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While the market officially remains in a downtrend, various indicators in recent weeks, combined with terrible news and sentiment, tell us the market bottom may have passed. But until we see real strength, continued caution is advised.
Today’s recommendation may be too aggressive for some readers (it’s a semiconductor company, and we all know they can be volatile) but it has a good story and chart and I think it’s worth the risk.


As for the portfolio, there are no sales, just one downgrade to Hold.


Details in the issue.

Politicians in Washington, D.C. let cannabis investors down once again.

Commentary from lobbyists and Senators had suggested the Senate banking committee might make progress on cannabis sector banking reform (allowing banks to work with companies) in late July.

That turned out not to be the case. I cautioned at the time that a risk here is that the actions of politicians are hard to predict. But it was worth having exposure, in case there actually was progress on so-called SAFE banking, which seemed possible at the time.

The flip of the calendar has brought some wild action, and overall, growth stocks and funds remain stuck in the mud, unable to make much progress (even including the Nasdaq itself). We remain cautious right now and, in fact, are placing two of our stocks on Hold today as they’ve been weighed down by the environment. That said, while we’re holding lots of cash, we remain flexible, as tons of names are in consolidations and are presenting at key conferences (which have become like earnings reports at times) next week—if we see many breakouts, we’ll pounce, but for now, we advise a bit more patience.

It’s time to buy stocks more aggressively.

That’s the case for stocks in general, but also cannabis stocks. Most cannabis companies aren’t really affected by tariffs. But their stocks have been hit recently by the shift to “risk-off” mode among investors.

For anyone engaged in the forecasting business, the temptation is always present to make a sensational claim about the future in order to stand out from the crowd and garner mainstream media attention. And truth be told, for those of us whose livelihoods involve predicting financial markets, that temptation must often be suppressed in the interest of professionalism.

The Buyback Letter is intended for experienced investors who understand the risks, costs, consequences and mechanics of investing. The Buyback Letter carefully analyzes each buyback stock and each buyback company, separating rhetoric from reality. The editor pores over announcements, scrutinizes quarterly and annual reports, and talks to company officials, lawyers...

Today’s note includes earnings updates on 12 companies, the podcast and the Catalyst Report. We publish the Catalyst Report on the Friday after each monthly issue of the Cabot Turnaround Letter. There were no changes to any of our ratings this week.

There’s a massive gap between what Boomers plan to leave younger generations and what those generations expect to inherit, so start saving now.

“Over the past two years, Janus Flexible Bond (JAFIX for ‘T’ shares) was the 10th best performer of every fund we track in our Performance Comparison tables. Its annualized gain over this period was 10.2%, vs. 6.8% for iShares Barclays Aggregate (AGG), an indexed exchange traded fund for the intermediate-term,...

The market remains challenging and divergent, and few growth stocks look ready to start a sustained upmove just yet. But the evidence has slowly improved since the start of the month, including the fact that our Cabot Tides (which have admittedly been on-again, off-again of late) have returned to a bullish stance. We don’t think it’s time for a major buying spree, but we are putting some of our large cash hoard to work by filling out one of our positions and starting a small stake in a new, resilient growth name. Last but not least — all of us here at Cabot wish you and yours a happy, healthy and prosperous New Year.

Different investment styles have different objectives and require different rules. Value investing looks for undervalued stocks.

The iShares EM Fund (EEM) has been through a bad week, pulling it decisively below its 25- and 50-day moving averages. It’s a clear red light, and we’re taking action to reduce our exposure while we await both quarterly earnings reports from our holdings and a return of the buyers to emerging market stocks.

Remain bullish, but keep your antennae up. We’ve seen repeated bouts of selling in leading growth stock so far this month, but a few yellow flags have appeared. We’re holding our 16% cash position and placing two positions on Hold tonight.

The market seems to have found its footing this week as the economy reopens amidst some supply shortages and inflationary pressures. Electric vehicle stocks are coming back as Ford announced a big push into EVs and its new F-150 Lightning received 70,000 deposits in just 10 days.

Note: Due to the celebration of Independence Day next week, the next issue will be delivered Tuesday, July 5.
The market rallied strongly last week, erasing some of the carnage of the previous two weeks, but the main trend is still down and thus caution is still advised.


This week’s stock is a growth company that serves the solar power industry, and the stock looks attractive now because it’s basically been treading water for 17 months.


As for the current portfolio, which is 25% in cash, there’s one Sell.


Details in the issue

Small-cap cloud software stocks have been on a roll lately, and these three are showing strong momentum heading into 2024.

Cabot’s proven market timing indicators show this recent move is not just a rally.

Despite a small bounce Friday on softer inflation data that eased some knee-jerk selling, markets finished on the back foot as renewed investor anxiety around artificial-intelligence disruption rippled through tech and cyclical stocks. Growth names lagged, pressure widened beyond software to financials and real estate, and defensive sectors outperformed amid falling Treasury yields that weren’t enough to stem the slide. By week’s end, the S&P 500 had fallen 1.4%, the Dow Jones had lost 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite had tumbled 2.1%.

Despite a small bounce Friday on softer inflation data that eased some knee-jerk selling, markets finished on the back foot as renewed investor anxiety around artificial-intelligence disruption rippled through tech and cyclical stocks. Growth names lagged, pressure widened beyond software to financials and real estate, and defensive sectors outperformed amid falling Treasury yields that weren’t enough to stem the slide. By week’s end, the S&P 500 had fallen 1.4%, the Dow Jones had lost 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite had tumbled 2.1%.