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There’s a lot of money traveling the world looking for ways to fatten up, and you can learn a lot by taking a look at where it’s going.

Gamblers may be familiar with the Martingale strategy of doubling down on losing bets. But that can be a dangerous investing approach.

First, a couple housekeeping notes: With Santa coming in a few days, there will be no Cabot Profit Booster issue next Tuesday. Have a great holiday weekend!

Last week was a decent one for the market, though much of the strength was concentrated in defensive-type sectors (consumer durables, health care, etc.), and today, as the second quarter began, the sellers re-appeared. As we wrote last week, the overall trend remains up, so we’ll leave our Market Monitor in bullish territory, but there are a few yellow flags out there that could have an effect. All told, we see a good number of decent set-ups, but we are also seeing more stocks stagnate and some fall by the wayside. Hold your best performers and do some selected buying, but don’t hesitate to dump your losers and laggards and hold a little cash at this point.

This week’s list does have a bunch of high-quality names with strong charts, something that’s usually a good sign for the market. Our favorite of the group is Trinity Industries (TRN), the leading railcar maker that’s part of the still-strong transportation group. We think it’s a good buy around here or on further weakness.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Trinity Industries (TRN)	0.00	44-45.5	41-42
Proto Labs (PRLB)	0.00	46.5-49	43-44
Pandora Media Inc. (P)	0.00	13.2-13.7	12-12.5
LinkedIn Corporation (LNKD)	0.00	168-174	155-158
Kansas City Southern (KSU)	176.54	105-110	99-100
Cabot Oil & Gas (COG)	0.00	65-67.5	59.5-60.5
CBRE Group (CBG)	0.00	23.5-24.5	21.5-22.5
Biogen (BIIB)	0.00	185-190	160-165
Bonanza Creek Energy (BCEI)	0.00	37-39	34-35
Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI)	0.00	13.5-14.5	12.8-13.3

In recent weeks, we’ve seen outstanding moves among growth stocks (and, increasingly, the broad market), which coincided with increasing giddiness among many investors. That’s a yellow flag, and today, we saw the first signs of abnormal selling among the leaders—big-volume distribution was evident among many stocks, no matter what the sector. To be fair, few names truly broke down, so we’ll keep our Market Monitor where it’s been. But today was a shot across the bow; the next few days should tell us whether this is a shakeout (we’ve seen a few this year), or whether a deeper (and well-deserved) retreat is likely during October.

This week’s list has many names that are more recent winners, and those types of names held up far better than most extended stocks today. Our favorite of the week is Las Vegas Sands (LVS), a leader from 2009-2010 that has re-emerged after a two-year rest. Try to buy on dips.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Whirlpool (WHR)	0.00	144-147.5	138-139
Workday (WDAY)	194.88	75-78	68-70
Ulta Beauty (ULTA)	331.95	111-116	100-102
Safeway (SWY)	0.00	29-31	26-27
NQ Mobile (NQ)	0.00	21-23	18-19
Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)	0.00	62-65	58-59
Incyte Corporation (INCY)	76.98	33.5-35	29-30
Finisar (FNSR)	0.00	22-24	20.5-21
Salesforce.com (CRM)	0.00	50-52	46-47
Boeing (BA)	432.22	114-117	107-107.5

The major indexes haven’t done much since the market’s opening-day jump this year, but the vast majority of stocks and sectors are in firm uptrends. In fact, probably our biggest takeaway of the past couple of weeks is that the sellers look spent—most shakeouts or downdrafts are met with buying within hours or a couple of days, and so far, any pullbacks have come on far lighter trade than their prior advances. Of course, earnings season is getting underway, and that’s sure to add volatility to the mix, but the evidence is bullish and thus you should continue to hold most of your best performers, while looking to add exposure on normal pullbacks.

This week’s list has a bunch of great-looking charts from a variety of industries; many of them have shown excellent buying volume of late, which bodes well. Our favorite is Transocean (RIG), a powerful turnaround situation that is getting going after a rough couple of years. We’re now seeing institutional investors pile back in.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Urban Outfitters (URBN)	0.00	40-42	-
Trinity Industries (TRN)	0.00	35-36.5	-
Seagate Technology (STX)	0.00	31-33	-
Transocean Ltd. (RIG)	0.00	51-54	-
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)	0.00	26-28	-
Nationstar Mortgage (NSM)	0.00	35.5-37.5	-
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)	0.00	129-135	-
Facebook, Inc. (FB)	0.00	29.5-31	-
Celgene (CELG)	0.00	92-95	-
Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI)	0.00	45-47	-

Current Market Outlook


Last week was a great one for the major indexes and leading stocks, with many surging higher on big volume to notch new highs, a good sign that big investors are putting money to work in growth stocks. That said, it’s not all peaches and cream out there—hundreds of stocks are actually hitting new 52-week lows (mostly energy and interest rate-sensitive stocks, but others, too), and to this point, only the Nasdaq has reached new high ground; the intermediate-term trend for most indexes remains neutral. Reflecting the terrific action of Top Ten stocks, we’ll nudge our Market Monitor up a notch; if you see a good set-up, go ahead and take it. But we’re still advising holding some cash on the sideline and being selective on the buy side.

This week’s list has a hodgepodge of stocks, many of which haven’t been featured here for a long time. For our Top Pick, we’ll stick with the big-cap growth stock theme that’s working well—Celgene (CELG) just popped out of a four-month base on big volume last week following a major acquisition. It’s buyable around here.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Intrexon (XON)	0.00	55-57	49-50
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)	123.32	29.5-31	27.5-28
Progressive Corp. (PGR)	0.00	30-31	27-28
Blackhawk Network (HAWK)	0.00	41-43	38-38.5
Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL)	0.00	675-700	630-635
Fitbit Inc. (FIT)	0.00	42-46	37-38
Domino’s Pizza (DPZ)	339.47	128-134	117-118
Celgene (CELG)	0.00	130-135	119-121
Barnes & Noble (BKS)	0.00	27.5-29	24-25
Alaska Air Group (ALK)	0.00	72-74	66-67
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)	47.84	47-50	42-43

Even with the stock market near all-time highs, you should be buying stocks. Why? Because the 7.5% Rule says so. Here’s how it works.

The much-anticipated market dip finally arrived last week, and so far, when you look at the leadership of this market—the Nasdaq and leading individual stocks—the action has been completely normal, and in fact, seems to be producing some higher-odds entry points as names dip toward support. Once again, though, we need to keep a close eye on the broad market—the intermediate-term trend remains up, but it’s getting close to the edge, with another bad week possibly putting the broad market back in the soup. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 7 today but we’re watching things closely in case weak breadth causes the selling pressures to build.

This week’s list has a growing number of pullback-related setups. Our Top Pick quacks like a new technology leader that’s pulled back reasonably after a strong rally. It’s volatile, so start small and use a loose leash.

It remains pretty much the same story out there as we’ve seen for at least three weeks, if not longer. First, when it comes to the top-down evidence, it’s solid, with the intermediate-term trend of most everything pointed up; second, looking at things from a bottoms-up perspective, the evidence is encouraging, as many fresher breakouts have emerged in the past month or so; and third is more of a heads up, as near-term sentiment is very elevated and earnings season for most leading titles is ramping up, so some tricky trading (volatility, especially among extended stocks) is possible. Thus, we’re staying flexible, but given the overall positive vibes, are leaving our Market Monitor at a level 8.

This week’s list actually has many big-cap titles but there’s plenty for everyone. Our Top Pick appears to have finally left behind a multi-year consolidation after its Q3 report. Ideally you can get in on modest weakness if the market dips.

The market succumbed today to some bad news from Europe, although some buyers did support shares after the early-morning dip. Net-net, today and last Friday were bad, but the major indexes remain range-bound; amazingly, the Nasdaq is now in the midst of its sixth 4% swing up or down since early June, and yet, has made basically no progress during that time. It’s choppy out there! Thus, we see no reason to change our Market Monitor from its neutral position. As for individual stocks, it, too, is a mixed bag—some big leaders broke down last week, but many are still base-building and a couple actually poked into new-high ground after solid quarterly reports. All in all, a little buying is fine, but do your buying on weakness, keep positions smaller than normal and adhere to your stops.

This week’s list is a hodgepodge of stocks from different industries; most are strong for individual reasons (earnings, etc.). Our top pick is PPG Industries (PPG), which isn’t an exciting company, but it delivered a solid earnings report and announced a merger that kicked the stock higher. We think it could do well if bought on pullbacks.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
A.O. SMITH (AOS)	0.00	49-50.5	-
ASML Holding (ASML)	350.01	52.5-54.5	-
DVA (DVA)	0.00	94-97	-
eBay Inc. (EBAY)	0.00	43-45	-
Medivation (MDVN)	0.00	90-94	-
Mellanox Technologies (MLNX)	92.00	84-90	-
PPG Industries (PPG)	0.00	109-112	-
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS)	0.00	27-28	-
USG Corp. (USG)	0.00	18.5-20	-
WOR (WOR)	0.00	21-22	-

The main trend remains up, in both the broad market and the cannabis sector in particular. When these uptrends will end, no one knows, but I guarantee that they will someday.

Long-term, however, I remain very bullish on both the companies and the stocks in the industry and continue to adjust the portfolio’s holdings to optimize growth (with reasonable security.)

In the December Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities, we continue to lean into the market’s bullish trend. We dig into five modest growth companies with exposure to AI, social media/advertising, footwear, HR software and the exciting world of road paving.

As always, there’s something for everybody!

January is living up to its volatile reputation but there’s no doubt it’s begun to improve—the intermediate-term trend, which was negative for most everything out there, is back to neutral; the broad market is showing some rapid, intriguing improvement; and individual stocks have improved their standing, with some popping to new highs. To be clear, this isn’t a buying panic, but after a few weeks of tedious action that has brought sentiment down, we’re OK with gradually extending your line while remaining nimble. We’ll up our Market Monitor to a level 7 today.

This week’s list is a mixed bag, with everything from growth to turnarounds to commodity names. Our Top Pick looks like one of the leaders of a new group move after being in the doghouse for a couple of years. Try to get in on dips.

We have one portfolio change today: I’m selling half of Nordic American Tankers (NAT) from the High Yield tier based on the stock’s lousy technical action. But there are still plenty of strong performers in our portfolio, including our newest buys, Mattel (MAT) and CVS Health (CVS). Read on for details on recent earnings reports and more.

The introduction of fear to the financial market can be either a good thing or a bad thing—but seldom is it neither.

In the first case, increasing fear among investors in an environment characterized by fairly limited public participation (i.e. an uncrowded market), relatively unstretched valuations and plenty of liquidity often results in the “wall of worry” phenomenon in which stocks actually benefit from the rising fear levels.