Issues
Our issue this month, is focused primarily on growth companies, although we certainly offer plenty of dividend opportunities. We begin with our Spotlight Stock, a provider of technology, primarily to the U.S. Defense Department. This company is right on the cutting-edge of advanced technologies—the future of defense. In my Feature article, I discuss the coming technologies and CACI’s potential to harness and profit from them.
There remain a ton of crosscurrents and news-driven action out there, but after a vicious rotation a week and a half ago, growth stocks have firmed up and the overall market is in good shape. Thus, we’re starting to put some money to work, averaging up in one of our stocks and starting a half-sized position in another. And if the good vibes continue, it shouldn’t take us long to get heavily invested.
In tonight’s issue, we review all of our stocks, talk about a couple of rare, blastoff-type measures that flashed that bode well for the major indexes and highlight a couple of smaller names in one growth sector that have great stories, numbers and charts.
In tonight’s issue, we review all of our stocks, talk about a couple of rare, blastoff-type measures that flashed that bode well for the major indexes and highlight a couple of smaller names in one growth sector that have great stories, numbers and charts.
October was a surprisingly good month for the markets, until the very end, when investors took a rest. But since the election, they’ve come in off the sidelines and the markets are now close to all-time highs. Investors love the idea of a divided Congress.
As well, the unemployment picture continues to improve, although with the coronavirus causing more widespread shutdowns, we may see a temporary rise—at least until the vaccinations begin distribution. And that certainly looks promising, with both Pfizer and Moderna sharing terrific stats this past week.
Housing continues to be a mixed report. Inventories continue to decline, down 38.3% in October, and prices rose 12.2%. Mortgage rates are at a 5-year low. Once the pandemic eases, I expect the number of listed houses to rebound and sales to rise precipitously, at least until inventory is normalized.
Our issue this month, is focused primarily on growth companies, although we certainly offer plenty of dividend opportunities. We begin with our Spotlight Stock, a provider of technology, primarily to the U.S. Defense Department. This company is right on the cutting-edge of advanced technologies—the future of defense. In my Feature article, I discuss the coming technologies and CACI’s potential to harness and profit from them.
Moving on, our Growth stocks include companies from the payments, construction, and virtual healthcare arenas. In Growth & Income, we offer ideas in the equipment, tools, building products, toys, consumer goods, e-tail, and media sectors.
Our Financial picks are both from the insurance industry, and our Healthcare offerings include a contract research organization, a testing business, and biopharma. In Technology, you’ll find ideas from the cloud, cybersecurity, CRM, e-commerce, hardware, and streaming industries.
We have one Low-Priced Stock—a hybrid trading or emerging biotech, and a couple of banking ideas, as well as a company that serves the marijuana industry, in Preferred Stocks & REITs.
Our contributors still like High Yield, and here, we add companies from the insurance, banking, pest control, hardware, and communication sectors. And this month, we also feature a Short-Sale opportunity.
Lastly, our Funds & ETFs focus on growth, banking, energy MLP’s, and marijuana.
I wish you and your families a healthy and happy Thanksgiving, and look forward to hearing from you. Please don’t hesitate to email me with your feedback and questions.My address is nancy@financialfreedomfederation.com.
As well, the unemployment picture continues to improve, although with the coronavirus causing more widespread shutdowns, we may see a temporary rise—at least until the vaccinations begin distribution. And that certainly looks promising, with both Pfizer and Moderna sharing terrific stats this past week.
Housing continues to be a mixed report. Inventories continue to decline, down 38.3% in October, and prices rose 12.2%. Mortgage rates are at a 5-year low. Once the pandemic eases, I expect the number of listed houses to rebound and sales to rise precipitously, at least until inventory is normalized.
Our issue this month, is focused primarily on growth companies, although we certainly offer plenty of dividend opportunities. We begin with our Spotlight Stock, a provider of technology, primarily to the U.S. Defense Department. This company is right on the cutting-edge of advanced technologies—the future of defense. In my Feature article, I discuss the coming technologies and CACI’s potential to harness and profit from them.
Moving on, our Growth stocks include companies from the payments, construction, and virtual healthcare arenas. In Growth & Income, we offer ideas in the equipment, tools, building products, toys, consumer goods, e-tail, and media sectors.
Our Financial picks are both from the insurance industry, and our Healthcare offerings include a contract research organization, a testing business, and biopharma. In Technology, you’ll find ideas from the cloud, cybersecurity, CRM, e-commerce, hardware, and streaming industries.
We have one Low-Priced Stock—a hybrid trading or emerging biotech, and a couple of banking ideas, as well as a company that serves the marijuana industry, in Preferred Stocks & REITs.
Our contributors still like High Yield, and here, we add companies from the insurance, banking, pest control, hardware, and communication sectors. And this month, we also feature a Short-Sale opportunity.
Lastly, our Funds & ETFs focus on growth, banking, energy MLP’s, and marijuana.
I wish you and your families a healthy and happy Thanksgiving, and look forward to hearing from you. Please don’t hesitate to email me with your feedback and questions.My address is nancy@financialfreedomfederation.com.
In November’s Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities we discuss the supposed rotation from growth stocks into value stocks and the underlying reasons, which we think could drive erratic market action in the coming weeks. Despite the somewhat conflicting trends out there, we serve up a menu of compelling opportunities spanning Medtech, manufacturing, software and even health and beauty products, which we can all use a little of these days!
This Friday is the expiration of November options, and I’m happy to report that our three covered call positions expiring this week are in great shape. As is always the case, on Thursday afternoon or Friday morning, I will send a detailed breakdown of those positions expiring Friday breaking down our profits, and if we need to make any adjustments. Be on the on the lookout for that email.
Current Market OutlookIf you look at the weekly charts, the trends of the major indexes and most stocks are pointed up—i.e., this is still a bull market, and the trends and other factors (such as the unusual strength seen two weeks ago) portend higher prices down the road. That said, there’s no question the environment remains extremely news-driven (mostly with vaccine news, but also economic reports and government policy outlooks), with plenty of crosscurrents depending on the day. Encouragingly, today’s vaccine news didn’t dent the growth leaders like it did a week ago, which is a step in the right direction. Net-net, we remain optimistic, but the details remain vital; getting decent entry points and position sizing correctly (not too big so you can handle the swings) is key, as is focusing on stocks (cyclical or growth) that have shown good-volume support of late.
This week’s list has something for everyone, including stocks with fresh growth stories as well as some stodgy, cyclical names. Our Top Pick is Lam Research (LRCX), which looks like a leader in the resilient chip equipment sectors.
| Stock Name | Price | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle Corporation (ALB) | 128.90 | ||
| Canopy Growth (CGC) | 24.77 | ||
| Lam Research (LRCX) | 439.40 | ||
| Marvell Technology Group (MRVL) | 43.29 | ||
| Norfolk Southern (NSC) | 247.09 | ||
| ShockWave Medical, Inc. (SWAV) | 94.95 | ||
| Snap Inc. (SNAP) | 39.08 | ||
| STAAR Surgical (STAA) | 79.31 | ||
| The Timken Company (TKR) | 73.04 | ||
| Upwork (UPWK) | 33.08 |
The market continues to strengthen, and thus you should become more heavily invested; it’s possible this strength could run to the end of the year!
But predictions aren’t necessary; what’s necessary is listening to your stocks and acting accordingly.
Today, doing exactly that leads us to sell one stock, so that we can make room for today’s recommendation, a company that’s built one of the biggest brands in the world.
But predictions aren’t necessary; what’s necessary is listening to your stocks and acting accordingly.
Today, doing exactly that leads us to sell one stock, so that we can make room for today’s recommendation, a company that’s built one of the biggest brands in the world.
The potential vaccine and mixed election results pushed the market forward this past week, but the acceleration of the pandemic and near-term uncertainty in Washington pulled it back. It is a time to be a bit cautious. Emerging markets are showing some strength, as our timing indicator turns decidedly positive. Rotation into international stocks may be coming.
Alibaba (BABA) is a good example of the push and pulls. The Chinese e-commerce giant raked in a record-breaking $56 billion in sales in the first 30 minutes of China’s Singles’ Day on Wednesday, much higher than the $38 billion total in the entire 24-hour period last year. In comparison, Amazon booked $10.4 billion during its two-day Prime Day event last month. Yet, Alibaba’s stock was down sharply for the week. Find out why inside, where you can also learn about this week’s new SPAC recommendation.
Alibaba (BABA) is a good example of the push and pulls. The Chinese e-commerce giant raked in a record-breaking $56 billion in sales in the first 30 minutes of China’s Singles’ Day on Wednesday, much higher than the $38 billion total in the entire 24-hour period last year. In comparison, Amazon booked $10.4 billion during its two-day Prime Day event last month. Yet, Alibaba’s stock was down sharply for the week. Find out why inside, where you can also learn about this week’s new SPAC recommendation.
The huge market rally earlier this week gives us a taste of what lies ahead on the other side of this pandemic. The lockdowns will end and the economy will boom. Many stocks that have not participated in the market recovery will come alive.
While the market indexes have recovered, many stocks and sectors have not. Technology may be booming but energy, travel and hospitality, finance and other industries are still wallowing in bear market oblivion. It is these stocks that came alive this week and they should benefit when the virus fades and the recovery gains full traction.
It’s time to invest for the other side of the pandemic. In this issue, I highlight one of the very best income stocks in the history of the market. While the company has remained profitable, it has experienced a disproportionate selloff. The stock is still cheap but starting to move ahead of the next phase of this recovery.
While the market indexes have recovered, many stocks and sectors have not. Technology may be booming but energy, travel and hospitality, finance and other industries are still wallowing in bear market oblivion. It is these stocks that came alive this week and they should benefit when the virus fades and the recovery gains full traction.
It’s time to invest for the other side of the pandemic. In this issue, I highlight one of the very best income stocks in the history of the market. While the company has remained profitable, it has experienced a disproportionate selloff. The stock is still cheap but starting to move ahead of the next phase of this recovery.
Today, we are recommending a micro-cap turnaround stock. If you look at the long-term stock chart, it looks like a company in secular decline. But once you look under the hood, you will realize the company has transitioned into a software/tech enabled services company with recurring revenue.
I think this stock has ~200% upside over the long term.
This company’s characteristics include:
All the details are inside this month’s Issue. Enjoy!
I think this stock has ~200% upside over the long term.
This company’s characteristics include:
- Near-term tailwinds from the booming IPO and SPAC market
- A draconian valuation
- An activist investor with a 10% equity stake (ensuring aligned incentives)
- Low capex requirements
All the details are inside this month’s Issue. Enjoy!
Updates
We’ve seen before how Trump’s shoot-from-the-hip approach to foreign policy has marked a significant departure from that of his predecessors. But clearly this latest exchange is different. Understandably, the market reacted negatively to the very mention of military conflict with North Korea.
U.S. stock market indexes tumbled yesterday, August 10, in reaction to the escalating rhetoric between President Donald Trump and North Korean Premier Kim Jong-un. I expect the war on words to continue for a while longer, which will keep investors on edge. The stock market could face further deterioration until President Trump and Premier Kim cool off.
Tonight, we’ll continue to stand pat in the Model Portfolio (though we are placing one stock on Hold) with eight stocks and a cash position near 20%.
The market continues to lean bullish, with warning signs. While the Dow has been hitting all-time highs, the S&P has gone nowhere for two weeks and the Nasdaq has actually lost ground. Investors seem to be deserting “risk-on” assets, leading to underperformance in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and high-growth sectors including Semiconductors (SMH) and Biotechs (XBI).
Twenty-three of our portfolio companies reported June quarter results. Among those companies, 14 reported EPS that exceeded analysts’ consensus estimates; seven of which exceeded all analysts’ estimates.
Summaries of the latest news for 12 companies. One stock, which has advanced 29.6% in the past 26 months, is now a Sell because the company is being acquired.
The iShares EM Fund has been trading sideways since July 19, but is holding well above its rising moving averages, so our Buy signal is in good shape. We have one portfolio move tonight.
I’m making three portfolio moves today. I’m putting one stock on Hold due to an earnings miss and taking half our profits in another stock off the table, as the stock has stalled out. We’re also selling one stock, as planned, due to significant technical erosion in the chart.
Despite the pullback yesterday (specifically in tech stocks) the market appears to be in bull mode. Small caps have been toying with breaking out of their 2017 trading range, but haven’t made a convincing move just yet. Keep an eye on the 870 level on the S&P 600 Small Cap Index.
I summarize the latest news for 21 companies. I also include an important question on Ulta Beauty from a subscriber along with my answer. One stock is now a SELL.
The overall market is in good shape, with all three of our market timing indicators still bullish, though individual growth stocks still have a bit more to prove as we move through the heart of earnings season. We have no changes today (the Model Portfolio is 20% in cash), but are ready to move to a fully invested stance should earnings season go well.
Alerts
This stock reported great first-quarter results.
This scientific instrument manufacturer is growing at double-digit rates.
This insurance company beat analysts’ estimates by $.10 last quarter.
Traders can maintain a long position in my favorite market-tracking ETF.
This is a low-cost biomedical stock that has its hands in several potentially lucrative medications.
Today’s update is brief, but it does include a couple of important observations about the behavior of cannabis stocks in recent weeks, as well as updates on all the portfolio stocks.
One stock begins a run-up and moves from Buy to Strong Buy and two others continue to rise.
This fund moves twice the movement of the S&P 500, and pays a small dividend (0.61%).
In the past 30 days, two analysts have increased their EPS estimates for our first idea today, an HVAC company.
This global hotelier beat analysts’ earnings estimates by ten cents last quarter, and eight analysts have increased their forecasts for the company in the past 30 days.
The top three sectors in this ETF are: Real Estate, 26.32% of assets; Financial Services, 15.27%; and Consumer Defensive, 14.87%.
Portfolios
Strategy
A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.
A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.
Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.
Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.
Our Cabot Momentum Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Momentum Trader features.