Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Stock Market

Investing in the stock market has always been an effective way to build wealth. In fact, it’s consistently proven to be the most effective wealth generator over the long term.

And, with persistent inflation an ongoing issue and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates sooner rather than later, investing in stocks may be one of the few places investors will be able to generate consistent, inflation-beating returns for their savings.

Of course, stock market investing comes with more risk than a safe, low-yield savings account. Inevitably, not all of your investments will be winners.

In investing, no one really knows for sure what’s going to happen. Over time, however, stocks tend to rise. History tells us this. Since 1928, the average annual return in the S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is 10%. So historically, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks should allow you to just about double your investment once every seven years.

Now, there are periods where returns in the stock market underperform the average. Every few years we encounter corrections and bear markets, as we did in 2022 and 2018, and the years after the Great Recession and dotcom bust.

But over a longer time horizon, those off years are more than offset by the performance in bull markets. If you invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2014 and simply held that investment, you would have weathered the 2018 correction, the pandemic sell-off, and the 2022 bear market. And you’d have generated 16.5% annual returns.

You wouldn’t think that, with a correction, a pandemic and a bear market, the last decade would be anything to write home about, but those numbers speak for themselves. Despite the fear and negative headlines, investing over the last 10 years has beaten the historical average by more than 50% each year.

But, of course, your return would have depended on what stocks you actually bought. Take General Electric (GE), for example. GE is an iconic American company. As recently as 2009 it was the largest company in the world.

But had you bought GE at the beginning of 2014, you would have lost 0.7% every year, and that’s assuming you reinvested your dividends. Without dividend reinvestment, your returns would have been even worse.

That kind of unpredictability scares some people away from investing in the stock market. The track record over time should be enough to convince you otherwise.

The stock market is a vast and ever-evolving place, and there are many ways to approach stock market investing.

Want to invest in safe companies that offer a steady stream of income? You’re probably a dividend investor.

Are you willing to take on a bit more risk to go after bigger, faster rewards? Growth investing is likely for you.

Value investing is for investors who like to bargain shop.

Options trading is for those who like to invest based on statistical probabilities. And so on.

At Cabot Wealth Network, we have something for every investor. Our investment advisories cater to a variety of risk tolerances and timetables, depending on your preference. Since 1970, we’ve been helping investors of all experience levels achieve market-beating returns, helping our readers double their money more than 30 times over.

When done right, investing in the stock market can be a hugely profitable endeavor. For more than a half-century, we’ve been helping investors maximize those profits—and hope to continue doing so for another 50 years.

Stock Market Post Archives
Back on Monday, I tackled the big challenge of our healthcare system once again, beginning with a few personal stories--including the $840 bill for my wife’s sliced thumb--and finishing with a prediction that the big pharmaceutical companies were in for tough sledding once Washington begins a serious effort to reduce costs. The responses to the column were numerous and excellent, and I share the best with you here.
While my heart is with growth stocks, there’s no question that many commodity stocks are doing well. My bias against them at this time is that most lack any sort of sales or earnings growth. And my own experience investing in shrinking or money-losing operations, frankly, is not good. I usually lose money when I toil in such fundamentally unsound stocks. However, I’m also a tape-reader, and some of the best price-volume patterns today are found in a few commodity names, so I’m going to give you a few stock ideas, and let you decide what to do with them.
The most popular column I’ve written (judging by the volume of your responses) was published nearly three months ago (March 13). The topic was health care, a subject of increasing attention by President Barack Obama these days. So today I’m going to tackle it again--focusing on the cost of healthcare and what can be done about it in the future. I’m also including a couple more letters from readers that came in too late to be included in the original reader-response issue.
Today I’m bringing you a special Q&A with Cabot Small-Cap Confidential Editor Thomas Garrity. Earlier this week, Timothy Lutts told you that small-cap stocks are leading the current market advance: while the Dow Industrials are up 26% over the past 13 weeks, the S&P 600 Small-Cap 600 Index is up a whopping 39%. Even better, stocks currently recommended by Cabot Small-Cap Confidential are up 49% in the past 13 weeks. The Q&A should help you better understand why small-cap stocks are leading the market, what you should be looking for now in individual stocks and where Tom sees the market and small-cap stocks going in the second half of 2009. Enjoy!
I make my living writing advice about aggressive growth stocks in emerging markets, which is a fairly risky business. I don’t just mean that emerging market stocks are risky, although that’s true, too. No, even the writing part is risky. It’s not as risky as writing about penny stocks, bulletin board stocks and pink sheet stocks, but there’s enough risk to make things exciting. It’s entirely understandable that people who read my recommendations can get a little peeved when the stocks I write about go down. But one unexpected result of airing my opinions about growth stocks is that I sometimes get complaints from people even when stocks go up!
I noticed the following headline last week: “Virgin Atlantic boss warns no airlines will make money this year.” Reading deeper, the writer informs us, “Steve Ridgway said reduced passenger numbers, ‘massive’ pressure to cut prices and high fuel costs will prevent any of the world’s major airlines, including Virgin Atlantic and British Airways, making a profit in the current financial year.” Hmm, now it’s only “major airlines” that won’t make money. Reading further still, we get to Mr. Ridgway’s actual words: “These are some of the toughest times any of us [airline executives] can remember. I would be very surprised if anybody made any money.” That’s different still. So where’s the truth? I took a look at the consensus of Wall Street analysts’ estimates of ALL publicly traded airline companies, and here’s what I found.
We recently received a very interesting proposal from a Cabot Wealth Advisory reader who suggested an essay contest with a subscription to a Cabot newsletter as the prize for the best entry. We have never done such a contest, but the reader had obviously thought through the details, and made a very persuasive case. And we liked the idea so much that we’ve decided to hold the contest! We love competitions and we like the idea of asking Cabot Wealth Advisory readers to share their stories and we think others will enjoy reading them. The entries will give us an opportunity to get to know you better, dear reader. And the winner will have a chance to get back into the market with our best advice because the prize is a FREE one-year subscription to a Cabot newsletter!
In my last issue, I touched on a couple of blast-off indicators, including one that likely triggered a green light a couple of weeks ago when 90% of all NYSE stocks rose above their 10-week moving averages. In addition, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence survey came out at 55 this month, a big improvement over 41 last month. But the real story is that the lows in confidence usually occur near major bear market lows. Now, I’m not the type of guy to sit here and call for the Dow to hit such-and-such a level by the end of the year; I just take it one day and one week at a time. But the 90% blast-off indicator, along with the truly historic pessimism among investors and individuals, tells me to expect higher (probably much higher) stock prices in the months and years ahead.
I’m not sure where the term “harder to find than a needle in a haystack” first originated, or why anyone would look there in the first place. But that’s what it must feel like for frustrated investors in search of that rare company unscathed by this vicious economic downturn. So imagine my surprise when I recently uncovered a tenacious little company whose earnings climbed for the 10th straight year in 2008--a whopping +50% increase at that. What if I told you it was actually a savings and loan that specializes in mortgage lending? Sometimes truth is indeed stranger than fiction.
We’re all familiar with the story about the frog. If you drop him in boiling water, he’ll jump right out. But if you put him in cold water and then heat it to boiling, he’ll adjust gradually to the increasing temperature, be lulled into inaction, and die. It’s not true; the frog will eventually jump out. But as a cautionary tale, it reminds us that we should be wary of inaction in response to gradual changes in our environment. In other words, as change happens--and it happens every day--you must adapt. If not, you’ll fail to thrive. So today I want to mention six major changes in our own environments, and discuss how we might adapt to them, and profit from them.
Last weekend, I wrote about the mostly car-free German community of Vauban and I received lots of great responses both by email and on our blog. Thanks to everyone who wrote in, the letters gave me a lot to think about and some even made me laugh. Today, I’m going to share some of those responses with you and I invite you to submit a response of your own if you haven’t yet. If you missed last week’s issue, you can read it on our Web site archives.
The Santa Monica Museum of Art, although I’ve never visited it, has brightened up my week. I read in a recent news story that the museum holds an art sale every year called “incognito.” The idea is simple. Hundreds of artists (over 480 this year) donate paintings, all of them in the same format (8" by 10") and the museum sells them for $300 each, regardless of who painted them. Some of the artists in the sale are quite well known, and their works are worth much, much more than the $300 price. Others are, of course, are worth much less.
We’ve just left behind the biggest, baddest bear market of your lifetime, and we are in the process of leaving behind the greatest economic slowdown since the Great Depression. By no means do I think it will all be peaches and cream from here. But there are great advances happening in medicine, in communications, in alternative energy, and more, and I’m confident that early investors in the right companies will do very, very well.
Imagine a place where no one owns a car and everyone walks, rides their bikes or takes public transportation to work, to the store, to school or anywhere else they need to go. No, this isn’t some Star Trek-like fantasy world, it’s Vauban, Germany, a planned community where cars are largely banned in favor of other modes of transportation. A New York Times article this week detailed the particulars of this forward-thinking community; where a tram runs through the center of town, shops and houses are mixed together so no one has to travel far to do the shopping and people embrace biking and walking as primary means of travel.
Chevron Chairman and CEO David O’Reilly spoke about the need for energy security and alternative energy at the recent Chief Executives’ Club of Boston meeting. So clearly, with even Big Oil conceding the pressing need for alternative energies to be in the mix, the future market for Green technologies is huge. How much does Chevron believe this? It’s now the largest non-public utility producer of geothermal energy in the world and is one of the largest installers of solar panels in the United States. Even Big Oil is going Green.