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Tom Hutchinson, Chief Analyst of Cabot Dividend Investor, talked about dividend stocks and the current market. PLUS Tom shared a couple of his favorite high-growth, high-yield stocks.

In the November Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities, we take our first step into the crypto economy, delve deeper into international e-commerce markets, bring in another security specialist, attempt to fix the world’s supply chains and jump back into a high-end consigner that’s finally past the pandemic’s ill effects.

Your Spring issue of Cabot’s 10 Best Marijuana Stocks is ready, with updates on the 10 stocks we’ve been following and two new stocks I’ve added to the mix.

And it’s a great time to take a fresh look at all of them, as the market’s recent correction has brought most of them down to what look like good buying areas. Yes, the correction is deep, but it was overdue, and long term, I remain very optimistic about the sector.

First off, a quick note: Due to our regular schedule (50 weeks a year), there won’t be a Movers & Shakers update this shortened week, or a Top Ten issue next Monday—but we will send out a Movers & Shakers update next Monday and will be around all next week if you have any questions. Have a fantastic Thanksgiving!

Nothing much changed with the market last week: The major indexes were down, but not severely, and the intermediate-term trend continues to point up. That said, under the surface, it remains a very mixed bag—some areas look great, but there are as many (or more) wobbly names out there compared to names in solid uptrends. We’ll keep our Market Monitor at a level 5 this week, though we’d like to individual stocks act better soon.

This week’s list is heavy on old world companies, though there are a few great-looking growth names, too. Our Top Pick is in that space and has shown great power before and after its recent earnings report.

This week’s note includes our comments on Goodyear Tire (GT), Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/B), which reported late last week. It also includes comments on the 12 companies that reported earnings this week: Bayer AG (BAYRY), Brookfield Reinsurance Ltd (BNRE), Dril-Quip (DRQ), Elanco Animal Health (ELAN), Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT), TreeHouse Foods (THS), Six Flags Entertainment (SIX), Viatris (VTRS), Toshiba (TOSYY), Volkswagen AG (VWAGY), Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) and Western Digital (WDC).

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the October 2022 issue.

As stock prices tumble under the twin pressures of rising interest rates and the likely arrival of an economic downturn, just about every new stock pick is destined to be a disappointment. How does one select stocks in such an environment? While most fresh ideas will be near-term duds, there is an important purpose to picking new ideas. And, one doesn’t need to buy full positions right away. We screen for low P/E stocks on depressed 2023 earnings, with estimates for those earnings that are increasing. These make good stocks in which to take starter positions.

We also sorted through stocks with high dividend yields and highlight two picks and two pans (with enticing yields yet have serious dividend risks).

Our feature recommendation this month is Dow (DOW). Its shares have been sold by fearful investors, but the company’s low valuation doesn’t recognize the improvements in its financial strength and cost structure since the dark days of early 2020, nor the attractive yet sustainable dividend yield.

SThe story of the broad market is much the same as it has been in recent weeks. To wit, rotation continues across several industry groups while the major averages remain stuck in a lateral range. Things should start to heat up as we head further into the earnings season, though we’re not advising any major change in stance just yet.

This week’s list includes a nice mix of key industries that are benefiting from major fundamental and economic trends. Our Top Pick is a stock that should get a boost from accelerating interest in online foreign language learning.

After living through 2022, we’re certainly not going to whistle past any market graveyards, so our antennae are up when it comes to the market’s recent wobble—but instead of guessing what may come, it’s best to just go with the evidence in front of you, and so far, everything looks normal. That doesn’t necessarily mean we’d be piling in here, but we continue to lean bullish. We’ll leave our Market Monitor at a level 7 today.

This week’s list is very mixed, but with the chip sector looking peppy, our Top Pick is comes from that space and also quacks like a new growth leader. The stock is extended here, but dips of a couple of points would be enticing.

After a heady run, further short-term wobbles are possible, even likely, as the market and many stocks digest their May/June gains and as fear levels rise with interest rates. That said, to this point the consolidation in the major indexes and leading stocks has been completely acceptable, with very little abnormal action. If we start to see some names crack meaningful support, we’ll knock our Market Monitor down a notch or two, but today we’ll keep it at a level 8, as the odds continue to favor this being a normal rest period that will give way to higher prices.

This week’s list has a handful of names that have recently got going despite the market’s shenanigans. Our Top Pick this week is from a beaten-down group that’s come to life, possibly signaling the start of a group move.

Overall, the market’s action remains as close to pristine as you could hope for. Under the hood, there has been a touch of rotation, with some growth stocks chopping around while cyclical, construction and materials names perk up. All in all, we wouldn’t be surprised if growth continued to catch its breath, as the recent pullback was very brief, but that’s short-term nitpicking: While dips and potholes will come, the bottom line is that the vast majority of evidence is bullish, so you should be, too. We’ll bump our Market Monitor up to a level 8, and think adding exposure (ideally on dips) makes sense.

This week’s list reflects the broadening we’re seeing out there, with a few tech names but many others from other corners of the market. Our Top Pick is a long-term winner in the aerospace and defense field whose stock just broke out.

In this week’s Stock Market Video, Cabot Growth Investor and Cabot Top Ten Trader Chief Analyst Mike Cintolo discusses the market in detail,

Current Market Outlook


After three weeks of rotation, where cyclical stocks took the reins and growth stocks rested (and some broad selling pressure showed up June 11-12), the reverse occurred last week, with the leaders again ramping up and cyclical stocks sagging. Still, while the endless rotation isn’t ideal, it hasn’t changed the big picture—most of the evidence remains bullish, so we’re still optimistic the path of least resistance is higher. That said, it’s important to keep your feet on the ground, too; looking for solid entry points and not hesitating to book some partial profits on the way up are still good ideas, as some selling pressure or another bout of rotation isn’t out of the question. We’re leaving our Market Monitor at a level 8.

This week’s list has a bit of a secondary feel to it, but many are showing solid setups; ideally some of these will be the next wave of names big investors focus on. Our Top Pick is Restoration Hardware (RH), which has a strong story and is resting nicely after a very strong run.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Big Lots (BIG)	43.12	32.5-35	27.5-28.5
Immunomedics (IMMU)	34.23	32.5-35	28-29
LGI Homes (LGIH)	86.04	84-87	74-75.5
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)	980.83	910-940	810-830
Mersana Therapeutics (MRSN)	22.28	20-22	16-17.5
Nuance Communications, Inc. (NUAN)	25.35	23.5-25	21-22
PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)	35.09	33.5-35.5	29-30
RH Inc. (RH)	252.93	240-255	210-217
Teradyne (TER)	82.83	78-81	69-71
Yeti Holdings (YETI)	42.80	36-38	31.5-33

Current Market Outlook


From a top-down perspective, there’s not much to complain about when it comes to the current market—the intermediate-term trend of the major indexes is firmly pointed up, and the broad market has come alive in a big way, with two major blastoff indicators turning green in the past two weeks. Thus, for the overall market, the outlook is mostly sunny, though there’s always the chance of a passing shower. However, leading growth stocks are now on the run a little bit; it’s been two weeks of on-and-off selling, and many are beginning to approach key support areas. As we’ve written lately, the good news is that breakdowns have been few and far between; the pullbacks have been normal thus far, but the next few days should be telling to see if growth names are in for a deeper retreat or whether everything can get in gear with the broad market on the upside.

As you’d expect, this week’s list is heavier in names that have more recently come to life, including a few cyclical-related names. Our Top Pick is Autodesk (ADSK), a growth-y name that should also get a boost from the economic recovery, and the stock has leapt nicely to new highs.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
ASML Holding (ASML)	350.01	330-340	300-305
Autodesk (ADSK)	229.00	220-230	198-203
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)	26.23	21.5-23	18.5-19.5
Datadog (DDOG)	81.52	72.5-77	62-64.5
Elastic (ESTC)	86.17	78.5-82.5	70.5-72.5
Marvell Technology Group (MRVL)	36.88	32.5-34	28.5-29.5
Square, Inc. (SQ)	91.04	85-89	74-76
Thor Industries (THO)	104.76	101-106	89-92
Trade Desk (TTD)	468.02	338-358	298-308
Trex Company (TREX)	117.56	117-122	103-105

Today’s candidate provides digital health solutions to people with chronic health issues. Its biggest market is people with heart conditions, but it is branching out to the diabetes market as well. For a short window of time, I believe we can establish a position while shares are “on sale.”

Current Market Outlook


This morning’s positive news of a possible COVID vaccine helped the major indexes surge, but it also revealed some of the crosscurrents that remain—today saw a big bout of rotation, as leading growth titles were mostly lower while the lagging (usually economically-sensitive) areas did well. Even so, we don’t advise getting too involved in the day-to-day news or gyrations; overall, there’s still more positive evidence than negative, with the intermediate-term trend still up (today’s action helped on that front) and just about every leading stock remaining in a firm uptrend. Given the crosscurrents, we don’t advise going hog wild on the buy side, but we continue to think holding your strong performers (maybe with some partial profits here or there) and looking for decent entry points on strong names is the way to go. While we were going to knock our Market Monitor down late last week, the action of the past two sessions has us keeping it at a level 7.

This week’s list is a bit more diversified than in recent weeks, with strength seen in a few more sectors. Our Top Pick is PayPal (PYPL), which appears to have resumed its run after a multi-month rest period. Try to buy on dips.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Avalara (AVLR)	102.00	97-100	88-90
Beyond Meat (BYND)	132.87	122-128	109-113
Fastly (FSLY)	39.31	36-39	31.5-33.5
Fortinet Inc. (FTNT)	137.53	137-143	123-127
Inphi (IPHI)	120.16	105-110	94-97
MyoKardia (MYOK)	108.56	106-110	92-95
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (OLLI)	103.94	73-77	64-66
PayPal (PYPL)	147.00	142-147	129-132
Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)	155.72	139-145	125-128
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)	818.87	770-815	680-705

Current Market Outlook


News of travel restrictions due to a new strain of the virus over in Europe hit the major indexes early today, but when it comes to our analysis, the reason for the initial selloff is secondary—the setup for an air pocket has been around for a couple of weeks as sentiment was elevated and most stocks and indexes were extended to the upside. Thus, today’s hiccups weren’t totally unexpected, but the damage was limited; at day’s end, the major indexes held up well and remain in intermediate-term uptrends, as do most stocks. Near term, further reverberations are likely, so we still think it best to pick your spots and stocks carefully, but with the major evidence still positive, we are too.

This week’s list has a nice mix of stocks benefiting from different trends (growth, reopening, cyclical, etc.). Our Top Pick is Elastic (ESTC), which has finally, decisively gotten going from a long 20-month IPO base.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Alcoa (AA)	22.12	21-22.5	18-18.7
Cardlytics (CDLX)	146.04	135-141	116-119
Coeur Mining (CDE)	9.88	9.5-10.0	8.2-8.5
Elastic (ESTC)	155.91	147-153	129-133
Floor & Décor (FND)	99.10	95-98	85-87
Kodiak Sciences (KOD)	149.51	136-142	117-120
PayPal (PYPL)	237.79	232-238	209-213
Redfin (RDFN)	78.54	72-75.5	60-63
Smartsheet (SMAR)	72.00	70-73	61-63
WESCO International (WCC)	75.16	72-75.5	62-64

Current Market Outlook


The news-driven environment featuring incessant rotation and crosscurrents remains in effect; throw in the fact that breadth is narrow (about half of stocks are still below their 50-day lines despite the S&P 500 and Nasdaq being near new high ground; broad market indexes are chopping sideways) and earnings season is approaching and we think it’s best to continue going slow and aim to buy on weakness. That said, there are a growing number of good-looking growth stocks out there—not a ton are kiting higher, but there are lots of setups and, while there have been bumps in the road, the sellers really haven’t been able to sink their teeth into them despite some recent strength. All in all, we’re more optimistic than not, but stock selection and solid entry points are key.

This week’s list has a variety of sectors represented, including a few that have avoided the market’s volatility. Our Top Pick is Arista Networks (ANET), whose stock is in a smooth uptrend as growth picks up steam.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Antero Resources (AR)	15	13.8-14.3	12.3-12.7
Ares Management (ARES)	65	62-64	57-58
Arista Networks (ANET)	371	363-370	340-345
Bentley Systems (BSY)	64	62-64.5	57-58.5
FIGS, Inc. (FIGS)	44	42.5-45	36-37
L Brands (LB)	77	73-75.5	65.5-67.5
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)	821	775-795	700-710
PayPal (PYPL)	303	288-297	268-273
Rapid7 (RPD)	103	97-101	87-89
Synaptics (SYNA)	158	154-158	136-138

Current Market Outlook


Growth stocks are still in mostly good shape, which is the good news. And while we see reasons for continued optimism, it’s also hard to be a raging bull right now. There’s quite a bit of rotation underway, and sentiment is still elevated. On top of that, the number of Nasdaq stocks making new lows is more than we’d like to see, which means cross-currents could become a factor in the near term. Still, the weight of evidence prevents us from being overly cautious; plus there are a fair number of nice-looking setups in individual stocks across several industries. With this in mind, we’re leaving our Market Monitor at level 6 for now.

This week’s list includes a mix of growth and cyclical themes, most of which have a solid story.
Our Top Pick is Nvidia (NVDA), an established semiconductor name with a growing presence in the soaring high-performance computing (HPC) market, and which has just broken out to new highs on strong volume.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
ArcelorMittal (MT)	30	29-30	25.5-26
Brooks Automation, Inc. (BRKS)	98	92-97	80-82
Jabil Inc. (JBL)	54	52.5-55	46-47.5
JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU)	20	19-20.5	17.5-18
KBR Inc. (KBR)	40	38.5-39.5	33-34
Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)	28	27-28	23.5-24
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)	614	595-615	550-555
Snap-On Inc. (SNA)	236	230-235	208-210
Square, Inc. (SQ)	245	240-243	210-212
Vale S.A. (VALE)	19	18.5-19.5	17-17.5

Current Market Outlook


We traded in our crystal ball years ago, especially when it comes to short-term predictions, but our screens over the weekend told a clear tale: While it’s not 1999 out there, many growth stocks and indexes have enjoyed good moves of late, and when you combine that with some signs of complacency, a retrenchment looks possible. (Today, in fact, might be the start of that, as many growth stocks were hit.) Still, this isn’t some grand market call—overall, the environment remains the same, with some divergent and rotational action, but also more and more names acting well—but our point is more to make sure you’re still sticking with great-looking stocks at decent entry points, as opposed to chasing things higher. We’ll leave our Market Monitor unchanged this week.

This week’s list has a bunch of strong names thanks to recent earnings reports and other news items. Our Top Pick is Ambarella (AMBA), which staged a massive blastoff on earnings—we’re OK starting small here or on dips.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)	45	43-46	38-39
Ambarella (AMBA)	136	132-138	112-115
Asana Inc. (ASAN)	95	88-92.5	75-78
Avalara (AVLR)	188	180-185	164-167
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)	1895	1850-1900	1700-1760
Floor & Décor (FND)	125	122-126	110-112
Macy’s, Inc. (M)	22	21-22	18.5-19
Nutanix (NTNX)	44	41.5-44	36.5-37.5
Quanta Services (PWR)	115	109-113	97.5-99.5
TX (TX)	54	51.5-53.5	46.5-47.5