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Stock Market

Investing in the stock market has always been an effective way to build wealth. In fact, it’s consistently proven to be the most effective wealth generator over the long term.

And, with persistent inflation an ongoing issue and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates sooner rather than later, investing in stocks may be one of the few places investors will be able to generate consistent, inflation-beating returns for their savings.

Of course, stock market investing comes with more risk than a safe, low-yield savings account. Inevitably, not all of your investments will be winners.

In investing, no one really knows for sure what’s going to happen. Over time, however, stocks tend to rise. History tells us this. Since 1928, the average annual return in the S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is 10%. So historically, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks should allow you to just about double your investment once every seven years.

Now, there are periods where returns in the stock market underperform the average. Every few years we encounter corrections and bear markets, as we did in 2022 and 2018, and the years after the Great Recession and dotcom bust.

But over a longer time horizon, those off years are more than offset by the performance in bull markets. If you invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2014 and simply held that investment, you would have weathered the 2018 correction, the pandemic sell-off, and the 2022 bear market. And you’d have generated 16.5% annual returns.

You wouldn’t think that, with a correction, a pandemic and a bear market, the last decade would be anything to write home about, but those numbers speak for themselves. Despite the fear and negative headlines, investing over the last 10 years has beaten the historical average by more than 50% each year.

But, of course, your return would have depended on what stocks you actually bought. Take General Electric (GE), for example. GE is an iconic American company. As recently as 2009 it was the largest company in the world.

But had you bought GE at the beginning of 2014, you would have lost 0.7% every year, and that’s assuming you reinvested your dividends. Without dividend reinvestment, your returns would have been even worse.

That kind of unpredictability scares some people away from investing in the stock market. The track record over time should be enough to convince you otherwise.

The stock market is a vast and ever-evolving place, and there are many ways to approach stock market investing.

Want to invest in safe companies that offer a steady stream of income? You’re probably a dividend investor.

Are you willing to take on a bit more risk to go after bigger, faster rewards? Growth investing is likely for you.

Value investing is for investors who like to bargain shop.

Options trading is for those who like to invest based on statistical probabilities. And so on.

At Cabot Wealth Network, we have something for every investor. Our investment advisories cater to a variety of risk tolerances and timetables, depending on your preference. Since 1970, we’ve been helping investors of all experience levels achieve market-beating returns, helping our readers double their money more than 30 times over.

When done right, investing in the stock market can be a hugely profitable endeavor. For more than a half-century, we’ve been helping investors maximize those profits—and hope to continue doing so for another 50 years.

Stock Market Post Archives
Last year, I wrote about my former life as a newspaper employee and what I think about the hurting business. A lot has changed since then, with several newspapers shutting down operations (or threatening to), including the Rocky Mountain News and the Seattle Post-Intelligencer, and others laying off even more employees as revenues continue to plummet. But the question remains: Can newspapers be saved?
The healthcare column I wrote on Monday resulted in my heaviest email volume ever and I thank everyone who responded. In total, 69% of respondents were supportive, 6% were critical, and the remainder addressed other items in the column, mainly American International Group (AIG), which I used as an object lesson of stocks to avoid. But as several readers pointed out, I forgot one big thing, the need for tort reform! That alone is worth a whole column, and maybe I’ll do it someday. But today the words come from you. Here’s a sampling of the best.
The one big lesson I’ve learned since coming to Cabot is that not only can you time the market, it’s one of the biggest advantages you, the individual investor, has over the big boys. You can move into or out of the market at a moment’s notice! And if you still have money in growth stocks, and you’re watching the market take away a little more every week, you need to consider trying it. Soon.
Our healthcare system is broken. Insurance costs have risen inexorably. Doctors are frustrated at being paid less than they are worth. Millions of Americans are unable to afford basic insurance. And Americans are in terrible health. Yet previous attempts to fix the system have failed. So President Barack Obama is hunting for a less expensive system that will keep more of us healthy. I say, “Good luck,” sincerely but skeptically, because while I truly desire a better system I believe the institutionalized powers will make achieving change very difficult. In fact, I think what we need for this challenge is not a president but a dictator.
Today we’re featuring a special discount exclusive to Cabot Wealth Advisory readers from our friends at the Value Investing Congress. We’re also including Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter Editor J. Royden Ward’s notes from last fall’s fourth annual New York Value Investing Congress to give you a sense of the caliber of the program.
Get familiar with charts (there are many free charting programs online) and take five minutes to look at some of the major indexes every day or two. On the chart, you want to plot the index itself (say, the S&P 500), and you also want to plot its 50-day moving average. If most indexes are above their 50-day line, you should be constructive toward stocks. If most are below, you should be defensive. It sounds simple ... and it is.
I frequently get mail from business brokers who want to help me sell my business, and I always throw it away. I consider Cabot to be a family business; we’ve been serving individual investors for 38 years and I expect we’ll keep on doing so for decades to come. But I recently took a phone call from a salesman who invited me to an all-day seminar. I told him that my business was not for sale, but that I might be able to write about the topic for my readers. He said that was fine with him; he’d still like me to come. So I went to the seminar last week, and here’s what I learned.
Two weeks ago, many of you kindly filled out a survey and, in doing so, asked several great investing questions, some of which I’m going to tackle today. I’ll touch on low-risk investment strategies for market downturns, high-yield investments, investments that will benefit from the economic stimulus package and the Green sector.
Many value investors adhere to the old buy-and-hold forever theory. The past year, though, has been a brutal time to be a buy-and-hold investor. According to Morningstar, 95% of all mutual fund managers lost more than 27% last year. Holy cow! The S&P 500 Index (before dividends) dropped 21.85% for the 10 years ended December 31, 2008. The buy and hold strategy that many value investing gurus recommend has clearly not worked well during the past 10 years. Jeff Macke on CNBC’s Fast Money went so far as to proclaim “2008 will go down as the year buy-and-hold came to die.” Oh no, what do we value investors do now?
Note from Cabot Wealth Advisory Editor Elyse Andrews: It was greeted as “an oddball security from Canada” when it debuted in December 2003. But investors have been warming up to this special type of security in difficult times. Today, we’re featuring this income-investing article from our friends at StreetAuthority. StreetAuthority editor Carla Pasternak explains how to capture a 16% yield from a special Canadian security. After all, Carla reports that it pays five times the average yield delivered by the S&P 500 Index--while offering the safety of a bond with the upside of an equity.
There’s another company that’s benefiting from the trend of increasing government spending, and its stock was first mentioned (briefly) in last Saturday’s Cabot Wealth Advisory. In that issue, editor Elyse Andrews reprised the Martin Zweig-influenced screen I sometimes use that finds attractive undervalued growth companies. Last week, it found only two. The one that caught my attention was Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL).
First of all, I want to thank everyone who took the time to fill out the survey last weekend. We’ll try to write about many of the investment topics that you requested, so in that vein, today I’m pulling an article out of the archives that answers a question that was asked several times on the survey: How do you invest during a recession? Timothy Lutts wrote an excellent piece about this last January, yes a whole 13 months ago (long before anyone officially declared that we are in a recession), and I dug it out to share with you again here.
Doomsaying is a tricky business. In the late 1970s, when commodities were king, technical analyst Bob Prechter correctly predicted the implosion of the commodity bull market and a “‘super cycle’” bull market in equities. His eerily on-target prediction made him an investing superstar. Unfortunately, he then predicted the 1990s would be a severe bear market for stocks. I’ll admit, there is something tempting about subscribing to bleak predictions when times are tough. But there are four reasons I believe most of this dommsaying is wrong.
Late last year we published a Special Report titled, “Cabot’s 10 Favorite Low-Priced Stocks for 2009.” Well, it’s been more than eight weeks since most readers received their reports, and because I recently received an inquiry for follow-up from a subscriber, I thought I’d provide it to everybody. Overall, an average investor who bought all 10 stocks and followed the instructions we gave, might have earned an average profit of 13%, not bad at all for two months at the bottom of a bear market.
By now you may have heard of the “25 Random Things” phenomenon that has swept Facebook and been written about in The News York Times, CNN and the Wall Street Journal. The idea is not new; your friends write 25 things about themselves that they then send to you in hopes of learning 25 things about you. Some have used this as a forum to spill their guts, while others have sternly refused to participate. I’m not into confessionals, so I’ll use the concept to write 25 top investing rules, tips and books that I’ve compiled from the advice our editors have given over the years.