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Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the February 2024 issue.

This issue focuses exclusively on spin-offs and discusses seven attractive and relatively recently spun-off companies.

This month’s Buy recommendation, Baxter International (BAX), a major producer of medical equipment and hospital supplies, is involved in a spin-off. In this case, it is the parent company of an upcoming spin-off. The transaction, along with fundamental improvements and a long-time low share valuation, makes Baxter shares attractive.

A Midsummer Night’s Scream? That’s what the second half of July has felt like, with stocks (especially tech stocks) plunging and volatility exploding. Now comes another week of Fed speak and massive earnings reports, so don’t expect the choppy waters to settle just yet. But it’s important to remember that it’s still a bull market, and for a variety of reasons, I think the selling will be short-lived. So, today we’re taking another big swing by adding a recent IPO recommended by Mike Cintolo. If you’ve gone to Europe in the last two to three years, it’s possible you’re quite familiar with this company.

Details inside.

It’s been a highly unusual market environment, with the overall market grinding slightly higher, but with growth stocks generally under pressure as more leaders crack or test key support. We continue to think great things will happen when looking out a few months, but we also have to deal with the here and now and have been shedding names as they act abnormally, giving us a cash position north of 50%. We’d prefer to have that lower, but are holding it tonight, waiting for at least some support to show up before putting some of it back to work.

In the October Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities, we go deeper down the software rabbit hole, jump into a new grocery chain stock I suspect you’ve never heard of, dabble with a hot AI semiconductor stock and consider the potential of an EV stock that’s exploded on news of a big DOE loan.

As always, there should be something for everyone!

Jerome Powell went full Grinch last week, sparking a brief market selloff after saying the Fed would cut rates at a slower pace than expected in 2025. Prior to that, there were some obvious cracks beneath the market’s surface, so Powell’s downer of a press conference served more to expand the selling than cause it. But the nice rebound in the last two trading days shows the bulls are still mostly in charge, which means it’s a good time to add a mid-cap water stock that Tyler Laundon just introduced to his Cabot Early Opportunities audience.

Details inside. Happy Holidays!

It’s been a good start to the year so far with the S&P up 1.38%. But the bigger story is under the hood.

Most sectors are outperforming the S&P 500. Seven of the eleven S&P stock sectors are outperforming the index in January. And none of them are technology. This is in sharp contrast to performance through most of this bull market, with technology driving the market higher while most other stocks sputter around.

The economy is steady, but economists are beginning to worry about consumers. For December, retail sales were flat (vs. the anticipated 0.4% rise) after an increase of 0.6% in November. And credit card balances rose 5.5% from last year, to $1.28 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Inflation remained at 2.7%, and unemployment ticked down a bit, to 4.3%. That’s some good news!

So far, so good. On just the seventh trading day of the year, the S&P 500 is already about 2% higher. Early 2026 performance is indicative that stocks want to go higher.

A look under the hood tells an interesting story. Cyclical stocks are booming. The sectors are killing it so far in 2026 with materials, consumer discretionary, and industrials leading the pack, with stunning YTD returns of 6.78%, 5.82%, and 4.43% respectively. Investors are betting on a strong economy in the new year.

Current Market Outlook


The big-cap indexes started strong today on news of a new NAFTA deal, but under the surface, we’re seeing continued rotation and signs of degradation. Small- and mid-cap indexes took hits today and remain below their 50-day lines, while most growth stocks continue to act iffy. To be fair, the start of a new quarter often sees many crosscurrents, and most leading stocks, while choppy, remain in uptrends. But we’ve now seen funky action and lots of rotation for over a month, which has our antennae up. We’re moving our Market Monitor to a level 6 and feel the next few days will be telling—if leaders are OK, we expect to see support show up, but if not, the odds of a longer pullback will increase.

As for our screens, we’re still finding a good number of good charts, albeit in a variety of sectors. Our Top Pick today is Allegheny Technologies (ATI), a specialty metals firm that is showing signs of getting going after months of base-building.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Alarm.com (ALRM)	71.33	55.5-57	51-52
Allegheny Technologies (ATI)	27.78	28.5-30	26-27
Ecopetrol (EC)	22.17	25.5-27	22.5-23.5
Intelsat (I)	25.46	27-29	24-25
Paycom Software (PAYC)	0.00	145-150	136-139
PetIQ (PETQ)	30.82	36-38	33-34
Teladoc, Inc. (TDOC)	127.95	79-83	70-73
Vale S.A. (VALE)	15.40	14.5-15	13.2-13.6
WPX Energy (WPX)	0.00	19.3-20.2	17.4-17.9
Zendesk (ZEN)	82.19	67-70	61.5-63.5

Tim Lutts, Chairman, Chief Investment Strategist, and Chief Analyst of Cabot Marijuana Investor and Cabot Stock of the Week speaks about investing in marijuana stocks.

There’s no question that last Thursday’s and Friday’s show of support in the major indexes and many stocks (especially growth-oriented stocks) was a positive sign—it tells you big investors are still interested in buying on weakness at or near support levels. (Many stocks found support near their 50-day lines.) That continues to bode well for the intermediate- and longer-term uptrend. That said, there are still question marks in the short-term—there’s been lots of distribution since mid-May, especially in many defensive and interest rate-sensitive areas, and sentiment remains a bit complacent. By all means, you should hold onto your top performers, but for now, we continue to advise caution when it comes to new buying (keep positions small) and holding some cash.

Perhaps the most impressive thing we saw this weekend were our own screens—this week’s list has a ton of great-looking charts despite the market’s recent sloppiness. Our favorite of the week is Parexel (PRXL), which remains in a tight, controlled uptrend and has great growth prospects.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Salix Pharmaceuticals (SLXP)	0.00	59-61	52-54
Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD)	0.00	139-144	129-131
Parexel Corp. (PRXL)	0.00	44-46	41-42
OmniVision (OVTI)	0.00	18-19	16.5-17
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)	980.83	113-118	103-105
EQT Corporation (EQT)	0.00	78-82	74-75
Electronic Arts (EA)	0.00	21.5-22.5	19.5-20.5
Ctrip.com International Ltd. (CTRP)	34.94	30-32.5	27-28
Conn’s Inc. (CONN)	0.00	51-53	46-47
TD Ameritrade (AMTD)	0.00	22.5-23.5	20.5-21

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the December issue.

With the year-end approaching, investors often sell for reasons unrelated to a stock’s outlook. This month we describe some of these reasons, including tax-loss selling, window-dressing, performance bonus protection and the desire for a fresh start in the new year. We discuss seven stocks that look vulnerable to this type of selling yet seem likely to bounce once the selling pressure relents.



We also look at the airline industry – now in the throes of a near-term depression. We believe the outlook for a recovery is improving despite the recent “third wave” of rising Covid case counts. Clearly these stocks carry risks, most prominently that passengers don’t return to flying as much, even after a vaccine and other safety protocols should make flying safe again. Our discussion delves into some of the industry’s arcane metrics, as these help clarify (at least for those with a wonkish interest, like me) the drivers of the downturn and a likely recovery. We highlight five promising discount airline stocks.



Our feature recommendation is the office equipment company Xerox Holdings Corporation (XRX). The market tends to dismiss this company, but its robust cash flow, cash-heavy balance sheet, low valuation and 4.6% dividend yield offer strong value.



The letter also includes a summary of our recent sales of Peabody Energy (BTU), Weyerhaeuser (WY) and Barrick Gold (GOLD), our price target increase for Freeport-McMoran (FCX) and the full roster of our current recommendations.



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you. A great way to get more out of your letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

The world has clearly changed in the past two weeks. We see an exceptionally wide range of possible outcomes, which makes predictions about the future (already a low success rate endeavor) basically futile. We offer our timeless investing advice that can be readily applied in such situations.

In the letter, we also provide updates on all of our Recommended Stocks.

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor. We hope you enjoy reading the February 2022 issue.



Word puzzle Wordle is the latest craze, but it isn’t the most popular parlor game. This title is held by “What Is Russian President Vladimir Putin Going to Do With Ukraine?”



We provide our theory which is not found anywhere else yet could readily explain his motivation. Related to this crisis, we move shares of ConocoPhillips (COP) from Buy to Hold, as they have surged above our recently raised 89 price target.



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you and the best way to get more out of the letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

The stock market’s enduring slide must be driven by something – the S&P500 rarely (but occasionally) falls 16% in four months for “no reason.” No doubt the long list of issues led by inflation, war in Europe, the end of cheap and easy money, the cut-off of generous stimulus checks and a possible recession feature large.

We’ve seen signs of it everywhere. Retail prices for homes, apartments, food, gasoline, cars and everyday services are higher than they were a year or two ago and are going higher. Upstream from these consumer-facing prices, input prices for raw materials, semiconductors, crops, wages, energy and transportation are going up. Inflation is no longer around the corner – it is here.

Like nature, stock markets have seasons. We experienced a brief but frigid winter about 18 months ago when nearly every stock wilted as capital markets froze (no pun intended, mostly). Then, just as surely as spring follows winter, an exceptionally generous dose of warm sunshine, water and fertilizer in the forms of extremely aggressive monetary and fiscal liquidity and stimulus returned the stock market to brilliant health where nearly every stock blossomed with vibrant growth.

Today’s portfolio changes include one stock joining us with strong earnings growth and a stronger price chart than most stocks during this market correction, and another leaving the portfolio due to frequent downward revisions in earnings estimates.

The stock market will not likely bounce back quickly to its February highs. I’d be completely shocked if any such rebound occurred this month, or even in April. Instead, I expect a significant amount of volatility in the coming days, as buyers and sellers take turns embracing and dumping stocks. Despite the occasional up day in the market, there are many stocks that have not finished falling yet. Most such stocks are companies that will likely be harmed by a pullback in this year’s expected economic growth. After all, when people are quarantined – or just plain staying home and canceling travel and outings – many businesses suffer, not the least of which are travel, restaurant and retail companies.



I know that you will hear some friends or stock market pundits imply that the market will rebound quickly. Please, I beg you not to fall for that rosy prognosis. The market fell nearly 13%. That’s a BIG DROP. It’s going to take quite a few months to recover, and the recovery will most likely be precipitated by news that global economies are recovering from the coronavirus-induced lapse in economic output.



That’s not to say that there won’t be buying opportunities. I will continue to point out growth stocks that have somewhat bullish or tradeable price charts. These will be the ones with which you’ll want to “buy low.”

Lastly, take your time investing your cash. Many stocks will be in trading ranges, so watch for opportunities to buy low and sell high within those ranges

In late 1991, two storm systems and Hurricane Grace combined to produce some of the most violent open seas conditions on record. One monitoring buoy in offshore Nova Scotia reported a 100.7-foot wave (picture a 10-story building), a record for the region. In 1997, Sebastian Junger wrote the book The Perfect Storm and in 2000 it was made into a movie starring George Clooney and Mark Wahlberg.