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Issues
The market continues to show some overall improvement in tone, but last Friday’s jobs-induced decline and today’s low-volume dip makes it clear that not all investors are rowing in the same direction. Thus, we’ll leave our Market Monitor in the neutral column until we see definitive signs of buying. The good news is that, with earnings season beginning this week (and a deluge of reports starting next week), we’ll likely get an answer relatively soon as to whether this rally is the real McCoy. For now, we’re still leaning optimistic, so it’s fine to own a few resilient names, but we advise waiting until you begin to make some real money before you become more aggressive.

This week’s list has a few newer names to consider; in fact, there are only a couple of early-year leaders featured today. Our favorite of the week is Nationstar Mortgage (NSM), which is set to become the leading non-bank mortgage servicer in the country. The stock is extended, so try to buy on weakness.

Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
CF Industries (CF) 45.23185-195-
GNC Holdings (GNC) 0.0040-41.5-
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (LGF) 0.0014-15-
Meritage Homes (MTH) 102.2032.5-34.5-
Nationstar Mortgage (NSM) 0.0022.5-24-
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (SPPI) 19.3115.5-16.5-
Stratasys (SSYS) 0.0050-52-
SYNC (SYNC) 0.0014.5-16.5-
TFM (TFM) 0.0053.5-56-
Web.com (WWWW) 0.0017-18-

The market began correcting in late March, and since then it has tried to get going twice (in late April, and in early June), with both rallies failing. Late last week, though, another rally attempt got underway, and while it’s early, it looks more promising—the upmove last Friday was powerful, and there appears to be less uncertainty surrounding Europe. Plus, potential leading stocks have now had two to three months to rebuild bases, so there are more potential buyable patterns out there. That said, the market remains fragile, and earnings season is dead ahead; our guess is that earnings, not Europe, will likely decide the market’s next big move. We’ll keep our Market Monitor in neutral territory for now, but color us encouraged by the market’s action.

This week’s list has a few good ideas; sector-wise, it’s clear that the housing stocks are performing best. Thus, we’ll keep it simple and name Lennar (LEN), the leading homebuilder in the market, as our Editor’s Choice; the company just came out with a great earnings report, propelling shares to new highs. Try to buy on weakness.

Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
3D Systems (DDD) 0.0030-32-
CPHD (CPHD) 0.0042-44-
Cirrus Logic Inc. (CRUS) 0.0027-28.5-
Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) 0.0035.5-37.5-
Expedia Group (EXPE) 0.0046-48-
Lennar (LEN) 61.8528.5-30.5-
Ocwen Financial (OCN) 0.0017.5-18.5-
Skechers (SKX) 0.0019-20.5-
Ultimate Software (ULTI) 0.0085-88-
Western Refining (WNR) 0.0021-22.5-

The market’s intermediate-term trend briefly turned positive last week, but the quick rejection of the indexes on Thursday and today’s battering clearly tell you that sellers are still lurking. That said, we would avoid any big-picture predictions—the weakness of last Thursday and today might mean the downtrend is resuming ... but the market could also be in a bottoming process, which often has many ups and downs as investors place (or take off) their bets. Either way, for an investor in leading stocks, there’s not much to do here; while some stocks have perked up, few have made any real progress, and to this point, most names that poke into new-high ground are quickly swarmed with sellers. Thus, our Market Monitor will remain neutral; some new buying here or there remains fine, but keep cash on the sideline and don’t get aggressive until the market kicks into gear.

This week’s list is a potpourri of differing sectors and stories, though there is a retail bent to the list. Our favorite of the week is Coinstar (CSTR), a company with a solid history of growth that might now have (another) new concept to keep the bottom line humming. The stock has built a solid base during the market’s correction.

Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
CSTR (CSTR) 0.0064-66-
eBay Inc. (EBAY) 0.0041-43-
HTWR (HTWR) 0.0083-85-
MDC (MDC) 0.0028-29.5-
Medivation (MDVN) 0.0082-85-
NetSuite, Inc. (N) 0.0049-51-
PetSmart (PETM) 0.0064.5-66.5-
SolarWinds (SWI) 0.0042-44-
VSI (VSI) 0.0052-54-
Zumiez (ZUMZ) 0.0037-38.5-

During the past couple of weeks the market has shown some improvement—first, the big shakeout in the indexes on June 1 (following a disappointing jobs report) was quickly reversed, then the market and potential leaders consolidated amidst a rash of worrisome news, and now we’re seeing real buying appear—some stocks have already pushed to new high ground! That said, now’s a good time to keep your feet on the ground; by our measures the market remains in an intermediate-term downtrend, though that could change if the bulls continue making progress this week. Thus, while some small new buying here is fine, you shouldn’t put on your bullish hat until we see confirmation that the trend has turned up.

Whether you buy a little here or not, you should be sure to have your watch list in tip-top shape should an uptrend emerge. This week’s list has many great candidates, and our favorite of the week is Cerner (CERN), a leader in the IT healthcare segment, which features a couple of great-acting stocks. CERN lifted to new highs today on big volume.

Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
Akorn (AKRX) 0.0013.5-14.5-
American Eagle (AEO) 0.0018-20-
AUXL (AUXL) 0.0021-23-
Biogen (BIIB) 0.00136-140-
Cerner Corporation (CERN) 0.0083-86-
Edwards Lifesciences (EW) 228.0693-97-
Equinix, Inc. (EQIX) 547.73170-175-
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) 0.0026-27.5-
TripAdvisor (TRIP) 55.1442.5-45-
VeriSign (VRSN) 190.7140-42-

The broad market remains (ahem) challenging, but there are still broad pockets of strength, and if you care to mine them (we have mining on our minds, for obvious reasons), and you watch your stocks carefully, you can still make money in this market. Coal, oil and fertilizer remain strong, but we’re now seeing more action in stocks of supporting industries, like the companies that help the drillers, or the companies that sell and service the tractors that roam the fields. This extension of strength into supporting industries is normal; we well remember when layers of technology stocks went through the process in the 80s and 90s. So don’t fear it and don’t fight it; embrace it and prosper. Our Editor’s Choice in this issue is one of these stocks, Titan Machinery. Making its first appearance in Cabot Top Ten Report, and hopefully not its last, it boasts good management, a great industry rolling in cash, and excellent expansion opportunities. Plus, it’s a young stock, and the buyers are in total control.

Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
AGU (AGU) 0.0096-102-
AUXL (AUXL) 0.0033-36-
BUCY (BUCY) 0.0069-73-
CPX (CPX) 0.0029-31-
CRM (CRM) 0.0069-74-
GDP (GDP) 0.0052-57-
MOS (MOS) 0.00143-150-
ROST (ROST) 0.0031-36-
STLD (STLD) 0.0036-40-
TITN (TITN) 0.0030-32-

The market’s growing volatility is a small area of concern on our mind today; if anything, it should cause you to manage your market exposure a little more carefully; buy low and keep losses small. On the other hand, there are still some very strong stocks out there, and as we all know, trends can persist far longer than expected. Four oil stocks anchor this issue of Cabot Top Ten Report, reflecting the fact that the sector is strong, that it held up extremely well in last Friday’s market dump, and that many mid-sized companies in the sector are attracting institutional investors’ money. As long as the trend continues—and we recognize that it may be overdone in the short-term—we like them all. But our Editors’ Choice is one of the two steel companies in the issue, Gerdau. Benefiting from the fast-growing Brazilian economy but diversified into the rest of South America and North America, it’s got a great track record of growth as well as a chart that’s been building a base for the past month.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
BNI (BNI) 0.00107-114-
CXO (CXO) 0.0035-38-
ENER (ENER) 0.0054-62-
GGB (GGB) 0.0048-53-
MDU (MDU) 0.0032-34-
ME (ME) 0.0032-34-
MT (MT) 0.0098-102-
TAP (TAP) 0.0057-59-
WLL (WLL) 0.00100-105-
AGU (AGU) 0.0088-93-

Commodity stocks have been (and remain) the leaders of the market’s advance, but interestingly, the tech-heavy Nasdaq has been outperforming all other major indexes for the past few weeks. Now, finally, some individual tech stocks are beginning to pop up—there are two chip stocks and one hard disk drive maker in this week’s Top Ten. We’re not ready to tell you to move a ton of money into technology sectors, but it’s a sign the rally is broadening out. Elsewhere in this week’s list, there are the usual suspects of oil, natural gas, steel and alternative energy. Our favorite of the week is Marvell Technology (MRVL), a chip firm that gapped up in a big way after its earnings announcement last Friday. We think you could nibble around here, although a drop of a point or two isn’t out of the question.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
AMSC (AMSC) 0.0030-33-
CMI (CMI) 0.0067-71-
EAC (EAC) 0.0065-70-
GTI (GTI) 0.0024-26-
HK (HK) 0.0027-29-
MA (MA) 0.00295-305-
MRVL (MRVL) 0.0015-17-
NETL (NETL) 0.0034-36-
PCX (PCX) 0.00100-110-
WDC (WDC) 0.0034-36-

We knew a correction was on the way, and the market delivered it last week. The major indexes still look fine, but we’re a bit wary of the action of leading stocks—even in recent days when the indexes are up, most leaders are dropping. That doesn’t mean the bull move is over, but as you can see in our Market Monitor above, we’d cool our heels a bit; don’t hesitate to take a few chips off the table, and remember to cut all losses short. As for buying, we believe this week’s list offers many of the top leaders in the market in various sectors. Not all are near good buy points, but any further weakness should bring them there soon. Our favorite of the week is Hercules Offshore (HERO), a shallow-water driller that has recently emerged from a tight consolidation. We do feel that many energy names can pull back, but HERO should pull back less than most.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
ANR (ANR) 0.0060-66-
CLF (CLF) 0.0087-97-
CLR (CLR) 0.0053-57-
ENER (ENER) 0.0045-54-
FRO (FRO) 0.0058-64-
HERO (HERO) 0.0032-34-
MMR (MMR) 0.0028-32-
SOHU (SOHU) 0.0070-76-
SU (SU) 0.0066-70-
X (X) 0.00160-170-

Last week we bemoaned the fact that the market had not yet decisively broken out to the upside, and indeed, most major indexes were below resistance and close to their longer-term 200-day moving averages. However, last week, leading stocks separated themselves from the pack—even during days the indexes were flat, the best stocks cranked out solid gains. We know that a pullback or correction could occur at a moment’s notice, yet we remain optimistic the best is yet to come. This week’s Top Ten reflects the broad bullish action among leading stocks last week, as we have a good mix of growth and commodity, big and small. Our favorite of the week is MasterCard (MA), a big-cap leader of this market advance that reacted very well to earnings last month, and has since quieted down beautifully. You can start a position in this area, and don’t worry about the high share price—just buy fewer shares.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
ARG (ARG) 0.0054-58-
CLR (CLR) 0.0047-52-
EGLE (EGLE) 0.0030-32-
FLR (FLR) 0.00185-195-
GU (GU) 0.0015-17-
MA (MA) 0.00270-290-
MTL (MTL) 0.00155-165-
PXD (PXD) 0.0064-68-
UNT (UNT) 0.0069-73-
WTI (WTI) 0.0046-50-

A few weeks ago, we were optimistic that by this point the market would be in a full bore, all-out bull stampede. Instead, the market’s advance has turned into a choppy uptrend, especially among individual stocks and sectors, where a solid week or two of rising prices attracts profit-takers. Nevertheless, the good shouldn’t be the enemy of the perfect—most stocks are heading higher, and while volatility is elevated, there are plenty of winners to go around. Just remember to keep your feet on the ground, take a few chips off the table if your stock soars for a few days, and to cut all losses short. This week’s Top Ten contains a few names that are new to us, including one monster earnings winner last week. Our top pick is FMC Technologies (FTI), an oil service stock that is showing great price and volume action of late. It’s not as extended as some of its oil peers, but looks to be a great buy around here, or a little lower.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
GTI (GTI) 0.0018-22-
JRCC (JRCC) 0.0027-30-
PXD (PXD) 0.0060-65-
SOL (SOL) 0.0017-20-
CRK (CRK) 0.0051-55-
CSIQ (CSIQ) 0.0030-34-
EAC (EAC) 0.0049-52-
ENER (ENER) 0.0043-52-
ERES (ERES) 0.0014-16-
FTI (FTI) 0.0070-74-

The past couple of weeks have brought a distinct change in the market’s behavior. While the major indexes continue their mild advance, beneath the surface, we’re seeing more and more stocks acting in a healthy manner, including plenty that have gapped up on earnings. That tells us that big investors aren’t waiting patiently to build positions—they’re buying with both hands, driving the market’s leading stocks higher. There will be bumps in the road, of course, but you should be putting money to work in the market’s leading stocks at prudent buy points. This week’s Top Ten contains something for everyone—some commodity, some growth, some big, and some small. Our favorite of the week is Gafisa (GFA), a fast-growing Brazilian homebuilder that shot out of a nice, tight pattern last week. Earnings are due out tonight, but we think you can buy some around here.
Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
CNQR (CNQR) 0.0036-38-
FEED (FEED) 0.0017-20-
FST (FST) 0.0056-60-
GFA (GFA) 0.0042-46-
KSU (KSU) 0.0042-46-
MA (MA) 0.00260-280-
MMR (MMR) 0.0024-27-
PWRD (PWRD) 0.0029-32-
WLT (WLT) 0.0073-83-
X (X) 0.00155-165-

The meat of earnings season is upon us—many blue-chip firms have already reported, but the fast-growing, emerging leaders are just starting to release numbers. Remember that big earnings gaps up (10% or more) generally lead to further gains in the weeks ahead (with normal pullbacks, of course), and vice versa. So it shouldn’t be a surprise to see a few recent earnings winners in this week’s Top Ten; a couple of them are likely to be big winners should the market continue to trend higher. Overall, we remain optimistic the market’s best days are ahead, but there’s no rush—things are still falling into place, supporting further gains in the weeks to come. Our favorite of this week is Fording Canadian Coal (FDG), a stock that’s been featured a few times in Top Ten, thanks to its huge reserves of metallurgical coal. The entire group remains strong, although it has paused somewhat in recent weeks. We think it’s a good time to get on board.

Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
FRO (FRO) 0.0051-53-
GDI (GDI) 0.0045-48-
PDE (PDE) 0.0038-41-
SOHU (SOHU) 0.0065-70-
SOL (SOL) 0.0016-18-
SWN (SWN) 0.0038-42-
XEC (XEC) 0.0059-62-
CLF (CLF) 0.00150-160-
DAR (DAR) 0.0013-15-
FDG (FDG) 0.0060-63-

Updates
It’s not often that we discuss currencies in the Cabot Turnaround Letter, but given the persistent relative strength of the U.S. dollar right now, I think it’s imperative that we address it—mainly because of how it will likely impact our portfolio holdings going forward.

The top haven asset for the first half of 2026 wasn’t gold, U.S. Treasury bonds or the Japanese yen.
After spending much of the year leading the market higher, small caps have finally run into a little turbulence. Through midday today, the S&P 600 Index is down 1.8% from last Thursday’s close, roughly in line with the S&P 500’s 1.9% decline.

That said, it’s important to keep the recent pullback in perspective. Small caps remain the market’s clear leader in 2026, with the S&P 600 up 20.2% year to date versus an 8.1% gain for the S&P 500.
While flashier, more star-studded teams like Lionel Messi’s Argentina, Kylian Mbappe’s France and Erling Haaland’s Norway garnered most of the headlines at the just-completed World Cup, Spain was the best team. There was nothing flashy about Spain: no mega-stars, not a ton of goals, no relentless attack. Instead, they dominated the tournament with precision passing, immaculate ball control and near-impenetrable (just one goal allowed all tournament!) defense.
High-flying AI-related stocks are facing a high bar of performance. Even what normally would be considered staggering growth is met with a yawn. The backdrop of the Middle East conflict and almost $100 oil is not helpful.

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) has outperformed the S&P 500 by 57% this year, even after a sharp correction. This is basically a macro trade, and there are few industries as cyclical, or as capital-intensive, as semiconductor manufacturing.
The market rolls sideways amidst a slew of conflicting forces.

The S&P 500 has bounced around and is at the same level it was in the middle of May. The primary culprit is technology. That sector has been in a funk. The S&P 500 is hard-pressed to generate any lasting traction while this massive sector, accounting for over 40% of the index, flounders.
The market has gone sideways since May. It seems to be deciding what to do.

It’s encouraging that the resumption of hostilities with Iran has not sent the market lower. It’s also positive that oil prices aren’t rising back to the $100 level earlier in the war, although prices have risen. It’s also another earnings season and analysts expect a big one.
With war being one of the most dominant themes of the last four years, it stands to reason that investors should position their portfolios to account for this conspicuous (and unwelcome) trend.

And lest one be tempted to think that the warfare theme will diminish anytime soon, last week’s article by NPR deflates that illusion: It revealed that global military conflicts are at their highest level since WWII.
Price targets are standard practice on Wall Street. But sometimes, they can act as an artificial ceiling.

For example, say Truist sets a price target on an up-and-coming growth stock that’s 25% higher than its current share price. For a growth stock, a 25% return isn’t much. But then again, the stock could be a total flop, which is the natural boom-or-bust tradeoff growth investors must endure in trading off increased risk for massive upside. So, a price target on a growth stock seems almost like an unnecessary cap on a stock that has the potential to go through the roof.
WHAT TO DO NOW: Continue to trim your sails. In the Model Portfolio, we’ve been getting closer and closer to shore as growth funds and indexes are under pressure and AI stocks cascade lower. Tonight we’re going to further trim Marvell (MRVL) given its ugly action, selling a third of what we have left. That will leave the portfolio with a big 58% cash position. We could put some of that to work if growth names find support, but we want to see key growth measures firm up before buying.
After a brief pause last week, small caps are once again leading the pack.

Through Wednesday’s close, the S&P 600 Small Cap Index is up roughly 21% year to date, compared to gains of about 15% for the S&P 400 MidCap Index, 17% for the Nasdaq and 11% for the S&P 500.
Its earnings season again! That’s a good thing. Earnings just might save the day in an otherwise confusing and uncertain market.

The market is causing whiplash. The Iran peace deal changed things. Stocks held back by high oil prices, and the resulting higher inflation and interest rates, reignited as oil prices came back down after the peace deal. But hostilities with Iran have resumed.
The peace deal may be on hold again. But stocks are hanging in there so far.

The ceasefire with Iran is over and hostilities have resumed. That sounds like a bigger bummer than it’s been in the market so far. Falling oil prices enabled previously beleaguered stocks to soar higher again as the prognosis for inflation and interest rates simultaneously improved. But that rally is over if oil prices spike higher again.
Alerts
This investment bank beat analyst estimates by $0.06 last quarter, posting EPS of $0.20 per share. With interest rate rises on the horizon, now might be a good time to enter the shares at this discounted price.

Cowen Group Inc. (COWN)
from Top Stocks under $10

As an interest-rate hike appears to be...
The shares of both of these large companies look attractive, technically-speaking.

Visa Inc. (V) and Edward Lifesciences (EW)
from Shortex Market Letter

Visa Inc (V)
TODAY’S 52wk H. 70.69 52wk L. 48.80
Mkt Cap: $169.72B, EPS 2.26, P/E: 30.20
DIV/YLD: 0.48(0.70%)

Visa Inc. (V) is the global operator of retail electronic payments network. The credit card issuer,...
This consulting firm is growing revenues at a double-digit pace, in spite of the energy slowdown.

Stantec Inc. (STN)
from The Internet Wealth Builder

Stantec Inc. (STN) reported first-quarter earnings on May 13. Revenues per share were up 23% while earnings per share were up 13%. After adding back amortization of intangibles, I...
Although this equipment company missed analysts’ estimates last quarter, forecasts are trending up for the rest of the year.

Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS)
from Validea Hot List Newsletter

Strategy: Price/Sales Investor
Based on: Kenneth Fisher
Guru Score: 90%

Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS) is an independent global manufacturer of engineered equipment used in the production, storage and...
High net-worth customers resulted in winning results for today’s buy recommendation and a drop in price triggers a sell on VIPS.

Buy: Noah Holdings (NOAH)
from Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report

Noah Holdings (NOAH) reported a great first quarter, which isn’t surprising given the bull market in Chinese shares. Revenues rose 43%,...
Sell: Vipshop Holdings (VIPS)
from Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report
Updated from Investment Digest 754, February 19, 2014


Vipshop Holdings (VIPS) is a nice long-term growth story, but we’ve decided to sell our shares tonight. We know there have been lots of accounting rumors out there, but that really isn’t affecting our...
Earnings estimates for this media company are trending up in the last 60 days.

Liberty Media (LMCA)
from Coolcat New Economy Leaders Report

Liberty Media (LMCA) engages in the media, communications and entertainment businesses, broadcasting music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk, news, traffic and weather channels and infotainment services on a subscription-fee basis through...
New ownership and insider buying are giving this stock a lift.

Alico Corp. (ALCO)
from Positive Patterns

Most recent stats show that Alico Corp. (ALCO) owns somewhere around 130,000 acres of land in seven Southern Florida Counties.

There was just a good insider buy here (Delta Offshore) of 12,000 shares, and 734 Agriculture, a...
The top five holdings of this small-cap fund are American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL, 2.57% of assets); Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD, 2.05%); Horizon Pharma plc (HZNP, 1.83%); Cooper Tire & Rubber Company Co (CTB, 1.77%); KapStone Paper and Packaging Co (KS, 1.76%). Our second recommendation is a sell on an...
Sell: Ubiquiti (UBNT)

Updated from Investment Digest 759, July 23, 2014
from BI Research


Ubiquiti (UBNT) is an R&D-focused, wireless networking company. For fiscal Q2 adjusted EPS weighed in at $.47 as compared to $.50 last year, which at least was right at the consensus. Revenues were $147.5 million only equal with last...
This semiconductor company was recently listed as a possible buyout target in a report from Credit Suisse, citing free cash flow, willingness of acquirers to pay premiums, and the ability to buy technology cheaper than its replacement value.

Lam Research (LRCX)
from Dow Theory Forecasts

Lam Research (LRCX) hiked its quarterly dividend 67%...
This online operator just walloped earnings estimates, posting $9.60 earnings per share, compared to the estimate of $8.69. Its shares were upgraded to “Buy” at Citigroup.

NetEase Inc. (NTES)
from Weiss Stock Ratings Heat Maps

NetEase Inc. (NTES, Weiss Ratings: A+) posted a first-quarter jump in profits of 13% while net revenue surged...
Portfolios
Strategy
A few Cabot Options Trader subscribers have asked me about ways to protect gains in their portfolios, so I thought I would write to everyone with a couple of strategies using options to hedge your portfolio.
A subscriber recently asked me if I keep a journal of my trades. Many traders keep journals so they can look back at their trades and evaluate what they did right and what they did wrong.
Want to know how the big institutional investors use options? Here is an example of how one trader spent $132 million on three technology stocks.
Options trading has its own vernacular. To know how to do it, you need to know what every options term means. Here are some of the basics.
Our Cabot Momentum Trader’s market timing system consists of two parts—one based on the action of three select, growth-oriented market indexes, and the other based on the action of the fast-moving stocks Cabot Momentum Trader features.