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In February’s Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities we dig into the red hot IPO market.

We take a closer look at five recent IPOs that have been on my shopping list. It is not an Issue for the faint of heart. Several of these stocks have made significant moves in their short history as public companies.



There are strategies to mitigate the risks, however. And as we scan the universe of attractive stories today it is not hard to envision several of these stocks trading significantly higher a year from now.



Sit back and enjoy.

After shooting to new all-time highs last Wednesday, the major indexes are taking a well-deserved breather this week. The pullback looks orderly and normal so far, and investors with money to put to work can use it as a buying opportunity.

In anticipation of a booming economy in the months and quarters ahead, the stock market has rallied within a whisker of all time highs. But certain individual stocks and sectors are still languishing despite the index performance. It is among these stocks where great value and high yield can still be found.

In this issue I highlight one of the best banks in the country at a historically low price as the sector struggles. But the bank has remained solidly profitable through the horrible economy in the second quarter, and the stock will benefit as the recovery gains traction. It currently offers a great income opportunity with a high yield and getting high call premiums as the market anticipates better days ahead.

The market and many leaders bolted ahead last week, which is just what we wanted to see as the big investors came back from the beach; it’s clear the buyers are in control. That said, despite some heady gains, we wouldn’t call this a runaway bull market—we’re seeing some under-the-surface rotation every few days, with money cycling out of some stocks and sectors and into others. That is totally orderly and, over time, healthy, but it does mean you get some periodic weakness in favored names. Thus, keep your feet on the ground, and look to use pullbacks as buying opportunities in the best stocks. As for winners, you should generally hold on to your best performers, though taking partial profits here and there (hopefully on the way up) is a good idea.

This week’s list is another potpourri of stocks and sectors, most of which have unique catalysts for higher prices. Our favorite of the group is Urban Outfitters (URBN), part of the very strong retail group. The stock is following through beautifully from a huge earnings gap a couple of weeks ago. Try to buy on weakness.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG)	0.00	118-122	-
eBay Inc. (EBAY)	0.00	47-48.5	-
Fortune Brands Home & Security (FBHS)	81.02	25.5-26.5	-
GHL (GHL)	0.00	46-48	-
IPG Photonics (IPGP)	0.00	59-62	-
Men’s Wearhouse (MW)	0.00	36-37	-
ServiceNow (NOW)	341.86	33-35	-
Tesoro (TSO)	0.00	38-41	-
Urban Outfitters (URBN)	0.00	37-38.5	-
Valero Energy (VLO)	97.40	30-31.5	-

With the war in Ukraine taking center stage, it’s very hard to predict what markets will do. But we don’t need to. All we need to do is keep following proven investing systems.
The only change to the portfolio today is the downgrade of Veeco (VECO) to Hold.


As for the new recommendation, it’s probably a household name for folks in the Chicago area, but it’s a new one for me. And it’s a new stock, as well, having just come public in October.


Details inside.

We had written lately that the market had been extremely quiet in recent weeks ... possibly a bit too quiet, as the market has a way of hitting a pothole after a period of calm. Sure enough, we saw some growth stocks ease early last week, and then the Middle East attacks and counterattacks caused selling on Friday. Even so, it’s been a normal wobble so far, and while things are likely to be tricky and news-driven in the near term based on the happenings in the Middle East, just about all of the intermediate-term evidence remains bullish. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 7 today.

This week’s list is surprisingly growth-y, with many names from different sectors at or threatening new high ground. Our Top Pick looks to be near a decent entry after a humongous rally from early April to late May.

Small caps have bounced around this week, taking a break from the rally that began on September 11 and continued through the 19^th.

Behind the scenes, analysts have been increasing their earnings expectations for the asset class. This is largely because rates are falling, but also because the economy is holding up.

There is no shortage of data pointing to just how bad this market is. With year-to-date (YTD) performance for the S&P 500, Nasdaq and S&P 600 of -17%, -27% and -18%, respectively, this is one of the worst YTD starts in decades.

Fill Second Half: Sensient (SXT) and Unity (U)

GE Vernova (GEV) and Sportradar (SRAD) Updates

Sell Reddit (RDDT) and Second Half of FTAI Aviation (FTAI)

Back on August 28 after the close, I shared bullish commentary on the cannabis group which was melting down at the time.

A buy-on-stop is a trade order used to limit a loss or protect a profit. It’s a buy order held until the market price hits the stop price.

The market isn’t totally out of the woods at this point—the intermediate-term trend of most indexes and growth measures is essentially neutral here, there’s plenty of overhead to chew through. That said, there’s no doubt the rebound has been impressive, with some indexes recouping 60% to 80% of their corrections, and individual stocks are acting much peppier of late. What happens from here will be key: Some backing off would be normal, but if any retreat is tame and individual stocks continue to flex their muscles, it would be a good sign—though obviously a huge drop would be iffy. For now, we continue to slowly rebuild exposure but are remaining flexible. We’ll nudge our Market Monitor up to a level 6 but are taking things on a day-to-day basis.

This week’s list is another that’s loaded up with powerful charts, all of which have recently surged on earnings reports. Our Top Pick has been extremely tedious for the past 16 months but is flashing some overwhelming buying power as the sector improves.

The market has had seven consecutive higher weeks. And the positive momentum should continue into the new year.

The S&P 500 is up 12.5% in the last seven weeks and 23% for 2023. But those returns are deceiving. Until the market rally broadened out recently, only seven large technology company stocks accounted for nearly all the gains.

Many stocks are still in a bear market. In fact, certain more interest rate-sensitive stocks recently fell to the lowest level since the trough of the pandemic market more than three years ago, although they have rebounded with falling interest rates recently.

Buying stocks in the throes of a bear market has proven to be a winning strategy over time. Buying stocks after they have already started to climb out of the lows has proven to be a winning strategy sooner.

The timing may be perfect for a rare opportunity to generate much higher returns than can normally be expected from stocks of defensive companies. In this issue, I highlight a defensive stock that had been a stellar performer before inflation and rising interest rates took hold. It is priced near the lowest valuations in its history and has recently been generating upward momentum.

Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter, launched in 2003, uses the teachings of Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing, in a system that safely builds long-lasting wealth. Unlike Cabot’s growth publications, the letter doesn’t use market timing, instead relying on a 76-year-old system, followed by investors such as billionaire Warren Buffett, to pick undervalued stocks and hold them as they reach a specified valuation.