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The market has shifted into a news-driven environment; today the indexes popped higher as it appears any strike on Syria will be delayed, or possibly abandoned. But with many economic reports coming up that could affect interest rates (including the jobs report on Friday) and with Congress debating Syria, expect more gyrations ahead. Overall, our outlook is the same as the past two weeks—with many growth stocks acting well, you should hold your top performers and look to do a little buying on weakness. But with the indexes chopping around, you should also hold some cash and wait for a real green light before getting too aggressive.

This week’s list includes a few secondary-type names; there aren’t as many liquid leaders as has been the case in past weeks. But there are plenty with big potential. Our favorite is Hain Celestial (HAIN), a direct play on the organic food movement, whose stock just emerged from a year-long rest.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Zillow (Z)	76.64	92-97	78-80
Web.com (WWWW)	0.00	27-28.5	25-25.5
Sina Corp. (SINA)	0.00	76-80	68-69
Nationstar Mortgage (NSM)	0.00	48-51	45-46
Laredo Petroleum (LPI)	0.00	24-25.5	22.5-23
Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ)	0.00	85-87	79-80
Incyte Corporation (INCY)	76.98	33-34.5	29-30
HD Supply Holdings, Inc. (HDS)	0.00	22-23.5	20.5-21
The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN)	0.00	78-80.5	73-74
Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK)	0.00	25-26	23.5-24

Current Market Outlook


It was a relatively quiet, but bullish, pre-holiday week, with the major indexes acting well and many stocks resting nicely. That said, there was still rotation evident, with growth stocks finally easing a bit while money sloshed into some other areas, before that situation reversed today. Overall, not much has changed with our thoughts—we’re generally encouraged, and actually think further pullbacks in growth titles could provide some tempting entry points (the Nasdaq is pretty extended short term), though there remains plenty of tricky and narrow action (just over half of all stocks are even above their 50-day lines and there are lots of potholes on a daily basis), so picking your stocks and buy points is important. We’ll keep our Market Monitor at a level 7.

This week’s list has a nice collection of stocks from different sectors and themes that have all shown some good-volume accumulation of late. Our Top Pick is Carvana (CVNA), which is near the top of a six-month launching pad.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Asana Inc. (ASAN)	69	61-65	52-54
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)	16	15.6-16.4	13.4-13.8
Carvana (CVNA)	316	300-310	270-275
Diamondback Energy (FANG)	91	88-92	80-82
International Game Technology (IGT)	23	22.5-24	19.5-20.5
Ford Motor Co. (F)	15	14.2-14.7	12.6-12.9
Roku, Inc. (ROKU)	435	420-440	370-380
Snap Inc. (SNAP)	69	67.5-69.5	60-61
Tempur Sealy (TPX)	41	39.5-41	35.5-36.5
Urban Outfitters (URBN)	40	38.5-40	35-36

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the July 2021 issue.

This month we look into major pharmaceutical stocks, which are selling at their widest discount to the market in decades. We discuss some reasons behind the market’s pessimism and why, for value investors with patience, the shares of five companies offer considerable appeal.



We also include our mid-year stock market update and mid-year bankruptcy review. Stocks have been remarkably strong so far this year and appear poised for more gains, yet we encourage value investors to remain selective and patient amidst the exuberance while keeping the long-term horizon in view.



Easy financial market conditions have helped shrink the number and size of bankruptcies to a fraction of their long-term average. We discuss this phenomenon and why investors in distressed securities should wait for conditions to become favorable again.



Our feature Buy recommendation, Organon & Company (OGN), is a recent spin-off from Merck. Investors have discarded the shares due to revenue concerns, but the bargain valuation and our more optimistic outlook make the shares appealing.



It was a busy month in the portfolio. We raised our price targets on Signet Jewelers (SIG), Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) and General Motors (GM), and moved four stocks to Sell: Biogen (BIIB), BorgWarner (BWA), The Mosaic Company (MOS) and Jeld-Wen Holdings (JELD).



Please join us for the our 9th Annual Smarter Investing, Greater Profits Online Conference, held on Tuesday, August 17 through Thursday, August 19. You can see presentations by all of our analysts, which will include updates in their areas of expertise and discussions of their best picks.



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you. A great way to get more out of your letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

Current Market Outlook


The market staged a nice-looking rebound today, especially given that both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were hanging around their 50-day lines coming into today. Up is definitely good, but when examining the evidence, we see a tale of two markets. Growth stocks still look ragged, as many cracked key support last week and have been extraordinarily choppy during the past month (a sign bulls and bears are fighting it out after big runs). However, the broad market is largely fine, with small- and mid-cap indexes perched near their highs and many sectors acting fine. All in all, the evidence has worsened, so we’re knocking our Market Monitor down a notch, but we’re mostly taking things on a stock-by-stock basis, ditching those that break down while targeting new buying at resilient names.

This week’s list is heavy on cyclical and re-opening plays, though chip stocks remain a bastion of resilience. Our Top Pick is Kulicke & Soffa (KLIC), which staged a long-term breakout in November, has huge growth and has been unaffected by the market’s wobbles.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP)	229	218-225	200-204
Amkor Technology (AMKR)	25	23-25	19-20
Avis Budget Group (CAR)	58	53.5-56.5	46-48
Bausch Health Companies (BHC)	32	29.5-31	26.5-27.5
The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)	55	51.5-54	45-46.5
HubSpot (HUBS)	527	490-510	430-440
Kulicke and Soffa Industries (KLIC)	52	48.5-52	41-43
Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD)	149	141-146	125-128
Shake Shack (SHAK)	118	113-118	100-103
Valmont Industries (VMI)	244	226-236	203-208

In the March Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities we offer up a diverse mix of growth stocks with exposure to vastly different markets, all of which should be healthy for the duration of 2021.

While it’s been a rough month since the February Issue and investors are still on edge, stimulus checks should be hitting the economy soon and the broader economic picture is a heck of a lot better than even a couple months ago.



Still, on balance it’s best to keep new buying on the small side and average into these positions as the market seeks the firm footing that is needed to launch a sustained advance higher.



Enjoy!

The last two weeks have seen a massive rally into cyclical stocks, and a purge of growth stocks. Massive! Whether this trend will continue is anyone’s guess.

The good news for the Cabot Profit Booster portfolio is we have a relatively diverse portfolio. And as I eyeball our portfolio, I would say we have five cyclical stocks (AZEK, JCI, SONO, GS, APHA) and “only” two growth stocks (DT, AMKR), and the premiums we collected via our covered call sales have partially buffered us from big losses on those stocks that have been hit hard.

Current Market Outlook


Up is good, so last week’s rebound in growth and continued push higher in the broad market was encouraging. That said, nothing much has changed with the overall evidence—many areas of the market look just fine, with a few indexes actually hitting all-time highs, but growth stocks are still (mostly) in a corrective mode, with a bunch of names having rallied only into resistance. Really, we think the action of the next week or two will tell the tale—resilience and upside from here would suggest the huge pullback earlier this month was more of a shakeout, but renewed selling pressure would hint toward another leg down. Right now, we’re playing things halfway—we’re OK with some buying, especially in stronger names that pull back some, but we’re not pushing the envelope and need to see more from growth before concluding the storm has passed. We’re leaving our Market Monitor at a level 5 today.

This week’s list is very much a mixed bag, with cyclicals, retail, growth and turnarounds all making the cut. Our Top Pick is Thor Industries (THO), which looks like the leader of a fresh move for that group. You could nibble here or (preferably) on dips.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Big Lots (BIG)	71	66-69	59-61
Devon Energy (DVN)	25	22-23.5	19-20
Dropbox (DBX)	28	26.5-28	24-25
Dycom Industries (DY)	100	95-98	85-87
Groupon Inc. (GRPN)	60	57-60	48-50
Inari Medical (NARI)	114	110.5-115.5	98-101
Macy’s, Inc. (M)	21	18-19.5	15.5-16.5
Owens & Minor (OMI)	37	33.5-35.5	30-31
Summit Materials (SUM)	30	28-30	25-26
Thor Industries (THO)	147	140-147	125-128

Current Market Outlook


With the major indices in record territory and the leading growth stocks showing strength, it’s hard to be anything less than bullish right now. Even at these elevated levels, the market has provided us with a few attractive entry points recently. But with earnings season well underway and sentiment still elevated, the potential for near-term volatility has increased. Thus, it’s imperative not to throw caution to the wind in this news-sensitive environment. Given the weight of evidence, being selective when buying is the preferred tactic. The dominant intermediate-term trend is clearly up, though, so you don’t want to be too defensive. We’ll keep our Market Monitor at 7 and see how things go from here.

This week’s list has a nice mix of stocks across several industries benefiting from different trends. Our Top Pick this week is CarParts.com (PRTS), which recently had a high-volume breakout from a huge basing pattern.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Agilent Technologies (A)	128	127-129	121.5-123
Analog Devices (ADI)	160	156-161	149-151
CarParts.com (PRTS)	21	19.5-22	17-18
Chegg (CHGG)	112	105-111.5	97-100
eXp World Holdings (EXPI)	80	74-79	62-65
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)	33	31-33	27.5-28
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)	53	52-54	49-50
Pinterest (PINS)	89	85.5-88	76-78
Square, Inc. (SQ)	276	263-273	240-250
Twitter (TWTR)	74	68-72	63-66

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the March 2021 issue.

This month we look at post-bankruptcy energy stocks. Companies that have emerged from bankruptcy are generally shunned by investors, as are energy stocks in general in the current market. Combined, these two traits offer some attractive investment opportunities. We discuss four of them.



We also look at tobacco stocks. Shares of these companies have fallen sharply in recent years due to an acceleration in the decline rate of cigarette volumes. However, that trend appears to be moderating, leaving the shares undervalued yet paying high dividend yields. Our feature recommendation, Altria Group (MO), is a stand-out value among the group.



We also include comments on recent price target and rating changes, including our recent Sell recommendations on Trinity Industries (TRN) and ViacomCBS (VIAC).



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you. A great way to get more out of your letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

Buying a stock is easy, talking yourself into selling one is much harder, which is why you need a selling strategy before you buy.

Retirement is often associated with getting by on low-risk investments. But if you truly want to grow your nest egg, risk is essential.