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Emerging markets are seeing a boost from positive news out of Hong Kong and on the U.S.-China front. Our Emerging Markets Timer has raced higher in recent days, putting it within striking distance of a new buy signal. Our new recommendation comes from an unexpected country, but a well established semi-monopoly industry.

In light of the House tax reform bill, one thing you can do is hold onto a bunch of small-cap stocks, since they have a far higher average tax rate than large caps, and stand to benefit more from a corporate tax cut.

I want to highlight a hedging strategy that you may want to consider for your personal holdings.

Below is an article I wrote a couple years ago in response to a subscribers’ question regarding options and option volatility around earnings.

Below is an article I wrote a couple years ago in response to a subscribers’ question regarding options and option volatility around earnings.

Stocks had their first legitimately good week since July, thanks to declining bond yields, improving earnings and – surprise! – Jerome Powell. Can the market keep the momentum going? I’m betting yes, even if it’s not a straight line. Market bottoms frequently occur in October, and this year will be no exception. Therefore, today I’m adding more growth to the portfolio in the form of a mid-cap name that’s little known to the masses but is essentially the Google search engine for big corporations. It’s a new recommendation from Cabot Early Opportunities Chief Analyst Tyler Laundon.

Enjoy!

What a week for the market! That’s not something we’ve said a whole lot this year. But we’ll take the good news and try and capitalize on the momentum by adding the first pure growth stock to the Stock of the Week portfolio in a while – one that Cabot Growth Investor analyst Mike Cintolo thinks could be a new leader in its fast-blossoming field.

Plus, with a lot of our stocks acting well, we’ve upgraded two of our existing recommendations to Buy. Details inside!

This year has been about as choppy and tricky as we can remember, so nothing the market would throw at us from here would come as a surprise. That said, there’s no question the snapback of the past couple of weeks has been very encouraging—the major indexes have rebounded beautifully, with many regaining their 50-day lines, and individual stocks (especially growth stocks) have done great, with more and more moving back to (or out above) their prior highs. We also like that the bounce has been broad, with the on-again, off-again, rotational action taking a backseat to outright buying. Obviously, the market isn’t totally out of the woods, as most indexes are still range-bound and earnings season is upon us, which will often change the trajectory of things. But we always go with what we see, and the odds are increasing that the September/early October correction is over. We’re moving our Market Monitor back up to a level 7, and could go higher than that if the good vibes continues.

This week’s list represents the broad advance of late, with stocks of all different spots and stripes making the cut. Our Top Pick is Zscaler (ZS), which has lifted to new price and relative performance highs after a six-week pullback.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Atlassian (TEAM)	415	392-405	360-365
Cameco Corporation (CCJ)	26	25-27	21.5-22.5
Continental Resources (CLR)	52	49-51	42.5-43.5
Datadog (DDOG)	157	152-158	135-138
MGM Resorts (MGM)	48	47-48.5	42.5-43.5
Range Resources (RRC)	24	21.5-23	18.5-19
Snowflake (SNOW)	338	322-333	286-292
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)	870	845-865	760-770
XENE (XENE)	31	29.5-31.5	25-26
Zscaler (ZS)	301	292-302	262-268

I’m a big believer in heroes. They remind us that something can be built from nothing, that victory can be snatched from the jaws of defeat, that we should aim high, and that we should never give up. One of my heroes, John Marks Templeton, passed away last week. John was a pure value investor, with a very long-term perspective and an appreciation of global markets.

Here’s an interview with Paul Goodwin, Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report chief analyst.

This note includes our review of earnings from Adient (ADNT), Conduent (CNDT), Gannett (GCI), Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT), Ironwood Pharmaceuticals (IRWD), Kaman Corporation (KAMN), Molson Coors (TAP), Organon & Co. (OGN), Vodafone (VOD), Western Digital (WDC) and Western Union (WU). Next week the deluge tapers with six companies reporting.

There were no ratings or price target changes this week.

As we enter the brand-new year, we have a renewed buy signal from our intermediate-term timing indicator, and the best stocks are hitting new highs—including a lot in our portfolio. But one of ours is a true laggard, and will be sold today.




As for the new addition, it’s a hot growth stock favored by Mike Cintolo, which is seeing great growth in the exciting area of networking at the edge of the cloud.




Details inside.

Markets ended last week with a strong performance, despite the mid-week holiday, which typically reduces trading. For now, I have no portfolio changes. If you’re looking to a do a little buying, we have plenty of options in every tier of the portfolio.

After a one-to-two-week pullback (the S&P 500 and Dow peaked back on June 12, while the Nasdaq high came a week later, on June 20) the broad market has found support for now, moving mostly sideways since our last update. Markets have been closed since 1 p.m. (Eastern time) Tuesday due to the Independence Day holiday.

Despite some wobbles early in January the S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high on Thursday. And even though the indexes pulled back marginally on Friday, by week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 1.7%, the Dow had rallied 1.83% and the Nasdaq had added 1.53%.

Despite some wobbles early in January the S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high on Thursday. And even though the indexes pulled back marginally on Friday, by week’s end the S&P 500 had gained 1.7%, the Dow had rallied 1.83% and the Nasdaq had added 1.53%.

Current Market Outlook


The major indexes found some decent support last week, rallying back to the top of their ranges, but overall they’re still thrashing around in the same range they’ve occupied since early August, keeping the intermediate-term trend sideways-to-down. The one thing that did change late last week was a bout of rotation, with money flowing into the beaten-down areas (financials, transports, energy, etc.); it’s something to keep an eye on, but we can’t say it’s a new trend quite yet. All in all, the market is showing us a lot of movement, but little net progress—and thus, our overall advice hasn’t changed. We’re keeping our Market Monitor at a level 5, meaning you should be choosy and keep things small on the buy side, while holding some cash and honoring stops and loss limits with your weaker performers.

The good news, as it has been all year, is that there remain many stocks that looks ready to enjoy meaningful upmoves if the market can get its act together. Our Top Pick is New Oriental Education (EDU), a rare China-related stock that’s making new highs on good volume.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Burlington Stores (BURL)	193.95	195-198	179-182
Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC)	89.83	86-88	79.5-81
Meritage Homes (MTH)	102.20	63-66	57.5-59
Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX)	123.40	95.5-98.5	88-90
New Oriental Education (EDU)	113.97	106-108	98-100
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)	123.32	129-133	120-122
Tandem Diabetes (TNDM)	74.77	67-70	60-62
Trex Company (TREX)	117.56	80-83	74-76
Twitter (TWTR)	40.37	40.5-42.5	37-38
Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM)	34.43	28-29	25.5-26.5

Last week all the major indices took a small step back. The S&P 500 lost
1.69%, the Dow fell 2.15%, and the Nasdaq declined 1.61%.



The headlines say the 5-day pullback was the largest for the S&P 500 since February. But considering that the streak of over 230 days without a 5% pullback is still in play, the short-term bearish stretch last week was minimal.



And even with the slight pullback last week, my sentiment has not changed. I remain
“cautiously optimistic” until I see market action that changes my mind.



Of course, if we see further continuation of the recent bearish trend, I might begin to shift my outlook. But a week doesn’t make a trend, and again we must remember we are only a few percentage points from all-time highs.