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The market remains in an uptrend, though the correction that started last week may do a little more damage. If so, try to take advantage of it, remembering that buying low is the goal.
Today’s stock is a name you know—a name all Americans know—and I think it’s a good buy here after correcting 39% last fall. Crista Huff is the Cabot analyst who recommended it most recently, in part on fundamental grounds, and my reading of the chart confirms her conclusion.
As for the current portfolio, we continue to make great progress, but there’s always room for improvement. The only changes this week are two upgrades from Hold to Buy. Details inside.

Emerging markets have stayed strong into the second quarter, with China leading the way and calming markets by delivering 6% economic growth.

Inside this issue is a new recommendation with a play on a market some estimate as large as $94 trillion over the next two decades. The company delivers a key ingredient that turns steel into “super steel” and plays a key role in electrifying the grid.

Though the current market rally is just two weeks old, we’re already beginning to see some big-volume upmoves in the most fundamentally and technically attractive stocks in the market … a sure sign that institutional investors are getting active on the buy side. While this week’s Fed meeting will almost certainly have a big say in the market’s near-term direction, the evidence right now tells us the bulls are re-taking control. And that means you should be putting some money to work! The last couple of Top Ten Reports have highlighted many leaders, and this week’s batch has plenty of interesting stories, big and small, new world and old world. Our favorite of the week is Gafisa (GFA), a Brazilian homebuilder that came public just a few months ago. It’s just now lifting from its first basing structure on good volume, but be aware the shares are somewhat thinly traded, so the stock can be choppy.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
BIDU (BIDU)	0.00	350-390	-
BUCY (BUCY)	0.00	88-92	-
CCC (CCC)	0.00	14-16	-
DE (DE)	0.00	84-87	-
EDU (EDU)	0.00	77-85	-
FCSX (FCSX)	0.00	40-45	-
GFA (GFA)	0.00	37-40	-
MLNM (MLNM)	0.00	14-16	-
RTP (RTP)	0.00	440-475	-
WDC (WDC)	0.00	29-32	-

We’re not ready to declare an end to the market’s correction, despite last week’s encouraging action. After all, a horrendous November (the Nasdaq was down more than 10% for the month before last week’s rally) was bound to lead to some type of bounce; what happens from here will be key. Regardless, there’s no question that many stocks improved their standing, finding big-volume support and, in some cases, shooting to new peaks. These are the names you want at the top of your watch list; the first groups out of the gate usually lead the ensuing bull move. For now, we advise continued prudence – buying just small amounts, keeping some cash on the sideline – but you should also be ready to turn bullish if the market follows-through powerfully in the days ahead. This weeks’ Top Ten contains an eclectic mix of names, some conservative, some high-flying. Our favorite: Turkcell (TKC), the leading wireless service provider in Turkey, which is registering strong bottom-line growth. We love the big-volume upside of late, a sign big investors will support the stock on any pullback.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
ANR (ANR)	0.00	25-28	-
DV (DV)	0.00	50-55	-
FOSL (FOSL)	0.00	40-43	-
ISRG (ISRG)	0.00	310-325	-
OSIP (OSIP)	0.00	42-46	-
SLT (SLT)	0.00	22-25	-
SOHU (SOHU)	0.00	53-60	-
TKC (TKC)	0.00	24-27	-
VRSN (VRSN)	0.00	38-40	-
WFR (WFR)	0.00	73-77	-

The market had another rough go of it last week, as the major indexes finished down more than 4%, though they remain safely above their late-January lows. Overall, the trends of the market and most stocks remain firmly down, and thus the market monitor above remains on the bearish side – and that means you should continue to play defense and buy only small amounts. On a positive note, OptiMo (our stock screening system) is uncovering more stocks meeting with buying pressures – this week’s list contains a few more good stories, and we’re beginning to see signs of group leadership. Gold, coal, metals and now energy stocks (especially energy producers) are sporting more than a few strong stocks, as big investors bet on continued commodity inflation. Our favorite this week is Range Resources (RRC), a mid-sized natural gas explorer that’s hitting new highs. Try to buy on weakness.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
ACI (ACI)	0.00	48-52	-
BVN (BVN)	0.00	63-69	-
CLF (CLF)	0.00	98-108	-
CMO (CMO)	0.00	14-16	-
KGC (KGC)	0.00	20-22	-
OI (OI)	0.00	49-51	-
PRGO (PRGO)	0.00	34-36	-
RRC (RRC)	0.00	52-56	-
SWN (SWN)	0.00	58-62	-
URBN (URBN)	0.00	29-31	-

With August in the rear-view window, it’s time for Wall Street to get back to full-time work. At present, trends continue to look good (but not great). Still, there are plenty of candidates to choose from, and this week’s comes from an emerging market that is not China; I think you’ll like it.

In selecting today’s stock, I swung back to the conservative side, and selected an undervalued stock in the energy/industrial sector that has recently resumed its upward trend as institutions climb back on board.

In choosing today’s recommendation, I returned to a sector that was white-hot a few years ago, bringing big profits to investors who got out before the sector collapsed. But now the sector is back in favor and my selection is the leading Chinese stock in the industry.

As I mentioned in the last update, last week was a big week for the market. Important earnings, the Fed meeting, and the jobs report all had implications for the near-term direction of the market. The market survived and came away about even for the week. Now what?

Earnings were generally positive. The Fed did what was expected by raising 0.25%, and the statements afterward were ambiguous. The employment report was solid as many more jobs were created. Also, the last two months of jobs figures were lowered. The readjustment quelled inflation fears while the current jobs report indicated no recession in sight.

This week, seven companies reported earnings, including Capital One Financial (COF), General Electric (GE), Mattel (MAT), M/I Homes (MHO), Newell Brands (NWL), Polaris (PII) and Xerox Holdings (XRX). Newell reported this morning, so our comments are brief.

For much of the last two years, the white-hot semiconductor space was the industry group least likely to yield any meaningful turnaround candidates. But that dynamic changed following this summer’s tech sector sell-off, which brought many of the previously high-flying chip stocks back to earth (or at least further away from the firmament).

This week, we comment on earnings from Elanco Animal Health (ELAN), Gannett (GCI), Kaman Corporation (KAMN) and Warner Bros Discovery (WBD).

We also include the Catalyst Report and a summary of the March edition of the Cabot Turnaround Letter, which was published on Wednesday.

This year begins in 2022 form, lower. Although the calendar changed, the issues that have pressured stocks lower over the past month remain. There is still great uncertainty regarding inflation, the Fed, and a recession.

It’s really the holiday season now. This time of year, investors stop paying attention to the market, like during the last days of the summer. That means, in the absence of game-changing headlines, stocks probably won’t do much of anything until the rubber hits the road after New Year’s.


When sobered up investors take a fresh look at stocks in January what will they see? They’ll see what they saw before they stopped paying attention, a lot of uncertainty.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s continued warnings of future rate hikes weighed on markets as did the Biden Administration’s suggestion that there should be new restrictions on selling advanced chips to China. Despite this, chip stocks such as Nvidia (NDVA) and the PHLX Semiconductor index were down by less than 1%.

Artificial intelligence (AI) calculations largely take place in data centers full of servers with graphics processing units (GPU)s from Nvidia and its competitors. It is estimated that 20% to 25% of the company’s revenue from Nvidia’s AI chips have been coming from China. To avoid further upsetting Beijing, no action is expected until after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s visit to China in July. Washington is also preparing legislation to screen China-bound investments by U.S. companies. AI, quantum computing, biotechnology and large-capacity batteries are at the top of the list.

It has been a fabulous rally that has proven naysayers wrong. The S&P 500 is up about 15% YTD just before the midpoint. Stocks have also rallied more than 20% from the October low into a new bull market.

How much gas is left in the tank?

Inflation is falling and the Fed is almost done hiking rates. It is also looking less likely that there will be a recession this year. Investors are optimistic that we can get to the other side of this hiking cycle without too much pain.