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Ahead of the long holiday weekend, it was a mixed bag last week as the S&P 500 rose 0.58%, the Dow lost 0.25%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.55%.



This week traders will keep a close eye on inflation as the Labor Department releases its August index of U.S. wholesale prices, otherwise known as the producer price index. The market is estimating an increase of 0.5%, after 1% increases in June and July. July witnessed a 7.8% increase year over year, which was the largest bump in over a decade. Another spike would not bode well for the overall market, so I will be keeping an eye on the release and its impact on price action.



With that in mind, and always an eye on diversification, this week’s pick is a steel and iron enterprise company.

Last week, despite a large market decline on Monday, the major indices took a baby step forward. The S&P 500 gained 0.51%, the Dow rose 0.62%, and the Nasdaq eked out 0.02%.



The advance came despite ongoing uncertainties around Chinese property developer Evergrande and the seemingly hawkish message from the Fed announcement. Now the focus has shifted to Washington, D.C.’s finest and the decision around the debt ceiling and infrastructure. Add a sprinkle of Chinese power concerns and there seems to be just enough worry to keep investors on their toes.

We’ve all heard the personal finance advice on how saving can allow you to live comfortably in your golden years.

The cannabis sector remains under pressure. But the stock price weakness makes the group a good buy for contrarians because there are plausible catalysts on the horizon.

Let’s be clear. It won’t be easy to buy. It never is, when sentiment is so dark.

Buying right never feels good, as the saying goes. When the right time to buy comes along, you won’t want to, is how technical analyst Walter Deemer puts it.

This is a great time to be invested in these stocks, clearly. And I hope the trend continues. But I do think we have a missing ingredient before we can feel super confident that these gains will stick. And that ingredient is more participation from a wider group of small-cap stocks. If we get that, we’ll see the S&P 600 Small Cap Index break above 990 and move back toward its 2018 high.

Despite the current tug of war between cyclical and technology stocks for market leadership, financial stocks are likely the best positioned stock sector in the near term as well as for the rest of the year. They offer a complete package of value, momentum and position in the economic cycle.

Financials tend to thrive in the early stages of an economic cycle, which is where we are now. Financial companies also love rising interest rates. Interest rates are already rising and all but certain to keep climbing amidst a booming economy and trillions of stimulus dollars.



While the financial sector has been the second best performing sector on the S&P YTD, it isn’t as overextended as energy. It’s is only up about half as much so far this year.



In this issue I highlight two fantastic financial stocks for purchase. These stocks offer the very rare combination of value and momentum. It’s a great time to get in cheap ahead of great opportunities to write covered calls for a high income in the weeks and months ahead.

In today’s note, we discuss a number of earnings results and new developments for several of our portfolio positions, including American Airlines (AAL), Atlassian (TEAM), Duluth Holdings (DLTH), Intel (INTC), SLB Ltd. (SLB) and Super Hi International Holding (HDL).

It’s no secret that a conspicuous presence of activist investors in an ailing company has proven to be one of the most powerful, and reliable, catalysts for a successful turnaround. For that reason, I’m always on the lookout for companies that have recently become the target of activism.

But if the Trump Administration gets its way, the activist investor catalyst could soon be of diminished importance.

I recently visited Ruth’s Chris steakhouse in Boston for a wonderful meal. Despite the stigma of being a chain, every meal has been absolutely terrific. Ruth’s Chris (RUTH) just came public in 2005, but has since slid from the mid 20s to 6 1/2. Revenues have grown fairly consistently, but earnings were cut in half during the fourth quarter, and projected to shrink some more this year. The stock just hit a new low today! Thus, I think it’s a good idea for any steak lover to visit one of the premier steakhouses in your area every couple of months. It’s a real treat! But when it comes to investing, the message is clear: Enjoy the steak, but avoid the stocks.

The most important thing at earnings season (and really, at any time in the stock market) is to have a plan and be consistent.

One of the longest-running Investment Digest features is our annual Top Picks issue, for which we ask all our contributors to send us their single favorite stock to buy for the coming year. In July, we ask them to update us on their picks. And finally, in December, I like...

WHAT TO DO NOW: Happy New Year! December’s weak action has created some decent setups and taken a chunk out of sentiment, both of which are good to see—but the underlying evidence hasn’t changed, with our Cabot Tides negative and few names heading higher. We came into the year with around half the portfolio in cash, and we’re remaining cautious today—our only change is placing Flutter (FLUT) on Hold.

WHAT TO DO NOW: Growth stocks remain very weak and, today, we saw the broad market get whacked as well. Overall, it remains a split environment, but our Growth Tides and Aggression Index are negative, and growth as a whole is under pressure. The Model Portfolio is more than half in cash, and while we’re not in our storm cellar, we’re standing pat tonight, keeping stops on our positions and taking it day to day. We have no changes tonight.

In this week’s video, MIke is getting more encouraged -- the market isn’t completely out of the woods yet, but the evidence is improving step by step.

The market continues to show some overall improvement in tone, but last Friday’s jobs-induced decline and today’s low-volume dip makes it clear that not all investors are rowing in the same direction. Thus, we’ll leave our Market Monitor in the neutral column until we see definitive signs of buying. The good news is that, with earnings season beginning this week (and a deluge of reports starting next week), we’ll likely get an answer relatively soon as to whether this rally is the real McCoy. For now, we’re still leaning optimistic, so it’s fine to own a few resilient names, but we advise waiting until you begin to make some real money before you become more aggressive.

This week’s list has a few newer names to consider; in fact, there are only a couple of early-year leaders featured today. Our favorite of the week is Nationstar Mortgage (NSM), which is set to become the leading non-bank mortgage servicer in the country. The stock is extended, so try to buy on weakness.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
CF Industries (CF)	45.23	185-195	-
GNC Holdings (GNC)	0.00	40-41.5	-
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (LGF)	0.00	14-15	-
Meritage Homes (MTH)	102.20	32.5-34.5	-
Nationstar Mortgage (NSM)	0.00	22.5-24	-
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (SPPI)	19.31	15.5-16.5	-
Stratasys (SSYS)	0.00	50-52	-
SYNC (SYNC)	0.00	14.5-16.5	-
TFM (TFM)	0.00	53.5-56	-
Web.com (WWWW)	0.00	17-18	-

Three earning updates - Two Holds and a Sell.

For the first time in a while we’ve had a relatively calm week. On average, our portfolio is unchanged from last Thursday’s close.