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Stock Market

Investing in the stock market has always been an effective way to build wealth. In fact, it’s consistently proven to be the most effective wealth generator over the long term.

And, with persistent inflation an ongoing issue and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates sooner rather than later, investing in stocks may be one of the few places investors will be able to generate consistent, inflation-beating returns for their savings.

Of course, stock market investing comes with more risk than a safe, low-yield savings account. Inevitably, not all of your investments will be winners.

In investing, no one really knows for sure what’s going to happen. Over time, however, stocks tend to rise. History tells us this. Since 1928, the average annual return in the S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is 10%. So historically, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks should allow you to just about double your investment once every seven years.

Now, there are periods where returns in the stock market underperform the average. Every few years we encounter corrections and bear markets, as we did in 2022 and 2018, and the years after the Great Recession and dotcom bust.

But over a longer time horizon, those off years are more than offset by the performance in bull markets. If you invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2014 and simply held that investment, you would have weathered the 2018 correction, the pandemic sell-off, and the 2022 bear market. And you’d have generated 16.5% annual returns.

You wouldn’t think that, with a correction, a pandemic and a bear market, the last decade would be anything to write home about, but those numbers speak for themselves. Despite the fear and negative headlines, investing over the last 10 years has beaten the historical average by more than 50% each year.

But, of course, your return would have depended on what stocks you actually bought. Take General Electric (GE), for example. GE is an iconic American company. As recently as 2009 it was the largest company in the world.

But had you bought GE at the beginning of 2014, you would have lost 0.7% every year, and that’s assuming you reinvested your dividends. Without dividend reinvestment, your returns would have been even worse.

That kind of unpredictability scares some people away from investing in the stock market. The track record over time should be enough to convince you otherwise.

The stock market is a vast and ever-evolving place, and there are many ways to approach stock market investing.

Want to invest in safe companies that offer a steady stream of income? You’re probably a dividend investor.

Are you willing to take on a bit more risk to go after bigger, faster rewards? Growth investing is likely for you.

Value investing is for investors who like to bargain shop.

Options trading is for those who like to invest based on statistical probabilities. And so on.

At Cabot Wealth Network, we have something for every investor. Our investment advisories cater to a variety of risk tolerances and timetables, depending on your preference. Since 1970, we’ve been helping investors of all experience levels achieve market-beating returns, helping our readers double their money more than 30 times over.

When done right, investing in the stock market can be a hugely profitable endeavor. For more than a half-century, we’ve been helping investors maximize those profits—and hope to continue doing so for another 50 years.

Stock Market Post Archives
So with the Detroit auto show starting this week and running through January 25, I’ve been paying attention to what might be coming down the line. No surprise, there are lots of electric and hybrid concept cars on display, including the Chevy Volt. And yes, the Volt is still scheduled to go into production--at the end of 2010, about 23 months from now. That’s a long ways off, especially when you realize that a full two years have passed already since the car was first announced.
Last week I wrote a long piece about Steve Jobs, Apple and AAPL, saying, “AAPL’s best days as an investment are over. In fact, AAPL is likely to underperform the market in the years ahead.” Today, the stock plunged on big volume through technical support, following the news that Steve would take a nearly six-month medical leave. So my timing was lucky. And my conclusion is unchanged. Remember, it’s all about changing levels of perception. Your job--and ours--is to find the next AAPL. One way to do that is to ask, “What company serves a mass market, is profitable, has terrific prospects for growing revenues and earnings rapidly, can ride a wave of societal evolution, and is not yet loved by the majority of investors?”
Last Thursday, in a financial story that you may have missed, Nasdaq OMX Group announced that it had created a new index. It’s called the Nasdaq OMX Government Relief Index and it is now trading under the symbol QGRI. The components of the index will be the companies that receive $1 billion or more under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) or any other government handout program. Creating and updating indexes like The Bailout Index (my term) is one way financial services companies make a living. But I think I’ll give The Bailout Index a pass
Today’s first topic is Steve Jobs, Apple and AAPL. Steve Jobs, of course, is the man at the head of the company. Apple is the company itself. And AAPL is the stock. They are three separate entities. But investors often make the mistake of confusing them, and that can be dangerous. The media have focused on Steve Jobs and his health and worried about the effect on the company should Steve’s health problems force him to step down. But I’m not making the mistake of thinking that if Steve returns to good health AAPL will continue to be a fine investment.
OK, by now you’re probably sick about hearing of New Year’s resolutions; heck, Paul Goodwin even wrote about a few pointers a couple of weeks ago and Elyse Andrews discussed some in last weekend’s digests. Even so, I like to write down some New Year’s investing resolutions every January, and I think you might get a valuable nugget or two out of them. So here are 10 to consider, in no particular order. Adopt one of them, adopt them all--whatever works for you. But I’m hoping to adhere to all of them (and more) in the months ahead.
It’s been a crazy year, with bank failures, bailouts and a historic election behind us, 2008 will definitely be one to remember. In honor of the New Year, I’ve been looking back at 2008--all its ups and downs--and came up with a few investing New Year’s resolutions based on what’s happened. The most important thing to remember is to learn from your mistakes, but don’t dwell on them. They teach important lessons, but the most important thing is to move forward with those teachings in mind. Best of luck to you in 2009!
Shifting into academic/environment/energy mode, I recently read an article in The New York Times that claimed we’d save more fuel as a country if we stopped measuring miles-per-gallon and began measuring gallons per 10,000 miles. On the surface, it doesn’t seem to make sense, and I assume that’s because we’ve been brainwashed (conditioned) into thinking m.p.g. is the gold standard. So I opened up a spreadsheet and tried some scenarios, and here’s what I found. It’s absolutely true.
After Andy Roddick’s brother/coach advises him to keep his eye on the ball during a tennis match, I started thinking about basic investing rules along that same line. If you asked my opinion on the most important basic investing rule, the one that’s the equivalent of “keep your eye on the ball,” I couldn’t pick one ... but I could pick three. There’s a reason that the same old rules are still the rules. Keep it simple. Keep your eye on the ball. And you’ll come up a winner. Now all we need is that bull market ...
As my two daughters reconnected with old friends, it slowly became clear to me that many of these young people, mainly college-educated, are unemployed, and about this I have a few thoughts. One, times are tough. Two, many of these young adults have skills that are rather loosely defined. When the economy was booming, their liberal arts degrees might have been the ticket to many types of employment, but now their prospects are bleak. Three, people will now keep their jobs longer. In the recent boom years, job-hopping became fashionable. Now, just as the trading-up of houses is history, so is job-hopping. Four, vocational training is on the upswing, as people young and old looking to improve their employment prospects take classes to learn marketable skills.
I recently brought you an issue of Cabot Wealth Advisory that reviewed some of our most important investing lessons from the year written by three of our editors. Today, I’m going to bring you something from the rest, Timothy Lutts, Cabot publisher and editor of Cabot Stock of the Month, Paul Goodwin, editor of Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report and Michael Cintolo, editor of Cabot Top Ten Report and Cabot Market Letter. I hope this helps you tackle your next investing challenge.
How safe are the toys your kids are playing with this Christmas? After the widespread toy recalls of 2007, I assumed the toy industry would have straightened its act out. Unfortunately, that’s not the case. The Ecology Center, a Michigan nonprofit, tested 1,500 children’s toys this year for lead, cadmium, arsenic, PVC and other harmful chemicals.
So what’s a potential leader? I could write about some of the (very few) stocks that are hitting new peaks--only 14 stocks hit new peaks on the NYSE and Nasdaq last Thursday, for instance--but instead, I’m highlighting a company with huge growth, a big story, and whose stock is in the sixth week of building a good-looking base.
I recently had the opportunity to talk to one of ours editors who you don’t hear from regularly in Cabot Wealth Advisory, Thomas Garrity, editor of Cabot Small-Cap Confidential. Today I’ve got a Q&A to share with you about why Tom prefers to invest in small-caps, what he thinks the best investment strategy is now and in the long-term. I hope you enjoy it! (Interesting side note: The Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks pushed above the 50-day moving average on Wednesday--the first time since the market collapse began in September.)
Ever since the story broke last week that Bernard Madoff had lost perhaps $50 billion of investments entrusted to him by friends, hedge funds, charities, etc., I’ve been looking for the answers to a few questions. When and how did it first go wrong? Was there one leveraged investment that went bad back before 1999, when the SEC first “investigated”? Did he dig himself out of that hole only to fall into another one or has he been producing bogus statements steadily since then? Who on the inside of the company was aware of the fraud? And what was the conversation like between father and sons before they turned him in? One thing is clear; the man will now find out who his true friends are.
My investing idea for today is about a beaten down sector that was the market’s Fair-Haired Boy just a few months ago. Back when crude oil was sailing along at $140 a barrel (and higher), everyone knew that solar cells were the wave of the future. Silicon was in short supply and companies like First Solar made heroic runs. FSLR began 2007 trading under 30 and peaked in May 2008 at over 300. That’s a winner in anyone’s book!