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Buy for Now, but Stay Tuned for Overbought Signs

The S&P 500 has become overbought as measured by the 5 day RSI (arrow). This can be some sort of top, but it can also be a sign of strength. Stay tuned. and there was concern about Q1 earnings...

Dividend Digest 271, April 15, 2015

The S&P 500 has become overbought as measured by the 5 day RSI (arrow). This can be some sort of top, but it can also be a sign of strength. Stay tuned. and there was concern about Q1 earnings reports which get under way in earnest this week. Gold fell back by $6. A stronger dollar again got credit for the drop.

The VIX rose 11%. Large moves like this tend to be in the vicinity of some sort of rebound. We can see this in the chart to the left.Screen Shot 2015-04-16 at 3.02.28 PM

Our intermediate term system is on a buy from Feb. 20, 2015. We are long the SPY from 206.43.

Stephen Todd, Todd Market Forecast, www.toddmarketforecast.com, 909-338-8354, April 10 and 13, 2015

Since 1984, Stephen Todd has been the editor and publisher of the Todd Market Forecast, a monthly newsletter with emphasis on the stock market, but also with sections about gold, oil, currencies and bonds. Mr. Todd spent a number of years as an engineer in a steel mill before becoming a stock broker with a number of firms, including E.F. Hutton, Bache and Paine Webber. He has published articles on the economy and the stock market in Barron’s, Stock Market Magazine, Futures Magazine, The National Educator and others. His stock market commentary is heard on CNBC, Bloomberg, Associated Press Radio, Business Radio Network, CKNW in Vancouver, British Columbia, KFWB, Los Angeles and ROBTV in Toronto, Ontario.