The market didn’t do all that much during the holiday-shortened week, so our overall stance is unchanged—we’re still leaning bullish but are also holding some cash and are more focused on being patient and buying stocks at lower-risk entries. That said, we have seen a (very) subtle shift during the past couple of weeks; some of the defensive-type names have stagnated, with growth and speculative stocks acting a bit better. It’s too early to conclude that a big shift has occurred, but it’s something to watch closely—a movement back into growth stocks would be very encouraging.

In the meantime, we’re looking for newer names that have shown excellent power of late. This week’s list is chock-full of them, and our Top Pick is Biogen Idec (BIIB), a big biotech firm with big earnings growth coming. The stock just gapped out of a multi-month zone on favorable news.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Workday (WDAY)	194.88	78.5-81.5	75-75.5
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)	0.00	48-50	43-44
Gogo Inflight (GOGO)	0.00	27-30	22-23
First Solar (FSLR)	83.74	59-61	49-51
Fifth & Pacific (FNP)	0.00	30.5-32	27.5-28
New Oriental Education (EDU)	113.97	28.5-30	26-26.5
Dexcom (DXCM)	421.36	33-35	29-30
Canadian Solar (CSIQ)	0.00	29-30.5	23-24
Bitauto Holdings (BITA)	0.00	29.5-31	25-26
Biogen (BIIB)	0.00	285-295	267-268

The major indexes remain in uptrends, there’s no doubt about that. And, despite some still-soggy action among many growth stocks, most of the broad market is trending higher, too. But not all uptrends are equal, and right now, we don’t see much power out there. That’s not a bad thing, per se, but it’s more of a two-steps-forward, one-step-back kind of advance, with lots of rotation still going on week to week. By all means, continue to do some buying in names you like, but we also advise holding some cash and picking your spots.

This week’s list has a slightly steadier feel to it than prior weeks, as money flows toward companies with dependable growth. There are also a few stocks that have popped on earnings and tightened up of late, including SanDisk (SNDK), which is our top pick. Shares are at a good risk-reward point here.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Waddell & Reed (WDR)	0.00	63-65	56-57
SanDisk Corp. (SNDK)	0.00	67-70	64-65
Salix Pharmaceuticals (SLXP)	0.00	86-88	74-75
US Silica Holdings, Inc. (SLCA)	0.00	31-33	29.5-30
Mohawk Industries (MHK)	0.00	138-143	129-130
Southwest Airlines (LUV)	0.00	17.5-18.5	15-16
Baker Hughes (BHI)	0.00	56.5-58.5	53-53.5
HomeAway, Inc. (AWAY)	0.00	35-37	31-32
Actavis (ACT)	0.00	160-163	156-157
ACI Worldwide (ACIW)	0.00	60-61	58-59

From a top-down perspective, the intermediate-term trend is up and most dips are met quickly with buying (Friday was a good example of that). But looking at individual stocks, we are seeing more and more iffy action; more groups are acting sloppily after big runs, strength is being sold into, and volatility is on the rise. None of this means you should be running into the storm cellar or that a big drop is a sure thing, but there’s enough worrisome evidence to hold some cash, to keep losers and laggards on tight leashes, and to be discerning in terms of what (and at what price) you buy. We’re knocking our Market Monitor down a peg.

What we like about this week’s list is that it’s mostly stocks that are out of the public’s eye—they haven’t been hot in recent weeks. Our favorite of the week is Canadian Pacific Railway (CP), which just broke free from a multi-month base and is part of the still-strong transportation group.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Ubiquiti Networks (UBNT)	170.11	39-41.5	35.5-36
Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)	92.54	27-29	25-26
SM Energy (SM)	0.00	85-87	80-81
The Priceline Group Inc. (PCLN)	0.00	1,040-1,070	990-1000
Harman International Industries, Inc. (HAR)	0.00	75-78	68-69.5
Halliburton (HAL)	0.00	52-55	49-50
First Solar (FSLR)	83.74	58-60	49-50
Canadian Pacific Railway (CP)	0.00	140-146	130-131
Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI)	0.00	75-76.5	69-70
Bitauto Holdings (BITA)	0.00	24-25.5	20-21

There continue to be lots of crosscurrents in the market, with many stocks chopping around, lots of big earnings moves (in both directions) and a few leaders from this summer coming under pressure. Overall, though, the bull market is intact, so the lesson from the action is to pick your spots and remain selective when doing new buying. As for your winners, you should give them a chance to breathe, but it’s also important to have mental stops in place—we’re still seeing plenty of rotation out of this summer’s highfliers and into other stocks and sectors.

This week’s list has few stocks that are on most investors’ radar screens, which we view as a good thing. Our favorite of the week is WisdomTree (WETF), a smaller Bull Market stock with a unique story and huge growth numbers.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
United States Steel Corporation (X)	0.00	25-26.5	21-22
WisdomTree (WETF)	0.00	13-14	11.5-12
Trinity Industries (TRN)	0.00	50-52	47-48
Taser (TASR)	0.00	15.5-17	13-14
Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)	0.00	68-70	62-64
Gilead Sciences (GILD)	75.10	68-71	63-64
CARBO Ceramics (CRR)	0.00	114-122	100-102
BE Aerospace (BEAV)	0.00	79-82	74-75
CR Bard Inc. (BCR)	0.00	133-136	126-127
Amazon.com (AMZN)	2.00	345-355	328-332

During the July-through-September period, we often saw the major indexes lag (the S&P 500 went nowhere from mid-May through mid-October) while growth leaders surged. Now, though, we’re starting to see the opposite—the broad market’s health has improved, and many groups have come to life, but just about any stock that’s had a huge run in recent months is under pressure. We don’t advise panicking out of all your winners, but set your stops and consider booking partial profits. On the flip side, there are many less well-known names that are acting great, including a bunch that have recently broken out on earnings, and that’s where any new buying should be focused.

This week’s list has a nice collection of those type of names. Our favorite is United Rentals (URI), a company we’ve long liked, and now the stock is getting going after an eight-month rest.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Whiting Petroleum (WLL)	0.00	65-68	58-59
United Rentals, Inc. (URI)	0.00	63-65	59-60
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. (NUS)	46.07	110-115	98-100
ServiceNow (NOW)	341.86	54-56	48-50
Northrop Grumman (NOC)	0.00	104-107	96-97
Noble Energy (NBL)	0.00	74-75	69-70
Illumina Inc. (ILMN)	289.74	90-92	84-85
Gentex Corp. (GNTX)	0.00	27.5-29.5	24-26
Five Below (FIVE)	134.58	46.5-49	43-44
Align Technology (ALGN)	316.20	54-56	46-48

It wasn’t surprising to see the market pick up some steam following the resolution to Washington’s latest deadline. But what has been surprising is the sheer strength seen from the broad market and leading stocks. They’re hot! And, as we had hoped, some new leadership is beginning to emerge during earnings season. Of course, investor sentiment is bubbly, earnings season is still ongoing and many stocks are extended, so some potholes are possible. But given the evidence, we’re shifting our Market Monitor back into bullish territory.

This week’s list has a bunch of names that had been taking a breather during the past two to four months, but have now come alive on big volume as the buyers return. Our favorite is Spirit Airlines (SAVE), one of the few airline stocks that has a true, sustainable growth story.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)	818.87	165-175	145-150
Seagate Technology (STX)	0.00	47-50	42.5-44
Stratasys (SSYS)	0.00	105-110	99-100
SunPower (SPWR)	12.26	32-34	26-27
SanDisk Corp. (SNDK)	0.00	67-69	61-62
Spirit Airlines (SAVE)	57.03	40-43	35-36
Google Inc. (GOOG)	0.00	980-1,000	862-882
Finisar (FNSR)	0.00	24.5-26	22-23
Bonanza Creek Energy (BCEI)	0.00	51-54	45-46
Athenahealth (ATHN)	0.00	130-138	116-118

This is the week of the debt ceiling deadline, and while it appears Washington is coming close to a deal, nothing is final yet. And that means continued uncertainty in the days ahead, so be sure to continue following the evidence. Thus far, the evidence remains encouraging: most stocks are in good shape, and while some abnormal activity was spotted last week, the bulls have stepped up to the plate since. We remain in a “lean bullish” stance, holding some cash but also holding our best performers and looking for new buys on dips.

This week’s list highlights the newfound strength in energy stocks—there’s four of them featured this week. Our favorite is Continental Resources (CLR), which we think is an emerging blue chip in the sector, though all of its energy peers also have solid prospects.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Yandex (YNDX)	0.00	36.5-38	33-34
Melco Crown (MPEL)	0.00	32-33.5	28-30
Cheniere Energy (LNG)	63.82	34-36.5	30-32
HCA Healthcare (HCA)	137.60	45-46.50	39-40
Facebook, Inc. (FB)	0.00	47-49	43-44
Dril-Quip (DRQ)	0.00	113-115	109-110
Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO)	24.03	40.5-42.5	36.5-37.5
Continental Resources (CLR)	66.19	108-112	100-102
Infoblox Inc. (BLOX)	0.00	41-43.5	36-37
ARM Holdings (ARMH)	0.00	46-48	43-44

It seems like nearly every October gives the market something to worry about, and this year it’s (again) the politicians in Washington, D.C.—statements and rumors from various leaders have been pushing and pulling the market in recent days, and there’s no reason to expect anything less in the near-term. That said, despite day-to-day (sometimes hour-to-hour) volatility, the market’s overall stance hasn’t changed much; the indexes are in good-not-great shape, but most leading stocks have taken it all in stride. Thus, we’re sticking with our lean bullish advice, and think buying during weakness can pay off.

This week’s list is encouraging in that many names are new to Top Ten; while the market hits some potholes, money is still finding a home in more and more stocks. Our favorite of the week is U.S. Silica (SLCA), another play on the rebounding oil sector; we like its reasonable valuation, recent breakout and big increase in sponsorship in recent quarters.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
YY Inc. (YY)	0.00	46-48	43-44
Yelp (YELP)	41.30	67-70	59-61
Synaptics (SYNA)	0.00	45-47	39-40
Sanchez Energy (SN)	0.00	26-28	24.5-25
US Silica Holdings, Inc. (SLCA)	0.00	27-29	24-24.5
Sina Corp. (SINA)	0.00	86-88	78-80
Canadian Solar (CSIQ)	0.00	17.5-19	15-16
Centene (CNC)	0.00	62-64	58-59
Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI)	0.00	67-69	60-61
Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)	0.00	112-116	106-107

Our fearless leaders in Washington are at it again, and the uncertainty surrounding a potential government shutdown has cast a pall over the market during the past two days. Still, it’s as important as ever to make sure you keep your eye on the ball—news and rumors are sure to come fast and furiously in the days ahead, but what counts is the action of the market itself and leading stocks. And right now both look fine! If the evidence changes then we’ll change our advice, but tonight we’re keeping our Market Monitor where it’s been and our advice remains unchanged.

This week’s list has a nice mix of repeat recommendations, as well as stocks that are showing up for the first time in many months or years. Our favorite of the week is Oasis Petroleum (OAS), a stock that just leapt out of a three-year consolidation following a major acquisition.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Wynn Resorts (WYNN)	121.08	152-157	138-140
Vipshop Holdings (VIPS)	14.25	53-57	44-46
Trina Solar (TSL)	0.00	14-15	11-12
Taser (TASR)	0.00	13.5-14.5	11.5-12
Pinnacle Entertainment (PNK)	0.00	24-25	22-23
Oasis Petroleum (OAS)	12.57	47-49	42-43
Nexstar Media Group (NXST)	105.68	42-43	39-40
Chart Industries (GTLS)	72.05	120-125	113-115
Ciena (CIEN)	44.25	24-25	22-23
Baidu (BIDU)	0.00	144-150	133-135

In recent weeks, we’ve seen outstanding moves among growth stocks (and, increasingly, the broad market), which coincided with increasing giddiness among many investors. That’s a yellow flag, and today, we saw the first signs of abnormal selling among the leaders—big-volume distribution was evident among many stocks, no matter what the sector. To be fair, few names truly broke down, so we’ll keep our Market Monitor where it’s been. But today was a shot across the bow; the next few days should tell us whether this is a shakeout (we’ve seen a few this year), or whether a deeper (and well-deserved) retreat is likely during October.

This week’s list has many names that are more recent winners, and those types of names held up far better than most extended stocks today. Our favorite of the week is Las Vegas Sands (LVS), a leader from 2009-2010 that has re-emerged after a two-year rest. Try to buy on dips.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Whirlpool (WHR)	0.00	144-147.5	138-139
Workday (WDAY)	194.88	75-78	68-70
Ulta Beauty (ULTA)	331.95	111-116	100-102
Safeway (SWY)	0.00	29-31	26-27
NQ Mobile (NQ)	0.00	21-23	18-19
Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)	0.00	62-65	58-59
Incyte Corporation (INCY)	76.98	33.5-35	29-30
Finisar (FNSR)	0.00	22-24	20.5-21
Salesforce.com (CRM)	0.00	50-52	46-47
Boeing (BA)	432.22	114-117	107-107.5

The major indexes continue to act very well; today’s pop higher is par for the course. That said, the hot growth stocks of the past few weeks are starting to take a breather; there hasn’t been much abnormal selling, but new buying is being focused on some other groups. Moreover, investor sentiment has, by our measures, become elevated, which raises risk. Altogether, we’re leaving our Market Monitor where it has been. Continue to keep your feet on the ground and try to do your buying on weakness, or in stocks that are recently emerging from multi-week pauses.

This week’s list has a bunch of newer names to Top Ten, or at least stocks that haven’t appeared in a couple of months or longer. Our favorite is Five Below (FIVE), a small but exciting growth company whose stock just popped out of a long consolidation.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Swift Transportation (SWFT)	0.00	19-20	18-18.5
Qihoo 360 (QIHU)	0.00	79-84	68-69
Ocwen Financial (OCN)	0.00	54-56	49-50
Melco Crown (MPEL)	0.00	29-30.5	25-26
Cheniere Energy (LNG)	63.82	30-32	25-27
Gulfport Energy (GPOR)	0.00	60-63	53-55
Five Below (FIVE)	134.58	45-48	41-42
Dril-Quip (DRQ)	0.00	107-111	101-103
Concur Technologies (CNQR)	0.00	105-110	88-90
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)	47.84	22-23	19-20

If you’re invested in leading growth stocks, you’re probably doing very well; many of them have been shooting ahead, and on big volume to boot! That said, the broad market still isn’t acting right, and the longer that goes on, the greater the chance of some potholes in the days or weeks ahead. We’re not anticipating anything drastic, and we think holding your strong, profitable stocks is your best move. But we’ll continue to keep our Market Monitor just shy of bullish territory—holding some cash and picking your spots is important, especially with so many stocks extended to the upside.

This week’s list has many newer names (to us), which could reflect the start of a rotation into some previously stagnant groups. Our favorite of the week is Energen (EGN), one many good-looking energy stocks out there; we think it’s a solid buy here or on any weakness.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
YY Inc. (YY)	0.00	44-46	38-39
Pinnacle Entertainment (PNK)	0.00	22-24	19-20
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. (NUS)	46.07	86-90	76-78
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)	43.31	14.5-15.5	13-13.5
Lear Corp. (LEA)	0.00	69-71	66-67
Halliburton (HAL)	0.00	48.5-51	45.5-46
Evercore Partners (EVR)	0.00	47.5-49	44.5-45
Energen (EGN)	77.04	67-70	62-63
Infoblox Inc. (BLOX)	0.00	39-41	33-35
Aegerion Pharmaceuticals (AEGR)	0.00	90-94	84-85

Has there ever been anything as overvalued as SpaceX (SPCX)?

Elon Musk’s rocket and space-based internet company reported $18.7 billion in revenue in 2025. That’s less than half the revenue declining electronics store chain Best Buy (BBY, $41.7 billion) generated last year, less than International Paper Company (IP, $23.6 billion), and barely more than Casey’s General Stores (CASY, $17.6 billion). Those three companies have a combined market cap of roughly $67 billion. As of this writing, SpaceX has a market cap of $2.7 trillion. That’s more than the combined market cap of Walmart (WMT), JPMorgan (JPM) and Visa (V). Together, those three companies generated $847 billion in revenue last year.

Small caps continue to hold up well. The S&P 600 Small Cap Index is up modestly since last Thursday and is trading just below the fresh all-time highs it hit earlier this week. The group’s resilience stands out, especially against a backdrop of narrowing leadership and ongoing rotation beneath the market’s surface.

The main macro development this week was the Fed’s June meeting and Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference, which confirmed a shift in policy direction.

WHAT TO DO NOW: The market’s bounce has been a good one, and the intermediate-term outlook remains bright. That said, near term, there are still some crosscurrents (rotation into the broad market, Dow outperforming the Nasdaq) that tell us growth stocks could throw us another curveball in the coming week or two. Overall, then, we’re mostly standing pat, but we’re going to add a half-sized stake in Guardant Health (GH) here, leaving us with a still-good-sized cash position of 37% or so. Details below.

Stocks started this week with a huge rally as the Iran ceasefire deal appears to be the real thing.

Of course, it’s been months of supposed peace deals falling apart. It’s hard to believe. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons.

Stocks are starting off this week with a huge rally as the U.S. and Iran have reached a ceasefire deal.

We’ve been here before. These peace deals have fallen apart several times. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons. First, it’s the furthest a peace deal has gotten with both sides agreeing and independent verification from Pakistan. Second, this is what a peace deal would look like at this point if it’s real and lasting.

[Note: The Cabot Turnaround Letter weekly update won’t be published next Friday, June 19, due to the market being closed for the Juneteenth holiday.]

Before we get into the main topic for today’s newsletter update, a quick note on the portfolio is in order. I’m continuing our “spring cleaning” effort that we began last week by trimming a couple more of our holdings, but I’m also adding a new position to take the place of the recent deletions.

After two near-record-setting months, stocks are encountering their first real turbulence since March. It’s no surprise.

While stocks go up an average of 10% a year, they rarely do so in a straight line. And after the S&P 500 rallied nearly 20% in April and May and the Nasdaq shot up nearly 30%, a pullback of some kind – or possibly even a true correction – was to be expected. It seems it’s happening all at once.

Stocks look set to enter the summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed, volatility has ticked up, and there’s been renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and valuation concerns in some of the market’s biggest winners.

At the same time, the macro backdrop remains a mix of resilience and intermittent turbulence. While economic data continues to hold up, energy prices remain elevated due to the ongoing Iran conflict – which has no end in sight – keeping upward pressure on inflation and yields.

Tech, commodity, AI, and Explorer stocks struggled this week as concern over capital expenditures increased. Mideast tensions intensified and inflation numbers came in yesterday at their highest rate in over three years, fueled by rising energy costs. The combination of anticipated higher interest rates and rising bond yields impacted the price of precious metals, with gold sliding below $4,200 an ounce and silver falling below $64 an ounce.

Stocks look to enter summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed and volatility has ticked up thanks to renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and open-ended questions about valuations in some of the hottest areas of the market.

There’s also been more focus on the evolving macro landscape, which features a resilient U.S. economy but stubbornly high energy prices due to the ongoing Iran conflict, and somewhat elevated yields. We’re now looking at a higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike, with the odds of a hike by December now well over 50%.

The high-flying AI stocks got crushed on Friday. But those stocks started this week higher. Where do we go from here?

The technology-heavy Nasdaq index fell 4% on Friday, and the S&P 500 fell for the week for the first time in 10 weeks. A couple of things spooked investors. The AI trade turned sour after Broadcom (AVGO) reported earnings that included slightly lower revenue projections for its AI chips than were expected. Also, a blowout jobs report strengthened the case for a Fed rate hike by the end of the year.

A major economic narrative that took shape in recent years was the decline and (presumptive) inevitable death of the so-called “petrodollar,” as a growing number of countries diversified their foreign exchange reserves away from the U.S. dollar and toward gold and alternative currencies like the Chinese yuan.

A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.

A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.

Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.

Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.

Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.