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The market has rebounded encouragingly from last Monday’s Greenland/tariff fears—and, ideally, that shakeout will prove to be the last one for the big-cap indexes and for growth stocks before a sustained run higher. Still, to this point, while resilient, the evidence hasn’t changed, with the broad market doing well, but also with many areas of the market still lagging. Thus, we’ll again leave our Market Monitor at a level 7, but now’s the time to really pay attention—a reversal lower would obviously be iffy, but a rotation into many growth stocks that have rested for three months is possible.

This week’s list is again well-rounded, with many names acting well ahead of their reports. For our Top Pick, we’ll go with a commodity-ish name that’s finally hesitated the past couple of weeks as its moving averages start to catch up. A bit more weakness should lead to a solid entry.

This morning we found out that Endava (DAVA) has postponed its Q4 earnings report from tomorrow (September 23) until next Tuesday (September 28).

Cabot ETF Strategist chief analyst Kate Stalter will explain why it’s important to have ETFs in your portfolio, and elaborate on the different kinds of ETFs that make sense. Kate will explain how ETFs are a way to efficiently diversify your portfolio without much downside risk - and to make it crash-proof. Finally, Kate will recommend 3 ETFs that you should buy TODAY!

Current Market Outlook


For many weeks, we’ve been writing that there’s more good than bad in the market, and indeed, while choppy, many names did work their way jadedly higher. But now the shoe is on the other foot: The intermediate-term trend is now down for the major indexes, and we’re starting to see more and more individual stocks follow suit. It’s not a complete disaster, and given the on-again, off-again environment of 2021, we’re not ruling anything out, including a turn back up in the days or weeks ahead. (Even now, we’re fine sticking with your strong, profitable stocks.) But after a couple of rounds of sharp distribution and some breakdowns among leading stocks, we think it’s simplest to say the onus is on the bulls—we need to see at least a few days of constructive action and some upside power in the indexes and individual stocks to conclude the sellers are losing control. We’re leaving our Market Monitor at a level 5 and, until proven otherwise, would play things cautiously with only small new positions, trailing stops and a decent chunk of cash.

This week’s list has an interesting crop of stocks, ranging from commodity to reopening to legitimate growth outfits. Our Top Pick is CF Industries (CF), which is emerging from a multi-month dead period with a lot of power; as with most names in this market, try to buy on weakness.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)	108	105-111	89-92
SKIN (SKIN)	26	24.5-25.5	21.5-22
Caesars Entertainment Corp. (CZR)	118	113-117	102-104
CF Industries (CF)	61	58-61	51-53
ConocoPhillips (COP)	71	67-70	61-62.5
International Game Technology (IGT)	28	26-28	22.5-23.5
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV)	98	95.5-98.5	87-88.5
Matador Resources Company (MTDR)	40	37-39	32.5-34
Palo Alto Networks (PANW)	470	457-472	417-427
Paycom Software (PAYC)	495	480-495	440-450

After a multi-week bottoming process, the buyers showed up last week in a big way, producing a rare show of strength that, historically, has always preceded great gains when looking out six to 12 months. That said, the next few weeks are more of a toss-up, as the intermediate-term trends of most indexes and stocks are still iffy and news-driven action (like today’s commodity move) is still the norm. We’re bumping up our Market Monitor a notch and think it’s OK to extend your line a bit, but we still think it’s best to start small, aim for pullbacks and to go slow.

It was another solid week for the market, with a bit more leadership emerging on the upside, with some medicals and online outfits joining the AI infrastructure group and a smattering of other names—though we’re still seeing plenty of choppy (selling on strength) action, too. Near term, we do think risk is a bit elevated, partly due to the recent run, partly due to the calendar and partly due to some near-term complacency—that said, when it comes to the intermediate-term (and longer-term) evidence, it remains much more positive than negative, so we’re not making any grand adjustments here. We’ll keep our Market Monitor at a level 7.

This week’s list is another well-rounded one, with some fresher breakouts and setups from a variety of sectors. Our Top Pick is a well-run firm that has lifted off powerfully from a two-month rest period. Try to enter on dips of a few points.

The big-cap indexes have been leading for a while now, but more recently, we’ve seen an even greater dichotomy out there, with the broad market actually coming under pressure and with most (non-big-cap) indexes testing or breaking intermediate-term support. On the flip side, the number of growth-y stocks in good shape has actually increased. As we wrote last Friday, these sorts of divergences tell us the risk of some unpleasantness has increased, though that doesn’t guarantee it will happen and, if it does, when. Thus, it’s best to go with the flow right here—aiming to buy strong, fresh leaders at decent entry points, but also being willing to book partial profits on the way up and raise stops when needed. We’ll again leave our Market Monitor at a level 7.

This week’s list has a major growth tilt, which goes along with the emergence of many growth stocks from multi-week (or, sometimes, multi-month) consolidations. Our Top Pick is getting going from a two-and-a-half-month rest following another great quarterly report.

In anticipation of a booming economy in the months and quarters ahead, the stock market has rallied within a whisker of all time highs. But certain individual stocks and sectors are still languishing despite the index performance. It is among these stocks where great value and high yield can still be found.

In this issue I highlight one of the best banks in the country at a historically low price as the sector struggles. But the bank has remained solidly profitable through the horrible economy in the second quarter, and the stock will benefit as the recovery gains traction. It currently offers a great income opportunity with a high yield and getting high call premiums as the market anticipates better days ahead.

Although it is plenty large to be relevant (its economy is the 9th largest in the world and is comparable in size to that of Canada), to many investors Brazil remains a regional backwater mired in political scandals and weak corporate governance. Weak oil prices combined with poor government leadership led to sharp recessions in 2015 and 2016.

However, the country’s fortunes may be turning upward. In this issue, we look at five companies that should benefit from Brazil’s incipient turnaround, and also have appealing turnaround potential in their own right.

This month we’re going deep into the world of high-speed sensing and communications with an unknown micro-cap stock specializing in fiber optic technologies.

This isn’t another of those boom-to-bust components manufacturers that crush it when data centers are expanding and fall apart when capex falls. Rather, it’s a company that specializes in fiber optics for industrial, transportation and construction applications, such as in airplanes, vehicles, buildings and space stations.



It’s not a low-risk investment. But the potential is huge – if management can execute on its growth plan.



Zoom into the February Issue for all the high-speed details!

Today’s addition is a familiar story – a small software company with a purpose-built solution that works better than the patchwork of legacy solutions many companies still rely on, but which don’t work very well.

But there is another angle. This company is transitioning from an on-premise to a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) business model. The switch should accelerate growth and make the stock a lot more attractive to investors.



Shares did very well in 2019. And there should be plenty more gas left in the tank.



All the details are inside.

The market’s intermediate-term trend briefly turned positive last week, but the quick rejection of the indexes on Thursday and today’s battering clearly tell you that sellers are still lurking. That said, we would avoid any big-picture predictions—the weakness of last Thursday and today might mean the downtrend is resuming ... but the market could also be in a bottoming process, which often has many ups and downs as investors place (or take off) their bets. Either way, for an investor in leading stocks, there’s not much to do here; while some stocks have perked up, few have made any real progress, and to this point, most names that poke into new-high ground are quickly swarmed with sellers. Thus, our Market Monitor will remain neutral; some new buying here or there remains fine, but keep cash on the sideline and don’t get aggressive until the market kicks into gear.

This week’s list is a potpourri of differing sectors and stories, though there is a retail bent to the list. Our favorite of the week is Coinstar (CSTR), a company with a solid history of growth that might now have (another) new concept to keep the bottom line humming. The stock has built a solid base during the market’s correction.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
CSTR (CSTR)	0.00	64-66	-
eBay Inc. (EBAY)	0.00	41-43	-
HTWR (HTWR)	0.00	83-85	-
MDC (MDC)	0.00	28-29.5	-
Medivation (MDVN)	0.00	82-85	-
NetSuite, Inc. (N)	0.00	49-51	-
PetSmart (PETM)	0.00	64.5-66.5	-
SolarWinds (SWI)	0.00	42-44	-
VSI (VSI)	0.00	52-54	-
Zumiez (ZUMZ)	0.00	37-38.5	-

The market has softened over the past week, and we’ve seen some high-volume selling in former leading stocks, so I’m now pulling back a bit on risk, which is one reason today’s recommendation is a low-risk utility stock.
Technically part of the Safe Income portfolio of Cabot Dividend Investor, this stock pays a healthy 2.6% yield and it has decent upside potential as well.
As for the current portfolio, we still have some stocks hitting new highs, but we’ve also got some showing renewed weakness, so today I have two sell recommendations. Details in the issue.

I’ve been watching for opportunities to add companies to the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor portfolios that are outside the financial, energy and construction sectors and industries. Today, I’m adding an aerospace manufacturer to the Growth Portfolio as a Strong Buy.

In reviewing the charts of the major U.S. stock market indexes, I noticed that the Dow, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ each look as if somebody is slogging uphill in deep thick mud. That’s a bit like a “two steps forward one step back” pattern.

This week’s update is a day early, because the rest of the week is filled by the Cabot Wealth Summit, which brings all our analysts to Salem to meet subscribers face-to-face and fix all the world’s problems—or at least help them become better investors.

In the meantime, the market remains under pressure, with our intermediate-term market timing now negative. Thus I’m continuing to raise cash, by selling our worst performers, and you should too, so you’ll have ammunition to use on the new leaders when the market turns up again. This week that means selling four stocks.

As for the new recommendation, it’s a small-cap stock in the communications software industry that you probably haven’t heard of, but it’s shrugged off the market volatility lately, trending slowly higher, and its long-term prospects are great.

The Trump Administration is off and running along with Cabot Explorer stocks as markets closely watch the potential for tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico.

Mexico and Canada are America’s two largest trade partners, and both countries are bracing for major economic disruption should Trump follow through. Mexico and Canada send about 80% of their exports to the U.S. Market turbulence in stocks based in Mexico or Canada could create an opportunity for us.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock sank more than 19% yesterday after the troubled AI server maker’s results underperformed Wall Street’s expectations.

Super Micro reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.41 for its 2025 fiscal fourth quarter, less than the $0.44 expected by Wall Street analysts, according to Bloomberg consensus estimates. Its quarterly revenue of $5.76 billion was below the $6 billion expected, while its roughly $551 million gross profit for the period fell a little short of the estimated $601 million.

“Only the paranoid survive.” -Andy Grove

Nvidia (NVDA) met high expectations yesterday for the July quarter, hitting $46.7 billion in revenue, up 56% from the year-earlier period. However, it cautioned that third-quarter revenue growth will not be as impressive, disappointing analysts and investors.

Explorer stocks did not disappoint this week, with many of our positions posting solid gains. Coeur Mining (CDE) shares continue to outperform for us, up 8.9% this week, and Dutch Bros (BROS) shares were up a stellar 16.3%.