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What shutdown? What tariffs? The market couldn’t care less. It just keeps moving higher.

After making a series of new highs throughout the summer, the S&P had a great September. October looks good so far, too. Stocks are being driven higher by technology and the artificial intelligence trade. The technology sector is up 9% over the past month.

Cannabis investors have turned into bored apes.

After President Donald Trump said on August 11 he’d get around to cannabis reform “in a few weeks,” cannabis speculators concluded making money was as simple as pulling out a calendar, counting forward three weeks, and buying ahead of the expected big pop on that date – which was in early September.

The resilient market forges on. After the biggest market dip since April in the middle of last month, the S&P has gained it all back in the last couple of weeks.

Stocks weakened last month as investors worried that tech stock valuations were too high, as the artificial intelligence trade may be overdone. They also worried that the Fed would not cut rates in December. But stocks were rejuvenated after some positive statements by Fed members greatly increased the odds of a December fed funds rate cut.

The S&P 500 started the week on another up note. But the index return is deceiving.

The S&P is being pulled higher by a handful of technology stocks. But 400 of the 500 stocks and nine of the 11 sectors were lower on Monday at midday. The earnings season so far has reaffirmed a positive outlook for artificial intelligence investments. That helps drive the index higher as technology stocks represent more than a third.

Stocks started off this week much higher as the end of the government shutdown seems likely. The newfound strength comes off a sluggish month for stocks and could signal a new surge higher.

The shutdown has lasted over 40 days, and investors began to worry that it was negatively affecting consumer confidence and could lower GDP going forward. Ending the shutdown does take some risk off the table. At the same time, some bullish forecasts have come out for 2026, citing rising overall earnings and continuing AI dominance.

The market took a big hit for the first time in quite a while last week. But it is recovering nicely so far this week.

After spending most of the summer and September making a series of new highs, stocks suddenly reverted to last April’s form on Friday. The S&P 500 fell 2.71% and the Nasdaq fell 3.56% in one day. It was tariff news that caused the carnage.

Stocks started this week on a strong note. After sluggish performance over the past month, the S&P 500 is gaining steam.

Investors are focusing on the promising earnings season and a tamping down of tensions with China. The Trump administration has moderated its stance on China and will meet with them in the weeks ahead. Meanwhile, earnings season is heating up with Tesla (TSLA), Intel (INTC), Netflix (NFLX), and Coca-Cola (KO) reporting this week.

This will be an important week for a market that’s been floundering.

The S&P 500 is still in an uptrend that began in April. The index is up 14.5% year to date and within 3% of the high. But stocks are down 2% so far in November as investors fret about technology.

A growing chorus of concern regarding artificial intelligence valuations is dragging on the market. Several analysts believe AI stocks have gotten ahead of themselves. Technology has pulled this market higher all year and for most of the bull market. A pullback in those stocks will likely drag the index lower.

So far, so good. On just the seventh trading day of the year, the S&P 500 is already about 2% higher. Early 2026 performance is indicative that stocks want to go higher.

A look under the hood tells an interesting story. Cyclical stocks are booming. The sectors are killing it so far in 2026 with materials, consumer discretionary, and industrials leading the pack, with stunning YTD returns of 6.78%, 5.82%, and 4.43% respectively. Investors are betting on a strong economy in the new year.

Technology is getting a comeuppance. But other sectors are getting a boost.

The artificial intelligence trade was under pressure last month. But it recovered over the last three weeks. The back and forth has again taken a negative turn after AI bellwethers Oracle (ORCL) and Broadcom (AVGO) reported earnings that didn’t impress investors.

It’s been a good start to the year so far with the S&P up 1.38%. But the bigger story is under the hood.

Most sectors are outperforming the S&P 500. Seven of the eleven S&P stock sectors are outperforming the index in January. And none of them are technology. This is in sharp contrast to performance through most of this bull market, with technology driving the market higher while most other stocks sputter around.

The market is close to the high, and all eyes are on the Fed.

The market has priced in a 0.25% fed funds rate cut already. It could get ugly if the Fed doesn’t cut the rate on Wednesday. But that is unlikely. The rally in interest rate-sensitive stocks took place over the past few weeks. Now, those stocks are pulling back as investors fret over what the Chairman might say about future rate cuts in the minutes following the rate cut announcement.

One of my readers recently took my advice and negotiated his options rates with his brokerage provider. I thought I would share with you his results.

Inflation is going on. And it’s starting to sink in. Oil prices are soaring. Interest rates are rising. And the Fed is going to have to be more aggressive than previously anticipated about raising rates and reducing stimulus.