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Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the June 2021 issue.

Good investing ideas can come from anywhere. One useful source is to borrow ideas from some of the best value-oriented investors. Their holdings can be found in the 13F and 13D regulatory filings which are required every quarter. In the letter, we briefly describe these filings, how we use them, and six stocks that look attractive from the many holdings we analyzed.



A slightly shocking source of turnaround ideas can come from the electric utility industry – about the last place that contrarians might look these days. We discuss three with interesting stories and strong upside potential.



Our feature Buy recommendation, Vistra Corporation (VST), comes from this illuminating search through the utility sector. Vistra is the nation’s largest independent power producer with an emerging retail business. Its shares were jolted by the winter storms yet look like an attractive turnaround situation.



We also mention our May 12th move from Buy to Sell on shares of Mohawk Industries (MHK).



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you. A great way to get more out of your letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

Current Market Outlook


The market had become vulnerable to a short-term pullback in recent weeks, and now the normal post-Fed wobbles have turned into an abnormal selloff after the new round of Chinese tariffs, with today’s market plunge decisively cracking the intermediate-term uptrends of the major indexes and many leading stocks. Bigger picture, this is still a bull market until proven otherwise, but after some huge runs, many stocks that have been running for months likely need time to repair the damage. Interestingly, the fresher stocks (those that got going in May, June and July) are mostly hanging in there, and we’re not opposed to nibbling on them if you have some cash on the sideline. But at this point, your focus should be more on preserving capital (honoring stops, holding cash, cutting back on new buying) and waiting for bottoms to be formed. Our Market Monitor is back down to a level 4.
This week’s list is full of those fresher names, if you feel like taking a stab at a name or two. Our Top Pick is Inphi (IPHI), a high-potential stock that’s holding up well after earnings.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)	79.05	53-55.5	48.5-49.5
Anaplan (PLAN)	47.52	51-53.5	46-48
Casey’s General Store (CASY)	165.73	159-162	147-149
Inphi (IPHI)	120.16	59-61	51.5-52.5
MasTec, Inc. (MTZ)	66.65	55.5-58	50.5-52
PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)	35.09	41.5-43.5	37.5-38.5
Pinterest (PINS)	35.86	32-34	28-29
SunPower (SPWR)	12.26	12.4-13.4	10.7-11.2
Survey Monkey (SVMK)	19.97	17.5-18.5	15.8-16.4
Twitter (TWTR)	40.37	39-41	36-37

Overall, the market’s action remains as close to pristine as you could hope for. Under the hood, there has been a touch of rotation, with some growth stocks chopping around while cyclical, construction and materials names perk up. All in all, we wouldn’t be surprised if growth continued to catch its breath, as the recent pullback was very brief, but that’s short-term nitpicking: While dips and potholes will come, the bottom line is that the vast majority of evidence is bullish, so you should be, too. We’ll bump our Market Monitor up to a level 8, and think adding exposure (ideally on dips) makes sense.

This week’s list reflects the broadening we’re seeing out there, with a few tech names but many others from other corners of the market. Our Top Pick is a long-term winner in the aerospace and defense field whose stock just broke out.

There’s no doubt the market continues to keep investors on their toes, and some further discomfort in the short term is certainly possible after the recent run. It’s also a decent bet that earnings season, which is now ramping up, will present a few potholes. But those are the trees—if you look at the forest, all of the bullish factors are still in place, whether it’s the uptrend in the major indexes, the solid action among most leading stocks, the sluggishness of defensive stocks and, more recently, the strength of the broad market (including five straight days of 2-to-1 NYSE breadth). We remain bullish and expect higher prices—we’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 8.

This week’s list has a very broad mix of names, including everything from giant blue chips to more speculative small caps. Our Top Pick is in the right area (big-cap growth) and is trying to emerge from a tight consolidation. Earnings are out in a couple of weeks, so start small and build if the breakout works.

Most stocks have barely budged the last two and a half years, but the Magnificent Seven and a handful of large-cap artificial intelligence-related leaders have picked up the slack, resulting in a 22% gain in the S&P 500 since the start of 2022. So, we’ve tried to play the hits here at Stock of the Week, adding a couple Mag. Seven names to the portfolio and several AI plays. All of them are up double-digit percentages (and one triple-digit winner!) in little more than a year. Now, with the market’s tides starting to shift away from AI and the Mag. Seven and toward other, long unloved sectors, we pivot toward one of the new favorites – retail – by adding a recent recommendation from Mike Cintolo to his Cabot Growth Investor readers.

Details inside.

Cannabis stocks remain unloved by investors. This makes the group buyable because catalysts are on the horizon.

The tricky part now is that it is more difficult to predict that we may see a catalyst near term, or even when the next one will occur. Patience is required.

Here is a look at the four main potential catalysts.

Insurance costs have been rising for years, even rapidly outpacing inflation in many areas, and households are feeling the pinch of higher prices. This month, let’s take a closer look at why the costs to insure your home and autos are rising and what you can do about it. We’ll explore who’s paying these higher prices, comparison shopping for new or replacement policies, and the other steps you can take to keep your costs manageable.

Tariffs are back.

Of course, stocks could continue to move higher. The optimists have been right so far. But the indexes are near all-time highs, while uncertainty abounds. It might not be the best strategy to pay a premium for a stock in a precarious market.

Fortunately, while the overall market is near the high, there are stocks that are still cheap. The amazing market recovery from the April low has been led by technology, which accounts for about one-third of the S&P index. That sector has soared over 40% in the last three months. But many great stocks are still priced far from their 52-week highs.

In this issue, I highlight a financial industry powerhouse with a long track record of outperforming the market. The stock is well below the 52-week high and selling near its cheapest valuations in years. While the market could go either way in the weeks ahead, this stock is well-positioned to boom when the environment normalizes. Meanwhile the current uncertainty is keeping it cheap.

It may seem like stock prices have run away in the impressive recovery from the April low. But there is a stock where it’s still April.

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the September 2021 issue.

While the stock market continues to set new record highs, oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies have been left behind. Yet, at current commodity prices, which we believe are sustainable, several companies have shares that trade at surprisingly high free cash flow yields, some as high as 24%. We make our case for five stocks.



Related to this, our featured recommendation is Marathon Oil Company (MRO), a mid-cap oil-focused E&P company. Its strong fundamentals, including a high-quality asset base, strong free cash flow and a solid balance sheet, make it particularly attractive.



We highlight three former Cabot Turnaround Letter winners whose shares have retreated since our exit. These now look interesting once again.
In this issue we also discuss three one-off contrarian ideas that have considerable appeal.



During the month, we had a few ratings changes: we moved Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/B) to a Hold, and moved Albertsons (ACI) and Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) from Buy to Sell.



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you. A great way to get more out of your letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

Mike Tyson inadvertently offers sage advice for investors. We add a new Buy, two stocks are approaching our price targets so we put them under review, and one stock surges following a shareholder-friendly payout announcement.

I’m making three portfolio moves today. I’m putting one stock on Hold due to an earnings miss and taking half our profits in another stock off the table, as the stock has stalled out. We’re also selling one stock, as planned, due to significant technical erosion in the chart.

This is a big earnings week that could determine the near-term direction of the market.


This earnings quarter started at the beginning of this month. But the rubber hits the road this week. Big technology companies including Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Meta (META) as well as energy companies Exxon Mobile (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and Valero Energy (VLO) all report this week.

One of the reasons I love the stock market is that it’s such a battle of the mind. Of course, few pundits or analysts will tell you that--to them, it’s all about number crunching, research, valuation and industry analysis. And all of those are important. But when you get down to it, with money on the line, buying and selling stocks becomes emotional. Really, though, it’s how you handle those emotions that will go a long way toward determining how much money you make and keep in the stock market. The investors that shoot from the hip and react to every wiggle in the market generally do poorly. Those that have a well thought out plan are usually the ones that excel.

Last Monday marked a special day for us at Cabot: The 39th anniversary of the first issue of Cabot Market Letter, our flagship newsletter. In honor of this anniversary, I’ve interviewed Cabot Market Letter’s current steward, Michael Cintolo.

Great Growth & Value Stocks That Are Poised for Immediate Upside | on April 18, 2019 Crista Huff, Chief Analyst of Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor, spoke about learning how you can combine the best of three famous stock-investing strategies to enhance your portfolio returns and lower your portfolio risk.

While admitting that now is not the best market for growth investors, Cintolo can still find growth stocks with big potential.

In football, too many scouts focus on how a prospect looked in the workout room or running drills in a T-shirt and shorts.

As summer morphs into fall and Wall Street returns to full operation, I’m seeing some welcome signs of buying in the cannabis sector. So today we’ll join them, by averaging up in two of our holdings.

Last year, I started writing a series explaining our investment advisories in an effort to help answer one of the most common questions we get from investors, “Which Cabot publication is right for me?” Also last year, we expanded the Cabot family by purchasing Dick Davis Digest and Income Digest. This is what Timothy Lutts wrote at the time: “Now, it’s our honor to be the steward of these well-respected publications. Our goal is to honor the past reputation of these Digests, while improving the newsletters so they serve subscribers better in this Internet age. I’ll be telling you much more about these Digests in the future.”

I wrote to you a few months ago about our venture into video. Today, I’m presenting you with Cabot’s very first weekly stock market review with Michael Cintolo.