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Not all insider activity is created equal, which is why I recommend following these three basic rules to identify stocks with insider buying and the potential to outperform.

This week’s Friday Update includes a summary of the recent Cabot Turnaround Letter, and comments on earnings at Macy’s (M). We also summarize the podcast and include The Catalyst Report.

I’m in Amish country this week so the Cabot Explorer issue will be briefer than usual today. Markets are facing a 5% dilemma. The benchmark Treasury yield closed just above 4.9%, a fresh 16-year high.

Third-quarter GDP estimated growth may be above 5%, signaling that inflationary expectations are still strong.

The market will likely turn broadly positive when expectations are that interest rate hikes are over – and lower rates may be around the corner.

All the major U.S. stock market indexes are experiencing orderly pullbacks right now. (This is good news because the farther the market climbs without resting, the bigger the pullback when it finally arrives.)

The S&P 500 is making yet another new all time high. The index has risen 72% since last March and over 17% just since the beginning of October. That’s amazing performance in a short amount of time.

I’m positive on the market for the rest of this year as a full recovery along with low interest rates and massive stimulus should be very positive for stocks. But the market never goes straight up. And a selloff is overdue. It would present a buying opportunity ahead of a promising year.



While I am increasingly cautious in the near term, there are very select places where great value can still be found. And even fewer that historically move independently of the overall market.



In this issue I highlight a stock that moves to its own drummer and not with the market. It is near the low point of its range in a long-term uptrend facilitated by rapid growth in its business. The situation presents an ideal time to buy into the stock now and write calls later.

The second quarter and major league baseball opens today after a good week for Explorer recommendations. Tech stocks struggle a bit but some EV stocks bounce back as investors look to play the long game. The Biden infrastructure plan captures media attention and today’s new recommendation should benefit from one of the plan’s more ambitious goals—universal broadband access

Despite a promising start, last week turned into a rough one for the market. A mix of rising economic uncertainty and heavy tech-valuation concerns weighed on sentiment, driving the market to a risk-off environment. By week’s end the S&P 500 had fallen 1.6%, the Dow Jones had slid 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite had dropped 3%.

Despite a promising start, last week turned into a rough one for the market. A mix of rising economic uncertainty and heavy tech-valuation concerns weighed on sentiment, driving the market to a risk-off environment. By week’s end the S&P 500 had fallen 1.6%, the Dow Jones had slid 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite had dropped 3%.

After an ugly start to the week on Monday, stocks rallied very impressively as the S&P 500 gained 4.6%, the Dow added 2.5% and the Nasdaq surged higher by 6.7%.

After an ugly start to the week on Monday, stocks rallied very impressively as the S&P 500 gained 4.6%, the Dow added 2.5% and the Nasdaq surged higher by 6.7%.

After a modest bounce in May and early June, another thunderstorm has hit the market, driving the indexes and most stocks to fresh lows. Of course, the Federal Reserve is on everyone’s mind these days, but really, you don’t need to guess about what they’ll do and what effect it will have--just following the market’s trends has kept us mostly on the sideline in recent weeks and months, and they’ll be your best guides going forward. In the meantime, we’re actually trimming one of our two positions tonight, but we’re keeping our eyes open for signs the buyers are putting up a fight.



In tonight’s issue, we write about the energy sector, our current holdings and a few new ideas, too. We offer no predictions and remain mostly safe on the sideline, but the environment is certainly ripe for a turn given how everyone’s predicting doom, so it’s important to keep your head up and be ready should the evidence improve.

After a strong rebound early in the week, markets sold off a bit over the past two days as investors battle uncertainty on the virus and economic impact fronts. We remain positive on our seven Cabot Global Stocks Explorer stocks and will put some of our 35% cash position to work today with a high quality Singapore bank many of you are familiar with. Our emerging market signal stays negative.

Also, I have a special alert regarding Luckin Coffee (LK), which is down very sharply this morning.

Within the span of the weekend, Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of mercenary army Wagner Group, launched a highly publicized and well-armed takeover attempt against Russia’s Vladimir Putin-headed government, then melted away into the murkiness that is the Kansas-sized Republic of Belarus.

In choosing today’s stock, I leaned toward the growth side, because that’s what’s working best today. Then, to get an element of safety—because somewhere, sometime, a nasty correction is likely to hit the market—I chose a stock with very strong and growing institutional sponsorship, the kind of stock that has the potential to be the last stock standing when this bull market eventually ends.

Today could be a big day for cannabis stocks.

The reason: We may get an important update on the rescheduling timeline.

Cannabis investors will be watching closely today to see whether Attorney General Pam Bondi offers a rescheduling update when she appears before the House Judiciary Committee. Upbeat comments could spark a sharp cannabis sector rally. The hearing starts at 10 a.m. EST.