Search

The market is enjoying a big bounce today, but that’s not unexpected given last week’s washout; the main trend is still down.

And that means continued caution is the prescription, which is filled this week with an old-school vehicle parts company that pays a solid dividend and has a nearly bulletproof business.



As for the current portfolio, which is 25% in cash, there’s one Sell and a couple of downgrades to Hold.


Details in the issue.

Note: Because of the Juneteenth Holiday, which will close all markets next Monday, next week’s issue of Cabot Stock of the Week will be published on Tuesday June, 21.
And I think the market will likely be higher then, because the selling has been so pervasive in recent days that a bounce is overdue.


In the meantime, in continuing to manage our portfolio, we are selling Intel (INTC) today, mainly because it’s our biggest loss and the trend looks bad.


As for today’s recommendation, it’s a Chinese stock in the EV space that has fallen 76% from its high of last year and is ripe for a rebound.


Details in the issue.

The market and many stocks had a bad last week, no doubt about it—instead of slowly fading, the selling pressures have increased of late as earnings season begins in earnest. We can’t say we’re seeing a rash of breakdowns, but enough selling has occurred that we’re moving our Market Monitor into the neutral camp. A shift back in a week or two is possible if earnings season unfolds bullishly, but for now, we recommend limiting your new buying to smaller positions (maybe half or two-thirds of what you’d usually buy) and consider some names that could trend on their own (like precious metals names, for instance). You should, however, still try to hold onto shares of your most resilient performers, giving them a chance to re-emerge.

This week’s list has a few tempting growth stocks, as well as some turnaround plays that are doing well. But we’ll stick with the precious metals group, which has consolidated nicely after bolting higher last month. Allied Nevada Gold (ANV) is one of many that looks like it wants to head higher, bolstered by the price of gold and higher output.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
ANV (ANV)	0.00	38-40	-
AOL, Inc. (AOL)	0.00	34-37	-
Barclays (BCS)	0.00	14-15	-
CTRX (CTRX)	0.00	48-50	-
DVA (DVA)	0.00	104-108	-
Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP)	0.00	45.5-47	-
AG (AG)	0.00	21.5-22.5	-
Google Inc. (GOOG)	0.00	720-735	-
Rackspace (RAX)	0.00	64-66.5	-
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)	0.00	29.5-31	-

This month’s issue includes a new addition to the High Yield Tier, updates on all our holdings, and some advice on handling big winners.

Fourth quarter 2019 earnings season began yesterday with a few large banks reporting very strong results.

In honor of Cabot Wealth Advisory’s fifth anniversary, Publisher Timothy Lutts is re-running an old favorite on Music.

When my father published the very first issue of his market letter in 1970, he borrowed the name Cabot from the farm where we lived.

In this month’s issue of Cabot Turnaround Letter, I recommend a company I’ve been fond of all the way back to 7th grade. It’s a household name, but one that’s perhaps been forgotten on Wall Street in recent years. But now, it looks primed for a turnaround.

Details inside.

All Quiet on the Western Front is an ironically titled movie about war that won several awards at last night’s Oscars. It could loosely describe the last few days in the U.S. stock market too, as the collapse of three major banks (and counting?) has abruptly sent stocks tumbling back down into bear market territory and brought anxiety, uncertainty and volatility back to the forefront. So today, we’re selling our one bank stock, plus one other shaky growth stock, but making room for a cookie-cutter retail company that’s on solid ground. It’s a longtime favorite of Cabot Growth Investor Chief Analyst Mike Cintolo.

We’re only a week into the new year, but it’s been a good start for your value stocks. On average, prices of the stocks on the recommended list (excluding ARCO, which we sold last week) have increased nearly 7%. This is a favorable start, both in absolute terms and relative to the 3% jump in the S&P 500 Index.

As widely reported, Jamie Dimon, the 23-year-and-counting CEO of JPMorgan and its predecessor Bank One, recently penned his annual letter to shareholders. The 43-page tome covered topics ranging from the bank’s “Steadfast Principles Worth Repeating” to “Our Serious Need for More Effective Public Policy and Competent Government” along with some impressive numbers about JPMorgan’s financial, operational and share price performance over the decades.

So far, this has been a positive year for the market. But an enormous amount of uncertainty remains.

The painful high inflation/hawkish Fed conundrum that caused last year’s bear market appears to be ending. But a high risk of recession is taking over. It will be difficult for stocks to rally into the next bull market without knowing the timing, severity, or duration of a possible recession.

Inflation could remain sticky. A recession could hit in any of the next three quarters. A recovery may be lame when it finally arrives because the Fed may have to keep interest rates high. We don’t know if six months from now we will face more inflation, a recession or even stagflation.

Each investor operates within their own time horizon. Day traders’ time horizon is the 4 p.m. ET market close, or shorter. Some traders focus on the calendar week, while most hedge fund traders have a month-end time horizon. Mutual funds focus on a quarterly or at most annual time horizon. Financial commentators have their own time horizons, as well. Bombastic TV or live-streaming pundits usually focus on very short horizons – “what has the stock done for me lately” is their mantra. The definition of “lately” can change but usually means “the past few weeks” or “since it stopped going up.”

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Value Investor. We hope you enjoy reading the July 2023 issue.

Almost like an annual rite of passage, major banks reported their Federal Reserve stress test results last week. All major banks passed, in that their capital levels were in excess of the minimum requirements under the Doomsday Scenario conditions outlined in the test assumptions. We’re not the biggest fans of these tests, for reasons outlined in our monthly letter.

Citigroup remains a riskier bank relative to other majors, but also has a higher return-potential share valuation, plus a 4.5% dividend yield to reward patient investors.

So much for the market rebound. Or is this a classic double bottom before the real rally begins after Wednesday’s “Liberation Day” full of Trump’s latest round of mysterious tariffs finally passes and Wall Street breathes a collective sigh of relief? I’m betting the clouds part sooner rather than later, as investor pessimism has reached levels not seen since the October 2022 bear market bottom. So today, despite saying goodbye to a few more underperforming positions, I’m betting on the upside of growth, adding a mid-cap software stock recently recommended by Tyler Laundon to his Cabot Early Opportunities readers.

Details inside.

Not much has changed with the market in the two weeks since our last issue. Stocks have largely stagnated, which is no surprise given the calendar and the 20% off-the-bottom rally from April that preceded it. Now comes the hard part: Can stocks continue to climb higher now that they’re hitting new highs and essentially priced for perfection? That could be difficult, especially with tariffs back in the news (in a bad way) and Q2 earnings season underway. So, to prepare for another potential pullback, today we add a value stock that comes from an industry that was left for dead a few short years ago but is now having a moment: movie theaters. It’s a stock I recommended in my Cabot Value Investor advisory last week.

Details inside.

While momentum in many of 2025’s leading growth and AI names has waned, there are many “new” groups of stocks acting very well. This month’s issue focuses on these companies, which might offer somewhat less top-line growth but still significant upside share price potential.

This month’s issue tilts toward industrial-type names, like companies that make filters and specialized bearings for mission-critical equipment, power converters for data centers and medical imaging devices, and protection equipment for nuclear facilities. We also have a cruise line operator that’s crushing it.

Enjoy!

Calm has been restored to the stock market, at least for now. And while stocks haven’t exploded to the upside, it does appear as if a temporary bottom has been put in. With that in mind, today we add a pure growth stock – a cybersecurity play with plenty of momentum, recommended by Mike Cintolo to his Cabot Top Ten Trader audience last week. We also have no sells from our own portfolio, as many of them have been in full recovery mode the last week or two.

Details inside.

Several stock sectors are killing it while the overall market sort of languishes.

The S&P 500 is doing OK so far this year. It’s up about 1.5%. Of course, the index really hasn’t advanced much at all since late October. That’s because technology has been struggling. Those stocks have a huge weight on the S&P and are a major determinant of index returns. But a major story is developing beyond the index averages.