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Stock Market

Investing in the stock market has always been an effective way to build wealth. In fact, it’s consistently proven to be the most effective wealth generator over the long term.

And, with persistent inflation an ongoing issue and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates sooner rather than later, investing in stocks may be one of the few places investors will be able to generate consistent, inflation-beating returns for their savings.

Of course, stock market investing comes with more risk than a safe, low-yield savings account. Inevitably, not all of your investments will be winners.

In investing, no one really knows for sure what’s going to happen. Over time, however, stocks tend to rise. History tells us this. Since 1928, the average annual return in the S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is 10%. So historically, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks should allow you to just about double your investment once every seven years.

Now, there are periods where returns in the stock market underperform the average. Every few years we encounter corrections and bear markets, as we did in 2022 and 2018, and the years after the Great Recession and dotcom bust.

But over a longer time horizon, those off years are more than offset by the performance in bull markets. If you invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2014 and simply held that investment, you would have weathered the 2018 correction, the pandemic sell-off, and the 2022 bear market. And you’d have generated 16.5% annual returns.

You wouldn’t think that, with a correction, a pandemic and a bear market, the last decade would be anything to write home about, but those numbers speak for themselves. Despite the fear and negative headlines, investing over the last 10 years has beaten the historical average by more than 50% each year.

But, of course, your return would have depended on what stocks you actually bought. Take General Electric (GE), for example. GE is an iconic American company. As recently as 2009 it was the largest company in the world.

But had you bought GE at the beginning of 2014, you would have lost 0.7% every year, and that’s assuming you reinvested your dividends. Without dividend reinvestment, your returns would have been even worse.

That kind of unpredictability scares some people away from investing in the stock market. The track record over time should be enough to convince you otherwise.

The stock market is a vast and ever-evolving place, and there are many ways to approach stock market investing.

Want to invest in safe companies that offer a steady stream of income? You’re probably a dividend investor.

Are you willing to take on a bit more risk to go after bigger, faster rewards? Growth investing is likely for you.

Value investing is for investors who like to bargain shop.

Options trading is for those who like to invest based on statistical probabilities. And so on.

At Cabot Wealth Network, we have something for every investor. Our investment advisories cater to a variety of risk tolerances and timetables, depending on your preference. Since 1970, we’ve been helping investors of all experience levels achieve market-beating returns, helping our readers double their money more than 30 times over.

When done right, investing in the stock market can be a hugely profitable endeavor. For more than a half-century, we’ve been helping investors maximize those profits—and hope to continue doing so for another 50 years.

Stock Market Post Archives
We know that every bear market is followed by a profit-making bull market, and today I’m watching very carefully as the old bear market that very likely ended on July 15, is replaced by the next bull market. What you don’t want to do as the new bull market gets under way is be stuck holding the winners of the last bull market. You want to be holding the winners of the new bull market ... and the best way to do that is to keep an eye on the new highs list.
We admire people with the courage of their convictions, those who know their own minds and don’t waver. It’s a good thing to be called tenacious, persistent, tough, steady or steadfast. A good thing, that is, if you’re not a growth stock investor. The rules say that growth investors should stick with a winning stock for as long as it rises. The problem comes when a stock starts to lose value but the investor has faith in the stock and demonstrates that conviction by holding it all the way to financial disaster.
After all investors have bought, the sellers eventually take control. After you’re #1, there’s only one way to go. That’s one reason the dollar, which you might view as a proxy for the value of the U.S., is down. It was previously perceived to be the most powerful currency on earth; in recent years its reputation has been in decline. But I’m firmly convinced the long-term trend of the U.S. economy--and thus the U.S. stock market--is still up, and that the market will reflect that by climbing out to new highs eventually. And the time to invest is when public perception is lowest! It seems to me we’re pretty much there.
Something I’m always concerned about it how we’re communicating with our readers. One way that I stay informed is by reading blogs. While I was brainstorming about how we can better communicate with you and vice versa, I began to think that a blog might be the way for us to reach out to our readers, while at the same time hearing what you have to say. So after hammering out the details, I am pleased to announce the creation of The Iconoclast Investor (iconoclast-investor.com), a place for the Cabot editors to share their thoughts and you to share yours.
As for the market, my view is a bit split. I do believe that last week the market likely formed a major low. All the pieces were in place for one, and the big-volume rally, combined with the widespread fear and panic, tell me that some type of low was put in place. However, that doesn’t mean we’re now in a bull market. It’s likely that a few weeks or more of bottom-building will be needed. Giving evidence to that view is the nature of the nascent rally--so far, the only stocks making solid upside were the most beaten-down groups of the past few months.
For today’s stock, my recommendation is a mid-sized ($1 billion in revenues) steelmaker named General Steel Holdings (GSI). I look at the chart and I see a stock that came public in October 2007, peaked at 19 two days later, coinciding with the broad market’s top, and then declined to build a broad bowl formation that bottomed at 6. When Paul Goodwin wrote about the stock a month ago it was selling at 13 and trending up. Today it’s 15. I think it will hit its old high of 19 in time, and eventually break out to new highs.
The moment of maximum hopelessness marks the start of the next bull market.
When making decisions in the stock market, procrastination can be your enemy. One delayed decision will only lead to another delay, and before you know it, a mini-disaster is at hand. I know, because I’ve been there. Most often, my initial thoughts about whether to buy or sell a particular stock turn out best. That is, of course, after the proper amount of research has been completed.
Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter, launched in 2003, uses the teachings of Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing, in a system that safely builds long-lasting wealth. Unlike Cabot’s growth publications, the letter doesn’t use market timing, instead relying on a 76-year-old system, followed by investors such as billionaire Warren Buffett, to pick undervalued stocks and hold them as they reach a specified valuation.
Lots of analysts work hard at trying to figure out what equity markets are going to do. These people pour over interest rates, unemployment figures, inflation (both producer and consumer), GDP growth and a trillion other statistics to try to predict how the U.S. and global economies will perform in the short, medium and long terms. It’s a fun exercise. The trouble is that, to quote George Bernard Shaw, “If all the economists in the world were laid end to end, they still wouldn’t reach a conclusion.”
I’m a big believer in heroes. They remind us that something can be built from nothing, that victory can be snatched from the jaws of defeat, that we should aim high, and that we should never give up. One of my heroes, John Marks Templeton, passed away last week. John was a pure value investor, with a very long-term perspective and an appreciation of global markets.
Oil billionaire T. Boone Pickens recently dropped a campaign to push for the adoption of wind power on a large scale because he’s in the process of building the word’s largest wind farm in the Taxes panhandle. When the oil barons start going Green, you’d better take notice. Today I’m going to evaluate some stocks that might benefit from this endeavor.
Soaring gasoline prices are keeping drivers off the highways and boaters off the lakes. Lake weekend, while home in Hampshire for the Fourth of July, I noticed a sharp decrease in both road and lake traffic. With gasoline going for $4 a gallon on land and close to $5 a gallon on the water, people either stayed home or didn’t stray far.
Everything we do here at Cabot comes down to one basic principle--trying to make money by using knowledge of how the market actually works. Most people think they know how the market works, or how it should work. I’ve already made every mistake in the book (and still find new ones), but I’ve learned enough to understand that the way the market works, and the way people think it works, are vastly different.
Solar power is one of my top investing concepts for the years ahead. I think solar (along with other alternative energy sources) will gain increasing market share in the years ahead. As costs of fossil fuels rise, the still-high costs of solar power look less prohibitive, especially when various tax credits are factored in. The increase in manufactured volumes means costs are coming down, particularly for the manufacturers that don’t use silicon.