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The environment remains essentially the same this week, as we have a broad market that continues to struggle, major indexes that are back in intermediate-term downtrends and commodity and defensive stocks about the only two areas that are doing decently. We continue to see secondary signs that are encouraging, including many measures that tell us selling pressures are gradually easing, but as always, we need to see the market and individual stocks prove themselves before changing our stance in any real way. It’s best to remain mostly cautious until the buyers return. Our Market Monitor will remain at a level 5.

After being unable to get off its knees for more than a few hours, the market staged a rally during the past two days, which is always good to see. That said, while the Nasdaq is looking halfway decent (back above its 50-day line today), the other major indexes are still in rough shape, and the broad market is still iffy. Now is certainly not the time to be complacently negative—it’s not like every stock is in tatters and the major indexes are in bear phases. But after the toppy action in July and decisive break two weeks ago, we need to see more than just a couple of mild-volume rallies to put a bunch of money back to work. Thus, you should remain generally defensive as we patiently wait for the bulls to re-take control.

The good news is that many growth stocks (and a few turnarounds) continue to act well—not much money is being made but many names are building solid bases. Our Top Pick this week is Under Armour (UA), an emerging blue chip stock that, while not early in its advance, is in great position after a beautiful base and breakout.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
58.com (WUBA)	0.00	50-51	47-48
Vipshop Holdings (VIPS)	14.25	210-214	200-203
Under Armour (UA)	0.00	66-70	62-63
Tenet Healthcare (THC)	0.00	55-57	51-52
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)	129.66	77-79	72-74
NRG Yield (NYLD)	0.00	51.5-53	49-50
NorthStar Realty (NRF)	0.00	17.5-18	16.5-17
Lithia Motors Inc. (LAD)	146.30	90-92	84-85
Dexcom (DXCM)	421.36	41-43	37-38
Arista Networks (ANET)	0.00	70-74	64-65

Crude oil prices have backed off in a big way but there are bullish catalysts that remain in place for oil stocks. Here are two we like.

Contrary to all the doom and gloom, the U.S. economy is doing just fine, thanks. And Ally Financial stock is a perfect way to play its growth.

Any stock that can deliver a ten-bagger in less than two years is bound for the Hall of Fame, and that’s exactly what Weibo stock did for my subscribers.

If you’re investing based on the valuation of a company, you may be resting your money in a bed of speculation. Keep reading to learn more about valuations.

While going to cash to preserve capital in a downturn is a popular strategy, portfolio hedging with ETFs is a useful alternative.

Gold prices are at all-time highs, while oil prices have been stuck in the mud. But history says high-priced gold normally bodes well for oil - and oil stocks.

At Cabot, we believe education is a key component of successful investing. Today I’m going to review my system for picking growth stocks, which I’ve discussed in this space before. I call it SNaC, for Story, Numbers and Chart, and it’s the method I use to choose stocks for the Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report.

Put a little money to work. There are still issues with many growth stocks and plenty of crosscurrents, but the overall market is looking good and we have seen some earnings-induced breakouts.

Higher interest rates have taken a toll on real estate investment trusts. Since May 1, REITs in the iShares Cohen & Steers Realty Majors (ICF) ETF have tumbled 12.4%. Marquee names like Vornado (VNO) and Boston Properties (BXP) have fared a bit better, both down more than 3.5%. Some...

Questions from our Subscribers From time to time, we’ll publish questions from our readers that may apply to many of your individual situations. Please don’t hesitate to write us for clarification on any of our recommendations or general investment questions. However, we are unable to give specific individual investment advice or...

On Friday this recommendation closed at 14.74, which was below the August 15 strike that we had sold last month. Because the stock closed below 15 the calls that we sold for $1.65 expired worthless. This is a good situation.

The market finished solidly in the black thanks to a strong end to last week; interestingly, while the intermediate-term trend is still neutral overall, a couple of broad up days from here could kick it into the green. Even better is the action of leading stocks, with more names emerging and, importantly, more names holding their recent upmoves. To be clear, there’s still a lot of proving to do, but overall, we think the evidence has taken another step in the right direction—we’ll move up our Market Monitor to a level 6 and see what comes from here.

This week’s list has a ton of strong names and other good setups that could lift should the market continue to improve. Our Top Pick looks like the leader of the improving cybersecurity group, having lifted out of a long consolidation. Dips should be buyable.

Current Market Outlook


We’re eight and a half months into 2014, and it finally looked as if the choppy (four weeks up, four weeks down, etc.) type of environment had been left behind. But not yet! Just during the past couple of trading days, we’ve seen the market churn near its highs and the sellers come out of the woodwork. We can’t conclude at this point that the market is set to sink for a few weeks; the evidence doesn’t support that. But given that sustained trends have been hard to come by, we also continue to think holding some cash on the sideline and booking partial profits makes sense. We’ll keep our Market Monitor in a “lean bullish” position, but we’ll be watching the upcoming action closely. If the uptrend is OK, buyers should show up soon.

This week’s list has a broader array of stocks and sectors on it, with a few stable stories. Still, we’re going with a true growth stock as our Top Pick—Palo Alto Networks’ (PANW) quarterly report was a barnburner and the stock soared to new highs on record volume. And we think its pullback since looks normal.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
WhiteWave Foods (WWAV)	0.00	34.5-36.5	32-33
United Therapeutics (UTHR)	0.00	118-123	105-107
TriQuint Semiconductor (TQNT)	0.00	19-20	17-18
Gentherm (THRM)	0.00	47-49.5	44-45
Palo Alto Networks (PANW)	236.92	94-98	86-88
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST)	0.00	86-89	78-80
Southwest Airlines (LUV)	0.00	32-33	29-30
Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ)	0.00	154-162	145-148
Greenbrier (GBX)	57.73	67-70	63-64
Foot Locker (FL)	0.00	55-57	52-53