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Stock Market

Investing in the stock market has always been an effective way to build wealth. In fact, it’s consistently proven to be the most effective wealth generator over the long term.

And, with persistent inflation an ongoing issue and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates sooner rather than later, investing in stocks may be one of the few places investors will be able to generate consistent, inflation-beating returns for their savings.

Of course, stock market investing comes with more risk than a safe, low-yield savings account. Inevitably, not all of your investments will be winners.

In investing, no one really knows for sure what’s going to happen. Over time, however, stocks tend to rise. History tells us this. Since 1928, the average annual return in the S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is 10%. So historically, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks should allow you to just about double your investment once every seven years.

Now, there are periods where returns in the stock market underperform the average. Every few years we encounter corrections and bear markets, as we did in 2022 and 2018, and the years after the Great Recession and dotcom bust.

But over a longer time horizon, those off years are more than offset by the performance in bull markets. If you invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2014 and simply held that investment, you would have weathered the 2018 correction, the pandemic sell-off, and the 2022 bear market. And you’d have generated 16.5% annual returns.

You wouldn’t think that, with a correction, a pandemic and a bear market, the last decade would be anything to write home about, but those numbers speak for themselves. Despite the fear and negative headlines, investing over the last 10 years has beaten the historical average by more than 50% each year.

But, of course, your return would have depended on what stocks you actually bought. Take General Electric (GE), for example. GE is an iconic American company. As recently as 2009 it was the largest company in the world.

But had you bought GE at the beginning of 2014, you would have lost 0.7% every year, and that’s assuming you reinvested your dividends. Without dividend reinvestment, your returns would have been even worse.

That kind of unpredictability scares some people away from investing in the stock market. The track record over time should be enough to convince you otherwise.

The stock market is a vast and ever-evolving place, and there are many ways to approach stock market investing.

Want to invest in safe companies that offer a steady stream of income? You’re probably a dividend investor.

Are you willing to take on a bit more risk to go after bigger, faster rewards? Growth investing is likely for you.

Value investing is for investors who like to bargain shop.

Options trading is for those who like to invest based on statistical probabilities. And so on.

At Cabot Wealth Network, we have something for every investor. Our investment advisories cater to a variety of risk tolerances and timetables, depending on your preference. Since 1970, we’ve been helping investors of all experience levels achieve market-beating returns, helping our readers double their money more than 30 times over.

When done right, investing in the stock market can be a hugely profitable endeavor. For more than a half-century, we’ve been helping investors maximize those profits—and hope to continue doing so for another 50 years.

Stock Market Post Archives
An article demonstrates how soccer goalies actually stop more penalty kicks when they stay in the center of the net, but despite these results, the goalies almost always dive right or left. Why? Because not to act is to appear helpless, as if they don’t know what to do. And so it is in the stock market, for many people, both amateurs and experts. They’re always looking to do something ... but sometimes the best course of action is inaction.
This year has certainly been a wild ride for investors, the volatility in the market has been extraordinary, we’re “officially” in a recession and the financial landscape has been dramatically altered. But we’ve been here with you through it all, giving you our best advice. Today, and in another issue before the end of the year, I’m going to re-print some of the pieces we’ve written in the last 12 months.
If you follow a proven system (like cutting your losses), it doesn’t mean you’ll always be on the right side of things. But it does mean you’ll come out richer in the end. It’s usually the investors who don’t have a proven system that get so nervous and anxious about the market, the future, what their stocks might do, etc. Making money in the market is difficult, especially this year. So don’t feel silly or beat yourself up a poor trade or two--oftentimes, as in this case, it was just a bad market, or bad luck. Simple as that.
In my mind, the future is likely to bring something new to America, and for lack of a better term, I’m going to call it the Great Shrinkage. In this Great Shrinkage, as I ventured before, credit will shrink and equity will increase. In this Great Shrinkage, the number of colleges will shrink, as fewer parents choose to borrow the big bucks required. States and municipalities will cut non-essential services. Savings rates will climb ... but with demand so high, returns from savings will stay extremely low.
Forecasts were all gloom and doom for Black Friday, with the media predicting a huge pullback in consumer spending. But on Monday, numbers were released showing that shoppers had actually increased their spending over the same period last year. Many media outlets are still predicting less shopping in the weeks before the holidays and spending was way down leading up to Black Friday, meaning the boost may not do much to help ailing retailers.
You can believe the United States’ best days are over and we are slowly slipping back toward dependence and bondage. Or you can believe that “good old American ingenuity” will allow us once again to “overcome the challenges that lie ahead” and retain our position of global leadership. Or you can choose something in between. Me, I’m an optimist, not least because life is a lot more fun when you look on the bright side. It makes you healthier, more productive, and more fun to be with.
A few years ago, (January 2006, actually) during my annual physical exam, my doctor gave me a stock tip. I knew that he was aware of what I do for a living, but we hadn’t ever talked about stocks or investing or anything other than how to get my cholesterol down. I was so surprised that I think my blood pressure actually spiked! But there my very own Primary Care Physician was, telling me about how a drug rep for a big company had dropped a name on him during a sales call.
The past weekend brought the news that you can now pay $149 to get your child’s DNA tested to determine whether you’ve got a future Olympic athlete or NFL Hall-of-Famer on your hands ... or a first class couch potato. The focus of the genetic test is the ACTN3 gene, which instructs the body to produce a protein, alpha-actinin-3, that is found specifically in fast-twitch muscles ... the muscles most valuable in power and speed sports. In brief, the makeup of the gene helps determine whether a person might be better suited for sports that require power and strength, or endurance, or general activity ... or none of the above.
I hope that you had a wonderful Thanksgiving and that you’re recovering well from your turkey hangover. Thanksgiving is when we celebrate all that we are grateful for, but it’s also a holiday of retail deals, holiday sales and shopping. Many Americans start their seasonal gift buying on Black Friday, but if you didn’t join the shoppers yesterday , or if you have more presents to buy, this issue is for you. Today I’m going to highlight some of the best books for the investor on your gift list, all recommended by the Cabot editors.
Happy Thanksgiving! I’ve written in the past that dividend investments can be a solid piece of your portfolio. I prefer growth stocks, and in that realm, dividends are basically meaningless. However, with more and more stocks, trusts, exchange-traded funds and the like, there are definitely intelligent ways to invest for yield. But beware of the supposed free lunch on Wall Street, because there is no such thing. Double-check the safety of the dividend before you jump in.
Yesterday afternoon, my wife and I returned from a two-week trip to India. The experience was absolutely marvelous, rich in warmth and beauty, yet at the same time colored by the substantial economic challenges that face the country of 1.1 billion people. While I was gone, the Dow dropped another 10%, the S&P 500 lost 14% and the Nasdaq plunged 16%. Happily, all our Cabot growth-oriented letters have been recommending a heavy cash orientation for many months so this continued erosion has brought little pain.
Last week I ranted about overspending by American consumers and I received many interesting responses through email and the blog. I’ve included some of the best rants in today’s issue, but if you haven’t sent yours in, feel free to do so at any time. Enjoy!
To say that we live in historic times would be an understatement. We’ve all been shaken by more earth-shaking news in just the past few months than we’ve seen in the prior decade. There’s been the takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the disappearance of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Washington Mutual and Wachovia, the TARP rescue plan and now the potential bailout of the Detroit automakers. Oh, and did we mention hedge fund redemptions and failures, and now commercial real estate problems?!? And the market, of course, has reacted.
I don’t mind telling you that these are scary and depressing times for investors. One wave of bad news no sooner breaks over us than another one--even bigger--appears. The American banking and auto industries are circling the drain, and the Dow, which was within spitting distance of 14,000 just a year ago is now, having cracked the 8,000 level, trying to decide whether to rest there for a while or just plunge further. All in all, it’s enough to make you turn off your TV, limit your newspaper reading to the sports and funnies and abandon your computer for your game console. At least in World of Warcraft, you know the rules.
For the year so far, Cabot Green Investor subscribers have enjoyed some big winning picks, like American Superconductor (AMSC), a wind company that gave us a 40% profit on in just six weeks this summer. There is no denying that with the market crash of October we’re down, but just in the single-digits as of early November. I know that’s a lot like a pitcher bragging about an eight-inning complete game, but we’re proud of how our adherence to a proven formula has put us far ahead of the competition. The simple fact is, the more you conserve now, the more you have for later. That’s true both in your winter energy bill, and your investment portfolio.