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Stock Market

Investing in the stock market has always been an effective way to build wealth. In fact, it’s consistently proven to be the most effective wealth generator over the long term.

And, with persistent inflation an ongoing issue and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates sooner rather than later, investing in stocks may be one of the few places investors will be able to generate consistent, inflation-beating returns for their savings.

Of course, stock market investing comes with more risk than a safe, low-yield savings account. Inevitably, not all of your investments will be winners.

In investing, no one really knows for sure what’s going to happen. Over time, however, stocks tend to rise. History tells us this. Since 1928, the average annual return in the S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is 10%. So historically, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks should allow you to just about double your investment once every seven years.

Now, there are periods where returns in the stock market underperform the average. Every few years we encounter corrections and bear markets, as we did in 2022 and 2018, and the years after the Great Recession and dotcom bust.

But over a longer time horizon, those off years are more than offset by the performance in bull markets. If you invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2014 and simply held that investment, you would have weathered the 2018 correction, the pandemic sell-off, and the 2022 bear market. And you’d have generated 16.5% annual returns.

You wouldn’t think that, with a correction, a pandemic and a bear market, the last decade would be anything to write home about, but those numbers speak for themselves. Despite the fear and negative headlines, investing over the last 10 years has beaten the historical average by more than 50% each year.

But, of course, your return would have depended on what stocks you actually bought. Take General Electric (GE), for example. GE is an iconic American company. As recently as 2009 it was the largest company in the world.

But had you bought GE at the beginning of 2014, you would have lost 0.7% every year, and that’s assuming you reinvested your dividends. Without dividend reinvestment, your returns would have been even worse.

That kind of unpredictability scares some people away from investing in the stock market. The track record over time should be enough to convince you otherwise.

The stock market is a vast and ever-evolving place, and there are many ways to approach stock market investing.

Want to invest in safe companies that offer a steady stream of income? You’re probably a dividend investor.

Are you willing to take on a bit more risk to go after bigger, faster rewards? Growth investing is likely for you.

Value investing is for investors who like to bargain shop.

Options trading is for those who like to invest based on statistical probabilities. And so on.

At Cabot Wealth Network, we have something for every investor. Our investment advisories cater to a variety of risk tolerances and timetables, depending on your preference. Since 1970, we’ve been helping investors of all experience levels achieve market-beating returns, helping our readers double their money more than 30 times over.

When done right, investing in the stock market can be a hugely profitable endeavor. For more than a half-century, we’ve been helping investors maximize those profits—and hope to continue doing so for another 50 years.

Stock Market Post Archives
Warren Buffett has said, “Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.” What about us ordinary investors who can’t wait 10 years? I have an easy solution-- I buy when a stock is undervalued and sell when it becomes overvalued. The time frame is usually about two years. The basic principal is simple: the stock market and the individual stocks that make up the stock market have always bounced back and forth from overvalued to undervalued to overvalued, over and over again.
Stock market old-timers will often tell newbies that “the market wants to take your money,” which, on the face of it, isn’t all that credible. After all, lots of people make lots of money on Wall Street. Still, there’s something to the warning, and the quicker you learn about it, the quicker you can start printing your yearly results in black ink, rather than red. So what can you do about it? As any of our longtime readers know, the answer is: have a system.
A couple of years ago, before we began writing Cabot Wealth Advisory, someone in our office came up with the idea of sending out a free monthly email that answered many of our subscribers’ most common questions. We named it Ask Cabot, but as time went on we stopped getting as many general investing questions, and we got busy with our paid publications. So we stopped that and started Cabot Wealth Advisory. Since its inception we have gotten a slew of questions and today some of our readers FAQs get answered.
In 1931, Humphrey Neill, who later became famous as the Vermont Ruminator, wrote a book called “Tape Reading and Market Tactics - The Three Steps to Successful Stock Trading.” What are the Mr. Neill’s three steps to successful stock trading? The first step is familiarizing yourself with the methods of the institutions that move the market. The second step is learning how to interpret the actions of both these groups and the investing public. The third step (and hardest of all) is achieving mastery of yourself; of the “temperament, emotions, and the other variables that go to make up human nature.”
The news is out: Brazil is now the largest emerging market in the world by market capitalization of its stocks, and Petrobras, the Brazilian oil giant, is the largest company in the emerging markets by market cap. Brazilian stocks now make up about 15% of the MSCI Global Emerging Markets Index, compared with China’s 14%. The South American giant has surpassed China, in part, because the Chinese stock market is in the middle of a pullback that has given its stocks a significant haircut. That’s the way it is with emerging markets; they go up faster than developed markets and come down faster, too.
We appear to be at a major turning point, a changing of the guard, if you will, and if you don’t heed the market’s message, you risk discovering that it has taken some of your hard-earned money. The fact is, most leaders of the last bull market are toast. Google is 37% off its high. Apple is down 37%, too. So what’s working? Two sectors.
One thing that I am almost never asked about is what it takes to be a great investor. Everyone is focused on today’s stock, or tomorrow’s headlines. I can literally count on one hand the number of questions I’ve answered that concern building a successful system that will generate above-average profits for years. The funny thing is, that system - while it involves many rules and tools for finding, buying and selling the best stocks at the right times - really begins with the individual. People are usually their own worst enemies when it comes to winning the investment battle.
Intellectually, everyone knows that the right time to get into the market is at the bottom. Stocks are cheap and there are bargains galore. Unfortunately, figuring out when a bear market is going to bottom is about as easy as knowing when a long-winded speaker is going to quit talking. It can’t be done. Maybe it’s fairer to say that you can’t see a market bottom by looking forward through the windshield. It’s something that can only be seen in the rear-view mirror.
At Cabot we’ve learned that it takes excellent, innovative management to steer a fast-growing company down the highway of success. Contrarily, bad management can wreck even the most promising company. As might be the case with one carbon fiber company Cabot’s been watching for more than a decade.
Here’s one of the biggest differences between successful and ineffective traders: The market can change its tune in a heartbeat but ineffective traders cannot...or at least they refuse to try. These traders think everything has to make sense, and rapid changes in direction rarely make sense, so they fight the new trend.
The trick is to think about taxes before you invest, not when you’re thinking of selling.
Each year end, I review my investing strengths and weaknesses, examining stock charts of previous buys and sells, comparing them to market action, and so on.
A bear market is not tolerant of aggressive behavior. The effects of your mistakes are magnified—the secret to surviving the bear market is adapting.
William Arthur Ward (1921-1994) said it like this: “The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.” My thesis is simple: that the market is always changing, and that to succeed as an investor, you’ve got to change with it. Well, I think it’s time to adjust the sails, because as the market works to build a base here, the strongest stocks in the market are coal stocks...and never before in my career have coal stocks been attractive investments.
SNaC stands for Story, Numbers and Chart, and it’s the method I use to pick stocks for the Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report. There’s nothing complicated about it, but it can be very powerful. Just because it’s simple, that doesn’t mean it’s easy to do, any more than the simplicity of “exercise more and eat less” makes that particular prescription easy. Here are the basic principles.