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Issues
The market’s broad rebound continued today, erasing a good part of the losses sustained in the recent two-week collapse. The major indexes still have a long way to go to return to their old highs, but I think they will do it, as our market timing studies tell us that the sharp pullback was likely simply a normal correction in the long-term uptrend.
Market Gauge is 4Current Market Outlook


The market continued to unravel last week, with leading growth stocks getting battered again and the rest of the market joining the downturn. In the near-term, we have seen some signs of panic and also some support, so it’s certainly possible the market can get off its duff a bit in the days ahead. But given the severity of the selling and the fact that the intermediate-term is firmly down, the odds favor more correction and consolidation ahead. That means the main goal here is the preservation of your capital and your confidence, both of which will come in handy during the next upturn. Nibbling on a name or two if you already hold a lot of cash is fine (we have some intriguing resilient situations in today’s issue) and could prove profitable if we bounce. But the big money will be made in the next sustained uptrend, so it’s best to stay mostly safe until that arrives.

This week’s list is a hodgepodge of stocks and sectors, which isn’t surprising given the environment. Our Top Pick is Ulta Beauty (ULTA), which remains resilient and looks ready to be a steady leader once the market correction is over.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 82.2425-26.522-23
Amarin (AMRN) 14.0618-2015-16
Callaway Golf (ELY) 20.2122.5-23.520.5-21.5
Ensco plc (ESV) 6.528.0-8.57.0-7.3
Kirkland Lake Gold (KL) 51.3020-2118.4-18.9
Match (MTCH) 0.0051-5447-48
The Mosaic Company (MOS) 29.2231.5-3329.5-30.5
PBF Energy (PBF) 38.9347.5-49.545-46
Petrobras (PBR) 14.7814.5-15.513.5-14
Ulta Beauty (ULTA) 331.95275-280258-261

The leaves are rapidly falling here in Tennessee, but thankfully, the markets continue to hold their own, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average picking up about 500 points since our last issue. As you’ll see in our Market Views, our advisors are a bit cautious in the short-term, but overall, market sentiment remains very bullish.
Growth stocks have gone over the cliff during the past eight trading days, with many suffering waterfall-like declines. With our Tides negative and most growth stocks in tatters, we’ve turned defensive by quickly paring back on our names.

Since last Monday, we’ve sold three stocks and taken partial profits on three more. And tonight, we’re selling another (Autodesk) -- all told, boosting our cash position from 16% a week and a half ago to 61% after tonight’s sale. From here, we’re likely to give some stocks a little rope given the chance of a short-term snap back, and because, big picture, we’re still in a bull market. But right now it’s time to focus on capital preservation.

In tonight’s issue, we give you all our latest thoughts on the market, our stocks and some names we see holding up so far (one of our favorites is written about starting on page 6). And we also talk a bit about what to do when everything falls apart at once, offering some pointers about differentiating what to hold and what to dump.
The market’s intermediate-trend has turned decidedly down, so taking steps to minimize the risk from your most aggressive stocks is critical. But don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater! The market’s long-term trend is still up, and I’m confident there is still more upside potential for a well-diversified portfolio of carefully-chosen stocks.
Market Gauge is 5Current Market Outlook


You can blame interest rates or the Chinese or the economic cycle or politicians or even the celestial bodies, but it when all is said and done, it doesn’t matter why stocks have been struggling; the fact is that they are. And if you simply recognize that fact and accept it, then you can turn to the next step, which is to protect the profits you’ve earned in the long bull market and be selective when it comes to venturing into new stocks. That’s what Cabot Top Ten Trader is all about. The Market Monitor falls one notch lower to 5, but the ten stocks in today’s issue are still—on their own—quite attractive, plus they come from a wide variety of industries.

Our Editor’s Choice is Clean Harbors (CLH), a stock that was last hot in 2011, after which it spent nearly seven years out of the limelight. But now it’s back and the chart risk looks low.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
American Outdoor Brands (AOBC) 13.6914-1513-13.5
Canopy Growth (CGC) 38.8246-5040.5-43
Clean Harbors (CLH) 66.4268.5-7163-64.5
Endo International plc (ENDP) 13.3216-1714-14.7
EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) 101.98127-131120-122
Exact Sciences (EXAS) 116.9167-7062-64
Glaukos Corp. (GKOS) 67.8458-61.553-55
Novocure (NVCR) 0.0047.5-49.543-44
Roku, Inc. (ROKU) 150.4663-6658-60
Square, Inc. (SQ) 91.0483-8676-78

Despite weakness in the broad market today’s addition is holding up very well. The company specializes in simulation software – programs that tell users what a physical object, or process, may or may not do.
The action of the last couple of days has been a smack in the face for all investors, U.S. and emerging markets alike. As always, the Cabot growth disciplines tell us not to panic, but also not just to sit there and let the market take away your money. While we don’t have any changes to the portfolio tonight, this issue of Cabot Emerging Markets Investor shows a distinctly defensive tone, with a very heavy cash position and just two stocks rated Buy. We also have a new stock this week that’s perfectly suited to conditions. It’s a commodity play with a generous dividend, attractive valuation and a simple story. Read on for all the details.
Updates
What a difference a month can make! What an April! The S&P rose 9.6% in April, making it the best single month for the market in six years. It hit an all-time high on Friday.

Sure, the war isn’t over. But the market doesn’t really seem to regard it as a war anymore, more like a blockade situation with the possibility of some skirmishes. While there is still headline risk, investors have moved beyond this war and are focusing on earnings. And for good reasons.
The results are in for the month of April. It was fabulous. The S&P rose 9.6%, making it the best single month for the market in six years. It hit an all-time high on Friday.

Sure, the war isn’t over. But the market doesn’t really seem to regard it as a war anymore, more like a blockade situation with the possibility of minor skirmishes. While there is still headline risk, investors have moved beyond this war and are focusing on earnings.
Now before you call me crazy concerning today’s newsletter headline, hear me out.

Even though large-cap names have garnered more than a fair share of attention among investors this year, I think a case can be made that companies with big capitalizations have a lot more room to run higher before they can be truly regarded as “overbought” or “played out.”
The market is digesting the push and pull of higher oil prices, a deeply divided Federal Reserve, prospects for a prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fading momentum from the AI trade that helped push markets to all‑time highs earlier this month.

Despite the crosscurrents, the overall tone still tilts bullish, supported by investor comfort (for the time being) with the geopolitical tension, resilience in the U.S. economy, and improving visibility into earnings growth over the coming quarters.
Yesterday, four tech giants, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft, representing 22% of the S&P 500’s market value, reported strong quarterly earnings that highlighted the importance of AI.

You might think the above companies and their AI brethren are “asset light” companies but you would be very wrong.
It’s been a glorious April following a miserable March for the market. What happens in May may determine which direction stocks are headed for the rest of the year.

That’s probably overstating things a bit, but May should be crucial for the reasons we discussed last week: namely, the fate of the Iran war, but also the bulk of first-quarter earnings season and the introduction of a new Fed chair.
What war? This market is moving on. We may not be out of the woods yet, but investors are looking beyond the Iran war.

Stocks have already made up all losses from a rough March and then some. The S&P 500 had fallen 7.7% in the month of March by the 30th. Since then, the index has rallied over 13%. The S&P is now at a higher level than before the war began and is hitting new all-time highs.
The other day I was paid a visit by a roving ISP salesman who was pitching his company’s fledgling internet service over the local monopoly’s. We struck up a conversation and he asked what I did for a living. When I told him, his eyes lit up and he asked, “Got any good stocks you can recommend?”

Without thinking I blurted out, “Anything AI-related. You can’t go wrong.” The advice was only semi-facetious, for there’s undeniably a degree of truth behind it. My instinctive response to that question also prompted me to consider the question: just how long can the broad market continue its “all things AI” run without broader sector participation
Note: I’m out of town this week, so I’ll be a bit briefer on the update today—but I’m still checking my laptop a couple of times a day if you have any questions or comments. I’ll be back at my desk come Monday. Cheers.

WHAT TO DO NOW: Remain optimistic. The market and some leaders have hesitated, but all of our market timing indicators are bullish, and most stocks we own or are watching are working. Last Friday, we bought a half-sized stake in Nebius (NBIS) and added a 3% additional stake in ProShares S&P 500 Fund (SSO); earlier this week, we sold our small remaining position in GE Aerospace (GE); and tonight, we’ll buy a half-sized position (5% of the portfolio ) in Cava (CAVA). We’ll still have 46% in cash or so after these moves.
Despite all the headline noise lately we’re marching deeper into first‑quarter earnings season with the market’s path of least resistance still pointing higher.

Optimism around the extension of the tentative ceasefire in the Middle East has reduced geopolitical anxiety to a seemingly manageable level. The U.S. economy continues to show resilience, and the corporate earnings outlook points toward meaningful growth in the coming quarters and years.
The old saying, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it rhymes,” is an apt one for the stock market these last two years.

In early 2025, the S&P 500 raced to new all-time highs before peaking in late January/early February, only to get dragged down in March and April by a geopolitical crisis (tariffs/Liberation Day), before rallying in a V-shaped pattern as the severity of the crisis abated.
The market turned on the afterburners. The S&P 500 made up all the March losses and catapulted to a brand new high in a remarkably short time. It’s a market that sure looks like it wants to go higher. But stocks are being held back this week by more war uncertainty.

The current ceasefire with Iran expires on Wenesday night. Talks may not happen, and war talk is growing. The resumption of the war will almost certainly prompt a decline in the market. Aside from that near-term threat, investors are clearly looking past this war. Hopefully, it won’t last much longer.
Alerts
This optic company beat earnings estimates, posting earnings of $1.54 per share, compared to the estimate of $1.32, but shares fell when the company’s third quarter guidance fell short of analysts’ forecasts.
Three stocks move to Hold, one stock moves to the Growth & Income Portfolio, and one stock moves to Strong Buy.

A huge milestone payment added to the winning results for this biotech in its last quarter, and a healthy pipeline and new president promises to keep the company in a fast-growth mode.
The merger has been delayed for a review by the U.S. Committee on Foreign Relations; analysts believe the deal will still occur, which may give time for the stock to rise for a sweeter buyout.
Three of our stocks reported June quarter-end earnings results. Two beat all analysts’ estimates for the quarter, and one boosted full-year revenue expectations.
The top three sectors in this international fund are Technology (23.6% of assets); Financial Services (18.51%) and Healthcare, 15.89%).
Four of our stocks reported earnings, plus a new Buy, a Sell and a rating change.
Stronger than expected results have caused my Min Sell Price for August to rise, so hold your shares until the stock price rises to the new Min Sell Price.
Change has come to the weight loss industry, and this company is leading the way with 30% revenue gains in the past quarter.
Two of our stocks reported earnings and opened lower this morning. I’m keeping one on Hold and moving the other, which was rated Buy, to Hold as well.
Nine analysts have boosted their earnings outlook for this energy service company in the past 30 days.
Scripps Networks (SNI) will be acquired by Discovery Communications. SNI shareholders will receive $90.00 per share in the form of $63.00 cash plus $27.00 in Discovery Communications common stock. Sell SNI now.
Portfolios
Strategy
A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.
A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.
Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.
Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.
Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.