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Current Market Outlook


The top-down view of the market remains just so-so, with the intermediate-term trend effectively on the fence—most indexes are hanging around their 50-day lines and have recouped about half of the recent corrections. Thus, some caution is still in order, especially as further news-driven moves are likely in the days and weeks ahead. However, the leaders (and potential leaders) of the market are very impressive, with more and more flashing constructive action, including some that are rallying on outsized volume, both of which are a sign that big investors are getting comfortable putting money to work. It’s not a wild bull market obviously, with relatively few stocks hitting new highs, but it’s safe to say the evidence has improved, causing us to nudge up our Market Monitor today.

This week’s list has a bunch of good-looking stocks that have seen good-volume buying of late. Our Top Pick is Datadog (DDOG), which has returned to form after a big-volume breakout last week. Start small and add if the stock and market improve from here.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Alibaba (BABA)	288	280-288	260-265
Datadog (DDOG)	107	103-107	92-94
Purple Innovation (PRPL)	25	23-24.5	20-21
Seres Therapeutics (MCRB)	30	27.5-29.5	23-24
SolarEdge Technologies Inc. (SEDG)	273	243-257	218-224
STMicroelectronics (STM)	33	32-33.5	29-30
Teck Resources Limited (TECK)	14	13-14.2	11.5-11.9
Twilio (TWLO)	283	277-287	250-255
Twitter (TWTR)	47	44-46	40-41
Zendesk (ZEN)	105	101-105	92-94

All in all, the good-not-amazing environment remains in place, with intermediate-term uptrends intact for the major indexes and a solid amount of good-looking leadership out there. That said, there also remain a fair number of potholes out there, and most broader indexes tested their 50-day lines late last week. All told, there are plenty of stocks in a variety of sectors that are working, so we’re bullish, but picking strong names, targeting decent entry points and booking a few partial profits on the way up are advised. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 8.

This week’s list has something for everyone, and we like how many of them have shown excellent power of late. Our Top Pick looks like an institutional way to play the energy transition trend. Aim to enter on dips.

After weeks of churning and choppy action, last week finally brought some “real” negative headlines that kicked the fear level up a few notches. As always, what’s more important to us is the market’s reaction to the news, and at this point, the intermediate-term advance is on the fence, with most indexes testing their 50-day lines and with more and more leaders doing the same. Big picture, it’s hardly a disaster, but we continue to be a little cautious, being selective on the buy side and holding some cash. We’ll pull down our Market Monitor to a level 6.

This week’s list has something for everyone, with growth, crypto, commodities and all types of potential setups. Our Top Pick is a smaller outfit with a great story—and it’s one of the few stocks that’s shown big-volume buying in recent days.

Investors who subscribe to Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor run the gamut from speculative investors who are looking for very short-term profits to buy-and-hold investors who want to build a portfolio full of good, market-leading companies like FedEx (FDX) and Amazon (AMZN).

Cannabis stocks look attractive in the current weakness. While there will likely be more general market downside, a negative for cannabis since the group gets sold when sentiment shifts to “risk off,” two potential catalysts loom.

This week I’m adding American worldwide manufacturing services company Jabil (JBL) to the portfolio.

“UnitedHealth Group, Inc. (UNH)—A U.S. leader in health care management, UnitedHealth provides a broad range of health care benefits and services, including health maintenance organizations (HMOs), point of service (POS) plans, preferred provider organizations (PPOs) and managed fee-for-service programs. Gains from the rising Medicare population will be offset...

Whether you’ve got an appetite for small-cap stocks or value stocks, Cabot has a publication that will fit your needs.

Stocks failed to even bounce today despite all the selling of late. At day’s end, the Dow was off 171 points and the Nasdaq dropped 19 points.

Current Market Outlook


If you haven’t stuck with a proven system in 2015, chances are you’ve been chopped to pieces by the market’s never-ending ups and downs. Today was another headline-driven selloff (Chinese stocks are seeing renewed weakness), but it doesn’t change the market’s condition—the intermediate-term trend is still sideways, with some stocks acting fine and others looking like it’s 2008. The plan remains the same—be selective on the buy side, honor all stops and hold some cash, but also give your most resilient stocks a chance to hold up and resume their advances. If leading stocks decisively break down, then we’ll change our tune, but so far focusing on the strongest stocks has been fruitful.

This week’s list features a few recent earnings winners, as well as a few that are set up well heading into their earnings reports. Our Top Pick is Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX), a big-cap growth stock that remains in a firm uptrend following a better-than-expected report.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX)	0.00	248-256	230-232
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)	423.92	101-106	93-94.5
Infinera (INFN)	0.00	22.5-23.5	20-21
IACI (IACI)	0.00	78.5-81	75-76
GoPro, Inc. (GPRO)	0.00	59-62	54-55
Criteo (CRTO)	0.00	51-53	48-49
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)	773.32	705-720	660-665
Cempra (CEMP)	0.00	42-44	37-38
China Biologic Products (CBPO)	0.00	112-117	105-106
Amazon.com (AMZN)	2.00	515-530	470-475

The stock market enjoyed a big upside reversal last week, snapping back strongly from the recent slump. The DJIA rose 3.9% for the week while the S&P 500 gained 4.6%. Big-tech stocks reasserted a leadership role thanks in part to blow-out earnings from Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL), propelling the Nasdaq to a 6% advance for the week.

“The sharp drop in the market value of our small cap portfolio caused me some concern earlier this week. It is reassuring to receive your special bulletins and weekly updates in providing some guidance and perspective. The timeliness of the special bulletins are appreciated. I suspect this week was very hectic for you! I am also impressed with the depth of research and analysis in your monthly recommendations. Your service is first class!”

K. Ting, Trinidad, West Indies

Current Market Outlook


The market’s snapback last week was very encouraging, with the major indexes and most leading stocks leaping back toward (or in some cases, out to) new highs. As we wrote last week, there are a couple of short-term issues to keep an eye on—namely, we saw some non-confirmations, as small- and mid-cap indexes didn’t bounce that much and far fewer stocks hit new highs even as the S&P and Nasdaq did. At this point, that action is more descriptive than predictive; it does raise the odds that the market could throw us another curveball over the next week or two, but it’s not something we’d necessarily trade off of. Big picture, we remain mostly bullish, though for new buying, we still favor entering on weakness.

This week’s list is just about all tech, med tech and biotech, and we’re happy to see some improved setups after the past two to three weeks of action. Our Top Pick is Zendesk (ZEN), which looks like it wants to continue its breakout from a few weeks back.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Amarin (AMRN)	14.06	18-20	16.5-17.5
Cree, Inc. (CREE)	67.96	54.5-57	49.5-51
Exact Sciences (EXAS)	116.91	88-92	80-82.5
iQIYI (IQ)	0.00	25.5-27.5	22.5-23.5
Paycom Software (PAYC)	0.00	176-183	159-163
Q2 Holdings (QTWO)	80.81	66-69	60.5-62
Ubiquiti Networks (UBNT)	170.11	137-142	125-128
Ulta Beauty (ULTA)	331.95	326-343	290-300
Xilinx (XLNX)	134.50	119-125	108-112
Zendesk (ZEN)	82.19	79-83	72-73.5

Current Market Outlook


Last Friday saw a big, broad selloff in the market, not unlike what we’ve seen a few times so far this year. But, interestingly, while those other selloffs lasted a few days, this one might not—the market snapped back vigorously today. All of this is short-term stuff, of course; the overall trend is still generally sideways and few stocks are running away on the upside, so we’re not suggesting it’s time to become fully invested. But we’re seeing evidence that selling pressures are fading, which, if earnings season goes well, could launch a sustained advance.

This week’s list has a nice mix of charts; some are super-strong, some are tight after prior advances. Our Top Pick is MobilEye (MBLY), a company with as big a growth story as you’ll find and a chart that’s showing strength after a long decline. Stick with a small position and expect volatility.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
WABCO Holdings (WBC)	0.00	124-126.5	116-117
Qunar (QUNR)	0.00	43-44.5	39-40
Universal Display (OLED)	187.54	45.5-47.5	41-42
Newfield Exploration (NFX)	0.00	36-37.5	33.5-34
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)	423.92	540-560	490-500
Mobileye N.V. (MBLY)	0.00	43-46	38-39
First Solar (FSLR)	83.74	60-63.5	54-55
Esperion Therapeutics (ESPR)	0.00	98-100	89-90
Depomed (DEPO)	0.00	25-27	22-22.5
Builders FirstSource (BLDR)	44.12	12.5-13.5	11-11.5

Current Market Outlook


After nine straight down days and some signs of investor panic, the market enjoyed a much-needed rebound today (right off key support) ahead of tomorrow’s election. Ideally, the past two weeks were the final leg of the market’s two-plus-month correction and stocks kite higher into year-end; such a scenario is certainly possible. However, the fact is that all we’ve seen is one strong up day—all the major indexes remain below their intermediate-term moving averages, as do most stocks. Thus, on the sell side, you can consider letting go of any broken stocks you’ve been holding on to, and on the buy side, you should continue to keep new positions small until the market confirms a new, sustained uptrend. We’re keeping our Market Monitor at level 4 until that happens.
This week’s list has a bunch of resilient stocks, including another batch that’s recently reacted well to earnings. Our Top Pick is Gigamon (GIMO), which, after a quick shakeout, snapped right back on earnings and lifted to new highs today.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Archer Daniels (ADM)	0.00	45-47	42-43
AveXis (AVXS)	0.00	58-62	51-53
Clayton Williams Energy (CWEI)	0.00	94-98	85-87
Eagle Pharmaceuticals Inc. (EGRX)	0.00	72-74	66-67
Gigamon (GIMO)	0.00	54-57	48-50
Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)	0.00	57-59	53-54
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)	261.52	190-195	180-183
Melco Crown (MPEL)	0.00	16.5-17.5	15-16
Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)	92.54	51.5-53	48-49
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)	123.32	47-49	44-45

The overall market continues to look very bullish whether looking at our core indicators or the many unusual signs of strength (that portend higher prices down the road). That said, there are some headwinds near-term, especially in many growth stocks, which have been doing more chopping than advancing in recent weeks. That’s no reason to be negative, but we’re following along with that growth stock evidence, trimming our sails a bit while looking to see what earnings season brings.

After last week’s selloff in tech, this week has been relatively calm, though the action at mid-day today suggests we could see more selling before the closing bell.

Current Market Outlook


After an impressive four-month rebound, many investors are nervously expecting the return of volatility during earnings season. But despite some recent choppiness among the leading stocks, the market remains largely unperturbed. Growth stocks are holding up well, while the major indices remain above their key trend lines. And while there are signs lately of increased demand in defensive areas of the market (like consumer staples and precious metals mining), the more aggressive segments remain strong. Finally, a healthy number of stocks are still making new 52-week highs on both major exchanges (especially the NYSE), while new lows have been remarkably sparse. All of this tells us that the intermediate-term trend still favors the bulls. While volatility may yet rear its head, we’ll continue to follow the weight of evidence.

This week’s list contains a nice mix of some of today’s leading themes: healthcare, internet, real estate/home improvement and education. Our Top Pick is Owens & Minor (OMI), which has a solid story and has broken out of an extended base on more than 10 times normal volume.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Farfetch (FTCH)	26.23	21-22.75	19.5-20
Floor & Décor (FND)	68.03	69-72	62.5-63
GSX Techedu (GSX)	97.59	85-88	74-75
Invitae (NVTA)	32.06	30-32.5	27-27.5
Meritage Homes (MTH)	102.20	92-98	84-85
Owens & Minor (OMI)	17.01	15-16	13-13.5
SailPoint Technologies (SAIL)	31.60	30-32	28.5-29
Sea Limited (SE)	132.86	110-116	99.5-100
Watsco (WSO)	237.50	220-230	210-212
Wix.com (WIX)	302.53	262-275	248-250

Coronavirus fears re-emerged in a big way over the weekend, causing today’s across-the-board selloff. As we look at the evidence, here’s what we see: The intermediate-term uptrend has been cracked, especially when you look at the broader major indexes, and given that this selling comes after a big run and more than a few yellow flags during the past month, it’s likely we’re in a correction that will take some time to play out. That said, it’s also very unlikely that this is the end of the overall bull market, as the longer-term trends and stance of the indexes and most leading stocks are positive; heck, many stocks look just fine (so far) on their charts. Put it together, and we think it’s time to play a little defense and build up some cash by cutting losers and laggards, though we’re also aiming to hold most of our resilient, profitable performers, giving them a chance to hold up and get going.

Encouragingly, this week’s list has a bunch of decent-looking growth-oriented names to consider. Our Top Pick is Zoom Video Communications (ZM), which has not only a very strong chart but also a growth story that appears to benefit from the spread of the coronavirus.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)	82.24	47-50	43-44.5
Carvana (CVNA)	82.90	102-106	91-94
Domino’s Pizza (DPZ)	339.47	353-365	320-327
Floor & Décor (FND)	68.03	55-57	50-51
HealthEquity, Inc. (HQY)	70.70	80-83	72-74
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)	980.83	660-690	620-640
SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE)	98.49	108-112	98-100
SolarEdge Technologies Inc. (SEDG)	124.37	132-137	116-119
Zillow (Z)	76.64	57.5-60	52-53.5
Zoom Communications (ZM)	155.83	100-105	86-89