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  • If you are an investor who owns mutual funds or ETFs, either in taxable accounts, IRA accounts, children’s custodial accounts, variable annuities, pension funds, 401(k) plans or 403(b) plans, you probably own AAPL as part of those funds’ portfolios.
  • This note includes our review of earnings from Wells Fargo (WFC) and our ratings change from yesterday for Credit Suisse (CS) from Buy to Sell.

    Next week, Mattel (MAT) and Nokia (NOK) report earnings, followed by the earnings deluge which starts the week of July 25th when 13 companies report.

    The Cabot Turnaround Letter is traveling this week, so we will not be including a podcast in this update.
  • It’s important to teach your kids about personal finance to set them on the path to financial independence, and these six lessons are intended to be age-appropriate.
  • In a tough week for markets, Explorer stocks held their own. Banco Santander (SAN) shares are up 50% so far in 2025, significantly outperforming bank and European indexes. Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) was up 10% this week and Sea Limited (SE) shares have risen 25% rise so far this year. All our dominating stocks held firm this week.

    It was interesting to be in Tokyo and meeting for lunch today with a former Japan Ministry of Finance official as new tariffs of 24% on Japan were announced.
  • As the United States and China reached a 90-day trade conflict ceasefire, markets have responded positively though the deal is not binding and lacks much detail. The S&P 500 edged into positive territory for 2025. A number of Explorer stocks are having very good years.
  • The story remains mostly the same in the market as it has for the past few weeks: The intermediate-term trend for nearly all major indexes and the vast majority of individual stocks is pointed down. That said, there also are a decent number of stocks holding up fairly well—and with earnings season starting in a major way this week, the potential is there for some leadership to develop if we see some strong upside gaps following reports. We’re all for it happening, but overall it’s best to remain cautious as the market attempts to turn the corner. Once again, we’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 5.

    This week’s list has a wide array of good-looking names, though for our Top Pick we’re going with a liquid leader that, while not in the first inning of its run, acts like it wants to go higher.
  • In China, the competition in its EV market is particularly brutal with over 100 companies in the game. Some of those automakers are also working on flying cars to take safety and speed to another level. This is where we go today for a new Explorer recommendation.

    Details inside.
  • There’s a lot more to “buying low” than just identifying falling prices.
  • Lost in the frenzy surrounding all things AI are companies that fall under the “boring but important” category. This includes producers of everyday things we often take for granted but which are nonetheless crucial for the smooth functioning of countless segments of the economy. To be fair, these otherwise “boring” industries quite often provide investors with outsized opportunities for profit due to their under-the-radar nature.
  • As we head into the end of the year, markets have paused though are still bullish. A little bit of worry is a sign of a healthy market and some of the pullback is no doubt taking profits for tax reasons.

    The budget showdown in Washington, which needs to be settled by Saturday, is not helpful.

    The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point yesterday and in a preemptive move, suggested only two more reductions next year. This is a signal that interest rates will remain somewhat elevated as inflation that has come down significantly remains a stubborn trend.
  • WHAT TO DO NOW: The evidence has improved of late, though we haven’t seen many decisive green lights from our indicators. Still, with so much cash, we’ll dip a couple of toes in tonight and then follow up … if the good vibes continue. Tonight, we’ll add half-sized positions (5% of the account) in Eli Lilly (LLY) and JFrog (FROG), leaving us with a still-big 55% cash hoard. Details below.
  • *Note: Your next issue of Cabot Explorer will arrive next Wednesday, November 26 due to the market holiday next Thursday, November 27 in observance of Thanksgiving Day.

    Nvidia (NVDA) sales in the October quarter hit a record $57 billion as demand for the company’s advanced Blackwell AI data center chips continued to surge, up 62% from the year-earlier quarter and beating consensus estimates. This should keep AI momentum moving forward.

    By coincidence, Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s (MBS) high level visit to Washington this week led to the Commerce Department approving sales of substantial advanced chips to Saudia Arabia as well as a slew of related deals. My question is whether these deals are investing in Saudi’s economic transformation rather than in American jobs, technology, and growth.
  • As markets closed the year largely treading water, one might ask why prices of stocks, gold, and just about everything are leaving 2025 higher than they started 2025.

    One simple answer is that there is a lot of money sloshing around the world looking for opportunities. Governments and central banks injected trillions of dollars in stimulus during and after the pandemic. Much of that continues to drive momentum trades. Americans alone hold over $7 trillion in money market mutual funds.
  • With the market on edge we’re going with a slightly larger company than normal with this month’s Cabot Small-Cap Confidential selection. But we’re not being overly conservative. Shares of this software stock have been climbing steadily after a breakout move in May. The reasons? Growth is reaccelerating, profit margins are climbing, and the proportion of recurring revenue is going up.
  • This week the Fed left interests rates again unchanged and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) became part of the S&P 500 index. An announcement of a two million convertible shares offering by Super Micro led to a pullback in the stock though long term, it’s smart to raise capital after the sharp rise in the share price.

    Elsewhere, Washington is fixated on the potential push to force a change in the ownership of TikTok while China, as strongly expected, objects. This is a bit ironic since X, Instagram, Facebook, and Google aren’t available to Chinese citizens.
  • The S&P 600 SmallCap Index is flat over the last week.

    The upside move from the extreme oversold conditions that began two weeks ago has faded as the market grapples with tariff uncertainty.

    Uncertainty will continue to linger even though Trump clarified part of his tariff plan last night through an executive order imposing permanent tariffs on autos not produced in the U.S.
  • Lower inflation numbers yesterday made interest rate cuts inevitable which moved the market, led by Nvidia (NVDA), which surged 8%. I intended to recommend Nvidia at a price of 100 so I will patiently watch this bellwether stock closely.

    To be a good, patient and calculating investor, one needs to do two things at once: Be aware of big macro issues and trends and focus attention on micro issues. That is, closely watch specific companies and stocks, especially smaller, micro stocks offering the biggest upside and risk demanding closer attention.

    Today, we recommend a fund that does just that - with a history of remarkable outperformance.
  • I’m in Japan this week as Warren Buffett indicated that his Berkshire is raising its stakes in Mitsubishi, Marubeni, Mitsui, Itochu and Sumitomo. Berkshire’s average holding across the five stocks increased by just over one percentage point to about 9.3%. This comes as financial pundits continue to determine the meaning of why Berkshire has accumulated a massive cash position.

    Perhaps Buffett is betting that America’s share of global equity indices may be close to peaking at almost 70%.
  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached new records on Wednesday, reversing Tuesday’s declines. President Trump’s tax-and-spending bill squeaked through the Senate and is now at the heart of a battle in the House. This is hopefully settled today, and a setback would have an impact on the stock market.

    Luckin Coffee’s (LKNCY) revenue in China has already surpassed Starbucks in China. This week, it brought the battle to America as its first two U.S. locations opened in New York. This may be just a public relations gambit.
  • This was a great week for Explorer stocks.

    Coeur Mining (CDE) shares were up 19.6% this week following last week’s 13% gain after quarterly revenue was up 117% year over year. Dutch Bros (BROS) shares were up 16.9% this week. Sea Limited (SE) shares were up 17.3% this week following net income in the second quarter increasing by more than fivefold to $414 million.