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Issues
If you want to invest in the whiskey trend, and a select few food trends, there’s really only one way to do it. That’s to buy shares in the company I’m profiling in this month’s Issue of Cabot Small-Cap Confidential. All the, oaky, spicy, and bold details are inside.
The intermediate-term trend in emerging market stocks remains down, and we continue to advise a substantial degree of caution. At the same time, the fact that the indexes (both emerging markets and domestic) have been able to hold above their February lows means there’s a chance that a renewed advance can begin at any time. But we won’t predict; we’ll just follow the market’s lead, while keeping you apprised of the action in the highest potential emerging markets stocks we can find. Today we add another name to the watch list; it’s an old friend that just hit a new high a couple of days ago.
There’s quite a bit of discussion on stock market trends pertaining to energy stocks, financial stocks and takeover stocks.
Last week I downgraded four stocks to Hold, and this week I recommend selling two—one for a fat profit and one for a quick loss. Still, because I keep adding a new stock every week, that leaves nineteen stocks in the portfolio, and most of them are acting very well!

As to this week’s recommendation, it’s a real wild card, a recent Chinese IPO that has been spun off from one of the big Chinese leaders. Risk-averse investors might want to give it a pass, or at least wait until there’s an established uptrend, but if you can handle the risk, buying down here might work out really well!
Market Gauge is 5Current Market Outlook


The broad market continues to be challenging, with last week’s low having the potential to kick off a renewed market uptrend and at the same time holding the potential to establish a floor that—if it collapses—could bring a fresh round of pain. In short, the path ahead is foggy and continued caution is advised. But don’t put your head in the sand! Our OptiMo system continues to dig up top-performing stocks with the potential to bring you substantial profits, if you play your cards right—and one of the most promising characteristics of these stocks is that they tend to be under-owned, meaning far more institutional money could arrive to boost them higher over time.

Today’s roster includes some strong breakouts and a handful of set-ups, and our Top Pick is AMN Healthcare (AMN), which has a steadily growing business in the field of healthcare staffing.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
AMN Healthcare Services Inc. (AMN) 0.0062-6757.5-60
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) 773.32405-420375-385
Dexcom (DXCM) 421.3671-7464-67
Integra LifeSciences (IART) 0.0057-6252.5-54
Michael Kors Holdings Limited (KORS) 73.2267-7066-64
Novocure (NVCR) 0.0025-2723-24
Oil States International (OIS) 0.0035-3732-33
Phillips 66 (PSX) 0.00107-11199-102
SVB Financial Group (SIVB) 0.00285-295265-270
Transocean Ltd. (RIG) 0.0011.7-12.510.2-10.6

The broad market has gotten jumpy again, but it’s no reason to panic. In today’s issue, we review why dividend stocks are better in downturns, add a conservative-aggressive stock to the Safe Income tier, and have earnings updates on all our stocks (four have already reported; the rest will over the next week.)
The market had a great, bullish setup a couple of weeks ago, but that rally has fallen flat, which is a red flag. Our Cabot Tides and Two-Second Indicator remain negative, and we’re now seeing the selling spread even to resilient growth stocks.
The long-term trend of the market remains up, but increasingly, it pays to be nimble. For today’s recommendation, that means jumping on the start of a new uptrend after an excellent earnings report.
Updates
For value-focused investors, this year’s prologue has been a welcome change from the turmoil experienced in early 2025.

In just the past few weeks, some of last year’s most ignored or underappreciated laggards have posted outsized gains, with rallies that have made even momentum-driven tech stock traders envious. Even more remarkable is the fact that much of that strength has been concentrated in ultra-defensive areas of the market like consumer staples, utilities and healthcare.
The market rotation continues to be the main story out there this week, though rumblings of a potential strike on Iran, an update from the January FOMC meeting, and a slew of earnings reports and economic data releases have been giving investors plenty to think about.

In terms of the rotation, the equal‑weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) is up 5.5% so far this year, illustrating that leadership is broadening beyond the narrow group of mega‑cap stocks that drove much of last year’s performance.

Year to date, the S&P 600 SmallCap Index is up 8.3% and the S&P 400 Mid‑Cap Index is up 7.9%. Both are comfortably outperforming the S&P 500, which is up just 0.1%, and the Nasdaq, which is down 2.1%.
Happy Chinese New Year! The year of the horse is upon us.

China is expecting an incredible 9.5 billion trips to be made during the 40-day Lunar New Year travel period. Chinese automakers are also on the move as the country’s numerous brands sold nearly 200,000 vehicles in Britain last year, doubling their market share to almost 10%.
As U.S. investors have shifted from risk-on to risk-off mode in recent months, a clear disparity between the “haves” and the “have-nots” has materialized.

Let’s start with the “have-nots.” Financials have fared the worst so far this year (-4.7%), followed by technology (-3.1%), communication services and consumer discretionary (-2.8% each). The downturn in the two tech-related sectors in particular is a stark departure from recent years, when technology led the charge of the current bull market.
Cyclical stocks are soaring and technology is floundering in the transformed market.

The bull market is turned upside down. For most of the first three years, technology, and particularly AI stocks, soared while most other stocks did very little. Now, previously meandering stocks are killing it while technology sinks.
Strong fourth-quarter earnings are confirming what the market was already doing.

Current estimates based on earnings reported so far are for 13.2% overall S&P earnings growth for the quarter. It’s a solid quarter and the fifth straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth. In terms of sector performance, cyclical companies are killing it, and technology is floundering, just like before earnings.
Like many coffee aficionados, I have something of a love/hate relationship with Starbucks (SBUX). My main gripe is that the company’s food and beverage offerings have always been pricey compared to the fare served in most fast-food restaurants and run-of-the-mill coffee houses.
The outperformance of small caps continues.

Through Tuesday’s close, the S&P 600 is up 10% year to date versus just 1.6% for the S&P 500.

All but three small-cap sectors are outperforming their large-cap counterpart. The strongest small-cap sectors are materials (+20%), energy (+23%), industrials (+17%), and tech (+11.4%).
Let’s talk about the power of staying invested.

Sure, when the market turns south – and I’m not even sure last week’s mini-dip qualifies – it makes sense to pare back on your weakest stocks and put a larger portion of your portfolio in cash. But taking your ball and going home – selling out of all of your stocks when times are tough – is not a winning strategy. Here’s why.
NOTE: We’re sending this a day early as I’m soon to embark on a trip with the kiddos over the next week. I will be working a good amount from the road, though, and will have updates if need be. Also, next week’s issue will be published as scheduled.

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WHAT TO DO NOW: The market remains very mixed, with growth measures still generally pointed sideways to down, while the broad market remains in solid shape. What’s interesting, though, is that we’re seeing more growth stocks kick into gear, along with some huge buying action in a few “cyclical growth” names. Tonight we’re making one move—adding a half-sized stake in Macom Tech (MTSI)—but are keeping our eyes open for a broader character change among growth stocks. Our cash position will be around 53%.
Today could be a big day for cannabis stocks.

The reason: We may get an important update on the rescheduling timeline.

Cannabis investors will be watching closely today to see whether Attorney General Pam Bondi offers a rescheduling update when she appears before the House Judiciary Committee. Upbeat comments could spark a sharp cannabis sector rally. The hearing starts at 10 a.m. EST.
I’m excited to share a couple of enhancements to Cabot Early Opportunities —improvements designed to sharpen our focus and better help you stay on top of the stocks we own.
Alerts
While profits are still in the red, this infrastructure company’s fortunes are looking up, with a revenue and earnings beat in its most recent quarter.
Our first idea is a company that is growing at a triple-digit pace, with two analysts increasing forecasts for this year.
Our second recommendation is partial profit-taking.
This global media company beat analysts’ estimates by $0.10 last quarter and 25 analysts have raised their EPS forecasts for the company in the last 30 days.
Good news for TiVo (TIVO); H&R Block (HRB) and Mattel (MAT) shares are rising.
Our first idea is a transportation company that beat Wall Street’s estimates by a nickel last quarter.
. Our second recommendation is a sale of a previous idea.
Crista writes about earnings for two stocks, a management change and a $300MM share repurchase.
This stock reported first-quarter earnings that beat expectations last night. However, the stock declined in after-hours trading.
In the last thirty days, six analysts have increased their earnings forecasts for this industrial company’s next quarter.
An update on one of our stocks, and a rating change on another.
This small semiconductor company beat analysts’ estimates by $0.02 last quarter, and Wall Street is forecasting double-digit growth for the next five years.
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