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The market is strong, and the strongest sector of all is growth stocks; we have bunch hitting new highs. As to today’s recommendation, it’s a repeat, a stock we owned successfully last year and that looks good to enter again.
Market Gauge is 8Current Market Outlook


It’s been a tricky few weeks, but by our measures, the intermediate-term trend of the major indexes has turned up, which is a sign to increase your exposure to the market’s leading stocks (preferably on pullbacks). And there are a lot of leaders to choose from! In particular, the growth stocks that bounced nicely off the market’s early-February low continue to perform excellently, displaying powerful and persistent action, which usually indicates more upside is in store (albeit with normal pullbacks and shakeouts along the way). We’re not viewing this as a blastoff, but more of a resumption of the market’s longer-term uptrend. Our Market Monitor moves up a couple of notches into bullish territory.

This week’s list is another one that’s filled with enticing growth stories and strong charts. There are a ton of good stocks to choose from, but we’re going with TD Ameritrade (AMTD) as our Top Pick, as it’s one of the strongest Bull Market stocks out there today.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND) 267.14173-178158-162
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) 43.3156-6051-53
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) 236.92181-187166-170
Qualys (QLYS) 0.0074-7768-70
Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) 120.9373-7764.5-67.5
TD Ameritrade (AMTD) 0.0060-6355-57
Teladoc, Inc. (TDOC) 127.9537-38.536.5-38
Twitter (TWTR) 40.3732.5-34.529-30
Western Digital Corporation (WDC) 0.0096-10089-91
Zillow (Z) 76.6453-55.548.5-50

With a bumpy market to work with and a few stocks still to report earnings, we take a look at the political risks to the portfolio. We also shift our focus to Brazil, where we find an unusual commodity company and a fresh airline stock to consider.
In this month’s issue, I introduce two new stocks, recommend selling two stocks and change one position from Buy to Hold. I’m consciously changing the portfolio into more defensive stocks to guard against inflationary fears.
I’m really trying to avoid buying high—so today’s selection is an undervalued stock that recently had a great correction and is now working its way back up.
Today’s featured stocks include GameStop (GME), Southwest Airlines (LUV) and PBF Energy (PBF), which is joining the Buy Low Opportunities Portfolio. I’m also selling Nucor (NUE) today.
Market Gauge is 5Current Market Outlook


The market’s two-plus-week rally hit a wall last week, with the major indexes suffering three days in a row of distribution (higher volume selling), that caused most to fall back below their 50-day lines. That’s reason enough to remain relatively cautious—we’re keeping our Market Monitor in neutral territory. On the flip side, though, is the action of leading stocks, a ton of which are actually pushing higher despite the market’s wobbles! Of course, good-looking stocks can go bad in a hurry in a bad market, but there’s no question this broad resilience (including a slew of solid earnings reactions) is very encouraging. Our thought is to pick up a few shares of some potential winners of the next leg up, but because of the market, do so in small amounts, while continuing to hold a chunk of cash on the sideline.

This week’s list is chock-full of strong growth stocks (and a couple of old world stocks, too). It’s hard to narrow down our choice to just one, but we’re going with Proofpoint (PFPT), which looks like a mid-cap leader in the newly strong cybersecurity group.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Coupa Software (COUP) 262.2044-4639-40.5
Etsy (ETSY) 112.9722.5-25.521-22.5
Lumentum (LITE) 87.0061-6455-57
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) 980.83375-395345-355
The New York Times Company (NYT) 0.0023-24.521-22
Proofpoint (PFPT) 113.79110-114100-103
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.00117-121108-111
Splunk (SPLK) 207.6798-10290-92
United States Steel Corporation (X) 0.0042.5-45.537-39
Veeva Systems (VEEV) 180.2372-7665-67.5

We’re adding a pure-play security solutions provider to Cabot Small-Cap Confidential to increase our security software exposure. This company is growing revenue well over 20% and is expanding its portfolio of solutions to address large and rapidly growing markets.
Updates
For value-focused investors, this year’s prologue has been a welcome change from the turmoil experienced in early 2025.

In just the past few weeks, some of last year’s most ignored or underappreciated laggards have posted outsized gains, with rallies that have made even momentum-driven tech stock traders envious. Even more remarkable is the fact that much of that strength has been concentrated in ultra-defensive areas of the market like consumer staples, utilities and healthcare.
The market rotation continues to be the main story out there this week, though rumblings of a potential strike on Iran, an update from the January FOMC meeting, and a slew of earnings reports and economic data releases have been giving investors plenty to think about.

In terms of the rotation, the equal‑weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) is up 5.5% so far this year, illustrating that leadership is broadening beyond the narrow group of mega‑cap stocks that drove much of last year’s performance.

Year to date, the S&P 600 SmallCap Index is up 8.3% and the S&P 400 Mid‑Cap Index is up 7.9%. Both are comfortably outperforming the S&P 500, which is up just 0.1%, and the Nasdaq, which is down 2.1%.
Happy Chinese New Year! The year of the horse is upon us.

China is expecting an incredible 9.5 billion trips to be made during the 40-day Lunar New Year travel period. Chinese automakers are also on the move as the country’s numerous brands sold nearly 200,000 vehicles in Britain last year, doubling their market share to almost 10%.
As U.S. investors have shifted from risk-on to risk-off mode in recent months, a clear disparity between the “haves” and the “have-nots” has materialized.

Let’s start with the “have-nots.” Financials have fared the worst so far this year (-4.7%), followed by technology (-3.1%), communication services and consumer discretionary (-2.8% each). The downturn in the two tech-related sectors in particular is a stark departure from recent years, when technology led the charge of the current bull market.
Cyclical stocks are soaring and technology is floundering in the transformed market.

The bull market is turned upside down. For most of the first three years, technology, and particularly AI stocks, soared while most other stocks did very little. Now, previously meandering stocks are killing it while technology sinks.
Strong fourth-quarter earnings are confirming what the market was already doing.

Current estimates based on earnings reported so far are for 13.2% overall S&P earnings growth for the quarter. It’s a solid quarter and the fifth straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth. In terms of sector performance, cyclical companies are killing it, and technology is floundering, just like before earnings.
Like many coffee aficionados, I have something of a love/hate relationship with Starbucks (SBUX). My main gripe is that the company’s food and beverage offerings have always been pricey compared to the fare served in most fast-food restaurants and run-of-the-mill coffee houses.
The outperformance of small caps continues.

Through Tuesday’s close, the S&P 600 is up 10% year to date versus just 1.6% for the S&P 500.

All but three small-cap sectors are outperforming their large-cap counterpart. The strongest small-cap sectors are materials (+20%), energy (+23%), industrials (+17%), and tech (+11.4%).
Let’s talk about the power of staying invested.

Sure, when the market turns south – and I’m not even sure last week’s mini-dip qualifies – it makes sense to pare back on your weakest stocks and put a larger portion of your portfolio in cash. But taking your ball and going home – selling out of all of your stocks when times are tough – is not a winning strategy. Here’s why.
NOTE: We’re sending this a day early as I’m soon to embark on a trip with the kiddos over the next week. I will be working a good amount from the road, though, and will have updates if need be. Also, next week’s issue will be published as scheduled.

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WHAT TO DO NOW: The market remains very mixed, with growth measures still generally pointed sideways to down, while the broad market remains in solid shape. What’s interesting, though, is that we’re seeing more growth stocks kick into gear, along with some huge buying action in a few “cyclical growth” names. Tonight we’re making one move—adding a half-sized stake in Macom Tech (MTSI)—but are keeping our eyes open for a broader character change among growth stocks. Our cash position will be around 53%.
Today could be a big day for cannabis stocks.

The reason: We may get an important update on the rescheduling timeline.

Cannabis investors will be watching closely today to see whether Attorney General Pam Bondi offers a rescheduling update when she appears before the House Judiciary Committee. Upbeat comments could spark a sharp cannabis sector rally. The hearing starts at 10 a.m. EST.
I’m excited to share a couple of enhancements to Cabot Early Opportunities —improvements designed to sharpen our focus and better help you stay on top of the stocks we own.
Alerts
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) reported outstanding first-quarter results yesterday afternoon, with revenue of $1.07 billion vs. the consensus estimate of $1.05 billion. But it was the huge and unexpected earnings beat that brought lots of attention to the stock.
Wall Street analysts are forecasting a $41/share target price for this biotech—107% higher than the stock is currently trading.
The strength of the past couple of days has turned our Cabot Tides bullish, where it joins the Cabot Trend Lines and Two-Second Indicator. Thus, after a seven-week rest, it appears the market’s major uptrend is resuming and we want to put some new cash to work.
Updates on two of our stocks that reported earnings, plus updates on six other holdings.
This entertainment giant just hit 100 million subscribers. The company beat estimates by $0.03 last quarter and is on target for triple-digit growth this year.
Last week, a shoddy take-down article was written about one of our holdings on Seeking Alpha. It was written by an anonymous author, was poorly constructed and failed to undermine (in my opinion) the most important parts of the long-case for the company.
The broad market finally firmed up last week. After closing below their 50-day lines the previous Friday, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all found support early last week, then rebounded strongly at the end of the week. However, while the market is firming, four of our holdings stumbled on earnings last week.
This is a small cap company with double-digit growth rates. It operates in the booming battery sector.
Mattel (MAT) reported a poor first quarter, largely due to continuing overhang from a poor holiday season.
This stock reported earnings that met estimates this morning, but revenue fell short of expectations and the stock is about 3% lower mid-morning.
This stock reported first-quarter EPS that fell well short of expectations last night and the stock is trading 6% lower pre-market.
This vehicle reseller just opened its sixth location in Brazil. Its shares recently crossed their 50-day moving average, a bullish indicator.
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