Markets sold off slightly on Wednesday, but really got into it on Thursday, with the iShares MSCI ETF falling a full 2%. Despite the blood-letting, the Cabot Emerging Markets Timer is still flashing a green light, indicating that the medium-term trend of the market is still up.

This month I start covering a bank for the first time in many years. The balance sheets of many U.S. banks have strengthened significantly during the past few years, and present low risk buying opportunities. Citizens Financial, based in Rhode Island, stands out from the crowd and is a solid pick for steady performance during the year ahead.

Stocks have continued to zoom higher, and our contributors have found a very nice variety of investments for your consideration this month, beginning with our Spotlight Stock—a company that has been in existence since 1879.

The market remains strong and cohesive and thus I remain bullish. However, numerous indications remind me that the market is overdue to deliver a painful shock to investors, so today I’m leaning back to the conservative side, recommending a dividend-paying stock that has solid long-term prospects and minimal downside risk.

Current Market Outlook


Today was a welcome day for leading growth stocks, with many bouncing nicely after nearly two weeks of sliding steadily (despite the Dow’s advance during that time). Overall, the situation remains mostly bullish, but tricky—the major indexes are in uptrends and many stocks are in good shape, but we’ve also seen quite a few breakdowns among Top Ten stocks during the past couple of weeks, while many stocks moving to new highs have quickly found selling pressure. All told, we’ll leave our Market Monitor in bullish territory because the majority of evidence remains on the positive side of the ledger, but we’ll be watching to see if today’s strength in leading stocks continues or the choppy conditions return.

This week’s Top Ten has a bunch of impressive charts (including some multi-year breakouts) from a variety of industries. Our Top Pick is GrubHub (GRUB), whose story has improved and whose stock has exploded out of a two and a half year consolidation. Try to buy on weakness.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Aaron’s (AAN)	74.35	44-46	41-42
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP)	0.00	142-147	131-134
Arista Networks (ANET)	0.00	165-173	152-156
Baidu (BIDU)	0.00	222-229	203-207
Baozun (BZUN)	44.24	30.5-32.5	28-29
GrubHub (GRUB)	140.03	50-53	45-47
Lumber Liquidators Holdings, Inc. (LL)	0.00	33.5-36	29.5-31
Rockwell Collins (COL)	0.00	119-122	108-112
Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)	92.54	69-72	62-65
WTW (WTW)	100.47	39-42	35-36.5

Today’s recommendation is a small company, and there are no analysts following the stock. But it has big clients for which its products are absolutely critical. The stock has been on a wild ride this week. I have a hunch I know why, and we’re going to step in and to try and grab shares at a discount, starting with half a position.

This month’s Cabot Value Model contains a diversified list of high-quality Buy recommendations. Many of these companies have been neglected by investors in 2017 and are now poised to rise dramatically. Buying blue-chip companies seems prudent when the stock market is noticeably overvalued!

In tonight’s Cabot Growth Investor, we review all our stocks and highlight some names we’re watching, including one that’s set up very well ahead of earnings. We also dive into some details about how we run our ship—we’ve gotten a few questions about this lately, and we think this will clear up any questions you may have.

In choosing today’s recommendation, I returned to a sector that was white-hot a few years ago, bringing big profits to investors who got out before the sector collapsed. But now the sector is back in favor and my selection is the leading Chinese stock in the industry.

Has there ever been anything as overvalued as SpaceX (SPCX)?

Elon Musk’s rocket and space-based internet company reported $18.7 billion in revenue in 2025. That’s less than half the revenue declining electronics store chain Best Buy (BBY, $41.7 billion) generated last year, less than International Paper Company (IP, $23.6 billion), and barely more than Casey’s General Stores (CASY, $17.6 billion). Those three companies have a combined market cap of roughly $67 billion. As of this writing, SpaceX has a market cap of $2.7 trillion. That’s more than the combined market cap of Walmart (WMT), JPMorgan (JPM) and Visa (V). Together, those three companies generated $847 billion in revenue last year.

Small caps continue to hold up well. The S&P 600 Small Cap Index is up modestly since last Thursday and is trading just below the fresh all-time highs it hit earlier this week. The group’s resilience stands out, especially against a backdrop of narrowing leadership and ongoing rotation beneath the market’s surface.

The main macro development this week was the Fed’s June meeting and Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference, which confirmed a shift in policy direction.

WHAT TO DO NOW: The market’s bounce has been a good one, and the intermediate-term outlook remains bright. That said, near term, there are still some crosscurrents (rotation into the broad market, Dow outperforming the Nasdaq) that tell us growth stocks could throw us another curveball in the coming week or two. Overall, then, we’re mostly standing pat, but we’re going to add a half-sized stake in Guardant Health (GH) here, leaving us with a still-good-sized cash position of 37% or so. Details below.

Stocks started this week with a huge rally as the Iran ceasefire deal appears to be the real thing.

Of course, it’s been months of supposed peace deals falling apart. It’s hard to believe. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons.

Stocks are starting off this week with a huge rally as the U.S. and Iran have reached a ceasefire deal.

We’ve been here before. These peace deals have fallen apart several times. I’m sure that fact is holding the market back somewhat. But this one is different for a couple of reasons. First, it’s the furthest a peace deal has gotten with both sides agreeing and independent verification from Pakistan. Second, this is what a peace deal would look like at this point if it’s real and lasting.

[Note: The Cabot Turnaround Letter weekly update won’t be published next Friday, June 19, due to the market being closed for the Juneteenth holiday.]

Before we get into the main topic for today’s newsletter update, a quick note on the portfolio is in order. I’m continuing our “spring cleaning” effort that we began last week by trimming a couple more of our holdings, but I’m also adding a new position to take the place of the recent deletions.

After two near-record-setting months, stocks are encountering their first real turbulence since March. It’s no surprise.

While stocks go up an average of 10% a year, they rarely do so in a straight line. And after the S&P 500 rallied nearly 20% in April and May and the Nasdaq shot up nearly 30%, a pullback of some kind – or possibly even a true correction – was to be expected. It seems it’s happening all at once.

Stocks look set to enter the summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed, volatility has ticked up, and there’s been renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and valuation concerns in some of the market’s biggest winners.

At the same time, the macro backdrop remains a mix of resilience and intermittent turbulence. While economic data continues to hold up, energy prices remain elevated due to the ongoing Iran conflict – which has no end in sight – keeping upward pressure on inflation and yields.

Tech, commodity, AI, and Explorer stocks struggled this week as concern over capital expenditures increased. Mideast tensions intensified and inflation numbers came in yesterday at their highest rate in over three years, fueled by rising energy costs. The combination of anticipated higher interest rates and rising bond yields impacted the price of precious metals, with gold sliding below $4,200 an ounce and silver falling below $64 an ounce.

Stocks look to enter summer near all-time highs, but leadership has narrowed and volatility has ticked up thanks to renewed scrutiny on the AI trade and open-ended questions about valuations in some of the hottest areas of the market.

There’s also been more focus on the evolving macro landscape, which features a resilient U.S. economy but stubbornly high energy prices due to the ongoing Iran conflict, and somewhat elevated yields. We’re now looking at a higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike, with the odds of a hike by December now well over 50%.

The high-flying AI stocks got crushed on Friday. But those stocks started this week higher. Where do we go from here?

The technology-heavy Nasdaq index fell 4% on Friday, and the S&P 500 fell for the week for the first time in 10 weeks. A couple of things spooked investors. The AI trade turned sour after Broadcom (AVGO) reported earnings that included slightly lower revenue projections for its AI chips than were expected. Also, a blowout jobs report strengthened the case for a Fed rate hike by the end of the year.

A major economic narrative that took shape in recent years was the decline and (presumptive) inevitable death of the so-called “petrodollar,” as a growing number of countries diversified their foreign exchange reserves away from the U.S. dollar and toward gold and alternative currencies like the Chinese yuan.

We will place ProShares S&P 500 Ultra Fund (SSO) on Hold to respect the message from our Tides.

Five Below (FIVE) has been unable to pull out of its tailspin following a good-but-not-great quarterly report last week, so we’re selling the stock today and booking our small profit.

A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.

A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.

Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.

Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.

Our Cabot Top Ten Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Top Ten features.