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Issues
This month’s selection is a small company in the health care space given the strength in this group of stocks. The company has a very specific focus on products to treat peripheral nerve injuries, and it’s growing revenue north of 50% annually.
In tonight’s issue, we write about what we’re seeing in the market’s recent rotation as well as another batch of studies that portend higher prices for the market down the road. We also dive into all our recommendations and present some of our favorite ideas for the next market upleg.
Today’s featured stocks include a bank and its CCAR results, a retailer and its prognosis in the wake of the Amazon-Whole Foods merger, and a new addition to the Growth & Income Portfolio.
Market Gauge is 7Current Market Outlook


The Nasdaq and leading growth stocks were whacked again last week, extending the correction in that group to just over three weeks. At this point, the major trend is still up, but intermediate-term, the onus is on the bulls, as many stocks (and the Nasdaq itself) have fallen toward key support—a couple of big selloffs from here would be a red flag, especially for names that have had big runs during the past year, though a strong sign of support could arrest the decline. Right now, we remain mostly bullish because many stocks are still in good shape, especially early-stage growth stocks that are trading resiliently and new leadership is emerging as money rotates into other areas.

This week’s list is a mix of both categories. Our Top Pick this week is Citigroup (C), which, despite its huge size, has great potential thanks to industry trends and recent news flow. The stock was the first big bank to leap to new highs recently, too.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Carvana (CVNA) 82.9018-2015-16.5
Citigroup Inc. (C) 0.0066-6863-64
Exelixis (EXEL) 27.3523.5-2521-21.5
iRhythm Technologies (IRTC) 51.1541-4337-38
Nintendo Co., Ltd. (NTDOY) 0.0039.5-41.536-37
Packaging Corp (PKG) 0.00108-111101-103
Square, Inc. (SQ) 91.0422-23.520-21
Teladoc, Inc. (TDOC) 127.9532.5-3429.5-31
Wayfair (W) 167.0372-7565-67
Winnebago (WGO) 48.5634-35.531-32

The recommended stock, unusually, is not a U.S. company; it’s a Canadian company. But it trades on the NYSE, and it has a great growth story.
While the Cabot Emerging Markets Timer remains technically positive, there’s no doubt that all EM stocks, including many of our own holdings, have been under pressure in recent weeks. We’re taking steps today to lower our exposure by trimming a couple of stocks, but we also have a strong Korean stock to add to the portfolio.
This month’s issue includes a new addition to the High Yield Tier, updates on all our holdings, and some advice on handling big winners.
Today’s recommendation is a steel stock! It’s a sector that nobody is excited about, but the value proposition is great, and the stock has just blasted off following an excellent earnings report.
Market Gauge is 8Current Market Outlook


Today saw another rotation day, with strong selling showing up among leading growth stocks while the broad market was relatively flat and some areas (financials, energy) perking up. As usual, we’ll see if today is the start of something more pronounced; the Nasdaq bumped up against its early June highs this morning, so if the selling continues, we could be looking at an intermediate-term top. However, it’s too early to conclude that—most major indexes remain in clear uptrends, as do the vast majority of leading stocks despite a few bouts of selling in recent weeks. Thus, we remain mostly bullish, holding our winners and looking to hop on new leadership that’s emerging.

This week’s list has another batch of strong growth-oriented stocks, and encouragingly, many are new names from sectors that have recently come to life. Our Top Pick is Celgene (CELG), which looks like a big-cap leader of the new uptrend in biotech stocks.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Autohome (ATHM) 98.6543.5-45.540-41
Celgene (CELG) 0.00130-134122-124
Clovis Oncology (CLVS) 0.0088-9382-83
Paycom Software (PAYC) 0.0069-7263-66
Planet Fitness (PLNT) 0.0022.7-23.721.2-21.8
Red Hat (RHT) 0.0096-10089-91
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) 818.87355-375326-330
Trivago (TRVG) 0.0019.5-2117-18
U.S. Concrete (USCR) 0.0074-7867-69
XPO Logistics (XPO) 0.0059-6253.5-55.5

Updates
Has there ever been anything as overvalued as SpaceX (SPCX)?

Elon Musk’s rocket and space-based internet company reported $18.7 billion in revenue in 2025. That’s less than half the revenue declining electronics store chain Best Buy (BBY, $41.7 billion) generated last year, less than International Paper Company (IP, $23.6 billion), and barely more than Casey’s General Stores (CASY, $17.6 billion). Those three companies have a combined market cap of roughly $67 billion. As of this writing, SpaceX has a market cap of $2.7 trillion. That’s more than the combined market cap of Walmart (WMT), JPMorgan (JPM) and Visa (V). Together, those three companies generated $847 billion in revenue last year.
Small caps continue to hold up well. The S&P 600 Small Cap Index is up modestly since last Thursday and is trading just below the fresh all-time highs it hit earlier this week. The group’s resilience stands out, especially against a backdrop of narrowing leadership and ongoing rotation beneath the market’s surface.

The main macro development this week was the Fed’s June meeting and Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference, which confirmed a shift in policy direction.
WHAT TO DO NOW: The market’s bounce has been a good one, and the intermediate-term outlook remains bright. That said, near term, there are still some crosscurrents (rotation into the broad market, Dow outperforming the Nasdaq) that tell us growth stocks could throw us another curveball in the coming week or two. Overall, then, we’re mostly standing pat, but we’re going to add a half-sized stake in Guardant Health (GH) here, leaving us with a still-good-sized cash position of 37% or so. Details below.
Stocks started this week with a huge rally as the Iran ceasefire deal appears to be the real thing.

Of course, it’s been months of supposed peace deals falling apart. It’s hard to believe. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons.
Stocks are starting off this week with a huge rally as the U.S. and Iran have reached a ceasefire deal.

We’ve been here before. These peace deals have fallen apart several times. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons. First, it’s the furthest a peace deal has gotten with both sides agreeing and independent verification from Pakistan. Second, this is what a peace deal would look like at this point if it’s real and lasting.
[Note: The Cabot Turnaround Letter weekly update won’t be published next Friday, June 19, due to the market being closed for the Juneteenth holiday.]

Before we get into the main topic for today’s newsletter update, a quick note on the portfolio is in order. I’m continuing our “spring cleaning” effort that we began last week by trimming a couple more of our holdings, but I’m also adding a new position to take the place of the recent deletions.
After two near-record-setting months, stocks are encountering their first real turbulence since March. It’s no surprise.

While stocks go up an average of 10% a year, they rarely do so in a straight line. And after the S&P 500 rallied nearly 20% in April and May and the Nasdaq shot up nearly 30%, a pullback of some kind – or possibly even a true correction – was to be expected. It seems it’s happening all at once.
Stocks look set to enter the summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed, volatility has ticked up, and there’s been renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and valuation concerns in some of the market’s biggest winners.

At the same time, the macro backdrop remains a mix of resilience and intermittent turbulence. While economic data continues to hold up, energy prices remain elevated due to the ongoing Iran conflict – which has no end in sight – keeping upward pressure on inflation and yields.
Tech, commodity, AI, and Explorer stocks struggled this week as concern over capital expenditures increased. Mideast tensions intensified and inflation numbers came in yesterday at their highest rate in over three years, fueled by rising energy costs. The combination of anticipated higher interest rates and rising bond yields impacted the price of precious metals, with gold sliding below $4,200 an ounce and silver falling below $64 an ounce.
Stocks look to enter summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed and volatility has ticked up thanks to renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and open-ended questions about valuations in some of the hottest areas of the market.

There’s also been more focus on the evolving macro landscape, which features a resilient U.S. economy but stubbornly high energy prices due to the ongoing Iran conflict, and somewhat elevated yields. We’re now looking at a higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike, with the odds of a hike by December now well over 50%.
The high-flying AI stocks got crushed on Friday. But those stocks started this week higher. Where do we go from here?

The technology-heavy Nasdaq index fell 4% on Friday, and the S&P 500 fell for the week for the first time in 10 weeks. A couple of things spooked investors. The AI trade turned sour after Broadcom (AVGO) reported earnings that included slightly lower revenue projections for its AI chips than were expected. Also, a blowout jobs report strengthened the case for a Fed rate hike by the end of the year.
A major economic narrative that took shape in recent years was the decline and (presumptive) inevitable death of the so-called “petrodollar,” as a growing number of countries diversified their foreign exchange reserves away from the U.S. dollar and toward gold and alternative currencies like the Chinese yuan.
Alerts
PFSweb (PFSW) reported a better-than-expected quarter with revenue up 22%. Let’s keep it at Hold until we can assess the stock’s reaction
We’re selling Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND), which, despite reporting a fine quarter last week, has come under severe selling pressure and broken down decisively. We’ll cut the loss tonight. That move will leave us with three empty slots and a cash position of around 23%. That seems high given the market environment, so we will add one stock—Amazon (AMZN).
Tonight I’m recommending selling National Storage Affiliates (NSA) (ideally tomorrow on a bounce), and redeploying the profits into one of my other buy-rated stocks.
NanoString (NSTG), Aerohive (HIVE) and Q2 Holdings (QTWO) reported earnings.
Blackbaud (BLKB), Mitek (MITK) and Primo Water (PRMW) announce earnings . BLKB is now rated Sell.
Dave & Buster’s (PLAY) has dipped back toward the top of its prior launching pad as many restaurant stocks have sagged. We’ll place the stock on Hold and keep it on a tight leash. And today, Vulcan Materials (VMC) fell sharply after missing earnings estimates, partially because poor weather in the second quarter delayed construction projects. We’ll respect the stock’s action and move VMC to a Hold rating tonight.
Portfolios
Strategy
A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.
A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.
Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.
Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.
Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.