The market has been spectacular. Can we expect more of the same in 2026?
The S&P is up a staggering 95% since this bull market began in October of 2022. It’s up 128% this decade, for an average annual return of about 15%, 50% higher than the historical average.
The huge returns have been all technology. Without technology, market returns for the past few years would be rather uninspired. But there is growing investor angst regarding the sustainability of technology valuations and whether all this massive AI investment will deliver tangible payoffs. The sector could have a tougher year in 2026.
Fortunately, there are a lot of stocks that aren’t technology. The rest of the market cares more about interest rates and the economy, and those things are shaping up well. The Fed is in a rate-cutting cycle, inflation is subdued, oil is cheap, and a higher level of economic growth is expected in 2026.
The rally is broadening, and 2026 may be a year for non-technology stocks to shine. Overall earnings are expected to grow 14% next year, with much of the growth over last year coming from other sectors. Many stocks in other industries sell at cheaper valuations than the market, and performance is improving as investors seek to diversify beyond technology.
The bull market has been lopsided toward technology so far. But 2026 is shaping up to be a year for other stocks to catch up. In this issue, I highlight a stock poised to do just that in the year ahead.