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  • Intel’s recently publicized struggles with its own chip production highlight the trajectory of this story. The company has been unable to successfully transition to leading-edge manufacturing technologies, and is seriously considering outsourcing to companies like Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel has long been the industry’s torch-bearer in chip self-reliance – with a strong aversion to using third party producers – so its change in mindset is a watershed event.
  • There’s no doubting the dominance achieved by mega-tech companies like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google and the other members of the “FANGMAN” club (Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia). Over the past decade or two, these have created entirely new industries, grown to unprecedented size and rewarded shareholders with vast profits. And, like all of the technology companies that preceded them, they have reached their peak potential.
  • Starting next Monday, August 31, before the market opens, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will have a new look.
  • Election season is now in full swing. In less than seven weeks, or only 49 days, the country will select its next president, representatives from all 435 House congressional districts, 35 senators and 12 state governors.
  • By far the worst performing sector in recent years has been the energy sector. From its peak in mid-year 2014 when oil prices reached over $100/barrel to its current state of complete disarray, the S&P Energy Sector index has collapsed 63%. For comparison, the broad S&P 500 index has gained 65% and even the often-maligned Materials Sector index has risen by 25%.
  • Most stocks on the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor recommended list had strong performance this past week. Part of the strength was perhaps due to money managers’ general optimism that seems to brighten with turn of the calendar. With last year’s bonuses firmly in the bag, professional investors often view January as the start of a new clock. This translates into a higher tolerance for risk-taking, as there are nearly 12 months ahead to make up for any mistakes. Cyclical and value stocks tend to be major beneficiaries of this optimism.
  • Stop-losses, or more fully, stop-loss orders, are trading orders that are placed to execute a sale automatically if a stock falls below a specified trigger price. The idea is that these orders can prevent a small loss from becoming a large loss. It can also be used to lock in profits.
  • Right now, U.S. stock markets are surging, largely due to the Federal Reserve’s bond-buying binge. As bond prices rise from the increased demand, bond yields fall (and they’re tremendously low).
  • It’s been said that the four most dangerous words in investing are “this time, it’s different.” The stock market’s behavior is clearly pointing to things being different this time.
  • The stock market is clearly accelerating the “reopening” trade. Small cap and cyclical stocks as well as commodity prices are surging, interest rates continue to tick up (the 10-year Treasury yield is now 1.38%, up from 0.92% at year-end), and novel financial vehicles like SPACs, Bitcoin and Reddit are attracting a stunning amount of attention. With the government plying the market with endless quantities of free money (drinks?), investors are giddy and going “all in.” The pot is now huge.
  • With all of our stocks now having price targets assigned to them, we thought we’d share with you some of our process behind how we set those price targets.
  • With the stock market regularly surging to record highs, it may seem like an unusual time to focus on valuation. After all, many stocks are remarkably expensive on traditional measures, and even somewhat lofty on non-traditional measures. But valuation still matters, especially if the market loses its current luster (assuming that is even possible)!
  • Earnings season is upon us again. This quarterly ritual, when all public companies report their most recent results, is when investors can see hard facts about revenues, profits and balance sheets, as well as hear softer commentary from management about their explanations, outlook and plans.
  • Investors have started to see a cloud or two in an otherwise sunny stock market sky. We don’t focus much on short-term market moves, but we have noticed that the weather is shifting, at least slightly.
  • With low interest rates and easy borrowing terms, and some supportive jaw-boning and incremental buying by the Federal Reserve, new corporate debt issuance in the United States is reaching record highs.
  • In most professional and personal endeavors, there are dozens if not hundreds of decisions to make. Manage a tech company? You need to decide who to hire/promote/fire, what responsibilities to give them, how much to pay them (base and bonus), resolve conflicting agendas, decide what products to promote, approve technical and strategic changes to each product or service, check quality control, help customers, set pricing … the list is essentially endless. Even a simple home landscaping project involves a long list of decisions: how much to spend, do it yourself or hire out, what to plant and where, and so on.
  • Just like that, the stock market emerged from its dark mood of October 30th to surge 8.6% in six trading days, with reinvigorated optimism following the evaporation of the election cloud and news of a very promising Covid vaccine.
  • Proxy season is moving into full gear. As a shareholder, you are one of the owners of your companies, so you get to vote on major decisions. Shareholder votes are, of course, much like public government elections, but in most cases your vote has a bigger impact.
  • Over the past month or so, it seemed like stocks would continue their frenetic surge. This week, however, the market appears relatively lackluster with a lot less excitement. Some investors may yearn for more fireworks, but as a value investor, I find this calm to be more sane.
  • Please understand that stock market corrections are about market adjustments and reactions to news and economic scenarios.