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Issues
In tonight’s issue, we give you our latest thoughts on each of our stocks and take a deep dive into the issue of handling big winners—a skill that few practice, but done right, it will make a huge difference in your portfolio.
While the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained some 700 points since our last issue, our contributors and advisors, in general, remain bullish, as you can see from our Advisor Sentiment Barometer.
The market’s main trend remains up, though there is certainly some rotation going on, with technology stocks pulling back and financials and medical stocks surging. My advice is to react slowly to these shifts, taking things on a stock by stock basis according to what the stocks are actually doing—and not assuming anything.
Market Gauge is 7Current Market Outlook


The issue following the huge selloff on June 9 was titled, “What Happens From Here is What Counts,” and so far, we’ve been encouraged by what we’ve seen—the Nasdaq found intraday support three times in the 6,100 to 6,150 area last week, and few growth stocks decisively broke key support levels. And today, we saw the Nasdaq and many leading stocks pop nicely. In the short-term, we can’t say the market is completely out of the woods, so picking your spots makes sense. But our main focus is on the intermediate-term, and the trends there remain up for most major indexes and the vast majority of leading stocks. All in all, we remain mostly bullish, though don’t be surprised to see some more “tests” for the market in the near-term.

This week’s list is also encouraging, as our screens aren’t finding it difficult to find great charts and enticing stories. Our Top Pick is LendingTree (TREE), which just broke out in late-April and has held up well during the recent market wobbles.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Bluebird Bio (BLUE) 0.00106-11296-100
Cooper Companies (COO) 0.00234-242220-223
HealthEquity, Inc. (HQY) 70.7050-5245-46
IAC/InterActiveCorp (IAC) 0.0099-10391-94
Impinj (PI) 0.0052-5646-48
Lending Tree (TREE) 411.51166-174152-156
PayPal (PYPL) 147.0051-5347-48
Summit Materials (SUM) 0.0027-28.525-26
Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) 52.5037-3933-34.5
Zillow (Z) 76.6444.5-4740.5-42.5

In today’s issue, I initiate coverage of a new stock in an industry where demand far exceeds supply: the recreation vehicle sector. The company is adding two new manufacturing facilities to meet record new orders which have nearly doubled from a year ago.
In today’s issue, we’re giving some tips about how to handle your portfolio when markets are kicking up a fuss. We also have a new stock pick that takes us outside China and the tech sector, plus the portfolio moves we’re taking to lower our exposure a little.
Investors are ignoring the unreal circus atmosphere in Washington, D.C. and continuing to focus on economic growth, which is fueling their thirst for good investments. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen some 353 points since last month’s issue on good economic and earnings news. Mortgage applications are up 7.1%, unemployment claims continue to decline and job openings are rising.
In selecting today’s stock, I looked for a quality stock with a strong and healthy technical pattern that was presenting a decent buy point. Oddly, it’s a bricks-and-mortar retailer, a category with an abundance of losers these days. But it’s a winner, and I think you’ll like it.
Market Gauge is 7Current Market Outlook


After a hot and heavy few weeks, the growth stock sellers came out of the woodwork during the past two days, driving many down sharply to support. What happens from here will tell the tale in our view—if most growth stocks hold up in this vicinity or push nicely higher, then the odds will favor this being another shakeout. But should we see a weak bounce (or, worse, no bounce), then it’s likely growth stocks will be entering a longer consolidation following their heady runs. We’ll see how it goes, but right now, you should honor your stops and maybe even take a couple of partial profits if you haven’t recently. As for buying, we’re OK with it, but look for stocks near support and keep new positions small.

This week’s list has far more non-growth ideas, which have found some buying in recent days. Our Top Pick is Penn National Gaming (PENN), which is part of a strong group and looks relatively early in its overall advance.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Abiomed (ABMD) 0.00136-139128-131
Berry Global (BERY) 64.2256.5-5852-53
CBOE Holdings (CBOE) 0.0087-9081-83
Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) 121.0377-8070-72
Hancock Holding (HBHC) 0.0049-5145-46
ILG Inc. (ILG) 0.0024.5-2622-23
Penn National Gaming (PENN) 45.3820.3-21.318.7-19.4
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) 526.09340-350320-325
Terex (TEX) 0.0035.5-3732.5-33.5
Workday (WDAY) 194.8894-9887-90

Updates
Has there ever been anything as overvalued as SpaceX (SPCX)?

Elon Musk’s rocket and space-based internet company reported $18.7 billion in revenue in 2025. That’s less than half the revenue declining electronics store chain Best Buy (BBY, $41.7 billion) generated last year, less than International Paper Company (IP, $23.6 billion), and barely more than Casey’s General Stores (CASY, $17.6 billion). Those three companies have a combined market cap of roughly $67 billion. As of this writing, SpaceX has a market cap of $2.7 trillion. That’s more than the combined market cap of Walmart (WMT), JPMorgan (JPM) and Visa (V). Together, those three companies generated $847 billion in revenue last year.
Small caps continue to hold up well. The S&P 600 Small Cap Index is up modestly since last Thursday and is trading just below the fresh all-time highs it hit earlier this week. The group’s resilience stands out, especially against a backdrop of narrowing leadership and ongoing rotation beneath the market’s surface.

The main macro development this week was the Fed’s June meeting and Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference, which confirmed a shift in policy direction.
WHAT TO DO NOW: The market’s bounce has been a good one, and the intermediate-term outlook remains bright. That said, near term, there are still some crosscurrents (rotation into the broad market, Dow outperforming the Nasdaq) that tell us growth stocks could throw us another curveball in the coming week or two. Overall, then, we’re mostly standing pat, but we’re going to add a half-sized stake in Guardant Health (GH) here, leaving us with a still-good-sized cash position of 37% or so. Details below.
Stocks started this week with a huge rally as the Iran ceasefire deal appears to be the real thing.

Of course, it’s been months of supposed peace deals falling apart. It’s hard to believe. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons.
Stocks are starting off this week with a huge rally as the U.S. and Iran have reached a ceasefire deal.

We’ve been here before. These peace deals have fallen apart several times. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons. First, it’s the furthest a peace deal has gotten with both sides agreeing and independent verification from Pakistan. Second, this is what a peace deal would look like at this point if it’s real and lasting.
[Note: The Cabot Turnaround Letter weekly update won’t be published next Friday, June 19, due to the market being closed for the Juneteenth holiday.]

Before we get into the main topic for today’s newsletter update, a quick note on the portfolio is in order. I’m continuing our “spring cleaning” effort that we began last week by trimming a couple more of our holdings, but I’m also adding a new position to take the place of the recent deletions.
After two near-record-setting months, stocks are encountering their first real turbulence since March. It’s no surprise.

While stocks go up an average of 10% a year, they rarely do so in a straight line. And after the S&P 500 rallied nearly 20% in April and May and the Nasdaq shot up nearly 30%, a pullback of some kind – or possibly even a true correction – was to be expected. It seems it’s happening all at once.
Stocks look set to enter the summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed, volatility has ticked up, and there’s been renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and valuation concerns in some of the market’s biggest winners.

At the same time, the macro backdrop remains a mix of resilience and intermittent turbulence. While economic data continues to hold up, energy prices remain elevated due to the ongoing Iran conflict – which has no end in sight – keeping upward pressure on inflation and yields.
Tech, commodity, AI, and Explorer stocks struggled this week as concern over capital expenditures increased. Mideast tensions intensified and inflation numbers came in yesterday at their highest rate in over three years, fueled by rising energy costs. The combination of anticipated higher interest rates and rising bond yields impacted the price of precious metals, with gold sliding below $4,200 an ounce and silver falling below $64 an ounce.
Stocks look to enter summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed and volatility has ticked up thanks to renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and open-ended questions about valuations in some of the hottest areas of the market.

There’s also been more focus on the evolving macro landscape, which features a resilient U.S. economy but stubbornly high energy prices due to the ongoing Iran conflict, and somewhat elevated yields. We’re now looking at a higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike, with the odds of a hike by December now well over 50%.
The high-flying AI stocks got crushed on Friday. But those stocks started this week higher. Where do we go from here?

The technology-heavy Nasdaq index fell 4% on Friday, and the S&P 500 fell for the week for the first time in 10 weeks. A couple of things spooked investors. The AI trade turned sour after Broadcom (AVGO) reported earnings that included slightly lower revenue projections for its AI chips than were expected. Also, a blowout jobs report strengthened the case for a Fed rate hike by the end of the year.
A major economic narrative that took shape in recent years was the decline and (presumptive) inevitable death of the so-called “petrodollar,” as a growing number of countries diversified their foreign exchange reserves away from the U.S. dollar and toward gold and alternative currencies like the Chinese yuan.
Alerts
Updates on LeMaitre Vascular (LMAT), Chembio (CEMI) and Blackbaud (BLKB).
Sell: Corning (GLW), Ensco (ESV) and Matthews International (MATW).
Our LogMeIn (LOGM) position is now up 45%, and I’m recommending selling a portion of your stock to lock in the gain.
Portfolios
Strategy
A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.
A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.
Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.
Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.
Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.