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Last night at Hollywood’s Academy Awards, the movie “Everything Everywhere All at Once” won the award for best picture, long considered the top prize of the event. It also won six other coveted Oscars. The movie, ostensibly, is a science fiction film about alternative realities and an everyday laundromat owner.


For investors, the movie is immediately elevated to mandatory viewing – the title applies directly to what is going on in “this here” in “this now” in today’s capital markets.

All is well with the market so far this year. The S&P is up 6.7% in less than two months. It’s a continuation of the 23% rally that started at the end of October and a more than 40% rise from the bear market low in late 2022.

But recent news may jeopardize the current market dynamic. January CPI was higher than expected and indicated that the current problematic inflation isn’t dead yet. Sure, it’s way down from the 9.1% peak in mid-2022 to 3.1%, but it has been rising for several months and is still well above the Fed’s 2% target.

The market seems to be trying to find itself and looking for a reason to rally. Earnings have been pretty good so far. But not enough to drive the overall market higher, at least not yet.

The bull market keeps rolling along, though both the Fed and a busy, star-studded earnings slate could provide a couple speed bumps this week. Still, I wouldn’t bet against this market right now, at least not in the intermediate or long term, so today we’re adding another high-upside pick. It’s a mid-cap software stock that’s trading well below its post-IPO highs, but that has built up a full head of steam the last two-plus months. It’s a new addition from Cabot Early Opportunities Chief Analyst Tyler Laundon.

Details inside.

Last week was another up week for the S&P 500. The index has made up all the tariff Armageddon losses, it’s in positive territory YTD and is within 3% of the all-time high.


The market is flat so far this week. But after the big surge higher, it’s encouraging that the index isn’t pulling back. Perhaps stocks are consolidating a bit ahead of another move higher.

The S&P 500 reached a new all-time high. Now what?

It’s been a tremendous recovery since the “tariff Armageddon” days of early April. Stocks went from the precipice of a bear market to a brand new high in just a couple of months.

The resilient summer market got a cold slap in the face last week. There was a big recovery on Monday. But the market still looks wobblier than it did a week ago.

One day’s headlines seemed to undo the positive market narrative.

The catalyst that has driven this market higher for more than two years got punched in the face on Monday. Is it the end of the gravy train or just an overreaction?

Stocks came crashing down on Monday. The S&P 500 was down almost 2% and lost most of this year’s gains in one day. The tech-laden Nasdaq index fell more than 3%. It was all because of some upstart Chinese company.

Stocks are taking a hit. It was an ugly day last Friday and there was more of the same on Tuesday. Should we expect more?

Tariffs have officially arrived. And the market doesn’t like them one bit.

On Tuesday, the Trump administration imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada and raised the level from 10% to 20% on China. Stocks fell as of midday on Tuesday, but not dramatically. It’s unwelcome news to a market that was already dealing with still-sticky inflation and diminished economic growth expectations.

In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Janus Henderson Group (JHG), Paramount Global (PARA) and Starbucks (SBUX).

This week’s watch list includes a focus on the suddenly interesting toy market outlook, with two major industry members poised to benefit from it.

The market rally has gotten stuck in the mud for now. It will likely take some good news to really get it moving higher again.

Stocks have hugely recovered from the tariff Armageddon selloffs of early April. The index made up all that tariff ground and the S&P came within just a few percent of the high. But the rally has stalled over the past couple of weeks as positive headlines have been in short supply.

The market yawned off great news over the weekend but managed to make a new high nonetheless.

Investors don’t seem to care about tariffs anymore, and the market continues to forge slowly higher regardless of the news. Tariff concern is so last April.

What a difference a week makes. Just a week ago, the S&P was plunging back toward the low. But then the S&P rallied 4.5% and the Nasdaq soared 6.6% in the final four days of last week, erasing most of the index’s April losses.

Stocks have been impressively resilient. The market handled the Iran news like a trooper. Stocks have rallied since the U.S. bombing.

It seems like the default position of investors is optimism. Stocks seem to want to go higher and only go lower when they defy gravity. The market made up the tariff panic in short order. Rates have remained stubbornly high. The news from the Middle East is wild. Yet stocks are within bad-breath distance of the all-time high.

The market has recovered in a big and fast way over the past week. Are we out of the woods?


What a difference a week makes. Things were frog ugly at the beginning of last week. We were approaching a trade war with the whole world. The S&P 500 came within a whisker of bear market territory (down 20% or more from the high on a closing basis). In fact, it hit the 20% mark down from the high on an intraday basis twice. Then last Wednesday happened.

The market is looking good. Sure, it pulled back last week. But not by much. After the huge spike it had, the lack of a more significant pullback is encouraging. Stocks also started this week with a big up day on Tuesday.

It started off as an ugly week for the market. But things have gotten better. Stocks flirted with the recent low on Monday but held strong and recovered. That’s a good sign. But is it enough?


Big tariff news is on the doorstep. Uncertainty abounds. It is unclear yet how many countries will be included in the reciprocal tariffs scheduled to take effect today and to what extent there will be exceptions. The market may be happier about things by the end of the week. But if it isn’t, stocks might go lower again.

Every so often one of our stocks is the target of a short report that tries to make the case that a company is garbage, a fraud, and/or wildly overvalued.

Since the COVID-19 crash ended just over weeks ago, the market has been impressively strong, with marijuana stocks some of the strongest, as they left behind a two-year bear market.

So even though some of these stocks seem a bit over-extended today, short-term, they still have enormous upside potential in the long-term.



Full details in the issue.