the whole mess in my head. Today instead of writing a column, I’m just going to reprint many of your letters. Some of you were outraged about the plan, while others urged its passing and still others came up with their own plans for the $700 billion.
Bailout, bailout, bailout ... it’s all bailout all the time these days, with every news organization (financial or otherwise) reporting rumors and innuendos from every politician regarding the government’s bailout package. Of course, the plan hit the fan in the House of Representatives on Monday afternoon, though the Senate passed it last night. The House is expected to vote again by Friday.
Successful investing is not about being wrong or being right, it’s about making money. And the best way for a growth stock investor to make money is to watch the market very carefully, to understand what its actions reveal about the thinking of the big institutional investors who move the market, and then to act accordingly.
I want to talk about innovation in the Green sector for a bit. The New York Times published a special section called the Business of Green this week and the story I wanted to share with you was about how some dairy farms are producing more than just milk and cow manure. Some dairy farms are generating electricity.
At the beginning of August, Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter featured four buy recommendations that collectively have outperformed the stock market indexes by a noticeable margin. I’m featuring one of the stocks here because it’s still clearly undervalued.
You’re living through a historic stock market event, one that will be dissected in texts and articles for as long as people study the market. Congratulations! If your grandchildren ever get interested in the stock market and its history, you have a first-class, first-hand war story to tell them. It’s a tale of greed and fear--the constant poles of stock market emotion--plus a clash of opinions about the proper role of government in the market. It’s a classic case of good news and bad news, and there’s been plenty of each.
Two weeks ago I wrote here about the massive buildup of both government and individual debt in last 70 years. I noted that this bubble of debt appeared to have popped in the past year. And I speculated that a very long (decades-long) period of debt shrinkage and balance sheet improvement might be in the cards. Then I asked for your opinions.
One question we’ve gotten a few times from readers is “I’m new to investing. How do I get started managing my money for the future?” It’s a basic question, and you’ll find answers all over the Internet, but ours has a little twist. Today’s Cabot Wealth Advisory will attempt to answer that question, so if you’re just starting out or if you want to take the time to regroup, especially in light of the recent market decline, this issue is for you. It’s never too late to start preparing, saving and investing for your future.
My stock idea is, very simply, the #1 stock on my watch list right now. The company sports most of the characteristics of past leaders--fast sales and earnings growth, healthy profit margins, a unique position in a mass market, and a huge opportunity for growth going forward.