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  • Between bad brokers and online scams, it can feel like there’s always someone coming for your money. But these tips (and red flags to look out for) can help you protect what’s yours.
  • Emerging and global markets had a good week with some standout performers such as NIO and SEA. Zero progress on U.S.-China talks was overshadowed by anticipated interest rate cuts. Today we recommend a stock from the Watch List and upgrade an idea in the portfolio.
  • The 5G revolution is here, bringing a level of technological change not seen since the advent of the internet. These 2 dividend stocks will benefit from it.
  • For-profit education is flourishing under the Trump administration. Here are the for-profit education stocks I like best.
  • You can do well enough to take control of your retirement, rather than just drifting toward it like a canoe heading for the waterfall.
  • Interest rates have been at historically low levels for years now, which makes it easy for companies to raise money by issuing debt (which is supposed to help the economy grow) but makes it hard to live off the income from a portfolio of safe treasury and investment-grade bonds—as many...
  • Cabot will be launching a brand new advisory at the end of January. Cabot Dividend Investor will be aimed at income investors.
  • One thing that few investing systems really cover is position sizing, however it is one of the most important things to know.
  • You should have an advisory that will get you out of the market and into cash when the tides turn against you.
  • The market was looking pretty good through last week. Then this week, with no meaningful progress on the debt ceiling, momentum has deteriorated.


    Yesterday afternoon U.S. House Speaker McCarthy was on a roll, saying that things are going a little better, that he won’t put a bill on the floor that spends more than last year and that the President is realizing he has to spend less.



    JPMorgan says they put the odds of no debt ceiling deal by early June at around 25% and rising.
  • It’s been fifteen weeks since the marijuana sector topped, sending the Marijuana Index down 55%. But as the picture of this correction gets clearer, every day I get a little more bullish about the possibility that the sector is ready to turn up again. Most of our stocks are exhibiting typical base-building behavior, though there’s no sign of real buying power yet.

    But the fundamentals of the industry remain excellent, so there’s no question that eventually these stocks will get going again.



    In the portfolio today there are only two small changes. IIPR moves to Hold, and TPB moves to Sell.



    Full details in the issue.

  • It’s not always that the market outperforms in October, but this year’s “jinx month” came and went on a positive note (albeit with a minor setback earlier in the month).


    Granted, there was some volatility on the political front, but as far as the equity market was concerned, it wasn’t too bad. The S&P 500 index stood at a record high as recently as Wednesday, and Wall Street’s favorite stocks and ETFs are mainly trending higher as we exit the month.
  • The market finally bounced following last Tuesday’s big-volume support day, which has allowed many beaten-down growth stocks to get off their knees. It’s also allowed many energy stocks to show their muscle—many have lifted to new highs after multi-month launching pads! Overall, we’re keeping our Market Monitor neutral, as there’s no evidence yet that a sustainable bottom has been reached. But we’re OK with a little buying in the energy sector (as well as some other strong commodity stocks), because if the current rally gains momentum, many of these names could prove to be leaders of the upmove.
    This week’s list did pick up on a few growth stocks that are beginning to separate from the pack, but half the stocks are commodity-related. Our favorite of the week is GasLog (GLOG), a shipper of liquefied natural gas that sports both rapid and predictable growth.
    Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
    Weatherford International plc (WFT) 0.0017-1816-16.5
    Vipshop Holdings (VIPS) 14.25140-148128-130
    Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) 78.4119.5-20.518.5-19
    SanDisk Corp. (SNDK) 0.0080-8276-77
    Rice Energy (RICE) 0.0028-29.525.5-26
    Garmin (GRMN) 97.4555-5752-53
    Gulfport Energy (GPOR) 0.0071-7366.5-67.5
    GasLog (GLOG) 21.3925.5-2723.5-24
    Finisar (FNSR) 0.0026-2724-24
    Allegheny Technologies (ATI) 27.7838.5-4035-36

  • This remains a split tape, with many defensive and some commodity stocks testing new-high ground, while most of the market is chopping around, and growth stocks are still lagging. That said, we have seen a few rays of light lately—the mid-cap indexes are back above their 50-day lines, many growth stocks have held support for many weeks, and we’re seeing a few more potential leaders emerge on earnings or other good news. We’re sticking with our neutral Market Monitor until we see more bullish action among a variety of stocks and sectors, but the next week or two will be interesting.

    This week’s list is still relatively heavy on commodity names, but our Top Pick is a growth stock that just completed a game-changing acquisition. Avago Technologies (AVGO) has great projected earnings growth, but the company reports earnings on May 29 so keep new positions small.
    Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
    Zillow (Z) 76.6495-10088-90
    Nabors Industries (NBR) 0.0025-26.523-24
    Lazard (LAZ) 0.0047-4945-46
    Diamondback Energy (FANG) 0.0072-7466-67
    Extra Space Storage (EXR) 0.0049-5146-47
    Constellium (CSTM) 0.0029-3127-27.5
    Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO) 24.0353.5-55.550-50.5
    Broadcom Limited (AVGO) 266.2666-6961-62
    Athlon Energy (ATHL) 0.0039-4136-37
    AerCap (AER) 0.0045.5-47.541.5-42

  • Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the September 30th issue.

    This month we look at stocks that might benefit from the (eventual) arrival of a post-Covid world. Currently, the news seems uninspiring – new cases are accelerating in some regions that may foreshadow a return of economically-crippling lockdowns, and hopes are dimming for a vaccine in the near future.



    Many stocks have surged already in anticipation of this yearned-for world, but many remain moribund. Some laggards are likely to be zombies – still alive but burdened with overwhelming debt loads. We avoided these, and instead found several that should prosper with the return of a fully-opened economy and also have more resilient capital structures to help them endure while we all wait.



    We also looked at publicly-traded chicken processors and found that the sky is not actually falling, even if the shares seem to imply an atmospheric tumbling. Near-term wholesale chicken prices have become meaningfully but temporarily depressed, in our view. We highlight three stocks and discuss their risk/return nuances, along with a fourth intriguing commodity food company.



    Our feature recommendation, Western Digital (WDC), trades at a depressed valuation but has major strategic changes underway.



    The letter also includes a summary of our recent sale of Gilead Sciences (GILD) as well as the full roster of our current recommendations.



    Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you and a great way to get more out of your letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



    I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.



    Thanks!

  • The big news today is that last week’s market weakness turned our intermediate-term market-timing indicator negative. But no one indicator is perfect, and at Cabot, we use another indicator to measure the market’s long-term trend—and that indicator is still positive. Thus it’s a standoff, which means our Market Monitor is positioned at dead neutral. Short-term, we tend to think the market is ripe for more of a pullback, simply because it’s had such a great, long advance. But long-term, we remain optimistic that once the correction is complete, the main uptrend can continue, and this thinking, in part, is because there are so few investment alternatives! In any event, our goal is to continue presenting you with stock that are most prone to short-term strength, and this issue brings a nice mix of old and new. Read them all, choose your favorite story, and work to find a good entry point. Our favorite this week is Twitter (TWTR), which has a huge fundamental story and a decent technical setup.
    Stock NamePriceBuy RangeLoss Limit
    Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) 0.00125-131123-124
    VeriSign (VRSN) 190.7158.5-60.556-57
    Vipshop Holdings (VIPS) 14.2591-9580-82
    Twitter (TWTR) 40.3756-6252-53
    Insulet (PODD) 175.6941-4339-40
    Pandora Media Inc. (P) 0.0031-3329-29.5
    Medivation (MDVN) 0.0070-7569-70
    The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) 0.0091-9383-85
    Gilead Sciences (GILD) 75.1076-7973-74
    CalAmp (CAMP) 0.0027-2924-25

  • The good news today is that both our intermediate-term market timing tool, Cabot Tides, and our emerging markets timing tool, Cabot Emerging Markets Timer, have both flashed buy signals, telling us that we should work to get more heavily invested, by buying attractive stocks at sensible entry points.