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Oil prices have declined significantly in the last year and that’s leading to a big opportunity in dirt-cheap energy stocks.

Choppy markets like we have now are exactly the reason to adhere to a consistent investing strategy or system. This is Cabot’s.

In this week’s video, Mike Cintolo talks about the market’s under-the-surface improvement that he’s seeing; no indicators have changed, which will need to happen for him to extend his line in a big way, but there’s no question most stuff has seen improvement and more stocks are beginning to act properly. Mike did a little buying this week and is hoping to add more should the market be able to build on the recent action.

WHAT TO DO NOW: The overall market remains mixed, but the under-the-surface action remains a meat grinder, with numerous stocks getting chewed up after making big swings. Today, we’re cutting loose On Holdings (ONON), which had a great Q1 but has nevertheless seen sellers swarm. This will leave us with more than 70% in cash, which is too high given the evidence, so we may have a new addition or two in tomorrow’s issue, though we’ll have to see how it goes given the continued air pockets among potential leaders.

No banks imploded this week, and there are rumors that the folks in Washington are making progress on a debt deal. Plus, we think the Fed may just pause for a bit, if not be done hiking rates.

Add it all up and the broad market is inching higher.

So far, the small-cap index is being left behind. That’s because of the high weight of financials and energy, and those two sectors look terrible in small-cap land.

Officially, nothing much has changed with the overall evidence—the major indexes are a split verdict, with the Nasdaq hitting nine-month highs and the S&P 500 testing breakout levels, while the broader indexes remain mostly stuck in the mud while lagging groups (like financials) bounce into resistance. As for individual names, there remain plenty of air pockets, too.

Moving M/I Homes (MHO) to Sell

Ahead of a big week for the market, the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all rose marginally last week.

This week Chris and Brad talk about the latest Chinese GDP numbers and whether it’s safe to invest in China, Tesla’s earnings release, and what they’re seeing with Regional banks now that they’re reporting. After that, they break down FAANG stocks, their popular ascent as market shorthand, and whether Microsoft is “sexy” enough to sit at the cool kids’ table.

Ahead of a big week for the market, the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all rose marginally last week.

We are moving shares of Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) from Buy to Sell. The shares are approaching our 69 price target, with only about 4% upside remaining. This is close enough, given that much of the run-up is being driven by Budweiser’s Bud Light marketing blunder in the United States. Sales of Bud Light have slumped as much as 25%, while sales of Coors, Miller and others have jumped. It’s not clear how long this phenomenon will last, but the share valuation is becoming relatively full. We are reluctant to raise our price target from here. Shares of Molson Coors have produced about a 29% total return since our initial recommendation.

In this week’s video, Mike Cintolo talks about the market’s under-the-surface improvement that he’s seeing; no indicators have changed, which will need to happen for him to extend his line in a big way, but there’s no question most stuff has seen improvement and more stocks are beginning to act properly. Mike did a little buying this week and is hoping to add more should the market be able to build on the recent action.

The economic stage has been set for a new bull market, but what’s a value investor to do as growth stocks drag the indexes higher?

It’s a new bull market! The S&P 500 has rallied over 20% from the low, the technical definition of a bull market. The index is also up about 12% YTD. Are stocks topping out or are we off to the races? Despite inflation, the Fed, and increasing forecasts of recession, stocks have defied conventional wisdom and rallied strongly. That’s impressive. But this rally is incredibly thin. Ten primarily large technology company stocks are responsible for all of the index gains YTD. The other 490 stocks have collectively gone nowhere.

Ahead of a big week for the market, the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all rose marginally last week.

The market has been following a very bullish script for the past few weeks, doing just about everything it “needed” to do -- our Cabot Tides have turned positive, as has our Two-Second Indicator, while our Aggression Index tells us growth-ier names are in favor. And more important, individual names are now breaking out (not failing) and following through on the upside. Obviously, the market has come a long way in a short time, and we are starting to see a few strong names wobble a bit, so we’re not going whole hog right here, but we are continuing with our plan of steadily putting money to work -- tonight, we’re filling out our position in one current holding and starting a new half-sized position in a new name. That should leave us with around 40% in cash.

Elsewhere in tonight’s issue, we go over all our new stocks and our watch list, write about one strong sector outside of growth and dive into some solid longer-term positive signs for the market as a whole.

A big move may be coming for cannabis stocks, which could be an opportunity for short-term profit on the path to long-term sector growth.